UEFA wednesday...here are my leans...opinions please

[down_but_not_out]

Hey guys,

I basically have to put plays in the night before because I cannot access 5dimes or SBR at work.

Here are my leans, opinions are appreciated

Basel over

Werder Bremen -.5,-1

red bull salberg -.5

[down_but_not_out]

Scratch Basel over, they have struggled to score...they play there looks like serif +1.5

[infamousbacardi]

Werder Bremen seems a solid play, and they should be keen to get their season started on the right foot. I think there is surely some value there...gl whatever you decide though

[carbonero77]

bremen is a great team,,,go for it

[minet123]

Bremen is a solid play and the total might be close

[rumple]

Tough laying goals in these euro games when the road team is trying to tie.

[spirta]

I like Werder too and bet on it so good luck all

[Phillth]

partizan - anderlecth over 2

[Giuvara]

I wouldn't take Basel over either. I have seen Sheriff a couple of times in the Europe League last season and they were doing a pretty good job in defense. They are a tough nut to crack at the back, but they lack quality in attack.

[Daveyboy]

Werder Bremen seems a solid play, and they should be keen to get their season started on the right foot. I think there is surely some value there...gl whatever you decide though

What are they like without Mesut Ozil?

[BL]

What are they like without Mesut Ozil?

Werder is my team and to be honest I don't like the odds on Werder today.
Bremen is missing key players (Naldo injured + Özil to play for Real) and the defense doesn't look solid.
I still think Werder will win but I won't bet on it with those odds.


-------------------Wiese------------------
-Fritz--Mertesacker---Prödl---Pasanen-
-----------Frings-----Bargfrede----------
-----Borowski--------------Hunt---------
----------Pizarro---Almeida--------------

Werder will start with Borowski instead of Marin to build a better defense. Marin should play
from the 65th minute on.

Key players missing: Naldo (injured) ¡ big factor!

I see a Werder Bremen win, but the value in those ML -130 odds aren't looking tasty to me

[fixxer]

Basel played awful in their last games, but this can be, because they rested for this game.

I saw them both games against Debrecen (which was in the CL group stage last year after beating the swedish and bulgarian champion), and they were very convincing with 2 easy wins....while Sheriff beat a very very weak Dinamo, with luck.
My guess is Basel -1.5, I like it more than the over, as I am not sure that the visitors will score...

[branrave]

Werder is a good play. German team is so far ahead in terms of fitness and match readiness.

[LGBoots]

Werder is a decent selection. Would prefer slightly higher odds before I bet however

[BL]

Werder ML got steamed. Value is gone

[SRBI]

Werder ML got steamed. Value is gone

You're right...but if they win, who cares, you still cash, just a little less

[BL]

correct. Let's go Werder

[SRBI]

correct. Let's go Werder

How much do you like em today, on a scale of 1 to 5? 5 being the strongest...

[ZXCVBNM]

Sheriff is ridiculously defensive, this isn't Swiss League!

[Salmon Steak]

didn't werder trade away their best players? I guess they still win though.

[BL]

How much do you like em today, on a scale of 1 to 5? 5 being the strongest...

Well I really do like them a lot today. They usually come out strong in important matches. But Naldo missing is a big factor. The key players will be Hunt and Borowski today (Marin if he'll start, I doubt it). If they show up today Werder should win this by 2 goals. Genua is a strong team but they didn't play too well in the friendlies. Not really sure what to expect from them today.
I'd say Werder to win 4 out of 5 on your scale.
No way they lose, worst outcome a 2-2 draw imo. Werder will qualify w/o a doubt imo. So a good betting advise would be to take Werder today and if they don't win play them to qualify after the match at great odds.

I am not betting this personally, too much of a Werder fan. I want to sweat the game today, not the money.


Side note: Hunt and Borowski should better show up today. Werder will get 1 or 2 new players (Wesley/Santos, Ben Arfa/Marseille) so this is their chance to prove they can fill the hole Özil left.

[blackf1re]

You're right...but if they win, who cares, you still cash, just a little less

[SRBI]

Well I really do like them a lot today. They usually come out strong in important matches. But Naldo missing is a big factor. The key players will be Hunt and Borowski today (Marin if he'll start, I doubt it). If they show up today Werder should win this by 2 goals. Genua is a strong team but they didn't play too well in the friendlies. Not really sure what to expect from them today.
I'd say Werder to win 4 out of 5 on your scale.
No way they lose, worst outcome a 2-2 draw imo. Werder will qualify w/o a doubt imo. So a good betting advise would be to take Werder today and if they don't win play them to qualify after the match at great odds.

I am not betting this personally, too much of a Werder fan. I want to sweat the game today, not the money.


Side note: Hunt and Borowski should better show up today. Werder will get 1 or 2 new players (Wesley/Santos, Ben Arfa/Marseille) so this is their chance to prove they can fill the hole Özil left.

Awesome, appreciate the input bro - gonna be rootin for em today with a possible small wager

[SRBI]

Compare betting flat $100 on the line when it was value (-120) and now when it is not (-140) - you're not missing out on that much loot. Maybe if you were droppin $1,000 as compared to $100 it's a huge diff but with a benjo iss not a big deal IMO.

[Wilforth]

Red Bull look to me like the best home favorite of the day, value-wise. I also like Anderletch PK as I hardly see them losing. The Over in the Bremen game looks good.

[PickApprentice]

Tailing Bremen and Red Bull, GL all

Bet seems realy valuable, and Rebull is really good at home was Wiforth said

GL

[spirta]

Very good game for Bremen, good bet