Chelsea PK

[Oli_Renaud91]

Posted: 2-0-0 +200,00$ (2u)

+104 1*

Seems like the obvious value play here. Chelsea are at home and need the W. PSG on the road and happy with a draw. I dont see PSG leaving england with a win 50% of the time in this spot. EV +

Bring it to the bank

[frugalgambler]

Posted: 2-0-0 +200,00$ (2u)

+104 1*

Seems like the obvious value play here. Chelsea are at home and need the W. PSG on the road and happy with a draw. I dont see PSG leaving england with a win 50% of the time in this spot. EV +

Bring it to the bank

Seriously ? You do understand the difference between a pk and +0.5 lines ?

[JC2008]

New guy, hey...

[Oli_Renaud91]

Seriously ? You do understand the difference between a pk and +0.5 lines ?

Wow men are you penetrating serious ? Yes I know the difference between pk and double chance.

Maybe it,s my english who is bad or i dont know. What i meant with that sentence is that this bet will WIN more time than it will LOSE

[frugalgambler]

Nope, the fact PSG does not win >50% of the time does not mean your bet on Chelsea pk at ~EV is a good one. Statistically speaking, if the true probability is for PSG to win ~30% of the time, Chelsea to win ~20% of the time, and to draw ~50% of the time, you would lose long-term. Just trying to explain the difference. Now, what is the "true probability" for this match is of course a big question. GL anyways.

[JC2008]

Not to mention John Terry is out for Chelsea so that alone reduces their odds of winning. Not a hell of alot because Chelsea is putrid this season but he is one of their best players, albeit a c unt.

[intermission]

Good luck! Chelsea play pretty well in big games