Mexican Apertura

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  • Ace_of_Spades
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-14-09
    • 13518

    #1
    Mexican Apertura
    Liking just the one play in the remaining 1 match in the Mexican Apertura. I tell you both these sides play to win their encounters and this is a big match for Santos if they want to keep pace with the top. History if you are one to look at that, is definately in the Overs favour. This match has the making of a shoot out.


    Santos Laguna v Chivas Guadalajara Over 2,5 - 1.70 $100 to win $70


    Good Luck!
  • demize21
    SBR MVP
    • 11-03-08
    • 3541

    #2
    looking at it i like
    Santos +100 2u and draw 1u +230 better chance to win some money rather than playing the pk
    if they win you win 150 and draw you at least win 30 total i don't see Santos losing at home
    than again santos is without a home loss and Guadalajara is without a away win
    maybe over analyzing it a bit....

    as for over not too confident in it gotta do more research
    Comment
    • Wilforth
      Restricted User
      • 05-10-08
      • 16309

      #3
      Santos ML in a heart-beat!
      Comment
      • demize21
        SBR MVP
        • 11-03-08
        • 3541

        #4
        dont think should hedge?
        Comment
        • demize21
          SBR MVP
          • 11-03-08
          • 3541

          #5
          Originally posted by Wilforth
          Santos ML in a heart-beat!
          yea your right go with your first gut feeling im gonna go straight to much value for the better team @ home
          Comment
          • demize21
            SBR MVP
            • 11-03-08
            • 3541

            #6
            i like the Santos team total prop over 1.5 -105 as well
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              Originally posted by demize21
              dont think should hedge?
              Let's look at this way: The Over has cashed in 83% of Guadalajara's road games. Why? Because they're conceding 2.5 goals per game (g/g) on the road while scoring 1.5 g/g. If you take away Guadalajara's road goals against the basement teams, their road scoring average falls to no more than 1 g/g. On the flip side, Santos are on a 4-1-0 home run, scoring an awesome 2.4 g/g while conceding a minuscule 0.8 g/g.

              I daresay this game will end in a Santos win with any of these scorelines:

              2-0
              2-1
              3-1.

              Santos ML is definitely the better value than Over.
              Comment
              • demize21
                SBR MVP
                • 11-03-08
                • 3541

                #8
                i here ya on that but Santos over 1.5 has value as well cause i see it as 2-0 maybe 2-1 so the over 2.5 don't feel too confident laying that chalk but over 1.5 -105 for Santos i like a lot
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #9
                  If Santos is such a heavy favorite why is the ML -105 at BookF*cker?
                  Comment
                  • infamousbacardi
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-16-08
                    • 4556

                    #10
                    What's up guys. I JUST came to the soccer forum to make this same post. Glad you beat me to it. I pounded the over in this one...i've got it for $200...I think 4 goals likely here. BOL guys
                    Comment
                    • RoagBettor
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-20-09
                      • 8355

                      #11
                      Since I already have the over in my parlay (already hit 3 out of the 4), I put a half unit on Santos at -110 at BF'er.
                      Comment
                      • demize21
                        SBR MVP
                        • 11-03-08
                        • 3541

                        #12
                        i took santos +100 ML, over 1.5 team total -105, exact scores 2-0 and 2-1 +700 each, and santos 1h +145
                        wager amounts on my SS
                        im not to sold on the over for that chalk
                        Comment
                        • infamousbacardi
                          SBR MVP
                          • 03-16-08
                          • 4556

                          #13
                          I agree...I don't like the chalk...but I do like the over. Last 6 h2h have been over 2.5. They both like to play aggressive, and I think 2-1 or 3-1. I think Santos wins, but to be sure, I wanted to go O/U and have a winner hitting at the same time I watch my MNF teaser make me another c-note
                          Comment
                          • Wilforth
                            Restricted User
                            • 05-10-08
                            • 16309

                            #14
                            Originally posted by demize21
                            i took santos +100 ML, over 1.5 team total -105, exact scores 2-0 and 2-1 +700 each, and santos 1h +145
                            wager amounts on my SS
                            im not to sold on the over for that chalk
                            Santos 1H +145 really looks tempting.
                            Comment
                            • demize21
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-03-08
                              • 3541

                              #15
                              Originally posted by infamousbacardi
                              I agree...I don't like the chalk...but I do like the over. Last 6 h2h have been over 2.5. They both like to play aggressive, and I think 2-1 or 3-1. I think Santos wins, but to be sure, I wanted to go O/U and have a winner hitting at the same time I watch my MNF teaser make me another c-note
                              who you got in MNF teaser i like den and under in a tease and denver + the points
                              Comment
                              • TurkzZ
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-07-09
                                • 4095

                                #16
                                Both Teams are in pretty good form, Santos will be playing with 4 strikers today so i think there will will be lots of goals, Guadalajara are a good counter attacking team, maby even over 3.5
                                Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                Comment
                                • infamousbacardi
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 03-16-08
                                  • 4556

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by demize21
                                  who you got in MNF teaser i like den and under in a tease and denver + the points
                                  You nailed it mate...that's what I got too!
                                  Comment
                                  • Ace_of_Spades
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-14-09
                                    • 13518

                                    #18
                                    Oh boy, everyone likes Santos and the over. But you can't deny the over here, it would be silly to take anything else with these two teams.
                                    Comment
                                    • Phillth
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-09-09
                                      • 1785

                                      #19
                                      looks like santos' leading scorer is not starting
                                      Comment
                                      • RoagBettor
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 01-20-09
                                        • 8355

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Phillth
                                        looks like santos' leading scorer is not starting


                                        Swine flu?
                                        Comment
                                        • TurkzZ
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-07-09
                                          • 4095

                                          #21
                                          Forward points to Karayilan, i am unable to receive SBR points
                                          Comment
                                          • infamousbacardi
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-16-08
                                            • 4556

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by Phillth
                                            looks like santos' leading scorer is not starting
                                            Phillth...come on man. He hasn't played since September 19th.
                                            Comment
                                            • Phillth
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 04-09-09
                                              • 1785

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by infamousbacardi
                                              Phillth...come on man. He hasn't played since September 19th.
                                              really? then how the hell is he still the leading scorer?
                                              Comment
                                              • infamousbacardi
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 03-16-08
                                                • 4556

                                                #24
                                                Haha. He's only scored in 2 games. Brace and a hatty
                                                Comment
                                                • RoagBettor
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                  • 8355

                                                  #25
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Ace_of_Spades
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 10-14-09
                                                    • 13518

                                                    #26
                                                    Pitch looks terrible.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                      • 8355

                                                      #27
                                                      LMAO! These guys look like they have no interest in scoring! Unreal.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • infamousbacardi
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 03-16-08
                                                        • 4556

                                                        #28
                                                        It only takes 1 goal to open things up guys. Let's keep patient here
                                                        Comment
                                                        • RoagBettor
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-20-09
                                                          • 8355

                                                          #29
                                                          It would help if I knew which team was which since I don't Habla Espanol! Are Santos the green and white jerseys?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • infamousbacardi
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-16-08
                                                            • 4556

                                                            #30
                                                            I can't watch on tv...what's going on guys, how's it look
                                                            Comment
                                                            • infamousbacardi
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 03-16-08
                                                              • 4556

                                                              #31
                                                              Santos colors are green and white, I would guess that's them
                                                              Comment
                                                              • RoagBettor
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-20-09
                                                                • 8355

                                                                #32
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RoagBettor
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-20-09
                                                                  • 8355

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Santos has dominated what little action there's been, but neither team is doing much.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • infamousbacardi
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 03-16-08
                                                                    • 4556

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Damnit. Mexican leagues are usually slow starting games, they can put up 3 in a second half if need be, but we need 1 before half
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • RoagBettor
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 01-20-09
                                                                      • 8355

                                                                      #35
                                                                      This is brutal, I can't watch anymore.
                                                                      Comment
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