A couple of serious bets and a couple of leans that just have to be played......
Leicester/Coventry - Leicester @ 3/4 1 Unit
Firstly the head to head here looks amazing in Leicester's favour, they have won their last 5 and 7 of their last 8 matchups.
Also, the line i think is a little off here, almost as if the bookies don't want you to bet the home side. They should really be 10/11 given the positions of these two and while it could be seen a s a lack of value, i think it is simply that Coventry are still relatively poor on the road - 19 points and 17 goals from 18 road games - and Leicester are 6th in the home league table. 10 wins from 18 and just 13 goals conceded leads me to think this finishes 2-0.
Cardiff/Watford - Cardiff -0.75 @ 1.95 0.8 Units
Not as strong as my bet on Leicester but still pretty strong. I would reason that Chopra is back in the side but that guy is a disgrace and i hate him (16/1 top goalscorer for the season is why
)
However, i am betting Cardiff simply because Watford are really bad, especially lately.
They were relying on their away form earlier in the season but they have not won in their last 10 away matches, managing just 2 points from those.
Maybe more worrying is the 8 goals scored and 24 conceded. Cardiff have only won 4 of their last 10 home matches but i am praying they can close the gap on the playoff spots above them
Now for the stupid picks that always drain my profit
Atalanta/Livorno - Draw 0.2U & 0-0 0.1U
Siena/Bologna - Draw 0.2U & 0.4U Bologna +0.25 @ evens (I actually like this a fair bit)
Cagliari/Lazio - Draw 0.2U
Frank Lampard FGS - 0.2U @ 6/1 (Practically throwing money away)
Good luck tomorrow
Leicester/Coventry - Leicester @ 3/4 1 Unit
Firstly the head to head here looks amazing in Leicester's favour, they have won their last 5 and 7 of their last 8 matchups.
Also, the line i think is a little off here, almost as if the bookies don't want you to bet the home side. They should really be 10/11 given the positions of these two and while it could be seen a s a lack of value, i think it is simply that Coventry are still relatively poor on the road - 19 points and 17 goals from 18 road games - and Leicester are 6th in the home league table. 10 wins from 18 and just 13 goals conceded leads me to think this finishes 2-0.
Cardiff/Watford - Cardiff -0.75 @ 1.95 0.8 Units
Not as strong as my bet on Leicester but still pretty strong. I would reason that Chopra is back in the side but that guy is a disgrace and i hate him (16/1 top goalscorer for the season is why
)However, i am betting Cardiff simply because Watford are really bad, especially lately.
They were relying on their away form earlier in the season but they have not won in their last 10 away matches, managing just 2 points from those.
Maybe more worrying is the 8 goals scored and 24 conceded. Cardiff have only won 4 of their last 10 home matches but i am praying they can close the gap on the playoff spots above them
Now for the stupid picks that always drain my profit
Atalanta/Livorno - Draw 0.2U & 0-0 0.1U
Siena/Bologna - Draw 0.2U & 0.4U Bologna +0.25 @ evens (I actually like this a fair bit)
Cagliari/Lazio - Draw 0.2U
Frank Lampard FGS - 0.2U @ 6/1 (Practically throwing money away)
Good luck tomorrow
