Wilforth's soccer picks - 2010

Wilforth · 03-03-10, 07:30 PM

Originally posted by wilforth

international friendly: spain +140 10u win

1-0 +14.0
ytd:18-27-1 -5.48

pitman · 03-03-10, 07:33 PM

good job Wilf!!!! getting those units back

Wilforth · 03-03-10, 07:45 PM

Originally posted by pitman

good job Wilf!!!! getting those units back

Thanks, Pitman. We'll get back the units with patience.

pitman · 03-03-10, 07:56 PM

one or two strong play/s and youre there
I find that those international games can be real tough to predict. Made 2 very small plays in them and won both, both of them with late goals to win the overs.

i like how the totals are pretty much all +oddz on over 2.5's but it seems as though 75 percent or more stay under 2.5.
i had brazil on my mind all day.
wish you luck pal

Wilforth · 03-03-10, 08:08 PM

Originally posted by pitman

one or two strong play/s and youre there
I find that those international games can be real tough to predict. Made 2 very small plays in them and won both, both of them with late goals to win the overs.

i like how the totals are pretty much all +oddz on over 2.5's but it seems as though 75 percent or more stay under 2.5.
i had brazil on my mind all day.
wish you luck pal

Of course, they're very unpredictable because they're not competitive stuff. So you just have to go with 1 or 2 teams with a consistent winning culture.

Wilforth · 03-05-10, 08:30 PM

YTD:18-27-1 -5.48

03/06

Spain: Almeria/Barcelona UNDER 3 (-130) 10u

Reason
1) Barcelona's first game after an international game always go UNDER because most of their first team play for their national teams.
2) Barcelona's offense is less potent on the road than at home
3) Barcelona conceded less goals on the road than they do at home

We shouldn't be expecting 4 goals here. The worst we get here is a push.

Smogs · 03-05-10, 09:04 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

YTD:18-27-1 -5.48

03/06

Spain: Almeria/Barcelona UNDER 3 (-130) 10u

Reason
1) Barcelona's first game after an international game always go UNDER because most of their first team play for their national teams.
2) Barcelona's offense is less potent on the road than at home
3) Barcelona conceded less goals on the road than they do at home

We shouldn't be expecting 4 goals here. The worst we get here is a push.

I am definitely on this as long as my afternoon picks go well - i do love it and may just play it anyway - as a chase or as a chance to add to profit. 4 goals is so many for a Barca team that have more unders on the road than overs. Good luck, i like this a lot

m3xtreme · 03-05-10, 09:15 PM

good analysis.. good luck mate

Wilforth · 03-06-10, 12:29 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

YTD:18-27-1 -5.48

03/06

Spain: Almeria/Barcelona UNDER 3 (-130) 10u

Reason
1) Barcelona's first game after an international game always go UNDER because most of their first team play for their national teams.
2) Barcelona's offense is less potent on the road than at home
3) Barcelona conceded less goals on the road than they do at home

We shouldn't be expecting 4 goals here. The worst we get here is a push.

Adding:

2-teamer: -107
Hamburg ML / Manchester United ML 5u

ji03 · 03-06-10, 03:01 PM

nice hit on the parlay

Wilforth · 03-06-10, 03:28 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Adding:

2-teamer: -107
Hamburg ML / Manchester United ML 5u WIN

1-0 +5.00
YTD:19-27-1 -0.48

Still pending:

Spain: Almeria/Barcelona UNDER 3 (-130) 10u

Wilforth · 03-07-10, 10:34 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

1-0 +5.00
YTD:19-27-1 -0.48

Still pending:

Spain: Almeria/Barcelona UNDER 3 (-130) 10u LOSS

Yesterday: -8.00
YTD: 18-28-1 -13.48

03/07

2-teamer: +140
Atletico Bilbao ML / Inter Milan ML 10u

Wilforth · 03-07-10, 06:02 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Yesterday: -8.00
YTD: 18-28-1 -13.48

03/07

2-teamer: +140
Atletico Bilbao ML / Inter Milan ML 10u LOSS

As usual, the loss was going to come from Inter Milan.

YTD: 18-29-1 -23.48

Smogs · 03-07-10, 06:10 PM

I think this weekend needs to be forgotten about - looking forward though, i am going down for the Boro/Newcastle game next saturday - i know it's early but i am putting in a massive bet on the over and Newcastle PK. I expect 6/4 type ml odds for Newcastle and 9/5 for Boro. Anything bigger price wise for Newcastle and it's my bet of the season.

*Yeah just seen that Newcastle are 11/8. If i can get draw no bet on them at 4/5 i'll have my first 3 unit bet of the year

Wilforth · 03-07-10, 11:18 PM

Smogs,

There'll sure be a Newcastle PK before game-time.

Wilforth · 03-08-10, 03:07 AM

YTD: 18-29-1 -23.48

03/08

England: Liverpool -165 5u

Spain: Valencia/Santander draw +280 0.5u

xGrr · 03-08-10, 05:28 AM

everyone is on liverpool today lol

Smogs · 03-08-10, 06:18 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

YTD: 18-29-1 -23.48

03/08

England: Liverpool -165 5u

Spain: Valencia/Santander draw +280 0.5u

The valencia draw stuck out for me to, this will be very hard for the home side to break Santander down. Two sendings off last week, a big game mid week in Europe, the draw has a lot of value to it

Sforz · 03-08-10, 06:46 AM

on liverpool.. looking like the forum jinx

Retibol · 03-08-10, 07:47 AM

Valencia/Santander draw +320 now
Lets make some money

!

Wilforth · 03-08-10, 08:13 PM

Originally posted by Wilforth

YTD: 18-29-1 -23.48

03/08

England: Liverpool -165 5u LOSS

Spain: Valencia/Santander draw +280 0.5u WIN

1-1 -6.85

YTD: 19-19-1 -30.33

The end is near.

Smogs · 03-08-10, 08:32 PM

Chin up wil

Wilforth · 03-08-10, 08:35 PM

The point is I made the right call on the Valencia draw but was too confident about it. We were all so high on Liverpool like coke addicts, and now the rest is history. Anyways, we'll keep trying.

JOHON8 · 03-08-10, 09:07 PM

You're not alone Wilforth, this weekend was really really bad for a lot of gamblers. Keep your head up, don't chase losses and things will turn soon.

Wilforth · 03-08-10, 09:13 PM

Thanks JOHON8.

akerber · 03-08-10, 10:00 PM

I am actually 80 units down in last 3 days. You are not alone...

Wilforth · 03-12-10, 04:32 AM

YTD: 19-19-1 -30.33

03/12

Inter Milan -111 10u

It's hard to believe that Inter can get the W at Catania. Inter are going through some struggles right now, drawing 5 of their L6 games, and looking ahead to a CL game next week. But they'll take the 3 points here as the Scudetto is more achievable than the CL. I'm happy that not many people will be on Inter right now, which is good for this pick.

Argentina: Velez Sarsfield -125 5U
Redemption time!

Smogs · 03-12-10, 05:40 AM

BOl wil, bit too dangerous for me but i hope it cashes

suckerforparlays · 03-12-10, 06:25 AM

I took Velez Sarsfield tailing

Retibol · 03-12-10, 08:04 AM

10units on Inter again

Okay lets do it

BOL

akerber · 03-12-10, 08:19 AM

I think it will not good. Inter always **** me, and probably today will do again.

Wilforth · 03-12-10, 08:55 AM

Inter's road draws at Napoli, Parma and Bari are quite understandable. Napoli is a top team. Parma has a solid home record. Bari particular play well against Inter. We also know Inter drew at Atalanta but then they had a comfortable lead at the top. Now, their lead at the top is fast disappearing and they need to step up.

The last time Inter was shut out at home (by Sampdoria), they responded by winning their next road game at Udinese. They were shut out in their last home game by Genoa and they're now on the road at Catania, which an even worse home record than Udinese. Inter are in a sweet spot for 3 points here.

SRBI · 03-12-10, 08:59 AM

I like your reasoning on the Inter play. They usually win when most folks don't expect them to

BOL Free Willy!

Wilforth · 03-12-10, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by SRBI

I like your reasoning on the Inter play. They usually win when most folks don't expect them to

BOL Free Willy!

I believe very strongly that Inter will go 2-0-0 in their next 2 league games. Then when people start getting on them again, they go back to their old ways.

lakerboy · 03-12-10, 12:14 PM

I agree with this inter play and i think we are getting a bargain.