NorwegianDude's soccer picks

[NorwegianDude]

Making my own thread for fun.

Picks for today:

Reading v Coventry -- Reading @ 1.63
Newcastle v Sheffield United -- Newcastle @ 1.41
Molde v Brann (under/over: 2.5) -- over @ 1.70
Fredrikstad v Alta -- Fredrikstad @ 1.34

Notice that the Fredrikstad match starts in 5 minutes.

[SRBI]

How much do you have to bet on Fredrikstad at 1.34 to make any sort of worthwhile amount of profit, considering the bankroll risk of betting such low odds?

[NorwegianDude]

Good question which I don't realy have a good answer for. Betting is just a hobby I do for fun, I don't put as much effort into it as many others here.

Anyhow, I consider Fredrikstad very big favourites. They were relegated from the top division last season and are expected by everyone to get right back there. Their situation are comparable to Newcastle's before this season.

[SRBI]

Good question which I don't realy have a good answer too. Betting is just a hobby I do for fun, I don't put as much effort into it as many others here.

Anyhow, I consider Fredrikstad very big favourites. They were relegated from the top division last season and are expected by everyone to get right back there. Their situation are comparable to Newcastle's before this season.

I completely agree with you that Fredrikstad are the pick here - I'm just wondering if you are really betting at such low odds - the risk to return ratio is not at all good. Anyway, best of luck to you buddy!

[NorwegianDude]

Thanks!

[JOHON8]

Yeah I agree with SRBI, try handicapping the games if you feel confident a favorite is winning by 2 or more goals, otherwise betting like this = negative return at the end of the day.

[NorwegianDude]

Ok, thanks for the tip!

By the way, Reading is up 1-0 after 15 mins.

[NorwegianDude]

Fredrikstad - Alta 1-0

Reading - Coventry 2-0

Edit: 2-0 right after 1-0! Should've taken the handicap as you guys suggested.

[rfr3sh]

Norway Division 1

Bryne ML and Sandnes ULF ML

Norway Tippeligaen

Haugesun ML
Odd Grenland ML
Viking vs. Lillestrom O2.5

those were my norway leans, but did not play them, any opinions

[diamond]

Totally agree with Bryne, agree with Haugesund as well.

WOuldnt touch the others.

[NorwegianDude]

I've been seriously considering Bryne ML, they have been killing it in the friendly matches (8-1-1). I also like Haugesund, because Honefoss has been terrible in the 3 first matches and hasn't even scored a goal. The over in Viking v Lillestrom also looks like a nice pick.

I would stay away from Odd, because Sandefjord is way too unpredictable, so that match can go either way. Sandnes Ulf I don't have much information about, other than the fact that they are missing a key player.

BOL!

[rfr3sh]

alright thnaks for the input, im not playing them, just wanted to get input on them and will track them to see how I would have done

[NorwegianDude]

Picks for today:

Reading v Coventry -- Reading @ 1.63
Newcastle v Sheffield United -- Newcastle @ 1.41
Molde v Brann (under/over: 2.5) -- over @ 1.70
Fredrikstad v Alta -- Fredrikstad @ 1.34

3-0
2-1
3-2
3-0

Beginners luck... or? Stay tuned.

[sockeye]

congrats

[JOHON8]

Good picks, but the odds kinda of dictated the results.

-1 handicap + over 3.5 instead would a have made it 3-1 instead of 4-0 but with much more value. GL for next ones

[NorwegianDude]

congrats

Thanks!

Good picks, but the odds kinda of dictated the results.

-1 handicap + over 3.5 instead would a have made it 3-1 instead of 4-0 but with much more value. GL for next ones

Yeah, you're right, I will try to do that more from now on. Thanks, I appreciate it!

[NorwegianDude]

Pick of the day:

IFK Göteborg v Djurgårdens IF (under/over: 2.5) -- under @ 1.85

[NorwegianDude]

0-1 after 45 minutes... Had hoped for 0-0, kinda sucks because all four other Allsvenskan-matches are without a goal after the first half.

[NorwegianDude]

Pick of the day:

IFK Göteborg v Djurgårdens IF (under/over: 2.5) -- under @ 1.85

Early goal first half, early goal second half, but who cares when it ends 1-1?
Updated record: 5 - 0 - 0

[pitman]

nice start 5 and ohh

[svenodds]

Nice

[NorwegianDude]

Thanks guys!

Some more entertainment:

CA Tigre v Atletico Tucuman -- CA Tigre @ 1.87

Seems like a gift, but might very well be a trap.

[NorwegianDude]

2-0 after 45 minutes, this seems to be in the bag.

[GazGaz]

Well done, i added COLO COLO to make a double........fingers crossed!!!!

[NorwegianDude]

Thanks and good luck with Colo.

[brko]

welcome aboarad Norsk Dude and good luck in your plays.

[iam416]

Tailed and confirmed your Tigre pick. Nice work. A little nervous over huge line movement in the 20 minute run-up to kickoff -- from -114 to +107. Turns out, nothing to fret over. Just better value.

[NorwegianDude]

Thanks guys!

Some more entertainment:

CA Tigre v Atletico Tucuman -- CA Tigre @ 1.87

Seems like a gift, but might very well be a trap.

The end result was 3-1 after Atletico scored a late goal.

Updated record: 6 - 0 - 0

welcome aboarad Norsk Dude and good luck in your plays

Thanks, appreciate it, man!

Tailed and confirmed your Tigre pick. Nice work. A little nervous over huge line movement in the 20 minute run-up to kickoff -- from -114 to +107. Turns out, nothing to fret over. Just better value.

Good to hear and thanks!

[sockeye]

impressive Dude

[NorwegianDude]

At least so far, but we'll see how good I can do in the long run.

Thanks for the point.

[brko]

where can i find statistics for past seasons of Norwegian premier league? particularly i am interested in HT/FT statistics.

[NorwegianDude]

http://livescore.betradar.com/statistics/nordicbet/?language=en

Just find the norwegian league by choosing: Football --> Norway --> Tippeligaen.

[w3coyote]

Betting is just a hobby I do for fun, I don't put as much effort into it as many others here.

Good picks and I really like Your philosophy. Best of luck.

[NorwegianDude]

Thanks!

Picks of the day:

Marseille v Socheaux (under/over: 2.5) -- under @ 1.85
Manchester United v Bayern Munchen -- United @ 1.77

[NorwegianDude]

Got fcked in overtime... Marseille scored 3-0 after a HORRIBLE showing by the Socheaux-defense, useless. And to add to the frustration, the second goal were a penalty.

Well, well, at least Manchester United is in front by two already, so that looks good.