The host country has advanced out of their group..

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  • beefcake
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-26-09
    • 14029

    #1
    The host country has advanced out of their group..
    IN EVERY SINGLE world cup...

    So isnt this the easiest bet to make in the whole tourney...South Africa to advance?

    +187...Seems hard to argue a price at +money when you have almost 80 years of history to back you up...

    +685 Top african team..Worth a punt,hedge opps later opposing other african teams..

    +610 Group winner...Alot of times,those teams that advanced from host countries,won the dam group..
  • Slainte
    SBR MVP
    • 12-13-09
    • 2442

    #2
    Blater will do the job
    Comment
    • furjiko
      SBR Hustler
      • 06-06-10
      • 72

      #3
      yes

      south africa past the first round with help of the referies fifa needs south africa at least in the next round
      Comment
      • knightof7
        SBR Sharp
        • 01-14-10
        • 396

        #4
        I dont wanna see any blatant help from the refs...
        Comment
        • JOHON8
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 01-28-10
          • 7712

          #5
          hmmm... let's see who the hosts have been the last 80 years that they've qualified:
          Italy, Brazil, France, Germany, Mexico, England, Spain, France, Korea/Japan (shady politics involved), etc...

          You have a point but most of them have been countries who won the WC already.

          It's probably the toughest group, even though everyone calls Brazil's group the group of death. I have Mexico winning this group, so South Africa has to probably upset France who failed to go past the Group in 2002. Honestly I think it has to be a huge upset/political conspiracy for SA to make it.

          If 80 years f history had to end somewhere, it would probably be the perfect time. GL
          Comment
          • Smogs
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-08
            • 4173

            #6
            Originally posted by knightof7
            I dont wanna see any blatant help from the refs...
            You won't, and Johon is right by saying SA is the worst team in that group, and have no real quality on the world level.
            Comment
            • subs
              SBR MVP
              • 04-30-10
              • 1412

              #7
              unless they get lots of penalties
              Comment
              • lukahh
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 04-08-10
                • 941

                #8
                Originally posted by beefcake
                IN EVERY SINGLE world cup...

                So isnt this the easiest bet to make in the whole tourney...South Africa to advance?

                +187...Seems hard to argue a price at +money when you have almost 80 years of history to back you up...

                +685 Top african team..Worth a punt,hedge opps later opposing other african teams..

                +610 Group winner...Alot of times,those teams that advanced from host countries,won the dam group..
                i think this is very solid reasoning. i will consider these seriously - not whether to make bets or not, but rather how much $ to risk.
                Comment
                • swiss88
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 02-07-10
                  • 906

                  #9
                  Nice odds on this bet, but I would be stunned if South Africa advance from this really though group. But good luck if you decide to play it, I personally think Mexico and Uruguay are the two best teams in the group.
                  Comment
                  • JustinBieber
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 05-16-10
                    • 324

                    #10
                    Pretty stupid just to assume that because host nations have advanced every year that SA will this year. They are all independent events. Also the world cup has only been structured like it is now for the past 4 I think, it was a different structure before this.
                    In addition to this world cup hosts have generally been very good footballing countries, with the exception of SK and Japan.

                    I think it's actually pretty moronic to bet on SA advancing because of the said reasons, you've found a trend which means relatively nothing. If this was actually a relevent trend then the book would list them as a favourite to progress rather than a dog.
                    Comment
                    • cro
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-16-09
                      • 1088

                      #11
                      Originally posted by JOHON8
                      hmmm... let's see who the hosts have been the last 80 years that they've qualified:
                      Italy, Brazil, France, Germany, Mexico, England, Spain, France, Korea/Japan (shady politics involved), etc...

                      You have a point but most of them have been countries who won the WC already.

                      It's probably the toughest group, even though everyone calls Brazil's group the group of death. I have Mexico winning this group, so South Africa has to probably upset France who failed to go past the Group in 2002. Honestly I think it has to be a huge upset/political conspiracy for SA to make it.

                      If 80 years f history had to end somewhere, it would probably be the perfect time. GL

                      If mexico wins their group i will send you 50 points
                      if they dont you send me 1
                      Comment
                      • fedtpels
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 01-08-10
                        • 407

                        #12
                        not playing it because of history. like johon said the countries that usually host are very good. i don't think they'll make it through. good luck though.
                        Comment
                        • cro
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-16-09
                          • 1088

                          #13
                          this group is too tough
                          Comment
                          • TheAntidote
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 08-30-09
                            • 869

                            #14
                            If you think that trend actually means anything, you're the books' best friend. SA are the worst team in the group.
                            Comment
                            • Raven66
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 09-21-09
                              • 824

                              #15
                              Sorry guys. South Africa ain't advancing to the next round. Cuz Africans don't have any money to pay for tickets to watch the games.
                              Comment
                              • Sforz
                                SBR MVP
                                • 08-07-08
                                • 2221

                                #16
                                RSA will make history for the wrong reason, knocked out by Mexico and France
                                Comment
                                • lakerboy
                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                  • 04-02-09
                                  • 94379

                                  #17
                                  Hope they dont go thru. The next round will be better off for it.
                                  Comment
                                  • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 12-17-09
                                    • 11939

                                    #18
                                    A lot of people i've been talking to about the WC I guess you could say are "overrating" RSA and this thread is a perfect example. South Africa has NO CHANCE of making out of this group without help from the higher ranking society. I can got France winning Group A even with a poor performance to even qualify. The Mexico/Uruguay match on June 22nd will be the most important match in this Group and I believe its going to be the battle of second place. Please don't put your money on South Africa getting to the Round of 16, +187 odds are terrible odds they should be atleast +300 and beyond that.
                                    Comment
                                    • DolphinSpurs
                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                      • 12-07-09
                                      • 576

                                      #19
                                      South Africa will not advance.
                                      Comment
                                      • Kemalettin
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-20-10
                                        • 1351

                                        #20
                                        i dont like RSA
                                        Comment
                                        • Jimmy0607
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 04-09-09
                                          • 7785

                                          #21
                                          Streak always come to an end
                                          Comment
                                          • JOHON8
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 01-28-10
                                            • 7712

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by cro
                                            If mexico wins their group i will send you 50 points
                                            if they dont you send me 1
                                            Deal.
                                            Comment
                                            • camel
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-26-09
                                              • 1711

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Raven66
                                              Sorry guys. South Africa ain't advancing to the next round. Cuz Africans don't have any money to pay for tickets to watch the games.
                                              One of the most dumbest things i've read around here.

                                              On the topic though, this is the WC where that trend won't continue.
                                              Comment
                                              • THEGREAT30
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 10-04-08
                                                • 8970

                                                #24
                                                good luck host biatches
                                                Comment
                                                • lukahh
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 04-08-10
                                                  • 941

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by Jimmy0607
                                                  Streak always come to an end
                                                  oh, it sure does.
                                                  but it is possible streak will continue, and the return on investment is very good - and it's so good thanks to (sorry to say, and not meant particulary for anyone posting in this thread) bigots who think afros are incapable.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • lukahh
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 04-08-10
                                                    • 941

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by beefcake
                                                    IN EVERY SINGLE world cup...

                                                    So isnt this the easiest bet to make in the whole tourney...South Africa to advance?

                                                    +685 Top african team..Worth a punt,hedge opps later opposing other african teams..

                                                    ..
                                                    where is this available? i checked pinny, but didnt find it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Powderguy
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 09-18-09
                                                      • 6939

                                                      #27
                                                      They will finish last in their group
                                                      Comment
                                                      • blackf1re
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 01-31-10
                                                        • 487

                                                        #28
                                                        Mexico and Uruguay to advance.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Squirrel
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 06-11-09
                                                          • 1316

                                                          #29
                                                          South Africa are a joke team, they aint getting anywhere near the 2nd stage IMO - They might get a draw against Mexico in the opener, just because of the occasion of the first game of the tournament, but they will get pounded by France and Uruguay without scoring a goal.
                                                          Comment
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