2022-2023 EPL, La Liga, Bundesliga, Ligue 1, Primeira Liga & Seria A Picks
Greetings all
The new season is coming up this weekend with 4 of the 6 big leagues kicking off. I have made a few future bets, but I will keep this thread exclusive to only pre kick off match betting and hopefully I can have the same if not better success as last season.
FRI AUG 5 2022 Arsenal ML @ 1.87/-115 (ENG) 1u Pinnacle
Arsenal have spent money this off season bringing in Gabriel Jesus & Zinchenko from Manchester City, at +110 last week but still like it enough to recommend for Friday. Palace will be without two top goal keepers Jack Butland & Sam Johnstone. 3rd string keeper 35 year old Vicente Guaita will start for the Eagles and I think that could be an important edge for Arsenal.
For those who care...My EPL futures that I locked in over the past 2 weeks
Arsenal top 4 +200
Chelsea outside top 4 +100
Finish top Half Leicester -125
To stay up Bournemouth +125
Brentford to be relegated +275
Brighton to finish bottom half -137
Wolfsburg ML @ 1.91/-110 (GER) 1u Pinnacle
The home side will look forward to continuing their great form from pre season. They have won their past 5 games that included a cup tie away to Carl Zeiss. This is obviously a home opener with their new manager Niko Kovac and they will look to impress. The newly promoted visitors still need to make few signings to be competitive in the top flight. Too much value on the home side that have won the last 3 head to head encounters going back to 2020. Any thing better then 1.80/-125 is a play.
Rio Ave ML @ 2.33/+133 (POR) 1u Pinnacle
I always like to back the angle of a newly promoted side playing at home early in the season. There is not much to separate the 2 sides in term of quality but there is in terms of home and away form. Rio Ave's last 10 competitive home games 9W 1D and 4 GA where as Vizela's away record is 2W 2D 6L and 22 GA. The last 2 times Vizela played in Rio ave they lost both. If you want to cover your butt in case of the draw, you can also play draw no bet, aka PK @ -150. I just do not see the home side losing this outright.
Leicester ML @ 2.07/+107 (POR) 2u Pinnacle
This is my play of the weekend. I really like the foxes this season especially without any European competition and Brentford are my pick to be relegated. Brentford lost Eriksen to Manchester United and their team on paper does not scare anyone. The last 4 head to head meetings Leicester wins all 4. The foxes also had a great pre-season winning their past 4 games.
Toulouse/Nice to DRAW @ 3.52/+252 (FRA) 1u Marathon
Once again we have a hope opener for a promoted side Toulouse who will not want to lose this game. Both sides play a pretty open 4-3-3 style that should cancel each other out. Nice are really good at the back and the addition of Kasper Schmeichel just adds to that stern defence. Both sides happy with the point in this opener.
The visitors here Casa Pia are the poorest side in the league and are my top pick to be relegated back down to the 2nd division. Santa Clare have a great home record they are unbeaten in their past 11 games. Their last home loss was way back in November and that was to Porto. Terrific odds here at plus money as I had this at 1.80/-125.
Too much value for the away side that did the double over Lens last season winning 4-0 & 1-0. I'm getting a goal at almost even money. Brest have not won their opener in the past 9 seasons. Not to be outdone Lens have only won once in their past 6 season openers. So I'm thinking a draw here is very likely.
Nantes/Lille UNDER 2.5 @ 1.88/-114 (FRA) Pinnacle Last season Lille have only scored 48 goals in 38 games where as Nantes have only allowed 48 goals in 38 matches. The last five games head to head all went under the total. I expect a tight game with a 0-0 or 1-1 final score line. Nantes started their campaign with an away draw and Lille started theirs with a home win. I don't think either side would be unhappy with a point.
SAT AUG 13 2022 1. Monza PK @ 1.88/-114 (ITA) 1u Pinnacle
We have a newly promoted side playing their home opener at the U-Power stadium. The last 14 games at home they won 12 and have drawn 2. Monza are very well funded owned by former AC Milan owner and ex Italian President Silvio Berlusconi. They signed 20 new players showing that they are not afraid to spend money. I see a 2-1, 3-1 scoreline in this one.
I know Monaco played mid week and lost to PSV in the Champions league. At home however they are really good. The last 3 head to head meetings Monaco wins all 3 with 2-1, 2-1 & 3-1 scorelines. Rennes looked absolutely awful in their home opener loss to Lorient 1-0. Getting this at anything at plus money is value.
I don't follow soccer but I notice your real betis play is 2 unit. I was gonna play under 2 1/2 I'm that game. Can you tell me why you feel so strongly about betis compar3 to all your other plays
7. Real Betis ML @ 1.94/-106 (SPA) 2u Bet365
8. Real Betis OVER 2.5 @ 2.02/+102 (SPA) 1u Bet365
---------------------------------------------------------
7. Lille ML @ 2.30/+130 (FRA) 1u Unibet
This is a form play for me as the home side have started the season strong with a 2-1-1 record and in 5th place in the table. Sporting on the other hand have dropped 2 in a row without scoring a goal. I also like the fact the home side have an extra day of rest. Last season sporting won 1-0 at Estoril, even with that scoreline I win half my bet. Too much name sake respect for Sporting here IMO.