Soccer betting

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  • AceChampion
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-19-14
    • 832

    #106
    Thanks for the Rovers match...threw it in a nice parlay...
    Comment
    • indio
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 06-03-11
      • 751

      #107
      Originally posted by LFC1892
      Indio I respect your opinion bro but I doubt I will quit when I have over 7k profit since the start this thread. I use all kind of methods, I dont use statistical betting trends only but I will lie if I say I don't use them as well.
      I'll admit, I don't come here often enough to know your history, and it seems like you have a good handle on a lot of soccer leagues and ACTUALLY WATCH GAMES which allows you to judge talent, form, tactics and all sorts of good stuff and I tip my cap for that. The best way to get ahead betting on this sport is to watch lots of games, as not only does it give you great feel and insight, but also gives you an edge since suprisingly, many who bet this sport hardly ever watch a match that isn't a big league TV match. But when I see you betting unders because all the other games in the league were high scoring that day, I cringe. It has absolutely no correlation or impact on what happens in another game. Quite honestly, you seem too sharp to consider something so utterly meaningless.

      But hey, besides that personal peeve of mine, the few other write ups I've bothered to read of yours seem insightful and well thought up and I certainly wish nothing but the best of success for you. It's nice to know I'm not the only one watching soccer matches from Paraguay and Bolivia. And if you are actually watching matches from Azerbaijan, you are way more hard core than I am when it comes to soccer.
      Comment
      • LFC1892
        SBR Sharp
        • 11-09-13
        • 447

        #108
        Cheers Ace and thanks for the good words Indio. You are right. However I'm not watching every game but I read a lot and watch reports and highlights if available. I have played soccer for a few years before so this is another advantage I guess.GL to you as well

        Ecuador
        Dep.Cuenca-LDU Loja-Under 2.5-@1.72
        Stake: 450$

        Reason: This bet appeals to me a lot. We usually don't see many open games in this league and this match won't be an exception. I expect a close game with one or two goals only. Both teams have terrible attacks and they lack creativity in the midfield. It's also true that both teams have terrible defense but I highly doubt any of them can score more than once. Deportivo Cuenca is the team in form but a team from their rank can't repeat three good performances in a row. I can see a boring draw.
        Comment
        • LFC1892
          SBR Sharp
          • 11-09-13
          • 447

          #109
          1-0 FT and that's 7 in a row. I will check the other leagues as well but I'm starting with two games I was thinking about yesterday.

          Bulgaria
          Botev PLovdiv-CSKA-CSKA DNB-@1.80
          Stake: 250$

          Reason: The bookmakers don't know what to expect here. Both teams in poor form and both with financial problems. I have written about CSKA before and they have a great ex soccer player (One of the best strikers in Atletico M,CSKA and Valencia) as a coach L.Penev. He is very good expert. This game is important for CSKA because they fight for EU spot and Lokomotiv Sofia lost yesterday. Botev have nothing to play for. Botev is a typical home team almost invinsible at home but they have to give back the favour to CSKA for their last game in Plovdiv when CSKA lost in order to kick their main rival Levski out of top 6.

          England
          Southampton-Aston Villa-Under 2.5-@1.87
          Stake: 250$

          Reason: Both teams will be happy with a point here. I doubt that some of them will attack to smash the other team. Moreover Southampton have the second best defense at home and it will be extremely difficult for Villa to score even once considering that Villa have the worst away attack as well.
          Comment
          • spf888
            SBR High Roller
            • 02-15-14
            • 114

            #110
            Good morning, mate. See anything you like coming up at 9:00am est?
            Comment
            • LFC1892
              SBR Sharp
              • 11-09-13
              • 447

              #111
              Sotton-3 goals in 3 minutes all scored by one player. And now 5-1 at HT.. didn't see that one coming

              Germany
              Werder Bremen-B.Monchengladbach-Over 3-@1.92
              Stake: 250$

              Reason: Two attack-minded teams that usually score a lot when they play against each other. Werder have chances for EL so they need a win here, the draw won't work for them. They have to attack. On the other hand Monchengladbach is one of the best teams in Germany this year so I expect a few goals by them as well.

              Premier League
              Sunderland-Leicester-Under 2.5-@1.81
              Stake: 250$

              Reason: Risky play considering this Sotton-Villa scenario. The last rounds are pretty tricky. My main argument for this bet is that both teams are in the relegation battle and this game means a lot to them. They will play carefully and won't risk to lose the game because of some stupid mistake in defense.

              Italy
              Avellino-Trapani-Avellino-@1.62
              Stake: 300$

              Reason: Avellino is currently 9th with 58 points. The 7th and 8th in the table have the same amount of points but better goal difference. Avellino is fighting for Promotion and this game means a lot. They are one of the best home teams in Seria B with 11-5-4 record and 24-13 goal difference. Their opponent have no motivation today and I expect to see a comfortable home win. The odds already dropped. The game of the season for Avellino.
              Comment
              • koko22
                SBR Rookie
                • 05-10-15
                • 13

                #112
                HEHE just reeding the tables la...,,, you now noting footbal laa 500dollaar reeding table la hehehehe
                Comment
                • LFC1892
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 11-09-13
                  • 447

                  #113
                  No need to hate koko. Why you didn't post when I had 7 wins in a row ? My apologies to those who followed. Bad last games indeed. I'm looking in the long-term and that's what matters to me.
                  Comment
                  • LFC1892
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 11-09-13
                    • 447

                    #114
                    Paraguay
                    Deportivo Santani-Nacional Asuncion-Under 2.5-@1.84
                    Stake: 300$
                    Comment
                    • LFC1892
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-09-13
                      • 447

                      #115
                      Brazil Chapecoense +1.5ah + Ecuador U.Catolica +0.5ah -@2.002
                      Stake: 400$
                      Comment
                      • LFC1892
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 11-09-13
                        • 447

                        #116
                        Portugal Covilha win + Turkey Bursa win + Sweden Selanger win- @2.184
                        Stake: 400$

                        Swansea-Man C-Man C-@1.714
                        Stake: 1000$

                        Reason: I haven't had a big bet for a while but I'm pulling the trigger in this one. I watched City in their last two games and this is definitely the best team in England atm. Aguero is simply unstoppable. Swansea had a good game against Arsenal but they were very lucky. Arsenal missed so many chances it was unreal. Moreover Giroud is a slow striker and he was not a problem for Williams and Fernandez. However they will face players like Aguero and Silva today and the phisical power of Toure Fernandinho and Fernando will be too much as well. When we look at the report we see that Arsenal dominated possession in their opponents half, created a lot of clear cut chances but were poor at finishing and this is mainly because they miss the top striker. Well City have the best striker in the league and he is on fire now. I don't know why the odds are like this when the real ones should be in the range 1.4-1.5. This is a gift in my opinion.

                        Comment
                        • Enjoi
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 02-12-13
                          • 328

                          #117
                          Good call LFC.

                          You playing anything else today?
                          Comment
                          • LFC1892
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 11-09-13
                            • 447

                            #118
                            Cheers Enjoi. City is playing great

                            Atletico Madrid-Barcelona-Under 2.5-@2.00
                            Stake: 600$

                            Reason: I have a few reasons for this bet. Luis Suarez took a harmstring injury and was substituted against Bayern. He is doubtful for this game and he won't start. And that's a huge miss for Barca considering his contribution to the team. He is the best assister in the team except Messi. And he actually creates a lot of space for Messi, Neymar and the others as well. Barcelona will be tired and nobody can prove me the opposite. The season is coming to an end and the players are already saving their powers for the two upcoming finals. And we saw that in the second half against Bayern. Atletico with incredible defense at home- only 10 conceded goals in 18 games. Simply incredible. There is no reason to change their style now, that means they will play their counter attacking football and will count on good defending. Tiago is sidelined due to suspension meaning that Mario Suarez will slot into the center of the park to replace him. And for me Suarez is the better defensive midfielder although underrated by many others. He started 4 games all finished Under 2.5 goals- 0-0 with Real Madrid, 2-0 against Real Sociedad, 1-0 against Leverkuzen and 0-0 with Sevilla. He was playing against great attacking players and he managed to stop them all. Considering all the information above I can't see goals tonight.
                            Comment
                            • SOUP
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-02-09
                              • 1325

                              #119
                              Yah but Barcelona will be playing for the league title today.
                              Comment
                              • LFC1892
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 11-09-13
                                • 447

                                #120
                                0-1, 15 minutes to go. Let's hope to end this way. Draw would have been good for them as well SOUP, they play at home in the last round.

                                Flamengo-Sport-Over 2.5-@2.15
                                Stake: 200$

                                Reason: I see value in this bet at these odds. The Brazilian Seria A started a few days ago and this will be the second round. Sport is very attack-minded team and they showed that winning 4-1 against Figueriense in the first round. 4 days after the game they won 2-0 against Chapecoense for the Cup. The team is feeling great, they create a lot of chances and score pretty easy. Diego Souza will be aiming to maintain his fine form after three goals in the space of a week. Eibar-the most creative midfielder of the team will come back after he missed out the last game for the Cup. Flamengo started the campaign with high ambitions but lost in the first round 2-1 against Sao Paulo. The team will be very eager to bounce back in front of their fans and they score almost every time at home. Moreover they will have 3 players back for this game and Paulinho one of their best attacking players is among them as well. 90% of the games between these two sides have seen 2 or more goals which is eloquent enough. I can see at least three goals here.
                                Comment
                                • LFC1892
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 11-09-13
                                  • 447

                                  #121
                                  Very profitable Sunday so far

                                  I have two more games up my sleeve.
                                  Comment
                                  • LFC1892
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 11-09-13
                                    • 447

                                    #122
                                    Brazilian parlay I like a lot- Under 2.5 in Joinsville-Palmeiras and Sao Paulo -0.5 against Ponte Preta-@2.24 the double
                                    Stake: 300$

                                    Reason: Palmeiras will miss their best playmaker for this game Cleiton Xavier and the team will lack creativity in the midfield. Joinsville is a team that park the bus and count on counter attacks. Low scoring game is what I see. Sao Paulo will have a difficult game against Ponte Preta and they might not even win but they won't lose as well. They have too much class for Ponte and they will come back home with a point in the worst scenario.
                                    Comment
                                    • intermission
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 05-12-15
                                      • 2499

                                      #123
                                      You should post those two games
                                      Comment
                                      • LFC1892
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-09-13
                                        • 447

                                        #124
                                        Originally posted by intermission
                                        You should post those two games
                                        One is the parlay above and the other one is from Paraguay but I still hesitate between two bets in the game.
                                        Comment
                                        • jontebond
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-19-12
                                          • 2714

                                          #125
                                          @LFC1892
                                          Really solid day today, cheers!
                                          Comment
                                          • LFC1892
                                            SBR Sharp
                                            • 11-09-13
                                            • 447

                                            #126
                                            Cheers jonte. I really hope for Sao Paulo goal now, they are playing better. I will count on singles only if they fail to comeback.

                                            I decided to go for Under 2.5-@2.02 in Libertad-Deportivo Capiata with 150$. We usually see goals in Paraguay but I doubt there will be more than one or two goals here. Deportivo played against the best team in the league in the last round and lost 2-0 only conceding in the 89 min and the other goal from penalty. Libertad lack creativity in midfield and we can see they have only 12 goals scored at home in 9 games.
                                            Comment
                                            • LFC1892
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-09-13
                                              • 447

                                              #127
                                              Napoli-Cesena-Cesena +2.5ah-@1.751
                                              Stake: 500$

                                              Reason: Some will say I'm crazy but I like this bet. Cesena is already relegated but they will park the bus in this game and we already saw what happened with Dnipro. Napoli can't break such defense easily. Moreover their best striker Higuain is not starting tonight which is pretty strange if you ask me. He missed a few chances against Dnipro but Cesena is not a better team for sure. Moreover the atmosphere in the club is not very good atm, the players are feeling tired so I don't know why the odds are like this. Sure Napoli can win but I doubt they will do it convincingly.
                                              Comment
                                              • spf888
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 02-15-14
                                                • 114

                                                #128
                                                Let's go Cesena!
                                                Comment
                                                • intermission
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 05-12-15
                                                  • 2499

                                                  #129
                                                  Originally posted by LFC1892
                                                  Napoli-Cesena-Cesena +2.5ah-@1.751
                                                  Stake: 500$

                                                  Reason: Some will say I'm crazy but I like this bet. Cesena is already relegated but they will park the bus in this game and we already saw what happened with Dnipro. Napoli can't break such defense easily. Moreover their best striker Higuain is not starting tonight which is pretty strange if you ask me. He missed a few chances against Dnipro but Cesena is not a better team for sure. Moreover the atmosphere in the club is not very good atm, the players are feeling tired so I don't know why the odds are like this. Sure Napoli can win but I doubt they will do it convincingly.
                                                  Damn you're crazy haha
                                                  Comment
                                                  • spf888
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 02-15-14
                                                    • 114

                                                    #130
                                                    Slow clap.......
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LFC1892
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 11-09-13
                                                      • 447

                                                      #131
                                                      Cheers Over 9k profit since the start of the thread. I will update in the next days when I have more free time.

                                                      Report of the game: We have been witnesses to an ordinary game without many stirring situations. The control of the game belonged to the home side. Players of the home side presented themselves with possession football and the away players focused especially on the well-organised defense.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • LFC1892
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 11-09-13
                                                        • 447

                                                        #132
                                                        Persepolis-Al Hilal-Under 2.5-@1.64
                                                        Stake: 1000$

                                                        Reason: This is my big bet on Tuesday in AFC Champions League. Both teams prefer to defend and wait for the right moment to counter attack. This is the perfect match-up for an Under game in my opinion. And it's not a group stage game but a 1/8 final and both teams are expected to be far more disciplined and concentrated. Moreover the visitors are experts of slowing down the tempo and considering that the Iranian players are not very gifted we might not even see a goal here. These teams have met twice before for a two boring Unders. I expect the same. The odds already dropped a lot.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • intermission
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-12-15
                                                          • 2499

                                                          #133
                                                          Thanks! do you see anything else good for tomorrow ?
                                                          Comment
                                                          • koko22
                                                            SBR Rookie
                                                            • 05-10-15
                                                            • 13

                                                            #134
                                                            i foolows perspolis maatch
                                                            Comment
                                                            • intermission
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 05-12-15
                                                              • 2499

                                                              #135


                                                              thanks for the money!!!!!!!!!!!!!

                                                              Comment
                                                              • uannaka
                                                                SBR Rookie
                                                                • 04-25-15
                                                                • 42

                                                                #136
                                                                Nice win. Anymore picks?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • paco
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 05-07-09
                                                                  • 62873

                                                                  #137
                                                                  Nice work buddy,
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • LFC1892
                                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                                    • 11-09-13
                                                                    • 447

                                                                    #138
                                                                    mates. Nice game.

                                                                    A lot of work lately and I coudn't watch the game but only one goal and it's in the added time.

                                                                    I will post if I bet something later.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • LFC1892
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-09-13
                                                                      • 447

                                                                      #139
                                                                      Emelec-U.A.N.L-Tigres-U.A.N.L-Tigres -0.5-@1.90
                                                                      Stake: 250$

                                                                      Reason: This is an absolute value bet in my opinion. The first 1/4 final in Copa Libertadores will face two of the best teams in the tournament. However Emelec is pretty overrated in my eyes and they were very lucky in the group stages-Strongest is the better team as a whole but they were one point behind Emelec at the end which finished second. Emelec have a big home advantage and they usually count on this. In the 1/8 final though Atl.Nacional missed a lot of great chances and they failed to score which cost them the game with aggr. score 2-1. On the other hand Tigres is one of the best counter attacking teams I have watched. They can literally punish you with one attack. The team is playing great since the start of the competition and I'm impressed how they manage to turn defense into attack. The team is far better than Emelec in the current situation and I can't see them losing.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • LFC1892
                                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                                        • 11-09-13
                                                                        • 447

                                                                        #140
                                                                        Chilling with a bottle ot whisky waiting for more $$$.

                                                                        Comment
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