Manchester or Barcelona

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  • caracalla
    Restricted User
    • 11-12-05
    • 2549

    #36
    No doubt
    ManU
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82782

      #37




      These are last year's games at semifinals with similar squads as this year.

      Game 1 0-0 in Barcelona: 2 yellow cards and 11 corner kicks (8-3 Barca) 4 offsides Man U - 1 Barca

      Game 2 1-0 in Manchester: 5 yellow cards and 9 corner kicks (5-4 Man U) 0 offsides Barcelona - 3 Man U

      I think this prop has value:

      Man U # of offsides -0.5 -115 (Pinnacle)

      Barcelona had only 1 offside in both games whereas Man U. had 7 offsides.

      Under 5.5 offsides -108 (Pinnacle) has value too. 5 & 3 at last year's matches and also last year's final between Chelsea & Man U had 3 offsides in 120 min.

      I don't find any value in corner kicks or yellow cards.
      Last edited by pavyracer; 05-26-09, 03:36 PM.
      Comment
      • Karayilan9
        Restricted User
        • 01-10-09
        • 3742

        #38
        Pavyracer
        Man U # of offsides -0.5 -115 (Pinnacle)

        Barcelona had only 1 offside in both games whereas Man U. had 7 offsides.

        Under 5.5 offsides -108 (Pinnacle) has value too. 5 & 3 at last year's matches and also last year's final between Chelsea & Man U had 3 offsides in 120 min.

        I don't find any value in corner kicks or yellow cards.
        If Man U is going to sit back and play defensive then there is value in this bet, Manchesters defensive line will be too far back for Barcelona to get into many offside positions. Only problem is Manchester trying to counter attack, however, they have good offensive players who time runs well.

        Cards wise the referee is Massimo Busacca, here are his last 6 games, 9 yellow cards, 0 red cards


        European Cup Zenit 1 - 2 Real Madrid 30-09-2008 0 0 European Cup CFR Cluj 1 - 2 Bordeaux 04-11-2008 5 0 International Germany 1 - 2 England 19-11-2008 1 0 European Cup Atl Madrid 2 - 1 PSV Eindhoven 26-11-2008 0 0 European Cup Panathinaikos 1 - 2 Villarreal 10-03-2009 1 0 European Cup Porto 0 - 1 Man Utd 15-04-2009 2 0

        He's a lenient ref and I expect not many cards unless Man U let in a goal, they have a few players like Roony and Ronaldo who loose discipline when things are going against them.
        Last edited by Karayilan9; 05-26-09, 03:42 PM.
        Comment
        • BatemanPatrickl
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 06-21-07
          • 18772

          #39
          So is the consensus here that Barcelona is the side play?
          Comment
          • pavyracer
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 04-12-07
            • 82782

            #40
            If Barcelona scores first they will win it. Me however thinks the defenses will be too tight and we may see a 0-0 game or if Man U scores a goal then Barcelona will tie it. I have already placed a bet on draw at a generous +251 and Man U lifting the cup at -101.

            P.S. Man U has the coaching advantage in Ferguson with his 67 years of experience been at the final already two times and winning it. Barca has a new inexperienced coach in Guardiola who's almost half the age of Ferguson and never been in a final before.
            Comment
            • BatemanPatrickl
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 06-21-07
              • 18772

              #41
              Originally posted by pavyracer
              If Barcelona scores first they will win it. Me however thinks the defenses will be too tight and we may see a 0-0 game or if Man U scores a goal then Barcelona will tie it. I have already placed a bet on draw at a generous +251 and Man U lifting the cup at -101.

              P.S. Man U has the coaching advantage in Ferguson with his 67 years of experience been at the final already two times and winning it. Barca has a new inexperienced coach in Guardiola who's almost half the age of Ferguson and never been in a final before.
              Good information Pavy. You are King Soccer Capper here at SBR. Draw is looking tasty.
              Comment
              • ebbearsfb1
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 12-07-08
                • 18815

                #42
                Man U vs Barcelona defense - Advantage Man U
                Man U vs Barcelona midfield - Advantage Barcelona
                Man U vs Barcelona attack - Advantage Barcelona
                Man U vs Barcelona strikers/finishing - Advantage Man U
                Man U vs Barcelona managers - Advantage Man U

                I give Barcelona the edge.






                im not sure if this makes sense u have 3-2 man u but ur saying barcelona got the edge last time i checked 3 out weighs 2
                Comment
                • alukk
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-29-09
                  • 1544

                  #43
                  Barcelona pk
                  Comment
                  • pico
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 04-05-07
                    • 27321

                    #44
                    over
                    Comment
                    • dre3000
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 02-07-09
                      • 187

                      #45
                      I'd have to go with Barca this time. Iniesta and Henry will be playing that final. Mancs had some decent results lately, winning couple of games in a row and retaining title, but if you look at performance- it sucked. Barca will be hungry as never before, aiming for a treble. Draw looks likely to happen, with Barca taking it either in OT or SO.
                      Comment
                      • Karayilan9
                        Restricted User
                        • 01-10-09
                        • 3742

                        #46
                        Karayilan
                        Man U vs Barcelona defense - Advantage Man U
                        Man U vs Barcelona midfield - Advantage Barcelona
                        Man U vs Barcelona attack - Advantage Barcelona
                        Man U vs Barcelona strikers/finishing - Advantage Man U
                        Man U vs Barcelona managers - Advantage Man U

                        I give Barcelona the edge.


                        Ebbears
                        im not sure if this makes sense u have 3-2 man u but ur saying barcelona got the edge last time i checked 3 out weighs 2
                        I'll explain my perspective in more detail, I didn't have time to explain myself earlier.

                        The teams are closely matched in most departments and Man U may have advantages in some BUT for me Barcelona are the better team, there teamwork and efficiency cannot be matched by Man U, they work so hard for the ball when they loose it, everybody closes down and when they get the ball they don't loose it. They will try to launch wave after wave of attack and it just takes one mistake or act of brilliance for the goal.

                        It all depends on who scores first, if Man U scores they will go ultra defensive, if Barca scores first there will be many goals as Man U will try to open up and anybody that has been watching Barcelona knows what they can do in those situations.
                        Comment
                        • Euphoria38
                          SBR MVP
                          • 09-04-08
                          • 1188

                          #47
                          Alrite fellas, my take on this game.

                          First off my pick: Man U Regulation +150

                          Just a few observations: The hype over barcelona is certainly warranted, but considering how Chelsea played Barcelona I still give the edge to Man U. Karayilan's point about bad Man U defense is also warranted, but now they have Rio Ferdinand back for this one. Vidic and Ferdinand will hold Messi and Eto'o.

                          As for the missing players on Barcelona... Alves, Abidal, and Marquez... Alves is one of their key midfielders and a spectacular passer, hes also good for whining and killing time haha. Abidal and Marquez are big back markers for them. If Barcelona is throwing in 2nd string defenders they have to defend against Berbitov, Ronaldo, and Wayne Rooney. This presents a big problem.

                          Also.. Iniesta and Henry are not 100% and this is really misleading, just because they have action doesnt mean they will have a huge outcome in the game.

                          The last point is what Ferguson will be doing... and thats going at the spots on the field that are playing weakened.

                          I like the red devils here. =)
                          Comment
                          • BobHarvey
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-08-08
                            • 3987

                            #48
                            I know this questions been asked but I don't recall the answer. What if I just want to bet Man. to win. No draw, no totals just to win in either regulation or extra period. What's the number?
                            Comment
                            • EaglesPhan36
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 12-06-06
                              • 71662

                              #49
                              Draw seems to represent the best value as long as your book ends those bets at the end of 90 minutes+ injury time. Both teams away from home in the Champions League have had more draws that anything else.
                              Comment
                              • BobHarvey
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-08-08
                                • 3987

                                #50
                                Can you just play a side and is it like the NHl with the option of overtime or injury time included?
                                Comment
                                • Irish Jet
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 12-02-08
                                  • 320

                                  #51
                                  I think United win it.

                                  Barcelona have played only one legitimately good team all season (Chelsea) and only for some outrageous desicions from the ref in the 2nd leg they'd have lost. United are stronger than Chelsea both defensively and going forward IMO. I think United will absorb Barca's attacking play and hit them on the counter. No way Barca will stop Rooney and Ronaldo coming at them.

                                  My prediction: United: 2-1
                                  Comment
                                  • stevenb
                                    SBR Rookie
                                    • 04-22-09
                                    • 3

                                    #52
                                    BArcelona on penalties.
                                    Comment
                                    • The General
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 08-10-05
                                      • 13279

                                      #53
                                      12 Hours till game time

                                      Manchester U +155
                                      Barcelona +170
                                      Draw +220

                                      Ov 2½ +105
                                      Un 2½ -145
                                      Comment
                                      • Pat_Bateman
                                        SBR Rookie
                                        • 01-08-09
                                        • 43

                                        #54
                                        well i would rather see barca win personally, and it could go either way, man u are the favorites for me but luck is what you need and barca had that in the semis and also no one has won consecutive european cups/cl since 1989,90. and it will be a warm night by english standards, so barcelona will be more comfortable. to be honest though finals are usually very tense and the teams just try not to lose, i say 1-1 regulation and barca on penalties, w/ronaldo missing again
                                        Comment
                                        • The General
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 08-10-05
                                          • 13279

                                          #55
                                          May 27 2:45 pm Est. Graded after regulation time (90 minutes) + injury time
                                          Barcelona ML +165
                                          pk -106
                                          Ov 2½ +109
                                          Manchester United ML +165
                                          pk -111
                                          Un 2½ -137
                                          Draw +220
                                          Comment
                                          • The General
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 08-10-05
                                            • 13279

                                            #56
                                            1st Half

                                            Barcelona +240
                                            Manchester United +240
                                            - Draw -110
                                            Comment
                                            • pavyracer
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 04-12-07
                                              • 82782

                                              #57
                                              Originally posted by BobHarvey
                                              I know this questions been asked but I don't recall the answer. What if I just want to bet Man. to win. No draw, no totals just to win in either regulation or extra period. What's the number?
                                              Barcelona to Raise the Cup pk +106
                                              ManU to Raise the Cup pk -115

                                              I bet Man U 10 days ago at -101.
                                              Comment
                                              • Yabatumba
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 12-29-08
                                                • 145

                                                #58
                                                According to my voodoo master in Africa FC Barcelona are the 2008/2009 UEFA Champions League winners, and yes - you all heard it here first!
                                                Comment
                                                • *SYL*
                                                  SBR Rookie
                                                  • 05-11-09
                                                  • 8

                                                  #59
                                                  I like betting Man U win or draw at end of regular time (Roi of 51%). What happens after that i don't really care, but imo Man U have got too much for the Barca defence to handle, and should nick it
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                    • 3742

                                                    #60
                                                    IrishJet
                                                    Barcelona have played only one legitimately good team all season (Chelsea) and only for some outrageous desicions from the ref in the 2nd leg they'd have lost. United are stronger than Chelsea both defensively and going forward IMO. I think United will absorb Barca's attacking play and hit them on the counter. No way Barca will stop Rooney and Ronaldo coming at them.
                                                    Hiddink era Chelsea have a stronger defense than Chelsea, they are much more physical and close down alot more. Manchesters defense second half of the season has been nothing special, the way they have let weaker sides come onto to them and build up play time over time is a serious concern. Also Chelsea's attack has been just as if not better, they have the EPL top goal scorer Anelka, and Drogba wrecks havock against weaker defenses, Barcelona couldn't contain his physical strength.

                                                    Also, Barcelona have played some of the top teams in Europe, they had Shakhtar the Uefa cup chams in their group stage, embarrased Bayern Munich, Lyon and just managed to get past Chelsea. If your talking about the quality of leagues, don't listen to the Brittish medias ridiculous claims that La liga is some third rate league compared to the EPL. The likes of Seville, Valencia, Athletico Madrid, Villareal, Real Madrid are no mugs. Now I know alot of people are thinking but Liverpool beat Real Madrid 5-0 but Liverpool humiliated Manchester United aswel.

                                                    Man U have had a bad record against the top EPL teams this season, they have had too many games 2nd half of the season were they have been average. Look at the Aston Villa game were they were loosing until Villa choked, or the Tottenham game they were loosing 2-0 untill the ref saved them. If you play like that against the top teams you'll loose and that's exactly what happened against the top teams this season. Barca has beaten everyone convincingly, in Europe, the league and the cup.

                                                    Another interesting stat.

                                                    The same referee was in charge of Man U - Barca semi-final last year, there was only 2 yellow cards shown. In his last 6 games he's shown only 9 yellows and 0 red cards.
                                                    Last edited by Karayilan9; 05-27-09, 11:22 AM.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Crash
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-14-09
                                                      • 1260

                                                      #61
                                                      Tommy picks Man U!!!!!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bostonbruins
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 04-02-08
                                                        • 3272

                                                        #62
                                                        Looking for one of these outcomes, GL

                                                        Draw 1-1 +550 1u
                                                        MU 1-0 +700 1u
                                                        MU 2-1 +900 1u


                                                        Comment
                                                        • Irish Jet
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-02-08
                                                          • 320

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by dre3000
                                                          I'd have to go with Barca this time. Iniesta and Henry will be playing that final. Mancs had some decent results lately, winning couple of games in a row and retaining title, but if you look at performance- it sucked. Barca will be hungry as never before, aiming for a treble. Draw looks likely to happen, with Barca taking it either in OT or SO.
                                                          In what was has it "sucked" exactly?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Irish Jet
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 12-02-08
                                                            • 320

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                                            Hiddink era Chelsea have a stronger defense than Chelsea, they are much more physical and close down alot more. Manchesters defense second half of the season has been nothing special, the way they have let weaker sides come onto to them and build up play time over time is a serious concern. Also Chelsea's attack has been just as if not better, they have the EPL top goal scorer Anelka, and Drogba wrecks havock against weaker defenses, Barcelona couldn't contain his physical strength.

                                                            Also, Barcelona have played some of the top teams in Europe, they had Shakhtar the Uefa cup chams in their group stage, embarrased Bayern Munich, Lyon and just managed to get past Chelsea. If your talking about the quality of leagues, don't listen to the Brittish medias ridiculous claims that La liga is some third rate league compared to the EPL. The likes of Seville, Valencia, Athletico Madrid, Villareal, Real Madrid are no mugs. Now I know alot of people are thinking but Liverpool beat Real Madrid 5-0 but Liverpool humiliated Manchester United aswel.

                                                            Man U have had a bad record against the top EPL teams this season, they have had too many games 2nd half of the season were they have been average. Look at the Aston Villa game were they were loosing until Villa choked, or the Tottenham game they were loosing 2-0 untill the ref saved them. If you play like that against the top teams you'll loose and that's exactly what happened against the top teams this season. Barca has beaten everyone convincingly, in Europe, the league and the cup.

                                                            Another interesting stat.

                                                            The same referee was in charge of Man U - Barca semi-final last year, there was only 2 yellow cards shown. In his last 6 games he's shown only 9 yellows and 0 red cards.
                                                            You really do underestimate how superior the EPL is to the Spanish League among others. Madrid, Munich, Valencia etc. They're simply not that good this season.

                                                            United defense has been strong when they have had Nemanja and Rio starting. The team went through some bad form but are you seriously trying to tell me United haven't weathered the storm? They destroyed Arsenal in the CL Semi Final when they were in great form and picked it up in the PL.

                                                            Funny how you say the "Ref saved them" in the Tottenham game. The ultimate irony especially when you consider what happened with Barca in the semi's. The ref didn't change that game, Carlos Tevez did. Even the 4-1 game against Liverpool, which was a disaster, wasn't nearly as one-sided a game as the scoreline indicates.

                                                            Barca are overrated IMO, they're not worth the hype. I can't see United losing to them. They won't be able to deal with United counter attack IMO.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Irish Jet
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 12-02-08
                                                              • 320

                                                              #65
                                                              BTW in 10 games Lionel Messi have never score against an English team.

                                                              United's defense is back in form. They had a bad spell, especially when Rio was injured and Nemanja (Best defender in the world) was suspended.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Euphoria38
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-04-08
                                                                • 1188

                                                                #66
                                                                Sorry Karaliyan the EPL is the best league in the world. Sevilla, Villareal, and Los Che couldnt crack the top 3. What about the mess of Real Madrid this year? Real Madrid might manage a 5th place in the EPL. Some of us watch Gol TV too religiously hahaha.

                                                                Barca won't be able to stop Ronaldo and Rooney... NO ANSWER.

                                                                La Liga is not some 3rd rate soccer league, its the SECOND best in the world.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Yabatumba
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 12-29-08
                                                                  • 145

                                                                  #67
                                                                  At the end of the day, (FC Bareclona will win the 2008/2009 UEFA Champions League trophy quite comfortable- that's all that counts!)
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Karayilan9
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 01-10-09
                                                                    • 3742

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Irishlad
                                                                    United defense has been strong when they have had Nemanja and Rio starting. The team went through some bad form but are you seriously trying to tell me United haven't weathered the storm? They destroyed Arsenal in the CL Semi Final when they were in great form and picked it up in the PL.
                                                                    I'll give you a few examples, the recent Wigan game, Rio and Vidic started, Man U let in the first goal and were run off the park in the first half. Against, Liverpool both were playing and they let in 4 goals , against Newcastle both were playing and again they let in the first goal and were outplayed for a while. Now they came back from the Wigan and Newcastle games and beat them but these are teams with much less quality than Man U and Barca. Man U get punished for such play against the big teams, which is why they have had a poor record against the top 4.

                                                                    That Arsenal team was a depleted one and without the mastermind who was responsible for their great run Arshavin.

                                                                    Irishlad
                                                                    Funny how you say the "Ref saved them" in the Tottenham game. The ultimate irony especially when you consider what happened with Barca in the semi's. The ref didn't change that game, Carlos Tevez did. Even the 4-1 game against Liverpool, which was a disaster, wasn't nearly as one-sided a game as the scoreline indicates.
                                                                    We can't compare Tottenham to Barcelona or Chelsea, the Ref saved Man U in the Tottenham game, Tevez came on at half time, nothing changed until the penalty.

                                                                    There have been a few games were Man U have looked second best on the pitch this season, the Liverpool game was just one of many, only difference being Liverpool is a quality side and killed off the team while teams like Aston Villa, Tottenham, Wigan, Newcastle crumbled.

                                                                    Barca are overrated IMO, they're not worth the hype. I can't see United losing to them. They won't be able to deal with United counter attack IMO.
                                                                    If anything Barca are being underestimated, nobody is giving them a chance in this game, everyone is on Man U thinking its going to be easy against Barca's defense.

                                                                    Not saying Man U can't do this, all it takes is a spark of genius by Ronaldo or a fast paced counter attack, one goal and its over. Man u have the better manager and know how to scrap games like no other but I'll take Barca as underdogs.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Irish Jet
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 12-02-08
                                                                      • 320

                                                                      #69
                                                                      United starting team:

                                                                      Van Der Sar

                                                                      O' Shea
                                                                      Ferdinand
                                                                      Vidic
                                                                      Evra

                                                                      Carrick
                                                                      Anderson
                                                                      Giggs

                                                                      Park
                                                                      Ronaldo
                                                                      Rooney

                                                                      Very strong bench to call upon. The plan is IMO to get after Barca, absorb their pressure and hit them on the break with Ronaldo, Park and Rooney. Fletcher will be missed.
                                                                      Last edited by Irish Jet; 05-27-09, 12:50 PM.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Irish Jet
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 12-02-08
                                                                        • 320

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by Karayilan9
                                                                        I'll give you a few examples, the recent Wigan game, Rio and Vidic started, Man U let in the first goal and were run off the park in the first half. Against, Liverpool both were playing and they let in 4 goals , against Newcastle both were playing and again they let in the first goal and were outplayed for a while. Now they came back from the Wigan and Newcastle games and beat them but these are teams with much less quality than Man U and Barca. Man U get punished for such play against the big teams, which is why they have had a poor record against the top 4.

                                                                        That Arsenal team was a depleted one and without the mastermind who was responsible for their great run Arshavin.



                                                                        We can't compare Tottenham to Barcelona or Chelsea, the Ref saved Man U in the Tottenham game, Tevez came on at half time, nothing changed until the penalty.

                                                                        There have been a few games were Man U have looked second best on the pitch this season, the Liverpool game was just one of many, only difference being Liverpool is a quality side and killed off the team while teams like Aston Villa, Tottenham, Wigan, Newcastle crumbled.



                                                                        If anything Barca are being underestimated, nobody is giving them a chance in this game, everyone is on Man U thinking its going to be easy against Barca's defense.

                                                                        Not saying Man U can't do this, all it takes is a spark of genius by Ronaldo or a fast paced counter attack, one goal and its over. Man u have the better manager and know how to scrap games like no other but I'll take Barca as underdogs.
                                                                        United were never out played against Newcastle. They conceded an early goal and took over from there. They've lost to Liverpool twice but they crushed Chelsea at home and beat Arsenal twice convincingly in the CL, Arshavin's a great player but C'mon, he doesn't play 11 positions. They've played well enough against the Big four.

                                                                        The Liverpool game was a disaster but it was a one off and like I said even that game wasn't as one sided as the score indicated.
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