Thanks for the Rovers match...threw it in a nice parlay...
Soccer betting
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AceChampionSBR Wise Guy
- 07-19-14
- 832
#106Comment -
indioSBR Wise Guy
- 06-03-11
- 751
#107
But hey, besides that personal peeve of mine, the few other write ups I've bothered to read of yours seem insightful and well thought up and I certainly wish nothing but the best of success for you. It's nice to know I'm not the only one watching soccer matches from Paraguay and Bolivia. And if you are actually watching matches from Azerbaijan, you are way more hard core than I am when it comes to soccer.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#108Cheers Ace and thanks for the good words Indio. You are right. However I'm not watching every game but I read a lot and watch reports and highlights if available. I have played soccer for a few years before so this is another advantage I guess.GL to you as well
Ecuador
Dep.Cuenca-LDU Loja-Under 2.5-@1.72
Stake: 450$
Reason: This bet appeals to me a lot. We usually don't see many open games in this league and this match won't be an exception. I expect a close game with one or two goals only. Both teams have terrible attacks and they lack creativity in the midfield. It's also true that both teams have terrible defense but I highly doubt any of them can score more than once. Deportivo Cuenca is the team in form but a team from their rank can't repeat three good performances in a row. I can see a boring draw.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#1091-0 FT and that's 7 in a row. I will check the other leagues as well but I'm starting with two games I was thinking about yesterday.
Bulgaria
Botev PLovdiv-CSKA-CSKA DNB-@1.80
Stake: 250$
Reason: The bookmakers don't know what to expect here. Both teams in poor form and both with financial problems. I have written about CSKA before and they have a great ex soccer player (One of the best strikers in Atletico M,CSKA and Valencia) as a coach L.Penev. He is very good expert. This game is important for CSKA because they fight for EU spot and Lokomotiv Sofia lost yesterday. Botev have nothing to play for. Botev is a typical home team almost invinsible at home but they have to give back the favour to CSKA for their last game in Plovdiv when CSKA lost in order to kick their main rival Levski out of top 6.
England
Southampton-Aston Villa-Under 2.5-@1.87
Stake: 250$
Reason: Both teams will be happy with a point here. I doubt that some of them will attack to smash the other team. Moreover Southampton have the second best defense at home and it will be extremely difficult for Villa to score even once considering that Villa have the worst away attack as well.Comment -
spf888SBR High Roller
- 02-15-14
- 114
#110Good morning, mate. See anything you like coming up at 9:00am est?Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#111Sotton-3 goals in 3 minutes all scored by one player. And now 5-1 at HT.. didn't see that one coming
Germany
Werder Bremen-B.Monchengladbach-Over 3-@1.92
Stake: 250$
Reason: Two attack-minded teams that usually score a lot when they play against each other. Werder have chances for EL so they need a win here, the draw won't work for them. They have to attack. On the other hand Monchengladbach is one of the best teams in Germany this year so I expect a few goals by them as well.
Premier League
Sunderland-Leicester-Under 2.5-@1.81
Stake: 250$
Reason: Risky play considering this Sotton-Villa scenario. The last rounds are pretty tricky. My main argument for this bet is that both teams are in the relegation battle and this game means a lot to them. They will play carefully and won't risk to lose the game because of some stupid mistake in defense.
Italy
Avellino-Trapani-Avellino-@1.62
Stake: 300$
Reason: Avellino is currently 9th with 58 points. The 7th and 8th in the table have the same amount of points but better goal difference. Avellino is fighting for Promotion and this game means a lot. They are one of the best home teams in Seria B with 11-5-4 record and 24-13 goal difference. Their opponent have no motivation today and I expect to see a comfortable home win. The odds already dropped. The game of the season for Avellino.Comment -
koko22SBR Rookie
- 05-10-15
- 13
#112HEHE just reeding the tables la...,,, you now noting footbal laa 500dollaar reeding table la heheheheComment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#113No need to hate koko. Why you didn't post when I had 7 wins in a row ? My apologies to those who followed. Bad last games indeed. I'm looking in the long-term and that's what matters to me.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#114Paraguay
Deportivo Santani-Nacional Asuncion-Under 2.5-@1.84
Stake: 300$Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#115Brazil Chapecoense +1.5ah + Ecuador U.Catolica +0.5ah -@2.002
Stake: 400$Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#116Portugal Covilha win + Turkey Bursa win + Sweden Selanger win- @2.184
Stake: 400$
Swansea-Man C-Man C-@1.714
Stake: 1000$
Reason: I haven't had a big bet for a while but I'm pulling the trigger in this one. I watched City in their last two games and this is definitely the best team in England atm. Aguero is simply unstoppable. Swansea had a good game against Arsenal but they were very lucky. Arsenal missed so many chances it was unreal. Moreover Giroud is a slow striker and he was not a problem for Williams and Fernandez. However they will face players like Aguero and Silva today and the phisical power of Toure Fernandinho and Fernando will be too much as well. When we look at the report we see that Arsenal dominated possession in their opponents half, created a lot of clear cut chances but were poor at finishing and this is mainly because they miss the top striker. Well City have the best striker in the league and he is on fire now. I don't know why the odds are like this when the real ones should be in the range 1.4-1.5. This is a gift in my opinion.
Comment -
EnjoiSBR Sharp
- 02-12-13
- 328
#117Good call LFC.
You playing anything else today?Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#118Cheers Enjoi. City is playing great
Atletico Madrid-Barcelona-Under 2.5-@2.00
Stake: 600$
Reason: I have a few reasons for this bet. Luis Suarez took a harmstring injury and was substituted against Bayern. He is doubtful for this game and he won't start. And that's a huge miss for Barca considering his contribution to the team. He is the best assister in the team except Messi. And he actually creates a lot of space for Messi, Neymar and the others as well. Barcelona will be tired and nobody can prove me the opposite. The season is coming to an end and the players are already saving their powers for the two upcoming finals. And we saw that in the second half against Bayern. Atletico with incredible defense at home- only 10 conceded goals in 18 games. Simply incredible. There is no reason to change their style now, that means they will play their counter attacking football and will count on good defending. Tiago is sidelined due to suspension meaning that Mario Suarez will slot into the center of the park to replace him. And for me Suarez is the better defensive midfielder although underrated by many others. He started 4 games all finished Under 2.5 goals- 0-0 with Real Madrid, 2-0 against Real Sociedad, 1-0 against Leverkuzen and 0-0 with Sevilla. He was playing against great attacking players and he managed to stop them all. Considering all the information above I can't see goals tonight.Comment -
SOUPSBR MVP
- 11-02-09
- 1325
#119Yah but Barcelona will be playing for the league title today.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#1200-1, 15 minutes to go. Let's hope to end this way. Draw would have been good for them as well SOUP, they play at home in the last round.
Flamengo-Sport-Over 2.5-@2.15
Stake: 200$
Reason: I see value in this bet at these odds. The Brazilian Seria A started a few days ago and this will be the second round. Sport is very attack-minded team and they showed that winning 4-1 against Figueriense in the first round. 4 days after the game they won 2-0 against Chapecoense for the Cup. The team is feeling great, they create a lot of chances and score pretty easy. Diego Souza will be aiming to maintain his fine form after three goals in the space of a week. Eibar-the most creative midfielder of the team will come back after he missed out the last game for the Cup. Flamengo started the campaign with high ambitions but lost in the first round 2-1 against Sao Paulo. The team will be very eager to bounce back in front of their fans and they score almost every time at home. Moreover they will have 3 players back for this game and Paulinho one of their best attacking players is among them as well. 90% of the games between these two sides have seen 2 or more goals which is eloquent enough. I can see at least three goals here.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#121Very profitable Sunday so far
I have two more games up my sleeve.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#122Brazilian parlay I like a lot- Under 2.5 in Joinsville-Palmeiras and Sao Paulo -0.5 against Ponte Preta-@2.24 the double
Stake: 300$
Reason: Palmeiras will miss their best playmaker for this game Cleiton Xavier and the team will lack creativity in the midfield. Joinsville is a team that park the bus and count on counter attacks. Low scoring game is what I see. Sao Paulo will have a difficult game against Ponte Preta and they might not even win but they won't lose as well. They have too much class for Ponte and they will come back home with a point in the worst scenario.Comment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#123You should post those two gamesComment -
jontebondSBR MVP
- 11-19-12
- 2714
#125@LFC1892
Really solid day today, cheers!Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#126Cheers jonte. I really hope for Sao Paulo goal now, they are playing better. I will count on singles only if they fail to comeback.
I decided to go for Under 2.5-@2.02 in Libertad-Deportivo Capiata with 150$. We usually see goals in Paraguay but I doubt there will be more than one or two goals here. Deportivo played against the best team in the league in the last round and lost 2-0 only conceding in the 89 min and the other goal from penalty. Libertad lack creativity in midfield and we can see they have only 12 goals scored at home in 9 games.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#127Napoli-Cesena-Cesena +2.5ah-@1.751
Stake: 500$
Reason: Some will say I'm crazy but I like this bet. Cesena is already relegated but they will park the bus in this game and we already saw what happened with Dnipro. Napoli can't break such defense easily. Moreover their best striker Higuain is not starting tonight which is pretty strange if you ask me. He missed a few chances against Dnipro but Cesena is not a better team for sure. Moreover the atmosphere in the club is not very good atm, the players are feeling tired so I don't know why the odds are like this. Sure Napoli can win but I doubt they will do it convincingly.Comment -
spf888SBR High Roller
- 02-15-14
- 114
#128Let's go Cesena!Comment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#129Napoli-Cesena-Cesena +2.5ah-@1.751
Stake: 500$
Reason: Some will say I'm crazy but I like this bet. Cesena is already relegated but they will park the bus in this game and we already saw what happened with Dnipro. Napoli can't break such defense easily. Moreover their best striker Higuain is not starting tonight which is pretty strange if you ask me. He missed a few chances against Dnipro but Cesena is not a better team for sure. Moreover the atmosphere in the club is not very good atm, the players are feeling tired so I don't know why the odds are like this. Sure Napoli can win but I doubt they will do it convincingly.Comment -
spf888SBR High Roller
- 02-15-14
- 114
#130Slow clap.......Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#131CheersOver 9k profit since the start of the thread. I will update in the next days when I have more free time.
Report of the game: We have been witnesses to an ordinary game without many stirring situations. The control of the game belonged to the home side. Players of the home side presented themselves with possession football and the away players focused especially on the well-organised defense.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#132Persepolis-Al Hilal-Under 2.5-@1.64
Stake: 1000$
Reason: This is my big bet on Tuesday in AFC Champions League. Both teams prefer to defend and wait for the right moment to counter attack. This is the perfect match-up for an Under game in my opinion. And it's not a group stage game but a 1/8 final and both teams are expected to be far more disciplined and concentrated. Moreover the visitors are experts of slowing down the tempo and considering that the Iranian players are not very gifted we might not even see a goal here. These teams have met twice before for a two boring Unders. I expect the same. The odds already dropped a lot.Comment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#133Thanks! do you see anything else good for tomorrow?
Comment -
koko22SBR Rookie
- 05-10-15
- 13
#134i foolows perspolis maatchComment -
intermissionSBR MVP
- 05-12-15
- 2499
#135
thanks for the money!!!!!!!!!!!!!
Comment -
uannakaSBR Rookie
- 04-25-15
- 42
#136Nice win. Anymore picks?Comment -
pacoSBR Aristocracy
- 05-07-09
- 62873
#137Nice work buddy,Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#138mates. Nice game.
A lot of work lately and I coudn't watch the game but only one goal and it's in the added time.
I will post if I bet something later.Comment -
LFC1892SBR Sharp
- 11-09-13
- 447
#139Emelec-U.A.N.L-Tigres-U.A.N.L-Tigres -0.5-@1.90
Stake: 250$
Reason: This is an absolute value bet in my opinion. The first 1/4 final in Copa Libertadores will face two of the best teams in the tournament. However Emelec is pretty overrated in my eyes and they were very lucky in the group stages-Strongest is the better team as a whole but they were one point behind Emelec at the end which finished second. Emelec have a big home advantage and they usually count on this. In the 1/8 final though Atl.Nacional missed a lot of great chances and they failed to score which cost them the game with aggr. score 2-1. On the other hand Tigres is one of the best counter attacking teams I have watched. They can literally punish you with one attack. The team is playing great since the start of the competition and I'm impressed how they manage to turn defense into attack. The team is far better than Emelec in the current situation and I can't see them losing.Comment
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