One soccer pick - July 4

[Wilforth]

Japan: JEF United +170 WIN

JEF United are on the road against the league's worst team. I'm using the word "worst" as I'm unable to find a better word to describe the paralysis that Oita is in right now. For starters, Oita are on a 12-game losing streak and it looks like that streak will continue on July 4. Facts in support of this play:

1) Oita have registered only one goal in their L3 games.
2) JEF have scored in 6 of their L7 road games. The only time they failed to score on the road was against Montedio Yamagata, which are defensively better than Oita.
3) JEF score more on the road than they do at home.
4) To add to Oita's misery, they score less at home than on the road.

[sportsguy04]

Im on it also!

What do you think of this Parlay:

Honduras ML -350
USA ML -2000
Mexico ML -1000
Jef United PK +115 (Just to be sure)
Real Salt Lake ML -160
Union Espanola ML +250 (I cant believe this)


Might throw Costa Rica in there but I have a weird feeling they tie El Salvadr tonight.

[Wilforth]

The parlay looks incredible. However, I want to do research on the Espanola game as I can't understand why they're such a huge dog (+270 at Betusa) in that game. I'm wondering if they're missing any players.

What do you think of Jamaica +120 to beat a "soft" Canadian team?

[bostonbruins]

Why is Canada soft? I was thinking about Jamaica but they can't seem to score away from home, the draw looks more likely to me. The only thing I can conclude is Jamaica will concede, but I don't know how Canada plays really..

[sportsguy04]

The parlay looks incredible. However, I want to do research on the Espanola game as I can't understand why they're such a huge dog (+270 at Betusa) in that game. I'm wondering if they're missing any players.

What do you think of Jamaica +120 to beat a "soft" Canadian team?

Yeah I dont understand Union Espanola game. D. Ramirez got a red card in their last match. Not sure which team he is on.

[Wilforth]

BB,

I see your point. Three things to note:
1) Jamaica are on a 13-game unbeaten run
2) They've conceded only 5 goals in their L8 games, which speaks well of their defense
3) Jamaica haven't beaten Canada on Canadian soil

I think we'll see a repeat of the 1-1 draw these sides played the last time Canada. I'm beginning to like the draw.

[Wilforth]

Yeah I dont understand Union Espanola game. D. Ramirez got a red card in their last match. Not sure which team he is on.

Ramirez is an Espanola player but I don't know what position he plays:

http://www.soccerway.com/teams/chile/union-espanola/

[Wilforth]

Having scored 4 goals for the team, I think he's either a support striker or an attacking midfielder, but not the main striker by any means.

[Wilforth]

1-0

JEF takes the lead in the 6th minute. Good start!

[Wilforth]

Wow! 2 goals within 2 minutes: 1-1

[Wilforth]

A nice day!

1-0 +1.70

[oda11]

Great job, Wilforth!

[Wilforth]

Thanks, oda11. Let's hope to keep getting 'em.

[oda11]

Anything you like today Wilforth?

[sportsguy04]

Hope you grabbed Union Espanola like I did. +280 ML. 1-0 at half.

[Wilforth]

Hope you grabbed Union Espanola like I did. +280 ML. 1-0 at half.

I contemplated Espanola but eventually passed on it. My worry was that Espanola failed to score in their L2 games prior to the game in question. It's unusual for Espanola not to score in 2 straight games.

[sportsguy04]

I contemplated Espanola but eventually passed on it. My worry was that Espanola failed to score in their L2 games prior to the game in question. It's unusual for Espanola not to score in 2 straight games.

1-1 tie.