World Cup Week 1 (6/11 – 6/16)

[pavyracer]

World Cup Week 1 (6/11 – 6/16)

I’m listing the plays I like for the first week early. I’m tracking these plays for line comparisons on game day. These are not final plays.

6/11 Mexico pk -109
6/11 France -0.5 -107

6/12 Argentina -1 -122
6/12 Greece +144
6/12 England -1 -132

6/13 Slovenia +143
6/13 Germany -1 +101
6/13 Serbia +121

6/14 Netherlands -1 +115
6/14 Cameroon +107
6/14 Italy -109

6/15 Slovakia -1.5 +110
6/15 Portugal Draw +237
6/15 Brazil -2.5 -101

6/16 Chile -1 +122
6/16 Spain -1.5 -105

[alukk]

Seems good on paper its just that i dont like taking draws until the last games of the round. I really havent look the games, only the mexican one, i think they will win pretty easy, Southafrican team shouldnt be in the WC. Good luck man

[hedgejob]

GER -1

[JOHON8]

Solid plays lets see how it changes.

[Club]

Looks like a bunch of winners to me.

[pavyracer]

Bumping this for people to check line movements. Lines were from Pinnacle.

[Goat Milk]

Solid.

I like France Uruguay to end in a draw. Germany -1 is not a good bet. Do not ever lay any chalk either with Germany against anyone in the group stage or after that. Trust me.

[mihaita666]

pavy, god bless you for this "weeks" idea. It's much better than having 3 threads on every game, plus a "in-play thread". I will focus most of my insights in these threads (cuz I guess you will do it weekly) and in mine, of course.

[JustinBieber]

Wtf is this greece +144? They're -116 at PK, isnt this a better bet to take?

[pavyracer]

Guys these odds were offered on 5/25 when I made this thread. As you can see today is 6/5. The purpose of this thread was to track line movements. THESE ARE NOT FINAL PLAYS!!!

[Jimmy0607]

First day is not gonna be good pavy

[JOHON8]

First day is not gonna be good pavy

almost every game should go under 2.5, and favorites like England and Argentina might only sneak a 1 goal margin win.

Most of the value lies in Slovenia, Chile and Mexico winning IMO.

[mav924]

Looks like good plays. I am liking the Serbia pick

[pavyracer]

6/11 Mexico pk -109 PLAY (line at -119 currently)
6/11 France -0.5 -107 NO PLAY

[alukk]

I like the play pavy

[wrongturn]

Go Mexico!

[lakerboy]

GL Pavy

[pavyracer]

6/12 Argentina -1 -122 PLAY (line is -145 now)
6/12 Greece +144 NO PLAY
6/12 England -1 -132 NO PLAY

[oxellos]

6/12 Korea PK 2.00

[pavyracer]

6/13 Slovenia +143
6/13 Germany -1 +101
6/13 Serbia +121

ALL PLAYS FOR TOMORROW

[pavyracer]

6/14 Netherlands -1 +115 PLAY (line is +100 now)
6/14 Cameroon +107 PLAY (line is +114 now)
6/14 Italy -109NO PLAY

[pavyracer]

6/14 Netherlands -1 +115 PLAY (line is +100 now)
6/14 Cameroon +107 PLAY (line is +114 now)
6/14 Italy -109NO PLAY

Adding a play:

Paraguay pk +175

[pavyracer]

6/15 Slovakia -1.5 +110 PLAY (Take -1 -118 now)
6/15 Portugal Draw +237 PLAY (Take +216 now)
6/15 Brazil -2.5 -101 PLAY (Take -2 -138 now)

[phenomenon]

goodluck pal

[pavyracer]

6/16 Chile -1 +122 PLAY (+126 now)
6/16 Spain -1.5 -105 PLAY (+110 now)

[pavyracer]

Week 1: 4-5-4 +0.95 units