Draw Invasion

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • Tommy_de1st
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-23-10
    • 8397

    #1
    Draw Invasion
    Hi guys
    Ive got some idea and want to share it with you.
    Soccer is a sport I have the best knowledge of and most of my bets are played on soccer.
    A few years back getting bored with playing parlays that ended up losing I decided to find something to bet with bigger odds. I started to take a good look at draws.
    Ask yourself, when you played parlay how many times did the draw ruin the whole thing?
    Exactly ... almost everytime. At least that was my case.
    Since then I searched through all league statistics emphasizing draw stats and I found out that in some leagues the draw are more likely to happen. This is obvious thing and you don`t have to be a soccer expert to notice that.
    The main problem is to know which team is worth betting on.
    I picked a few teams to start with and put the money on their draws. The idea was to wait another week and doubling the wager when particular team failed to draw. I was even successfull but never pulled the trigger wagering big amount of money.
    I called this system Progression.
    I was becoming more and more confident about that and at one time I had dozens of teams (roughly 100) in the system.
    Deep inside I knew it was not it because there were frozen money week after week.

    So together with my friend we looked up more at all available statistics including everything that could be important and took it into consideration.
    The idea we came up with was to find set of teams (even from different leagues) that we can bet on during the same weekend (when most leagues are played).
    That was couple of months ago and I had some other things in my life to take care of so I quit the subject. When I returned to betting I only found out that my friend developed special computer programme that helped picking up teams. At first he went public with that but now he is getting paid for his picks. That system is nothing but success.
    And now I wanna share it with you all because I`ve got it for free (as a one of system creators of course ).

    The System Description
    System is based on 12 plays that are divided in two sets (2 x 6 teams) and will be played within 2 weekends - 6 plays each weekend.
    There are 2 sets of 6 teams from different leagues that playing their games from Friday to Monday (not at the same time). We bet on draw of first team in the sequence. When this team fails to draw then we double up the wager (or multiply by 1.6-1.8 - that depends on the player bankroll) and bet on draw of the next team in a row. This will be repeated till next following team draws. I call it Wagering Level.
    We have to be prepared for 12 Levels.
    Very Urgent !!!
    When one of the teams draws we stop betting the following team.
    We won and would patiently wait for another sequel of plays next week.
    Don`t be gready guys, that can be very disastrous.
    In case all 6 teams don`t draw we will wait for the naxt weekend and start betting from Level 7.

    be back
  • Masu485
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 08-14-08
    • 7700

    #2
    a bit difficult to understand but does seem interesting. will you be posting the plays here each week?
    Comment
    • Josu
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 07-02-09
      • 842

      #3
      So you pick 6 different teams that draw alot, and hope for at least one of these 6 teams draws their next upcoming game or the game after that? Isn't it hard to find 6 different teams who all start their game at different times over the course of two weekends?

      New ideas are always interesting, do share.
      Comment
      • Smogs
        SBR MVP
        • 12-31-08
        • 4173

        #4
        Hard to understand mate, but as i understand it, it is a chase system??
        Comment
        • Tommy_de1st
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 02-23-10
          • 8397

          #5
          Ok
          Ill try to explain more understandingly

          We`ve got 12 teams and we bet their draws
          Level 1
          bet 1 Unit on a draw of TEAM A. If the team A fail to draw then
          Level 2
          bet 2 Units on a draw of TEAM B. If the team B fail to draw then
          Level 3
          bet 3 Units on a draw of TEAM C
          and we carry on untill one of the Teams draw up to Level 12 but I dont expect the system to go that long coz those Teams are specially selected
          Comment
          • Smogs
            SBR MVP
            • 12-31-08
            • 4173

            #6
            Ok, i guess the question is, who are these teams?
            Comment
            • Tommy_de1st
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-23-10
              • 8397

              #7
              Originally posted by Masu485
              a bit difficult to understand but does seem interesting. will you be posting the plays here each week?
              Yes I will but its a pitty all seasons are about to end

              Originally posted by Josu
              So you pick 6 different teams that draw alot, and hope for at least one of these 6 teams draws their next upcoming game or the game after that? Isn't it hard to find 6 different teams who all start their game at different times over the course of two weekends? New ideas are always interesting, do share.
              Its not hard to find 6 different teams who all start their game at different times but its difficult to find 6 teams who are gong to draw their games

              Originally posted by Smogs
              Hard to understand mate, but as i understand it, it is a chase system??
              sort of chasing but once you trust the system you`ll love it
              You need sort out your bankroll first and need to be prepared for 12 Levels
              Comment
              • LinWin
                SBR Sharp
                • 10-05-09
                • 257

                #8
                Originally posted by Smogs
                Hard to understand mate, but as i understand it, it is a chase system??
                Looks like it is. They are dangerous, could ruin you.
                Comment
                • Tommy_de1st
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-23-10
                  • 8397

                  #9
                  Originally posted by Smogs
                  Ok, i guess the question is, who are these teams?
                  I`ll post it tomorrow
                  Comment
                  • Tommy_de1st
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 02-23-10
                    • 8397

                    #10
                    Originally posted by LinWin
                    Looks like it is. They are dangerous, could ruin you.
                    They could but you have to be bankroll-wise.
                    I`ll tell you what?
                    Let`s treat that as a test
                    Comment
                    • theplagy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-21-09
                      • 1915

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                      Ask yourself, when you played parlay how many times did the draw ruin the whole thing?

                      There you go, a Humburg draw just ruined my parlay
                      Last time I played draw @ wolfburg and they fking won .
                      Comment
                      • theplagy
                        SBR MVP
                        • 04-21-09
                        • 1915

                        #12
                        with about +200-220 avg price it does make this a less dangerous chase. But still, a chase is a chase
                        Comment
                        • phenomenon
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-11-10
                          • 3227

                          #13
                          Tommy, I hope everything will be good for you,
                          If you want my suggestion for draw,play france 2 and 1 league alot... also you may chose some teams of Turkish second league...
                          Comment
                          • Tommy_de1st
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-23-10
                            • 8397

                            #14
                            Originally posted by phenomenon
                            Tommy, I hope everything will be good for you,
                            If you want my suggestion for draw,play france 2 and 1 league alot... also you may chose some teams of Turkish second league...

                            Thanks
                            I know,I know
                            as well as leagues: greek 1 and 2, russian, irish etc lots of them
                            but the hardest of all is to pick those drawable teams during one or two weeknds from differnet leagues
                            Comment
                            • phenomenon
                              SBR MVP
                              • 03-11-10
                              • 3227

                              #15
                              Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                              Thanks
                              I know,I know
                              as well as leagues: greek 1 and 2, russian, irish etc lots of them
                              but the hardest of all is to pick those drawable teams during one or two weeknds from differnet leagues
                              And also it is late for it I think...
                              last 3 4 5 weeks,and some teams which draw alot needs points and will try harder to win...
                              u should start it next season
                              Comment
                              • Tommy_de1st
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 8397

                                #16
                                I know
                                i said its a pitty but lets give it a try though
                                Comment
                                • phenomenon
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-11-10
                                  • 3227

                                  #17
                                  GL then
                                  Comment
                                  • Tommy_de1st
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-23-10
                                    • 8397

                                    #18
                                    Lets start tonight:
                                    Level 1: Velez Sarsfield - Tigre (Argentina) Friday
                                    Level 2: Preston - Leicester (English Championship) Saturday
                                    Level 3: Lok, Zagreb - Osijek (Croatia) Saturday
                                    Level 4: Palermo - AC Milan (Italy) Saturday
                                    Level 5: Atlas - Chiapas (Mexico) Saturday night
                                    Level 6: Everton - Fulham (English Premierleague) Sunday


                                    Sorry i won`t be around till next week cuz my network modem has broken down nad this fukks said that technician would be availavble on Tuesday
                                    Im not playing these picks because of that but I promised to share with you and thats why im posting em
                                    Im so angry coz im gonna miss lots of soccer, NBA and NHL plays ---- fuuuuuuuuuuukkk
                                    Comment
                                    • Smogs
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 12-31-08
                                      • 4173

                                      #19
                                      let's see how this goes then, if it shows promise it will be very interesting for next season
                                      Comment
                                      • bostonbruins
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-02-08
                                        • 3272

                                        #20
                                        Like someone said above, chase is chase ,why not blind pick draws and 2x up until it hits
                                        Comment
                                        • loyd
                                          SBR Sharp
                                          • 02-16-10
                                          • 376

                                          #21
                                          you can do that with betfair, you can lay the draw at the start of the match and back it after 10 minutes, its a way to secure profits because the odds moved in ur favor after 10 minutes with no goals.
                                          Comment
                                          • nulldah
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-27-10
                                            • 1473

                                            #22
                                            very risky system, 12-level chasing system. if these 12 level fails, the system basically lose 78 units (this is only at each level, i increase one unit, not double or 1.6-1.8 like you described), so in other words, it needs ratio better than 78:1 in a season to be profitable.

                                            Surely this is not likely to happen. If probability of draw is 0.33, the probability that you get 12 streak of draw-less game is 0.00818. this will become even smaller because the system choose certain matches.

                                            still, it can happen. It will be better if the number of levels can be reduced, imo, for better risk management.
                                            Comment
                                            • Josu
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 07-02-09
                                              • 842

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by Tommy_de1st
                                              Lets start tonight:
                                              Level 1: Velez Sarsfield - Tigre (Argentina) Friday 1-0
                                              Level 2: Preston - Leicester (English Championship) Saturday 0-1
                                              Level 3: Lok, Zagreb - Osijek (Croatia) Saturday 2-2
                                              Level 4: Palermo - AC Milan (Italy) Saturday
                                              Level 5: Atlas - Chiapas (Mexico) Saturday night
                                              Level 6: Everton - Fulham (English Premierleague) Sunday
                                              Good first weekend for you. Unlucky there in the first game too, Velez scoring in injury time. Keep the winning train going.
                                              Comment
                                              • loyd
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 02-16-10
                                                • 376

                                                #24
                                                did you check your return on investment? it must be pretty low if u have to set asside 78 units incase of a miracle (no draw for the same team in 12 matches).
                                                Comment
                                                • Tommy_de1st
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-23-10
                                                  • 8397

                                                  #25
                                                  Its a good start
                                                  Level 3 game won. Even if not Level 5 would do it.

                                                  Lets treat the system as a test and start next season
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Tommy_de1st
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                    • 8397

                                                    #26
                                                    Level 1: Velez Sarsfield - Tigre (Argentina) Friday 1-0
                                                    Level 2: Preston - Leicester (English Championship) Saturday 0-1
                                                    Level 3: Lok, Zagreb - Osijek (Croatia) Saturday 2-2
                                                    Level 4: Palermo - AC Milan (Italy) Saturday 3-1
                                                    Level 5: Atlas - Chiapas (Mexico) Saturday night 1-1
                                                    Level 6: Everton - Fulham (English Premierleague) Sunday pending
                                                    Comment
                                                    • samus82
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 04-16-10
                                                      • 403

                                                      #27
                                                      Interesting system but bare in mind at this stage in the season a lot of teams don't have much to play for. For example Everton vs Fulham. Fulham are likely to rest players for the Europa League whereas Everton need points to get into Europe. Whereas had this match been 10 games earlier Fulham would be a different story.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • monostereo
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 04-20-10
                                                        • 55

                                                        #28
                                                        r.e.a.l.l.y
                                                        Comment
                                                        • loyd
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 02-16-10
                                                          • 376

                                                          #29
                                                          he have to wait the whole season to see if the system works or not with a return on investment less than 3% he would make more profits puting his in an ING savings account
                                                          Comment
                                                          • brko
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 01-28-10
                                                            • 415

                                                            #30
                                                            here is my contribution - overview by league this season. maybe you have a chance with Swedish Superettan as it just began and concentrating on club Trollhattan as they had 2/2 (so far 2 draws out of 2 games) - but it's too early to have any conclusion right now. As well, that's the minor league which won't be offered everytime by your book. so...
                                                            Attached Files
                                                            Comment
                                                            • phenomenon
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-11-10
                                                              • 3227

                                                              #31
                                                              where did u find this stats?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Josu
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 07-02-09
                                                                • 842

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by brko
                                                                here is my contribution - overview by league this season. maybe you have a chance with Swedish Superettan as it just began and concentrating on club Trollhattan as they had 2/2 (so far 2 draws out of 2 games) - but it's too early to have any conclusion right now. As well, that's the minor league which won't be offered everytime by your book. so...

                                                                bet365 always offer Superettan, 5dimes does too I think.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • phenomenon
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 03-11-10
                                                                  • 3227

                                                                  #33
                                                                  ty so much
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • brko
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 01-28-10
                                                                    • 415

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by phenomenon
                                                                    where did u find this stats?
                                                                    All sports head to head stats and results, including tennis, soccer, basketball, american football and baseball. Check out all teams H2H comparison data.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • brko
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 01-28-10
                                                                      • 415

                                                                      #35
                                                                      it offers large variety of statistics and you can choose among 50+ world leagues, but concentrating in European soccer so no Chinese nor my favorite Singapore
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      SBR Contests
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                                                      Collapse
                                                                      Working...