Who's on Brazil vs. Chile 2.5 OV? 2:30 PM Est. - IN MATCH DISCUSSION!

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  • BiffTFinancial
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 01-29-09
    • 22670

    #36
    i am. will probably do what i have last few matches. have 1.5u on over now, then will look to live bet it 10-15 minutes in for another 2u when juice is better but before first goal, which was gold in England/Germany and Argie/Mexico.
    Comment
    • Sandro777
      SBR Sharp
      • 08-14-08
      • 368

      #37
      Need brazil -1 for the second leg of my parlay. Pretty confident it will hit but might hedge with some final score 1-0 / 2-1 bets..
      Comment
      • Types
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-22-10
        • 520

        #38
        didn't BRA beat CHI 7-2 in the prelims?
        Comment
        • JOHON8
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-28-10
          • 7712

          #39
          Originally posted by Types
          didn't BRA beat CHI 7-2 in the prelims?
          that's an accumulation of 2 games, 3-0 and 4-2
          Comment
          • Types
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-22-10
            • 520

            #40
            Originally posted by Types
            didn't BRA beat CHI 7-2 in the prelims?
            More recently, Brazil outscored Chile 7-2 in two wins in World Cup qualifying for this tournament
            Comment
            • u21c3f6
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 01-17-09
              • 790

              #41
              Originally posted by Goat Milk
              didn't say i was fading and didn't say you don't know how to gamble. all i said was i find it weird that you're gambling a sport you know nothing about. i know this because you don't contribute in any of our conversations here like you did in basketball.
              Knowledge of the game is overrated IMO when it comes to gambling.

              Joe.
              Comment
              • tommyminh
                SBR High Roller
                • 03-19-09
                • 208

                #42
                yeah should i lead on bra too?
                Comment
                • yanky yank
                  SBR Rookie
                  • 06-28-10
                  • 21

                  #43
                  Brazil & The over
                  Comment
                  • rise
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 372

                    #44
                    brazil and the over put it on the board winner going to dinner
                    Comment
                    • Tomato
                      SBR MVP
                      • 01-29-09
                      • 1251

                      #45
                      Originally posted by u21c3f6
                      Knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling.

                      Joe.
                      Fixed.
                      Comment
                      • julio_cat
                        SBR MVP
                        • 10-05-09
                        • 1208

                        #46
                        I took Over 2 in this game as part of a parlay with the early game over 2. -180 is a lot of juice.
                        Good Luck to all taking the over
                        Comment
                        • DwightShrute
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-17-09
                          • 103299

                          #47
                          on it also and

                          TOTAL o1-105 (1H BRAZIL vrs 1H CHILE)

                          Comment
                          • Goat Milk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 25850

                            #48
                            Originally posted by u21c3f6

                            Knowledge of the game is overrated IMO when it comes to gambling.

                            Joe.
                            Originally posted by Tomato
                            Fixed.
                            You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run. If knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling why do I cash out every year betting a sport I have followed for my whole life? I never lose in NBA in the long run. It will never happen because I know too much about the game.
                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                            Comment
                            • timmyboy34243
                              SBR MVP
                              • 04-06-10
                              • 1379

                              #49
                              i'm on the over as well/
                              Comment
                              • Chuck74
                                SBR High Roller
                                • 05-13-10
                                • 200

                                #50
                                Brazil 2-1
                                Comment
                                • TJHotpicks
                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                  • 11-05-09
                                  • 575

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                  i love how you just make plays without knowing about soccer

                                  1-1 in reg..... 2-1 in extra time??
                                  Comment
                                  • tblues2005
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 07-30-06
                                    • 9235

                                    #52
                                    I think Brazil should win this one easily.
                                    Comment
                                    • Tomato
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-29-09
                                      • 1251

                                      #53
                                      Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                      You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run. If knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling why do I cash out every year betting a sport I have followed for my whole life? I never lose in NBA in the long run. It will never happen because I know too much about the game.
                                      Comment
                                      • Slainte
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 12-13-09
                                        • 2442

                                        #54
                                        This is not the qualifications this is different type of game, the teams will play more carefully with less risk. Did someone really liked the brazilean style in both games against NK and Portugal? Is this how the champions play? Is this team solid?
                                        Comment
                                        • Holtgetsback
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-04-10
                                          • 4655

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                          You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run. If knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling why do I cash out every year betting a sport I have followed for my whole life? I never lose in NBA in the long run. It will never happen because I know too much about the game.
                                          knowing the market is more important than knowing the game.
                                          Comment
                                          • babyanni
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-23-09
                                            • 1780

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by Slainte
                                            This is not the qualifications this is different type of game, the teams will play more carefully with less risk. Did someone really liked the brazilean style in both games against NK and Portugal? Is this how the champions play? Is this team solid?
                                            yeah i cant get those games out of my head i want to play brazil -1 or over but cant pull the trigger doesnt help that ruud Gullit said it will be a 1-1 tie end of reg time just to further mind fukk me.
                                            Comment
                                            • The General
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 08-10-05
                                              • 13279

                                              #57
                                              Looking forward to the action in this match. My World Cup picks have been very bad so far.

                                              World Cup Preview: Brazil - Chile

                                              Kick Off: Monday, June 27, 2010. 20:30 CET
                                              Ellis Park, Johannesburg
                                              Getting The Job Done

                                              The South American sides at the World Cup have been much lauded because of their consistent progression in the tournament, and the two sides who finished top of the continent’s qualifying table, Brazil and Chile, will play off for a spot in the quarter-finals on Monday.

                                              These sides play in contrasting styles, but somewhat surprisingly it’s the Brazilians who turn out in a cautious manner, largely looking to counter-attack their opponents rather than impose their own skills on the game from the outset. As a result, coach Dunga has been the subject of criticism, but the Selecao’s progress to the last 16 cannot be quibbled about.

                                              After winning their CONMEBOL qualifying section, losing fewer games than any other side (though winning less than Chile), this pragmatic Brazilian outfit began their World Cup campaign proper with a workmanlike 2-1 success over little fancied North Korea. A far more impressive success over Cote d’Ivoire followed, before a scoreless draw against Portugal in an encounter that promised more.

                                              Despite disappointing fans with their lack of flair, there can be little doubt that the all-round play of the Brazilians has been some of the most impressive in the tournament thus far. The comfortable manner in which they dispatched the Elephants was a real warning shot to their opponents as it was the only time they’ve really needed to get into top gear so far.

                                              A whole new phase of the competition now begins, and Brazil’s pragmatic approach would appear ideally suited to knockout football, though Monday’s opponents have proven slippery customers thus far and should be closely policed.

                                              Innovative And Exciting

                                              If Brazil have been rather dull, Chile have brought undoubted colour to the competition. It’s not just the red shirts worn by the South American nation that have excited pundits. Argentine coach Marcelo Bielsa has his side playing slick, attacking football in an innovative 3-3-1-3 formation that has proven a breath of fresh air in what has been a rather stodgy tournament at times.

                                              Incredibly, la Roja are somewhat fortuitously at this stage. After defeating Honduras and Switzerland in their opening two matches, it seemed that Chile would need at least a point against Spain in their final group encounter to progress, simply because the Swiss had already shocked their fellow Europeans. Bielsa’s side matched la Furia Roja impressively, playing much of the match with 10 men, yet went down 2-1. This proved sufficient as Switzerland failed to break down Honduras, stranding them on four points.

                                              Chile’s extra life will see them line up against Brazil, a side they have a dreadful record against historically. In 65 previous meetings against the Selecao, the Chileans have recorded just seven successes, scoring nearly 100 goals less than their more illustrious opponents during those fixtures.

                                              Bielsa’s side will not fear their South American cousins, though two heavy qualifying defeats certainly give them food for thought. In Santiago, Luis Fabiano scored a brace to help Brazil to a 3-0 victory, and in the return leg Nilmar scored a hat-trick in a 4-2 Selecao rout.

                                              “We know we’re making the people in Chile happy with what we’re doing here,” Rodrigo Millar told the press after the Spain clash. Any further progress will leave the inhabitants of the South American nation positively ecstatic, and it would also be a blow for those who favour exciting attacking football over a more cautious approach.

                                              Comment
                                              • nobull
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 11-24-09
                                                • 830

                                                #58
                                                brazil gravy train all the way to the finals . .. . .. . lock of the ________ . doubling down on this gem.
                                                Comment
                                                • The General
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-10-05
                                                  • 13279

                                                  #59
                                                  FORM GUIDE

                                                  Brazil

                                                  DREW 0-0 (n) Portugal (World Cup, June 25)

                                                  WON 3-1 (n) Cote d'Ivoire (World Cup, June 21)

                                                  WON 2-1 (n) North Korea (World Cup, June 15)

                                                  WON 5-1 (a) Tanzania (Friendly, June 7)

                                                  WON 3-0 (a) Zimbabwe (Friendly, June 2)

                                                  Chile

                                                  LOST 2-1 (n) Spain (World Cup, June 25)

                                                  WON 1-0 (n) Switzerland (World Cup, June 21)

                                                  WON 1-0 (n) Honduras (World Cup, June 16)

                                                  WON 3-0 (h) Israel (Friendly, June 30)

                                                  WON 1-0 (h) Northern Ireland (Friendly, June 30)

                                                  TEAM NEWS

                                                  Brazil

                                                  Dunga will welcome Kaka back into the fold after he was suspended for the Portugal encounter due to his dismissal in the clash against Cote d’Ivoire. It is also anticipated that Elano will be fit enough to take up a station in the starting XI once again. Robinho will surely be drafted back into the team too.

                                                  Probable Starting XI: Julio Cesar; Maicon, Lucio, Juan, Michel Bastos; Gilberto Silva, Felipe Melo; Elano, Kaka, Robinho; Luis Fabiano

                                                  Chile

                                                  Suspension problems will hit Chile hard in this encounter. Gary Medel, nicknamed ‘Pitbull’, was shown his second yellow card of the tournament against Spain and is therefore ruled out of this encounter. Waldo Ponce is in a similar position. Finally, Marco Estrada was dismissed against Spain and is the third player banned.

                                                  Top striker Humberto Suazo was injured towards the tail end of last season and has managed only 45 minutes of football at the World Cup, adding to Marcelo Bielsa’s problems. If he is fit, he may well be deemed worthy of the gamble.

                                                  Probable Starting XI: Bravo; Jara, Ponce, Medel; Vidal, Carmona, Isla; Fernandez; Sanchez, Suazo, Beausejour

                                                  PLAYERS TO WATCH

                                                  Brazil

                                                  Lucio has been one of Brazil’s star players thus far, perhaps saying something about the set-up of the Selecao that a centre-back has shone quite so brightly for them of late. Nevertheless, the Inter man has been a rock, though Chile bring a completely new style of attacking football to the table. It will be interesting to see how Dunga’s side cope.

                                                  Chile

                                                  Alexis Sanchez has caught the eye in every match the Chileans have played to date in the tournament, displaying just why so many top European teams are after him. With the defence depleted, Chile may well feel that their best hope to win this game is to attack effectively, and the Udinese ace will provide them with plenty of trickery in the advanced areas.

                                                  PREDICTION

                                                  The Castrol World Cup Match Predictor gives Brazil a 78 per cent chance of winning this tie, but that would seem to weigh a little too heavily on the Selecao as Chile have shown themselves to be capable of meeting the best head on. While this is by no means a coin flip as to who progresses, la Roja are certainly capable of worrying their grander neighbours. Chile looked a little nervous against Spain at times, and they will have to get over that stage fright if they are to seriously challenge in this match. This, combined with their selection problems, could mean a difficult evening for la Roja.

                                                  Comment
                                                  • Gokhan
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 03-14-10
                                                    • 343

                                                    #60
                                                    over sounds good to me
                                                    Comment
                                                    • aceking
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 09-07-05
                                                      • 4782

                                                      #61
                                                      Brazil 1-0 or 2-0 .
                                                      Comment
                                                      • simonsolent
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 09-03-09
                                                        • 132

                                                        #62
                                                        10 or more corner kicks @ +110
                                                        Comment
                                                        • suicidekings
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 03-23-09
                                                          • 9962

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                          You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run. If knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling why do I cash out every year betting a sport I have followed for my whole life? I never lose in NBA in the long run. It will never happen because I know too much about the game.
                                                          I would say that a bettor that dabbles in one sport without much knowledge can profit if they have had success in other sports / in sports betting in general. In the WC, there are only 64 games and a good number of them can be bet with minimal research (How much do you need to know to take Argentina at -190 on the ML against a much weaker opponent?). The event isn't long enough that you need to be concerned with the finer points of the sport (assuming you're sticking to the basics - spread/ML/total). However success in the WC will not translate into success in the Premiership/Serie A/etc, and the same would be true for any season-long sport. But this is a short term case, so I think the argument for specific sport knowledge carries less weight. At least in the first two rounds where the matchups are largely one-sided.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jayc88
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 12-30-07
                                                            • 6785

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                            You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run. If knowledge of the game is worthless when it comes to gambling why do I cash out every year betting a sport I have followed for my whole life? I never lose in NBA in the long run. It will never happen because I know too much about the game.

                                                            i know nothing about baseball but i'm currently up around 20 units for the season after 1000 picks
                                                            Comment
                                                            • bayron
                                                              SBR Rookie
                                                              • 03-02-10
                                                              • 30

                                                              #65
                                                              Brazil to win
                                                              Brazil -1
                                                              Exact score 2-0
                                                              Comment
                                                              • BiffTFinancial
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-09
                                                                • 22670

                                                                #66
                                                                i love live betting. was pounding the over up to +180 right before the first goal.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • starfire
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-24-10
                                                                  • 17045

                                                                  #67
                                                                  1 more for the Over
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • u21c3f6
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 01-17-09
                                                                    • 790

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by Goat Milk
                                                                    You will both lose in the long run with this mentality. Betting a sport you know nothing about will only get you so far. You will ALWAYS lose in the long run.
                                                                    Incorrect.

                                                                    My quote was that knowledge of the game was overrated. I know many players that know the game inside and out and can quote you any kind of statistics that you may want and yet they are not profitable players. I know very little about the players and/or any specific statistics but I know markets and it is that knowledge that I use to make profitable wagers.

                                                                    I am sure that there are many that can use their knowledge of the game to make profitable wagers but I will also suggest that there are many more players that have an equal or greater knowledge of the game and yet are not profitable players. This is my point. Knowledge of the game does not necessarily make you a profitable player and knowledge of the game is not necessarily required to be profitable.

                                                                    You mention that your knowledge of the NBA makes you profitable. I do not dispute that and congratulations. I am sure that your knowledge of the NBA is far superior to mine but I am also profitable in my NBA wagering, I just go about it differently than you do. In fact, I was also very profitable over this last Hockey tourny and I don't even know the rules of Hockey and I don't know a single player.

                                                                    There is more than one way ...

                                                                    Joe.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Cheme82
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-03-08
                                                                      • 7823

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Over looking great, I need the 3rd. goal to be by Brazil since I have them -0.5 and -1 as well. The over 2.5 is almost a sure thing since it's do or die for Chile, just hoping they get caught in a counter-attack.

                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiffTFinancial
                                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                                        • 01-29-09
                                                                        • 22670

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by cheme82
                                                                        Over looking great, I need the 3rd. goal to be by Brazil since I have them -0.5 and -1 as well. The over 2.5 is almost a sure thing since it's do or die for Chile, just hoping they get caught in a counter-attack.

                                                                        me and you both, pal. i'm on Brazil -1 as well, but live bet the over enough so that i'm now heavier on that than the spread. Chile should definitely play wide open in the 2H, only concern is that Brazil's defense is strong. that said, it's difficult to imagine them playing negatively.
                                                                        Comment
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