FIFA World Cup 2022 Preview & Picks

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  • JayLA
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 09-11-12
    • 7806

    #176
    2 shots lew, need one on target
    Comment
    • JayLA
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-11-12
      • 7806

      #177
      Are PKs considered shots on goal? I'm thinking yes
      Comment
      • JayLA
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 09-11-12
        • 7806

        #178
        Cash all three bets. Nice
        Comment
        • DiamondJack
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-14
          • 3935

          #179
          England v Senegal


          56. England -1 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365

          57. Total goals under 2.5 @ 1.82/-122 (1u) Marathon


          Once again the strategy is to take the better team. In the knock out rounds the cream rises to the top and we rarely see upsets. Senegal already without Sadio Mane will be without Idrissa Gueye who is suspended from yellow cards. Add to that Kouyate was stretchered off the last game so he won't be 100%. England are just too deep they take it 2-0.

          LEAN
          Kane anytime goal scorer @ 2.40/+140 Unibet
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 3935

            #180
            Croatia v Japan


            58. Japan +0.5 @ 1.85/-117 (1u) Bet365

            59. HT Result Draw @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Pinnacle


            I'm not buying what this Croatian team is selling. They made it out in second in the second most easiest group. They were shut out in 2 of their group stage games. They will have more of the possession in this game and Japan will play the quick counter attack game that sunk the Germany & Spain. The Croats are no doubt technically gifted especially in midfield but I think this match might be going the distance into extra time and possibly penalty kicks. The last time these sides met was at the 2006 world cup where the final score was 0-0. I expect the same this time around.

            LEAN
            FT Result DRAW @ 3.40/+240 Marathon
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 3935

              #181
              Brazil v Korea



              60. 1st half Total Goals Under 1 @ 2.17/+117

              There is no value in backing Brazil at the current prices. If fact I think there might be a tad of value on Korea to keep it close. I don't know what difference having Neymar back will make but they will definitely miss Gabriel Jesus. I think its the same old script here for the underdogs try to park the bus and get lucky on the counter or from a set piece. I'm hoping the Koreans can stick around and frustrate Brazil until at least halftime.

              LEAN
              Korea +1.5 @ 2.15/+115 Marathon
              Comment
              • k13
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 07-16-10
                • 18070

                #182
                Originally posted by JayLA
                Late money coming in on over 2.5
                Lewandowski over .50 shots on target and over 1.5 shots now -140ish
                Did they count the penalty as a shot?
                Really lucky especially since he missed the first kick lol

                Team is so bad. No room for anything.
                Comment
                • k13
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 07-16-10
                  • 18070

                  #183
                  Korea does not belong.
                  It should have been Uruguay.
                  Portugal gave Brazil a gift.
                  Comment
                  • Thefix13
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 05-14-21
                    • 664

                    #184
                    Originally posted by k13
                    Korea does not belong.
                    It should have been Uruguay.
                    Portugal gave Brazil a gift.
                    It's christmas time, a lot of gifts were given by teams that had nothing to play for. Spain tanked so they could play Cameron instead of Croatia. These teams have no pride anymore during group stages.
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 3935

                      #185
                      Spain v Morocco


                      61. 1st half Correct Score 0-0 @ 2.74/+174 (1u) Marathon
                      62. Morocco +1 @ 1.89/-112 (2u) Unibet

                      Morocco have managed clean sheets in 6 of its past 7 games only allowing an own goal versus Canada in that time span. I think they will manage to frustrate Spain and give them a very close game. At the last world cup in 2018 these sides played to a 2-2 draw. I think that a goalless draw could be in the cards at least to start the game and spotting me a goal for a full time result is value in my book.

                      LEAN
                      Draw HT/FT @ 5.25/+425 Unibet
                      Comment
                      • pabonaparte
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-21-16
                        • 3564

                        #186
                        This is looking good.
                        Comment
                        • pabonaparte
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-21-16
                          • 3564

                          #187
                          Morocco to win after penalties

                          1 unit at 3.55
                          Comment
                          • DiamondJack
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 3935

                            #188
                            Switzerland v Portugal


                            63. Switzerland +0.5 @ 2.05/+105 (1u) Bet365

                            All the value here is with the consistently undervalued Swiss side. These sides have met plenty of time lately. In the last 6 head to head games Portugal win 3 all at home & Switzerland win 3 all at home. On a neutral this line should have been 2.20/+120 in favour of Portugal as their squad does have more quality players. I think eventually Portugal advances but the Swiss give them a game.

                            LEAN
                            Correct Score 1-1 @ 7.00/+600 Bet365
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 3935

                              #189
                              Updated Record heading into the Quarter Finals


                              27-28-8 +172
                              Comment
                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 3935

                                #190
                                Brazil v Croatia

                                64. Brazil -1.5 @ 2.13/+113 (1u) Pinnacle

                                Croatia are the worse side in the quarter finals. Their only win in full time was to Canada and were lucky to get by Japan in the round of 16 in penalties. Outside that Canada game they look slow and lack creativity going forward. The last time these sides met was a 2-0 win for Brazil in 2018 and at the 2014 world cup Brazil wins 3-1. Brazil are not a team designed to get a goal and sit back and defend so I'm backing them to win by 2 or more.

                                LEAN
                                Anytime goal scorer Richarlison @ 2.80/+180 Unibet
                                Comment
                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 3935

                                  #191
                                  Argentina v Netherlands

                                  65. FT Result DRAW @ 3.26/+226 (1u) Pinnacle
                                  66. Total Cards OVER 3.5 @ 1.97/-103 (1u) Bet365

                                  Argentina are yet to hit top gear in the world cup and I think they are lucky to be facing the Dutch in the quarters. The Netherlands have not really played any big sides. Qatar, Senegal, USA & Ecuador are not exactly top quality. However I do like streaks and the Dutch are now on a 19 game unbeaten streak, Argentina had their long streak broken by the Saudis I think these sides will cancel each other out in full time as they did in their 2 last world cup meetings both of which ended 0-0 in 2006 & 2014. I think eventually in extra time Messi drags Argentina into the final 4. I also like the card angle in what should be a nervy game with Spanish referee Mateu Lahoz averaging 4.64 cards per game there is a tad of value on the over 3.5.

                                  LEAN
                                  Total Goals Under 1.5 @ 2.88/+188 Pinnacle
                                  Comment
                                  • JayLA
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 09-11-12
                                    • 7806

                                    #192
                                    I've lost count....6 cards?? Even the arg coach got a card
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 3935

                                      #193
                                      Portugal v Morocco

                                      67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet
                                      68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365

                                      Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around.

                                      LEAN
                                      NONE
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 3935

                                        #194
                                        Originally posted by JayLA
                                        I've lost count....6 cards?? Even the arg coach got a card
                                        I'm surprised there was not a red card in the match
                                        Comment
                                        • USCPHILLYGUY
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-15-12
                                          • 21744

                                          #195
                                          Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                          I'm surprised there was not a red card in the match
                                          17. Amazing

                                          Great thread btw. Thanks for sharing
                                          Comment
                                          • JayLA
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 09-11-12
                                            • 7806

                                            #196
                                            And 10 minutes added time, gifting a netherlands goal. That refereee sucked
                                            Comment
                                            • USCPHILLYGUY
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 12-15-12
                                              • 21744

                                              #197
                                              Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                              Portugal v Morocco

                                              67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet
                                              68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365

                                              Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around.

                                              LEAN
                                              NONE
                                              Great hit
                                              Comment
                                              • JayLA
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 09-11-12
                                                • 7806

                                                #198
                                                Nice Jack, doesn't a red card count as 2 cards in that betting market?
                                                Comment
                                                • DiamondJack
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                  • 3935

                                                  #199
                                                  England v France

                                                  69. HT Result DRAW @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Unibet
                                                  70. FT Result DRAW @ 3.18/+218 (1u) Marathon

                                                  There is not too much to separate these sides when it comes to quality. Even the last 3 head to head results ended with each team winning one and one ending level. Both teams are chasing history England for their second ever win & France for a title defense both of which have not been done since the 60's. I'm expecting a nervy game but there is too much quality on each team not to see goals. I'm thinking final result 1-1 with the game going to extra time. This should be a great game for in play betting depending on the flow and circumstance.

                                                  LEAN
                                                  BTTS Yes @ 1.97/-103
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 3935

                                                    #200
                                                    Originally posted by JayLA
                                                    Nice Jack, doesn't a red card count as 2 cards in that betting market?
                                                    Yes a red =2 cards
                                                    Comment
                                                    • korki
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 09-23-12
                                                      • 171

                                                      #201
                                                      DJ your posts are real tíme odds?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DiamondJack
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 11-13-14
                                                        • 3935

                                                        #202
                                                        Originally posted by korki
                                                        DJ your posts are real tíme odds?
                                                        usually after I make my bets I post them here and the book I use
                                                        Comment
                                                        • JayLA
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 09-11-12
                                                          • 7806

                                                          #203
                                                          Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                          Yes a red =2 cards
                                                          I was referring to when the ref immediately pulls out a red card, like with a penalty....
                                                          Comment
                                                          • korki
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 09-23-12
                                                            • 171

                                                            #204
                                                            ok... thanks for your answer and for your bets
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 3935

                                                              #205
                                                              Originally posted by JayLA
                                                              I was referring to when the ref immediately pulls out a red card, like with a penalty....
                                                              Yes that also counts 1 red = 2 Yellows for number of cards prop
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 3935

                                                                #206
                                                                Updated Record heading into the Semi Finals

                                                                31-31-8 +603
                                                                Comment
                                                                • svsooner
                                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                                  • 09-19-14
                                                                  • 707

                                                                  #207
                                                                  Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                                  Portugal v Morocco

                                                                  67. Total goals under 1.5 @ 3.05/+205 (1u) Unibet
                                                                  68. Total cards OVER 3.5 @ 2.00/+100 (2u) Bet365

                                                                  Argentina Referee Facundo Tello will be in charge in this match. He averages 5.2 cards per game. This will be a very heated game with the fans 90% backing Morocco they will be in his ear all night. With yellow cards not carrying over to the Semis I expect them to fly especially in the second half if one wants to take them IN PLAY. No one knows how to park the bus like Morocco. 7 of their past 8 games they have managed to keep a clean sheet with only an own goal conceded versus Canada. These sides also met at the last world cup in the group stage when Portugal came out on top 1-0. I expect a similar result this time around.

                                                                  LEAN
                                                                  NONE
                                                                  Thanks D Jack! I tailed your over 3.5 cards and thought we were screwed until that one goof got a red card. Tailed and got paid!!!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 3935

                                                                    #208
                                                                    Croatia v Argentina


                                                                    71. Total Goals Under 2 @ 2.06/+106 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                                    72. FT Result DRAW @ 3.40/+240 (1u) Pinnacle

                                                                    73. Total Cards OVER 4.5 @ 1.92/-108 (1u) Unibet

                                                                    Croatia have been a tough nut to crack as they say. Their game plan seems to be the same take the game to spot kicks where they have been unbelievably lucky not just in this world cup but in 2018. Argentina are rightfully the favourites but I'm not looking to back them at these prices. At the 2018 world cup Argentina was defeated by Croatia in the group stage 3-0 a match which also saw 7 yellow cards. The referee for this match is Daniele Orsato who issued 6 yellows in the opening game Qatar v Ecuador and 5 cards in the match between Argentina and Mexico. During qualification he averaged 4.78 cards per game. I'm expecting a very tight game with Argentina winning in extra time.
                                                                    LEANS
                                                                    Argentina to win in extra time @ 9.50/+850 Bet365
                                                                    Argentina to win in penalties @ 9.50/+850 Bet365
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 3935

                                                                      #209
                                                                      France v Morocco


                                                                      74. France -1.5 @ 2.70/+170 (2u) Unibet

                                                                      75. Mbappe Anytime goal scorer @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Bet365


                                                                      Morocco has done an amazing job for their nation and the program should be applauded. Croatia a much more superior side than Morocco and they went down to my original picks as winners Argentina and just like them the midnight clock will strike again and another Cinderella will go home. I will look for an in play wager for next goal France when France manage to score their first. It might take 5 minutes or 60 but as soon as Mbappe the next best player in the world puts one in, Morocco will have to open up and the second or third one will be inevitable. This one is simple as pie, take the better team.

                                                                      LEAN
                                                                      Correct score France 2-0 @ 6.00/+500 Bet365
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • BiloxiSaintsFan
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 10-25-21
                                                                        • 134

                                                                        #210
                                                                        Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                                        France v Morocco


                                                                        74. France -1.5 @ 2.70/+170 (2u) Unibet

                                                                        75. Mbappe Anytime goal scorer @ 2.25/+125 (1u) Bet365


                                                                        Morocco has done an amazing job for their nation and the program should be applauded. Croatia a much more superior side than Morocco and they went down to my original picks as winners Argentina and just like them the midnight clock will strike again and another Cinderella will go home. I will look for an in play wager for next goal France when France manage to score their first. It might take 5 minutes or 60 but as soon as Mbappe the next best player in the world puts one in, Morocco will have to open up and the second or third one will be inevitable. This one is simple as pie, take the better team.

                                                                        LEAN
                                                                        Correct score France 2-0 @ 6.00/+500 Bet365

                                                                        Are you at all worried that France may be down multiple starters due to illness?
                                                                        Comment
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