July28. France Super Cup + Braga v Celtic !!!

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  • vitalyo
    SBR MVP
    • 12-05-07
    • 1615

    #1
    July28. France Super Cup + Braga v Celtic !!!
    I love all 3 bets a specially Marseille at the great odds .I am taking them with a draw saver .


    Marseille v Paris St-G
    :Marseille @ 2.50 (+150) BetFair
    Back (Bet for) Your Marseille
    Odds Your 2.5
    Stake Your $700.00
    Profit $1,050.00

    DRAW SAVER Marseille v Paris St-G
    Back (Bet for) Your The Draw
    Odds Your 3.35
    Stake Your $350.00
    Profit $822.50



    Braga v Celtic: Braga @2.08 (+108) betfair
    Back (Bet for) Your Braga
    Odds Your 2.08
    Stake Your$500.00
    Profit $540.00



    Partizan Belgrade v HJK Helsinki
    Asian Total Corners
    Over 10 1.85 Under 10 1.95 (-105) $325 to win 308.75 bet365


    Cheers GL.

  • vitalyo
    SBR MVP
    • 12-05-07
    • 1615

    #2
    One more
    188bet Soccer / France Champions Trophy - Specials
    Marseille v Paris St-G - Winner 2010

    Marseille - Winner @1.80 188bet(-125) .Pinny has them @1.76 (-131)
    $375 to win $300

    Odds are moving up and down ,now you can get Marseille @ 2.54 reg time (betfair). Odds gone up on them but no major movements .Big money are yet to come . Watch by the game time odds on Marseille to win will drop like a rock .

    Cheers GL.

    Comment
    • SRBI
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 10-20-09
      • 8393

      #3
      I was lookin at Braga myself vitalyo...lookin good from my angle. How come you're so in love with Marseille?
      Comment
      • waco66
        SBR MVP
        • 04-14-09
        • 1645

        #4
        I got Marseille at +0 for 1.70 at bet365. i believe betfair might have better odds.

        However..Marseille's coach and players have been saying a lot of things that would make gamblers worried..saying they are not ready or physically fit and they will be missing a few players. Majority of the squad is there though. Expect a grind it out game with PSG. Draw looks good for reg time.
        Comment
        • vitalyo
          SBR MVP
          • 12-05-07
          • 1615

          #5
          Originally posted by SRBI
          I was lookin at Braga myself vitalyo...lookin good from my angle. How come you're so in love with Marseille?
          Marseille's Hatem Ben Arfa has promised his team will go all out for a win against Paris St Germain in the Trophee des Champions.Just kidding (but that's what he promised).


          Marseille is flying high and won French league .Marseille is the power house in the last 2 years They pushed LYON away that was there for the last 7-8 years . PSG at the moment "mediocre team " at the best . The days of glory long in the past . If you look at the stats.
          Marseille just owns them . Doesn't matter if they have a good team or bad .
          The odds are great and allows you to take a DRAW SAVER . The best that PSG can do in this game is to take Marseille to extra time .I doubt.

          Game is on the nutural field

          Marseille Away 31:22
          PSG Away 13:20

          Marseille Home 33:13
          PSG Home 32:20

          28-FEB-10 Paris SG 0-3 Marseille France Le Championnat
          20-NOV-09 Marseille 1-0 Paris SG France Le Championnat
          25-OCT-09 Marseille 1-0 Paris SG France Le Championnat
          15-MAR-09 Paris SG 1-3 Marseille France Le Championnat
          26-OCT-08 Marseille 2-4 Paris SG France Le Championnat
          17-FEB-08 Marseille 2-1 Paris SG France Le Championnat
          02-SEP-07 Paris SG 1-1 Marseille France Le Championnat
          04-FEB-07 Marseille 1-1 Paris SG France Le Championnat
          10-SEP-06 Paris SG 1-3 Marseille France Le Championnat
          29-APR-06 Marseille 1-2 Paris SG France - FA Cup
          05-MAR-06 Paris SG 0-0 Marseille France Le Championnat
          16-OCT-05 Marseille 1-0 Paris SG France Le Championnat






          Home team Marseille have a home record of 10-1-1 (W-D-L) for their 12 home games this season, 31 points from a possible 36. That's a home points average of 2.58 compared to 2.30 for all games this season. Marseille's recent points average is 2.17, 13 points from 6 games 4-1-1 (W-D-L). Marseille's last 10 league games record reads WWWWWWDWLW while their last 10 home league games read WWDWWWWWWW.

          Away team Paris SG have an away record of 2-6-3 (W-D-L) for their 11 away games this season, 12 points from a possible 33. That's an away points average of 1.09 compared to 1.30 for all games this season. Paris SG's recent points average is 0.50, 3 points from 6 games. Paris SG's last 10 league games record reads LWDWDDLDLL while their last 10 away league games read LLLDDLDDLL. ZERO away wins



          Goal Analysis

          Marseille have a recent goal tally of 10-5 (6 games), season total of 40-16 from 31 games. Paris SG have a recent goal tally of 4-11 (6 games), season total of 19-22 from 14 games.

          The number of goals average for the most recent games involving both these teams is 2.50 (30 goals in 12 games), the season average being 2.42 (97 goals in 40 games).

          Sequences & Streaks Analysis

          Marseille have gone 3 games without a draw.
          Paris SG are on a 2 game losing streak. Paris SG have not won in their last 6 games.

          This game is a TOTAL mismatch and if you ask me the odds are pretty stupid .
          As i said above Marseille is the power house PSG mediocre at the best . Marseille wants to take this trophy in addition to French league win . They have the players and the talent to lift the trophy . Big addition to my pick , this odds allows to take a saver . Game like this one. I am willing to take my chances with a bad beat .

          If the odds would be around even i would still pound
          Marseille just to win in regular time (no draw saver).

          Cheers GL


          Comment
          • SRBI
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 10-20-09
            • 8393

            #6
            Wow what an analysis, thank you for that. I'm convinced anyway, lets get it
            Comment
            • phenomenon
              SBR MVP
              • 03-11-10
              • 3227

              #7
              Marsillie like this kind of matches pal
              they won against bordeux 3 1 league cup final
              Comment
              • vitalyo
                SBR MVP
                • 12-05-07
                • 1615

                #8
                Odds are Down to 2.40 betfair
                Comment
                • vitalyo
                  SBR MVP
                  • 12-05-07
                  • 1615

                  #9
                  Originally posted by vitalyo
                  I love all 3 bets a specially Marseille at the great odds .I am taking them with a draw saver .


                  Marseille v Paris St-G
                  :Marseille @ 2.50 (+150) BetFair
                  Back (Bet for) Your Marseille
                  Odds Your 2.5
                  Stake Your $700.00
                  Profit $1,050.00

                  DRAW SAVER Marseille v Paris St-G
                  Back (Bet for) Your The Draw
                  Odds Your 3.35
                  Stake Your $350.00
                  Profit $822.50



                  Braga v Celtic: Braga @2.08 (+108) betfair
                  Back (Bet for) Your Braga
                  Odds Your 2.08
                  Stake Your$500.00
                  Profit $540.00



                  Partizan Belgrade v HJK Helsinki
                  Asian Total Corners
                  Over 10 1.85 Under 10 1.95 (-105) $325 to win 308.75 bet365

                  Cheers GL.

                  http://vitalyo.mysbrforum.com/spreadsheet/
                  Originally posted by vitalyo
                  188bet Soccer / France Champions Trophy - Specials
                  Marseille v Paris St-G - Winner 2010

                  Marseille - Winner @1.80 188bet(-125) .Pinny has them @1.76 (-131)
                  $375 to win $300

                  Marseille Saver came in


                  Partizan Belgrade v HJK Helsinki
                  Total 5 corners - Partizan Belgrade3Corners2HJK




                  I am beating shit out of the books



                  Cheers GL.
                  Comment
                  • theplagy
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-21-09
                    • 1915

                    #10
                    very good job indeed.
                    Comment
                    • vitalyo
                      SBR MVP
                      • 12-05-07
                      • 1615

                      #11
                      Originally posted by theplagy
                      very good job indeed.
                      TNX man !!!
                      Comment
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