Stifler WC Thread

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  • Stifler
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-09
    • 3511

    #1
    Stifler WC Thread
    We finally reached the point where i am starting to post my picks. Thank good the world cup starts tomorrow.
    I will keep a record within this thread, seeing how much i can win during this month. I will post my first picks tomorrow.
    Lets hope it will be a profitable world cup for everyone.

    short note: I will post the european odds.

    record: 0-0-0
    Units: 0

    lets ride...
  • Stifler
    SBR MVP
    • 11-11-09
    • 3511

    #2
    k there we go:

    1. Uruguay - France
    Most ball Possession % - Pick: France -3 % 1,95 (2u)

    2. South Africa - Mexico
    Pick: Mexico DNB 1,82 (1u)
    Comment
    • architects
      SBR Rookie
      • 05-27-10
      • 34

      #3
      Originally posted by Stifler
      1. Uruguay - France
      Most ball Possession % - Pick: France -3 % 1,95 (2u)

      not bad.
      i will tail you
      Comment
      • Stifler
        SBR MVP
        • 11-11-09
        • 3511

        #4
        Originally posted by Stifler
        k there we go:

        1. Uruguay - France
        Most ball Possession % - Pick: France -3 % 1,95 (2u)

        2. South Africa - Mexico
        Pick: Mexico DNB 1,82 (1u)
        record: 1-0-1
        units: +1,9u


        early game tomorrow: South Korea - Greece

        Picks:
        1. Draw after 90 min 3,10 (1u)
        2. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
        3. Under 2,5 1,52 (2u)

        i will have a look @ the other 2 games tomorrow.
        Comment
        • Stifler
          SBR MVP
          • 11-11-09
          • 3511

          #5
          adding...

          England - USA
          Pick: England 1,50 (4u)


          no play on argentina - nigeria.
          Comment
          • Stifler
            SBR MVP
            • 11-11-09
            • 3511

            #6
            Originally posted by Stifler

            early game tomorrow: South Korea - Greece

            Picks:
            1. Draw after 90 min 3,10 (1u)
            2. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
            3. Under 2,5 1,52 (2u)

            adding...

            England - USA
            Pick: England 1,50 (4u)
            u gotta love english goalies...

            record: 3-2-1
            units: -0,36u
            Comment
            • Stifler
              SBR MVP
              • 11-11-09
              • 3511

              #7
              plays for tomorrow:

              Serbia - Ghana
              1. Serbia 2,15 (1u)
              2. Ball possession Serbia +1% 1,85 (2u)

              Germany - Australia
              1. Germany 1,50 (6u)
              2. Germany -1,5 2,30 (2u)

              no play on algeria - slovenia.
              Comment
              • phenomenon
                SBR MVP
                • 03-11-10
                • 3227

                #8
                goodluck ON UR PLAYS
                Comment
                • Stifler
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-11-09
                  • 3511

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Stifler

                  Serbia - Ghana
                  1. Serbia 2,15 (1u)
                  2. Ball possession Serbia +1% 1,85 (2u)

                  Germany - Australia
                  1. Germany 1,50 (6u)
                  2. Germany -1,5 2,30 (2u)
                  3-1 today, germany played like i expected. Young team with spirit and nice offensive players. Khedira is a nice replacement for ballack. Hope they will get far in this cup (not only because im german, because i do like how they are playing)

                  record: 6-3-1
                  units: +5,64u
                  Comment
                  • Stifler
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-11-09
                    • 3511

                    #10
                    monday games:

                    Netherlands - Denmark
                    1. Netherlands 1,50 (6u)
                    2. Netherlands -1,5 2,35 (1u)
                    3. Netherlands HT 2,00 (1u)
                    4. Netherlands HT/FT 2,15 (1u)
                    5. van Bommel will receive a card 3,20 (0,5u)

                    Japan - Cameroon
                    1. Ball Possession Japan +4% (1u)

                    Italy - Paraguay
                    1. HT Draw 2,00 (0,5u)

                    netherlands+robben would been a monster play, so its "only" 6u.
                    Comment
                    • architects
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 05-27-10
                      • 34

                      #11
                      netherlands will win this one easily!
                      Comment
                      • MauriceDuval
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 05-06-10
                        • 194

                        #12
                        I love your plays for today !

                        BOL pal !
                        Comment
                        • Stifler
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-11-09
                          • 3511

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Stifler

                          Netherlands - Denmark
                          1. Netherlands 1,50 (6u)
                          2. Netherlands -1,5 2,35 (1u)
                          3. Netherlands HT 2,00 (1u)
                          4. Netherlands HT/FT 2,15 (1u)
                          5. van Bommel will receive a card 3,20 (0,5u)

                          Japan - Cameroon
                          1. Ball Possession Japan +4% (1u)

                          Italy - Paraguay
                          1. HT Draw 2,00 (0,5u)
                          2-5 today, but still adding +0,35 units. Im a little bit disappointed in netherlands, but denmark wasnt that bad as i expected. Ball possesion Japan was also a close one (like 45,5 %). Paraguay scored right before half time, coming from nowhere, but i will always take it when italians lose this one

                          record: 8-8-1
                          units: +5,99u

                          plays for tomorrow will be up this evening.
                          Comment
                          • Stifler
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-11-09
                            • 3511

                            #14
                            tuesday games:

                            Ivory Coast - Portugal
                            1. Ball possession Ivory Coast +7% 1,75 (4u)

                            Brazil - North Korea
                            1. Ball possession North Korea +20% 1,95 (6u)


                            Feeling pretty confident with both bets. Leaning slovakia aswell, but odds are too low to risk any money on that game.
                            Comment
                            • Stifler
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-11-09
                              • 3511

                              #15
                              adding...

                              New Zealand - Slovakia
                              1. Slovakia 1,50 (3u)

                              and with drogba in this bet too

                              Ivory Coast - Portugal
                              2. Over 2,5 2,40 (1u)

                              just for the action.
                              Comment
                              • phenomenon
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-11-10
                                • 3227

                                #16
                                gl to u brother
                                Comment
                                • Stifler
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-11-09
                                  • 3511

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by Stifler

                                  Ivory Coast - Portugal
                                  1. Ball possession Ivory Coast +7% 1,75 (4u)
                                  2. Over 2,5 2,40 (1u)

                                  Brazil - North Korea
                                  1. Ball possession North Korea +20% 1,95 (6u)

                                  New Zealand - Slovakia
                                  1. Slovakia 1,50 (3u)
                                  I will update my record later, cause there´s something strange going on with ball possession North korea. My bookie called it as a loser, but every statistic and live tv statistic said that Brazil had a ball possession of around 66%. I looked for other statistics and there was not a single one saying that brazil had 70%+ possession. I already emailed my bookie to solve the problem.
                                  thats the problem with betting on possession, there is no clear decision, but as every statistic proofed im right im going to discuss this.


                                  I already booked for tomorrow

                                  Spain - Switzerland
                                  1. Ball possession Swiss +18% 1,85 (15u)

                                  I booked this early, as i noticed i lose the north korea bet im like - OK CANCEL! But already locked in, as im very confident in this one. Im looking @ the other plays now, but will stay away from ball possession bets until the case is solved.
                                  Comment
                                  • Stifler
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-11-09
                                    • 3511

                                    #18
                                    Honduras - Chile
                                    1. Under 2,5 1,65 (2u)

                                    South Africa - Uruguay
                                    1. Uruguay ml 2,45 (1u)
                                    2. Most shots on goal Uruguay-1,5 1,85 (2u)

                                    and as already posted

                                    Spain - Switzerland
                                    1. Ball possession Swiss +18% 1,85 (15u)
                                    Comment
                                    • Stifler
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-11-09
                                      • 3511

                                      #19
                                      LOL i totally misunderstood the ball possession betting. The bookie count the differnce of ball possession between both teams. So Brazil 63% to North Korea 37% is a loser. I always thought u have the 50% ball possession and the handicap goes on that line. I guessed that wrong, which means, North Korea and Switzerland (big play) ball possession are both losers. Im down a bit (like 15-20 units after that, update this evening). But knowing the ball possession rule will make me some big units later in this cup.
                                      Comment
                                      • Stifler
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-11-09
                                        • 3511

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Stifler
                                        Honduras - Chile
                                        1. Under 2,5 1,65 (2u)

                                        South Africa - Uruguay
                                        1. Uruguay ml 2,45 (1u)
                                        2. Most shots on goal Uruguay-1,5 1,85 (2u)

                                        and as already posted

                                        Spain - Switzerland
                                        1. Ball possession Swiss +18% 1,85 (15u)
                                        record: 12-12-1
                                        units: -11,56 u

                                        My predicition on both big plays on ball possession were right, just didnt know the differnce between both teams counts as handicap (for me it was the handicap on 50%). Oh well, we be up after the WC anyway. Plays for tomorrow up in a few hours.
                                        Comment
                                        • blanc0
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 03-29-09
                                          • 256

                                          #21
                                          getting more green lines but the red ones r really dark ones..

                                          hope yr luck turns around m8
                                          Comment
                                          • Stifler
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-11-09
                                            • 3511

                                            #22
                                            Argentina- South Korea
                                            1. Ball possession Argentina -10% 1,85 (1u)

                                            Greece - Nigeria
                                            1. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
                                            2. Shots on goal Greece +2,5 1,85 (2u)
                                            3. Over 2,5 2,75 (1u)

                                            France - Mexico
                                            1. Ball possession France 2,05 (3u)
                                            2. Over 1,5 1,55 (2u)
                                            Comment
                                            • Stifler
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-11-09
                                              • 3511

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Stifler
                                              Argentina- South Korea
                                              1. Ball possession Argentina -10% 1,85 (1u)

                                              Greece - Nigeria
                                              1. Ball possession Greece +6% 1,85 (2u)
                                              2. Shots on goal Greece +2,5 1,85 (2u)
                                              3. Over 2,5 2,75 (1u)

                                              France - Mexico
                                              1. Ball possession France 2,05 (3u)
                                              2. Over 1,5 1,55 (2u)
                                              today 6-0.

                                              record: 18-12-1
                                              units: -1,31 u

                                              Plays for tomorrow soon.
                                              Comment
                                              • Stifler
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-11-09
                                                • 3511

                                                #24
                                                there is nothing i like very much, but some small plays.

                                                Germany - Serbia
                                                1. Germany ml 1,65 (2u)
                                                2. Germany -1,5 2,70 (0,5u)

                                                Slovenia - USA
                                                1. Shots on goal USA -1 1,85 (1u)
                                                2. HT(Draw)/FT(USA) 4,70 (0,5u)

                                                England - Algeria
                                                1. Over 2,5 (1u)
                                                2. Most Offsides England 1,60 (2u)
                                                Comment
                                                • Stifler
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                  • 3511

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Stifler

                                                  Germany - Serbia
                                                  1. Germany ml 1,65 (2u)
                                                  2. Germany -1,5 2,70 (0,5u)

                                                  Slovenia - USA
                                                  1. Shots on goal USA -1 1,85 (1u)
                                                  2. HT(Draw)/FT(USA) 4,70 (0,5u)

                                                  England - Algeria
                                                  1. Over 2,5 (1u)
                                                  2. Most Offsides England 1,60 (2u)
                                                  1-5 today, -5,15u

                                                  overall

                                                  record: 19-17-1
                                                  units: -6,46 u
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stifler
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                    • 3511

                                                    #26
                                                    again only small plays

                                                    Netherlands - Japan
                                                    1. Handicap NL-1 to draw the game 3,40 (1u) - I expect NL to win this game with a 1 goal lead
                                                    2. Ball possession Japan +14% 1,85 (1u)

                                                    Ghana - Australia
                                                    1. Australia ml 4,00 (1u)
                                                    2. Ball possession Australia +6% 1,85 (1u)

                                                    no play on denmark - cameroon.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stifler
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-11-09
                                                      • 3511

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by Stifler

                                                      Netherlands - Japan
                                                      1. Handicap NL-1 to draw the game 3,40 (1u) - I expect NL to win this game with a 1 goal lead
                                                      2. Ball possession Japan +14% 1,85 (1u)

                                                      Ghana - Australia
                                                      1. Australia ml 4,00 (1u)
                                                      2. Ball possession Australia +6% 1,85 (1u)
                                                      2-2 yesterday, +1,25u

                                                      record: 21-19-1
                                                      units: -5,21 u
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stifler
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-11-09
                                                        • 3511

                                                        #28
                                                        sunday games:

                                                        Slovakia -Paraguay
                                                        1. Paraguay ml 2,15 (1u)
                                                        2. Shots on goal Paraguay -1 1,85 (2u)

                                                        Italy - New Zealand
                                                        1. Ball possession Italy -10% 1,72 (5u)

                                                        Brazil - Ivory Coast
                                                        1. Brazil ml 1,75 (2u)
                                                        2. Over 2,5 2,15 (1u)
                                                        3. Shots on goal Ivory Coast +4,5 1,50 (2u)
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stifler
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-11-09
                                                          • 3511

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Stifler
                                                          sunday games:

                                                          Slovakia -Paraguay
                                                          1. Paraguay ml 2,15 (1u)
                                                          2. Shots on goal Paraguay -1 1,85 (2u)

                                                          Italy - New Zealand
                                                          1. Ball possession Italy -10% 1,72 (5u)

                                                          Brazil - Ivory Coast
                                                          1. Brazil ml 1,75 (2u)
                                                          2. Over 2,5 2,15 (1u)
                                                          3. Shots on goal Ivory Coast +4,5 1,50 (2u)
                                                          6-0 today, +10,25u

                                                          record: 27-19-1
                                                          units: +5,04 u
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stifler
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 11-11-09
                                                            • 3511

                                                            #30
                                                            monday:

                                                            Portugal - North Korea
                                                            1. Under 2,5 1,70 (2u)

                                                            Chile - Switzerland
                                                            1. Ball possession Swiss +8% 1,85 (2u)
                                                            2. Shots on goal Chile -1 1,85 (1u)

                                                            Spain - Honduras
                                                            1. Spain -2,5 2,40 (1u)
                                                            2. Ball possession Spain -22% 1,72 (5u)
                                                            Comment
                                                            • down_but_not_out
                                                              SBR High Roller
                                                              • 03-27-10
                                                              • 127

                                                              #31
                                                              hey, where do you bet ball possession and shots on goal at?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stifler
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-11-09
                                                                • 3511

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by down_but_not_out
                                                                hey, where do you bet ball possession and shots on goal at?
                                                                expekt offers such bets.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stifler
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-11-09
                                                                  • 3511

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Stifler
                                                                  monday:

                                                                  Portugal - North Korea
                                                                  1. Under 2,5 1,70 (2u)

                                                                  Chile - Switzerland
                                                                  1. Ball possession Swiss +8% 1,85 (2u)
                                                                  2. Shots on goal Chile -1 1,85 (1u)

                                                                  Spain - Honduras
                                                                  1. Spain -2,5 2,40 (1u)
                                                                  2. Ball possession Spain -22% 1,72 (5u)
                                                                  1-4 today, -9,15 units

                                                                  record: 28-23-1
                                                                  units: -4,11 u
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Stifler
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-11-09
                                                                    • 3511

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Mexiko - uruguay
                                                                    1. Ball possession Uruguay +6% 1,85 (1u)

                                                                    Greece - Argentina
                                                                    1. Argentina ml 1,63 (3u)

                                                                    ...maybe more tomorrow, thats it for now
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stifler
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-11-09
                                                                      • 3511

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Stifler
                                                                      Mexiko - uruguay
                                                                      1. Ball possession Uruguay +6% 1,85 (1u)

                                                                      Greece - Argentina
                                                                      1. Argentina ml 1,63 (3u)

                                                                      ...maybe more tomorrow, thats it for now
                                                                      adding...

                                                                      Mexiko - uruguay
                                                                      2. Over 2,5 3,20 (1u) - just like the odds here, as i cant see them playing slow to hold 0-0
                                                                      3. Offsides Under 4,5 1,85 (2u)
                                                                      4. Shots on goal Uruguay +1 1,85 (2u)

                                                                      Greece - Argentina
                                                                      2. Shots on goal Greece +5 1,75 (2u)

                                                                      France - South Africa
                                                                      1. Under 2,5 1,75 (2u)
                                                                      Comment
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