Kazakhstan v Germany

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  • Optional
    Administrator
    • 06-10-10
    • 61547

    #1
    Kazakhstan v Germany
    Can anyone see a reason Germany might not score 4 in this game?

    I'm thinking o3.5 +108 is a bit of a gift.
    .
  • JOHON8
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-28-10
    • 7712

    #2
    Away from home, they would be happy with a narrow win I think.
    Comment
    • chopstick88
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 08-20-10
      • 650

      #3
      4 goals are dangerous. They had not win any team by 4 goals in this qualify yet. And the ML is not worth a shit to take a risk....
      Comment
      • Glada Tartan
        SBR MVP
        • 08-06-09
        • 2820

        #4
        Gonna play "Some of the teams NOT to score" @ 1,50

        Kazakhstan almost never scores in "real" games!
        Comment
        • Gracchus
          Restricted User
          • 01-28-10
          • 523

          #5
          Germany -0.5 1st Half @ 1.44 good parlay fodder
          Comment
          • Optional
            Administrator
            • 06-10-10
            • 61547

            #6
            Hmmm. Ok everyone thinks looking for 4 is dangerous.

            I was a little concerned Germany might be happy to switch off with 2 or 3 in the bag.

            I like the idea of Germany to win to Nil, but it's -150 where I bet. :\

            Thanks for the input everyone.
            .
            Comment
            • PedroGonz
              Restricted User
              • 10-11-10
              • 6

              #7
              2/2 1,45 nice pick , i think ..
              Comment
              • Glada Tartan
                SBR MVP
                • 08-06-09
                • 2820

                #8
                Im actually expecting 0-1 or 0-2 here
                Comment
                • Tony Cash
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 09-25-10
                  • 148

                  #9
                  I placed a bet on correct score 0-1 at halftime. 3,00 (or +200 american)

                  Looks like good value to me.

                  No one is going to rush in this game. Germany knows what Kazahstan at home can be and everyone knows what is Germany.

                  Go slow on this one. I would go with under 3,5 rather than over. Germany will have clean sheet probably but i dont think they can win more than 0-2, max 0-3.
                  Comment
                  • Optional
                    Administrator
                    • 06-10-10
                    • 61547

                    #10
                    We are definitely on the other side today then Glada, I'm expecting Germany to do a demolition job.

                    Though I ended up going with a bunch of overs, at good prices, so I might have just been thinking 'high' all over when capping today. Even went looking for 5 goals in this game.


                    Kazakhstan v Germany [0-6]
                    o3.5 +108 1.5u
                    o4.5 +235 .5u

                    Faroe Islands v Northern Ireland [0-4]
                    o2.5 +105 1.5u
                    FAR < 3 and NIR > 3 +560 .5u

                    Azerbaijan v Turkey [1-3]
                    o2.5 +100 .75u
                    o3.5 +255 .25u

                    Armenia v Andorra [4-0]
                    Armenia -2.0,-2.5 +118 1u

                    Finland v Hungary [1-2]
                    o2.5 +152 .5u

                    Netherlands v Sweden [2-1]
                    o2.5 +124 .5u

                    San Marino v Moldova [0-4]
                    SAN < 3 and MOL > 3 +330 .5u

                    Liechtenstein v Czech Republic [0-4]
                    LIE < 3 and CZE > 3 +380 .5u



                    *Edit: @TonyCash.. now you are worrying me with all that logic!
                    .
                    Comment
                    • mqm
                      SBR Hustler
                      • 08-06-10
                      • 55

                      #11
                      boratland will get thrashed
                      Comment
                      • Tony Cash
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 09-25-10
                        • 148

                        #12
                        Wooo man 0-6?! Hold your horses. This is not Andorra or San Marino coming to play at Berlin.

                        Now tell me one good reason why German coach would not substitute all key players (Klose, Oezil, Muller AND OTHERS) and save them injuries at 0-2 or 0-3 result. Why attack?

                        I look at other correct scores you predict - agree on most of it exept Azerbajan - Turkey 1-3.
                        I think suprise is possible here - I wont play it today.
                        Comment
                        • Smogs
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-31-08
                          • 4173

                          #13
                          Germany should win 6-0 in this but play international games easy, they throw spanners in the works
                          Comment
                          • Slainte
                            SBR MVP
                            • 12-13-09
                            • 2442

                            #14
                            Watched the last Kazakhstan game against Belgium, the difference in the quality is sensible. If Germany do the job right it may go up to 4-5 goals.
                            Comment
                            • The Baron
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 10-13-07
                              • 397

                              #15
                              Germany will destroy glorious nation of Kazakhstan. I'm on Germany to win to nil.
                              Comment
                              • Optional
                                Administrator
                                • 06-10-10
                                • 61547

                                #16
                                You make good sense Tony. I've probably got a bit over-ambitious with the German match. Maybe I am taking the 0-2 to Belgium and 0-3 to Turkey in their last 2 home matches as a larger sign of weakness than you think they have at home. I'll just have to hope for luck in that one.

                                I agree Turkey match could end an upset. I'm a Guus Hiddink fan and tend to expect more of Turkey than they have shown recently. This match is crucial though, and Hiddink likes to attack, so am giving them 1 more chance to show the promise I think they have.
                                .
                                Comment
                                • Larsson_76
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 07-28-10
                                  • 75

                                  #17
                                  I think they will score at least 3 goals, but who knows they will probably just want a win..
                                  Comment
                                  • Tony Cash
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 09-25-10
                                    • 148

                                    #18
                                    @ Optional

                                    I dont want to change your decision or loose your bet. If you "feel" Germany 0-6 today play it.
                                    I am only trying to give some arguments realystic.
                                    Bookemakers set winning margin on Germany at 2,5 goals. They are rarely wrong about this so let it guide your decision. There wont be almost no German fans. It is not weekend game and it is far far away. So why would Germany go and make show? knowing that they play by the book i dont expect much here. They will win. That is for sure. How many goals? Skip it. There are better picks today.
                                    Comment
                                    • virus450
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 04-11-10
                                      • 52

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by Tony Cash
                                      @ Optional

                                      I dont want to change your decision or loose your bet. If you "feel" Germany 0-6 today play it.
                                      I am only trying to give some arguments realystic.
                                      Bookemakers set winning margin on Germany at 2,5 goals. They are rarely wrong about this so let it guide your decision. There wont be almost no German fans. It is not weekend game and it is far far away. So why would Germany go and make show? knowing that they play by the book i dont expect much here. They will win. That is for sure. How many goals? Skip it. There are better picks today.
                                      good explanation
                                      Comment
                                      • Optional
                                        Administrator
                                        • 06-10-10
                                        • 61547

                                        #20
                                        I layed off the o4.5 bet. Will just stick with the o3.5

                                        Thanks for the advice. And don't worry about changing my mind, that's why I asked about this one to start with, I wasn't sure.
                                        .
                                        Comment
                                        • hedgejob
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 12-21-09
                                          • 2561

                                          #21
                                          I was looking at Germany -2.5 cause I don't think hosts will score. It's been hammered during the past hour. If Germany don't cover many people will be buried. I'm going to take Kazaks if odds get better.
                                          Comment
                                          • Glada Tartan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-06-09
                                            • 2820

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Optional
                                            We are definitely on the other side today then Glada, I'm expecting Germany to do a demolition job.
                                            I hope U get it right... nice to see a lot of goals!


                                            Im just happy if one of the teams keep the zero intact!
                                            Comment
                                            • JOHON8
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 01-28-10
                                              • 7712

                                              #23
                                              Borats team are half way there.
                                              Comment
                                              • Glada Tartan
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 08-06-09
                                                • 2820

                                                #24
                                                Yeeeyyy!!!

                                                Comment
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