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  • whareouttogetme
    SBR MVP
    • 09-26-10
    • 2721

    #1
    Europa League
    Thoughts on the games?

    Napoli vs Dnipro
    Sevilla vs Fiorentina

    I like BTTS in the Sevilla game, not sure about Napoli. They should win but you just can't be sure with them.
  • dreamlanding
    SBR Sharp
    • 02-22-11
    • 316

    #2
    I was thinking of parlaying Napoli ML with BTTS in Sevilla/Fiorentina, but it only comes out to around +150 which is kind of low considering I'm starting to wonder whether really Fiorentina have an away goal in them. Napoli should take care of business at home.

    Fiorentina over 0.5 is -170, so if you break it down that way hinging a +150 parlay on that might not be so bad.
    Comment
    • cryptocap
      SBR MVP
      • 03-04-14
      • 1528

      #3
      Fiorentina is fighting for 5th in serie A, its logical to presume they would rather qualify for the tournament next year but a light schedule will have them throw everything in this match. Sevilla were unbeaten for 26 matches at home in all competitions until that nail-biter with Real, they are in very good form and with the 1st leg @ home I expect them to make it count for a return to the final and their speculative 4th title...

      On the other side we have Napoli...a very fickle team with a surprising amount of quality that can rival almost any team when they are up for it...Benitez is a master in European competition and faces the same statement game @ home before an away leg that will probably decide the tie

      Both teams (Napoli & Sevilla) will look to win but I feel Napoli is the more confident team away of the two and will try their best not to concede at home while Sevilla will surely seek a confident victory...
      Comment
      • unitedlad
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 01-10-12
        • 845

        #4
        Originally posted by dreamlanding
        I was thinking of parlaying Napoli ML with BTTS in Sevilla/Fiorentina, but it only comes out to around +150 which is kind of low considering I'm starting to wonder whether really Fiorentina have an away goal in them. Napoli should take care of business at home.

        Fiorentina over 0.5 is -170, so if you break it down that way hinging a +150 parlay on that might not be so bad.
        That's not a bad parlay at all - but I don't trust Napoli.

        I think I'll be on the both teams to score @ 1.91 in Sevilla game, and also Sevilla ml @1.83 - I think there is an extremely high chance of one of these cashing, and a decent chance at both of them. No way Sevilla don't score in this game. Fiorentina, yet having a decent defence, aren't exactly known for their ability to keep opponents out - more in their ability to counter with pace and work very hard at getting back.

        I went for Cleveland Cavs ml + Napoli under 2.5 goals for a few units. So lets hope Dnipro keep it solid and tight at the bad like they have been all tournament.

        I am still to be convinced that Napoli are that good of a team. They played Wolfsburg perfectly on the counter. But Wolfsburg were naive, and that wooping was always coming. Thinking this will be low scoring - 1-0, 0-0.
        Comment
        • GR33D
          SBR Sharp
          • 02-25-14
          • 481

          #5
          I'm with you United. Not convinced with Napoli yet. I'm thinking or at least hoping Dnipro get a 0-0 just to take the wind outta their sails.


          I really hate Italian clubs
          Comment
          • unitedlad
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 01-10-12
            • 845

            #6
            Originally posted by GR33D
            I'm with you United. Not convinced with Napoli yet. I'm thinking or at least hoping Dnipro get a 0-0 just to take the wind outta their sails.


            I really hate Italian clubs
            Napoli fans are pure scum also. Naples is not a place I would like to visit in the near future.
            Comment
            • whareouttogetme
              SBR MVP
              • 09-26-10
              • 2721

              #7
              Originally posted by cryptocap
              Fiorentina is fighting for 5th in serie A, its logical to presume they would rather qualify for the tournament next year but a light schedule will have them throw everything in this match. Sevilla were unbeaten for 26 matches at home in all competitions until that nail-biter with Real, they are in very good form and with the 1st leg @ home I expect them to make it count for a return to the final and their speculative 4th title...

              On the other side we have Napoli...a very fickle team with a surprising amount of quality that can rival almost any team when they are up for it...Benitez is a master in European competition and faces the same statement game @ home before an away leg that will probably decide the tie

              Both teams (Napoli & Sevilla) will look to win but I feel Napoli is the more confident team away of the two and will try their best not to concede at home while Sevilla will surely seek a confident victory...
              I've been watching a lot of Fiorentina games this year, and they focusing 100% on Europa League fixtures. They really don't seem that interested in fighting for a Europa League spot, when 3 games can get them a UCL spot.

              Also, let's not forget that they're only 3 points behind Valencia (and a UCL spot) in La Liga, and assuming Real Madrid beat Valencia, they will be tied on points so Sevilla will still be playing for a UCL spot in the league.

              Also you guys are right about Napoli, they can't be trusted. They can easily blow it, it certainly won't be the first time they've choked in Europe in the last few years.

              I can see it being 2-1 to Sevilla tonight, an Napoli won't blow out Dnipro at all. Maybe 0-0, 1-0, 1-1 in that game
              Comment
              • Betlitelli
                SBR Sharp
                • 03-20-14
                • 306

                #8
                It`s time to say goodbye for Dnipro when they face first real opponent in EL, Napoli 2-0 and I don`t see Sevilla as big fav. in this matchup, teams are on similar level, draw @4.1 worth a shot 1-1...
                Comment
                • GR33D
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 02-25-14
                  • 481

                  #9
                  had a bit of time to go over these two games and the thing i feel will have most value is a parlay of BTTS-No in napoli and sevilla o1.5 tt
                  at odds of $2.98
                  Comment
                  • unitedlad
                    SBR Wise Guy
                    • 01-10-12
                    • 845

                    #10
                    Napoli v Dnipro
                    0-0 HT @3.25
                    u2.5 goals @ 2.05
                    Draw HT / Napoli FT @ 4.3
                    Dnipro +0.5 1H @ 1.95

                    Sevilla vs Fiorentina
                    BTTS @1.85
                    Sevilla ml@ 1.8 (Got it at 1.83)
                    Sevilla ml 1H @ 2.38
                    Comment
                    • YBthebest
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 07-03-13
                      • 30

                      #11
                      Originally posted by unitedlad
                      Napoli v Dnipro
                      0-0 HT @3.25
                      u2.5 goals @ 2.05
                      Draw HT / Napoli FT @ 4.3
                      Dnipro +0.5 1H @ 1.95

                      Sevilla vs Fiorentina
                      BTTS @1.85
                      Sevilla ml@ 1.8 (Got it at 1.83)
                      Sevilla ml 1H @ 2.38
                      Got on most of your bets before the games started. Going right according to plan so far!!!
                      Comment
                      • whareouttogetme
                        SBR MVP
                        • 09-26-10
                        • 2721

                        #12
                        Would have preferred fio to get the first goal here, not sure about btts now
                        Comment
                        • unitedlad
                          SBR Wise Guy
                          • 01-10-12
                          • 845

                          #13
                          Originally posted by whareouttogetme
                          Would have preferred fio to get the first goal here, not sure about btts now
                          Sevilla will be going for another in the 2nd half. 1-0 is not enough going to Fiorentina. Fiorentina with pace on the break. I'm not too concerned at the moment. Trying to find decent odds on Fiorentina to progress. Already got a couple of units on them to win the Tournament @ 16/1. Put it on after the first leg against Tottenham in the last 16. They've seriously impressed. The 2nd best all round team in the league. Sevilla are the best, but no this one is a coin flip right now. So if I can get decent plus odds on Fio to progress, I'll be on it.

                          Fio should have scored about 3 goals in that first half. Pretty unlucky so far.

                          Both games going pretty much exactly how I thought they would.
                          Comment
                          • unitedlad
                            SBR Wise Guy
                            • 01-10-12
                            • 845

                            #14
                            Originally posted by YBthebest
                            Got on most of your bets before the games started. Going right according to plan so far!!!
                            Hope you got on those 1H bets
                            Comment
                            • unitedlad
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 01-10-12
                              • 845

                              #15
                              Got on the Draw FT Result LIVE for the Napoli game so I've guaranteed a decent profit unless Dnipro cause a real upset. Wouldn't be at all surprised if Napoli totally shit the bed. They're getting frustrated. Dnipro playing them excellently. I think Dnipro progress in this tie.
                              Comment
                              • paco
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 05-07-09
                                • 62873

                                #16
                                Napoli blows. How did they destroy Wolfsburg
                                Comment
                                • dreamlanding
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 02-22-11
                                  • 316

                                  #17
                                  Ended up just parlaying Napoli ML and BTTS in the other. Much more worried about Napoli at this moment.

                                  One goal each from Napoli and Fiorentina should be all I need... Let's get it!
                                  Comment
                                  • unitedlad
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 01-10-12
                                    • 845

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by paco
                                    Napoli blows. How did they destroy Wolfsburg
                                    Pretty easy. Wolfsburg were open as hell - which works in Bundesliga but not against good teams in Europe. Napoli have a lot of fast, flair players, and Higuain played probably the 2 best games of his career.

                                    Dnipro are the total opposite to Wolfsburg. They sit deep, defend narrow, and work their asses off for the team and each other. Napoli don't like playing against teams who defend deep. They can't capitilise on their pace advantage as there is little room behind the defence to exploit.
                                    Comment
                                    • paco
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 05-07-09
                                      • 62873

                                      #19
                                      Looks like Napoli draw. All those shots can't capitalize
                                      Comment
                                      • dreamlanding
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 02-22-11
                                        • 316

                                        #20
                                        Horrorshow for my parlay... Never trust Italian teams
                                        Comment
                                        • whareouttogetme
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-26-10
                                          • 2721

                                          #21
                                          Wasn't expecting this. Terrible from fiorentina
                                          Comment
                                          • GR33D
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 02-25-14
                                            • 481

                                            #22
                                            HAHAHA suck shit Napoli. I knew you were frauds. That outright win I got for Sevilla at $5.5o is looking mighty fune
                                            Comment
                                            • whareouttogetme
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 09-26-10
                                              • 2721

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by GR33D
                                              HAHAHA suck shit Napoli. I knew you were frauds. That outright win I got for Sevilla at $5.5o is looking mighty fune
                                              I had Fiorentina from the start @ 20/1

                                              Absolutely gutted, with Napoli would have gotten Sevilla and Fio got Dnipro.
                                              Comment
                                              • whareouttogetme
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-26-10
                                                • 2721

                                                #24
                                                Just seen this

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                                                Disgusting..
                                                Comment
                                                • cryptocap
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 03-04-14
                                                  • 1528

                                                  #25
                                                  both games went exactly how i thought they would, looking forward to the 2nd leg!
                                                  Comment
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