Sunday special - 3 picks

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  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #1
    Sunday special - 3 picks
    Italy: Juventus/Bologna draw +420 WIN
    Juventus will always invent a way to draw games in which they're favorites in the range of -300 to -600.

    Belgium: Excelsior Mouscron +350
    Whenever you have only 2 games in the Belgian league, the biggest home dog often wins.

    Netherlands: NAC Breda +170 LOSS
    NAC Breda may have their problems but Feyenoord aren't the sort of road favorite one should be afraid to fade.
    Last edited by Wilforth; 09-27-09, 09:55 AM.
  • Wilforth
    Restricted User
    • 05-10-08
    • 16309

    #2
    1-1 +3.20

    No way will I not end in the black today. Worst I'll go is 1-2 +2.20.
    Comment
    • Hybris
      SBR MVP
      • 07-22-09
      • 1023

      #3
      Nice call on that draw, Serie A tends to draw alot like 4 games today? Damn I was on Chievo.
      Comment
      • Wilforth
        Restricted User
        • 05-10-08
        • 16309

        #4
        Originally posted by Hybris
        Nice call on that draw, Serie A tends to draw alot like 4 games today? Damn I was on Chievo.
        I've noticed that trend not only with Juventus alone but Serie A.
        There's also that trend in France that leads me to think OG Nice +475 might cash today. One of the biggest road dogs wins every Sunday in France.
        Comment
        • ji03
          SBR MVP
          • 06-27-09
          • 1144

          #5
          nice hit on juventus draw
          Comment
          • RoagBettor
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 01-20-09
            • 8355

            #6
            Originally posted by Wilforth
            Italy: Juventus/Bologna draw +420 WIN
            Juventus will always invent a way to draw games in which they're favorites in the range of -300 to -600.
            Comment
            • Wilforth
              Restricted User
              • 05-10-08
              • 16309

              #7
              Belgium: Excelsior Mouscron +350

              Mouscron takes the lead in the 2H
              Comment
              • Wilforth
                Restricted User
                • 05-10-08
                • 16309

                #8
                Oh no! Mouscron eventually drew after taking the lead. I'll look into these kind of plays next week.

                1-3 +2.20
                Comment
                • RoagBettor
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 01-20-09
                  • 8355

                  #9
                  5 draws in the Italy A League. I don't know why I don't bet win and draw on some of these games where you really believe the favorite can't lose.

                  Nice work Wil.
                  Comment
                  • Smogs
                    SBR MVP
                    • 12-31-08
                    • 4173

                    #10
                    Well done wil, very good spot in those games
                    Comment
                    • Wilforth
                      Restricted User
                      • 05-10-08
                      • 16309

                      #11
                      Roag & Smogs,

                      Look at these draws today:

                      Italy: Juventus/Bologna draw +420
                      Italy: AC Milan/Bari draw +320
                      Turkey: Galatasaray/Eskirsehispor draw +500
                      Spain: Espanyol/Xerex draw +275
                      Belgium: Excelsior Mouscron/Club Brugge draw +275

                      There's a certain pattern to these draws. They often occur in games between:

                      1) the top 4 versus bottom 4 in the league
                      2) teams with very contrasting records. For instance, when a team with a 6-1-0 home record is hosting a team with a 0-1-6 road record.

                      Such draws also tend to be more frequent on Sundays, especially in the late games. I'll keep track of them to fine-tune the pattern.
                      Comment
                      • Smogs
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-31-08
                        • 4173

                        #12
                        I know a few of them drew wil - i missed this post before they kicked off so i'm a bit devastated i missed out on the high odds

                        Thank you for alerting us to them though, very good betting wil
                        Comment
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