Can anyone see a reason Germany might not score 4 in this game?
I'm thinking o3.5 +108 is a bit of a gift.
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JOHON8
SBR Hall of Famer
01-28-10
7712
#2
Away from home, they would be happy with a narrow win I think.
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chopstick88
SBR Wise Guy
08-20-10
650
#3
4 goals are dangerous. They had not win any team by 4 goals in this qualify yet. And the ML is not worth a shit to take a risk....
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Glada Tartan
SBR MVP
08-06-09
2820
#4
Gonna play "Some of the teams NOT to score" @ 1,50
Kazakhstan almost never scores in "real" games!
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Gracchus
Restricted User
01-28-10
523
#5
Germany -0.5 1st Half @ 1.44 good parlay fodder
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Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
61547
#6
Hmmm. Ok everyone thinks looking for 4 is dangerous.
I was a little concerned Germany might be happy to switch off with 2 or 3 in the bag.
I like the idea of Germany to win to Nil, but it's -150 where I bet. :\
Thanks for the input everyone.
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PedroGonz
Restricted User
10-11-10
6
#7
2/2 1,45 nice pick , i think ..
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Glada Tartan
SBR MVP
08-06-09
2820
#8
Im actually expecting 0-1 or 0-2 here
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Tony Cash
SBR High Roller
09-25-10
148
#9
I placed a bet on correct score 0-1 at halftime. 3,00 (or +200 american)
Looks like good value to me.
No one is going to rush in this game. Germany knows what Kazahstan at home can be and everyone knows what is Germany.
Go slow on this one. I would go with under 3,5 rather than over. Germany will have clean sheet probably but i dont think they can win more than 0-2, max 0-3.
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Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
61547
#10
We are definitely on the other side today then Glada, I'm expecting Germany to do a demolition job.
Though I ended up going with a bunch of overs, at good prices, so I might have just been thinking 'high' all over when capping today. Even went looking for 5 goals in this game.
Kazakhstan v Germany [0-6]
o3.5 +108 1.5u
o4.5 +235 .5u
Faroe Islands v Northern Ireland [0-4]
o2.5 +105 1.5u
FAR < 3 and NIR > 3 +560 .5u
Azerbaijan v Turkey [1-3]
o2.5 +100 .75u
o3.5 +255 .25u
Armenia v Andorra [4-0]
Armenia -2.0,-2.5 +118 1u
Finland v Hungary [1-2]
o2.5 +152 .5u
Netherlands v Sweden [2-1]
o2.5 +124 .5u
San Marino v Moldova [0-4]
SAN < 3 and MOL > 3 +330 .5u
Liechtenstein v Czech Republic [0-4]
LIE < 3 and CZE > 3 +380 .5u
*Edit: @TonyCash.. now you are worrying me with all that logic!
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mqm
SBR Hustler
08-06-10
55
#11
boratland will get thrashed
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Tony Cash
SBR High Roller
09-25-10
148
#12
Wooo man 0-6?! Hold your horses. This is not Andorra or San Marino coming to play at Berlin.
Now tell me one good reason why German coach would not substitute all key players (Klose, Oezil, Muller AND OTHERS) and save them injuries at 0-2 or 0-3 result. Why attack?
I look at other correct scores you predict - agree on most of it exept Azerbajan - Turkey 1-3.
I think suprise is possible here - I wont play it today.
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Smogs
SBR MVP
12-31-08
4173
#13
Germany should win 6-0 in this but play international games easy, they throw spanners in the works
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Slainte
SBR MVP
12-13-09
2442
#14
Watched the last Kazakhstan game against Belgium, the difference in the quality is sensible. If Germany do the job right it may go up to 4-5 goals.
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The Baron
SBR Sharp
10-13-07
397
#15
Germany will destroy glorious nation of Kazakhstan. I'm on Germany to win to nil.
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Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
61547
#16
You make good sense Tony. I've probably got a bit over-ambitious with the German match. Maybe I am taking the 0-2 to Belgium and 0-3 to Turkey in their last 2 home matches as a larger sign of weakness than you think they have at home. I'll just have to hope for luck in that one.
I agree Turkey match could end an upset. I'm a Guus Hiddink fan and tend to expect more of Turkey than they have shown recently. This match is crucial though, and Hiddink likes to attack, so am giving them 1 more chance to show the promise I think they have.
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Larsson_76
Restricted User
07-28-10
75
#17
I think they will score at least 3 goals, but who knows they will probably just want a win..
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Tony Cash
SBR High Roller
09-25-10
148
#18
@ Optional
I dont want to change your decision or loose your bet. If you "feel" Germany 0-6 today play it.
I am only trying to give some arguments realystic.
Bookemakers set winning margin on Germany at 2,5 goals. They are rarely wrong about this so let it guide your decision. There wont be almost no German fans. It is not weekend game and it is far far away. So why would Germany go and make show? knowing that they play by the book i dont expect much here. They will win. That is for sure. How many goals? Skip it. There are better picks today.
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virus450
SBR Hustler
04-11-10
52
#19
Originally posted by Tony Cash
@ Optional
I dont want to change your decision or loose your bet. If you "feel" Germany 0-6 today play it.
I am only trying to give some arguments realystic.
Bookemakers set winning margin on Germany at 2,5 goals. They are rarely wrong about this so let it guide your decision. There wont be almost no German fans. It is not weekend game and it is far far away. So why would Germany go and make show? knowing that they play by the book i dont expect much here. They will win. That is for sure. How many goals? Skip it. There are better picks today.
good explanation
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Optional
Administrator
06-10-10
61547
#20
I layed off the o4.5 bet. Will just stick with the o3.5
Thanks for the advice. And don't worry about changing my mind, that's why I asked about this one to start with, I wasn't sure.
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hedgejob
SBR MVP
12-21-09
2561
#21
I was looking at Germany -2.5 cause I don't think hosts will score. It's been hammered during the past hour. If Germany don't cover many people will be buried. I'm going to take Kazaks if odds get better.
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Glada Tartan
SBR MVP
08-06-09
2820
#22
Originally posted by Optional
We are definitely on the other side today then Glada, I'm expecting Germany to do a demolition job.
I hope U get it right... nice to see a lot of goals!
Im just happy if one of the teams keep the zero intact!