Idiotic Soccer System Picks

[posey]

Easiest system in the world. Completely idiotic, very risky, but giving me profit nonetheless.

Parameters:
- Play only big home favs with a certain average odd (I use betexplorer for that)
- Home fav must have at least a certain position in the table, depending on the size of the league
- Away dog mustn't be above a certain position in the table, depending on the size of the league
- Home fav must have made at least a certain amount of points over the last 5 games
- Away dog mustn't have made more than a certain amount of points over the last 5 games
- Always risk 1/3 of entire bankroll on each bet
- Not more than 3 bets rolling at the same time

If I go bankrupt, well, I go bankrupt.

(This thread isn't meant to be spam!)

[posey]

Started with a balance of 100 € on 1st March 15.

Played Bets (Date, Match, Fav = Bold, Bookie, Stake, Odds, Result, Profit, New Balance):

1st March 15:
- Zamora - Tucanes (Venezuela Primera Division), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 33 €, Odds: 1,33, Res: 4:0, Prof: +10,89 €, NB: 110,89 €

2nd March 15:
- Smyrnis - Psachna (Greece Football League), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 37 €, Odds: 1,22, Res: 2:1, Prof: +7,99 €, NB: 118,88 €
- ASA Targu - Ceahlaul (Romania Liga I), Bookie: Pinnacle, Stake: 37 €, Odds: 1,39, Res: 3:0, Prof: +14,43 €, NB: 133,31 €

3rd March 15:
- Morton - Stirling (Scotland League 1), Bookie: Pinnacle, Stake: 45 €, Odds: 1,31, Res: 4:0, Prof: +13,95 €, NB: 147,26


Open bets:

6th March 15:
- Wegberg-Beeck - Walheim (Germany Oberliga Mittelrhein), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 49 €, Odds: 1,26

[Merkel]

We already have the most idiotic soccer system, Nguyen77 posts 'em for us.

[lamtpham]

LoL, I like this, sounds good posey

[posey]

We already have the most idiotic soccer system, Nguyen77 posts 'em for us.

Sry didn't know that.

LoL, I like this, sounds good posey

Thx. Wegberg-Beeck is close to a win already.

[posey]

Played 6th March 15:
- Wegberg-Beeck - Walheim (Germany Oberliga Mittelrhein), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 49 €, Odds: 1,26, Res: 1:0, Prof: +12,91 €, NB: 160,17 €

Another winner. Tons of possible bets today. Gonna look for them right now.

[posey]

Open Bets

7th March 15:
- 13:00: Hoffenheim U19 - Saarbrücken U19 (Germany Jun. Bundesliga South), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,24
- 15:00: Spielberg - Freiburger FC (Germany Oberliga Baden-Württemberg), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,26
- 20:00 Gent - Lierse (Belgium Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,26

*)
- Time: UTC+01:00
- Odds: Decimal

[posey]

Played Bets

7th March 15:
- 13:00: Hoffenheim U19 - Saarbrücken U19 (Germany Jun. Bundesliga South), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,24, Res: 6:1, Profit: 12,46 €, NB: 172,63 €
- 15:00: Spielberg - Freiburger FC (Germany Oberliga Baden-Württemberg), Bookie: Bet365, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,26; Res: 1:1, Profit: -53 €, NB: 119,63 €
- 20:00 Gent - Lierse (Belgium Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Stake: 53 €, Odds: 1,26, Res: 2:1, Profit: 13,78 €, NB: 133,41 €

Had 7 possible bets yesterday. 6 of them had been winners, but Spielberg was the only loser. Damn.

[posey]

Open Bets

8th March 15:
- 15:00: Drochtersen/Assel - Teutonia Uelzen (Oberliga Niedersachsen), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,23, Stake: 44 €
- 19:30: Duisburg II - Nievenheim (Oberliga Niederrhein), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,26, Stake: 44 €

[posey]

Played bets:

8th March 15:
- 15:00: Drochtersen/Assel - Teutonia Uelzen (Oberliga Niedersachsen), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,23, Stake: 44 €, Res: 2:1, Profit: +10,12 €, NB: 143,53 €
- 15:00: Duisburg II - Nievenheim (Oberliga Niederrhein), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,26, Stake: 44 €, Res: 3:0, Profit: +11,44 €, NB: 154,97 €




(Duisburg II played at 15:00, too, had misstyped it in the post before)

[silvap]

Interesting system, i like it. Best of luck and thanks for sharing

[posey]

Open bets:

9th March 15:
- 13:00: Brno U21 - Slovacko U21 (Czech Youth League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 51 €
(Explanation: Slovacko doesn't meet the criterias, a deeper look told me it's no possible bet)

Interesting system, i like it. Best of luck and thanks for sharing

You're welcome.

It's highly likely it will keep rolling. The only problem occurs when I have accumulated a certain amount of money and then lose 1 or 2 games. Because of the high stakes it could crash the balance. It's high risk. Maybe I will decide to safe some money after reaching a certain balance and after that continue with a new smaller balance. I have backtested it and everybody should be able to make money with it if following the guidelines. I never got bankrupt with it. Maybe I will give the guidelines away in the future, not sure yet.

[posey]

Open bets:

10th March 15:
- 19:30: Viktoria Köln - KFC Uerdingen, Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1.25 (*), Stake: 51 €


(*)
ML odds aren't available at Pinnacle right now. Gonna hit them as soon as they show up. Sbobet has them at 1.24 at the moment and we can expect that Pinnacle's odds will be very similar to them. Will add the odds when I got them.
EDIT: Lines are up now (10th March 15 8 o' clock)

[posey]

Played bets:


10th March 15:
- 19:30: Viktoria Köln - KFC Uerdingen (Germany Regionalliga West), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1.25 (*), Stake: 51 €, Res: 4:1, Profit: +12,75 €, NB: 167,52 €







Open bets:


11th March 15:
- 20:45: Hibernian - Livingston (Scotland Championship), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1.30, Stake: 55 €

[silvap]

Another hit with Hibernian, nice (scary late shananigans though). Any chance you can go into further detail on the specifics (what position must home fave have, how many points in the last games and the rest of the things you mention in the first post). Cheers sir!

[posey]

Played bets:

11th March 15:
- 20:45: Hibernian - Livingston (Scotland Championship), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1.30, Stake: 55 €, Res: 2:1, Profit: 16,50 €, NB: 184,02 €




@silvap:
Yeah lol, 1:1 in the 88th, and 2:1 in the 89th...But I don't care. The match lasts as long as the referee blows the whistle.
I would like to wait and after that maybe I will come up with them. Pls don't be angry with me.

[posey]

Open Bets

13th March 15:
- 20:00: NEC Nijmegen - Stormvogels Telstar (Netherlands Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,25, Stake: 61 €
- 20:45: Aberdeen FC - Motherwell FC (Scotland Premier League), Pinnacle, Odds: 1,28, Stake: 61 €

[buengato]

Very nice!

[posey]

If both bets hit I will have doubled my balance starting from 1st March to 13th March. I will take about 50 € of my balance and put it aside. Will continue with 150 € in case of two more winners.

[posey]

Played bets:


13th March 15:
- 20:00: NEC Nijmegen - Stormvogels Telstar (Netherlands Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,25, Stake: 61 €, Res: 2:0, Prof: 15,25 €, NB: 199,27 €
- 20:45: Aberdeen FC - Motherwell FC (Scotland Premier League), Pinnacle, Odds: 1,28, Stake: 61 €, Res: 2:1, Prof: 17,08 €, NB: 216,35 €

So I was able to double my bankroll in 13 days. Nice one.

[posey]

I will do now what I said yesterday. I will reduce my bankroll to 150 and start from there again.
This means I take 66,35 € aside and my new balance for today will be 50 € again.

[posey]

Open Bets


14th March 15:
- 14:00: CSKA Moscow - M. Saransk (Russia Premier League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,35, Stake: 50 €
- 15:00: Eichede - Angeln (Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 50 €
- 16:00: Corby - Banbury (England Southern Premier League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 50 €

[posey]

Here we are again! Another three!


Played bets


14th March 15:
- 14:00: CSKA Moscow - M. Saransk (Russia Premier League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,35, Stake: 50 €, Res: 4:0, Prof: 17,50 €, NB: 167,50 €
- 15:00: Eichede - Angeln (Germany Oberliga Schleswig-Holstein), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 50 €, Res: 3:1, Prof: 9,50 €, NB: 177,00 €
- 16:00: Corby - Banbury (England Southern Premier League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 50 €, Res: 2:0, Prof: 9,50, NB: 186,50 €

[posey]

Open bets

15th March 15:
- 12:00: Cadiz - Sevilla Atletico (Spain Segunda B Group 4), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,22, Stake: 62 €

Maybe more later.

[posey]

Puh, early red card for Cardiz and then it was over. First loss in a while. Hope to rebound...


Played bets:


15th March 15:
- 12:00: Cadiz - Sevilla Atletico (Spain Segunda B Group 4), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,22, Stake: 62 €, Res: 0:2, Prof: -62 €, NB: 124,50 €


Open bets:


15th March 15:
- 15:30: Wolfsburg - Freiburg (Germany Bundesliga), Bookie: Pinacle, Odds: 1,39, Stake: 41 €

[posey]

Played bets:


15th March 15:
- 15:30: Wolfsburg - Freiburg (Germany Bundesliga), Bookie: Pinacle, Odds: 1,39, Stake: 41 €, Res: 3:0, Prof: 15,99 €, NB: 140,49 €

[posey]

Open bets:


15th March 15:
- 18.30: Dyn. Kiev - Ill. Mariupol (Ukraine Premier League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,12, Stake: 46 €
- 20:15: FC Porto - Arouca (Portugal Superliga), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,11, Stake: 46 €

[posey]

Played bets


15th March 15:
- 18.30: Dyn. Kiev - Ill. Mariupol (Ukraine Premier League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,12, Stake: 46 €, Res: 5:0, Prof: 5,52 €, NB: 146,01 €
- 20.15: FC Porto - Arouca (Portugal Superliga), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,11, Stake: 46 €, Res: 1:0, Prof: 5,06 €, NB: 151,07 €

[posey]

Open bets

16th March 15:
- 20:00: FC Oss - RKC Waalwijk (Netherlands Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,37, Stake: 50 €

[posey]

Played bets

16th March 15:
- 20:00: FC Oss - RKC Waalwijk (Netherlands Jupiler League), Bookie: Pinnacle, Odds: 1,37, Stake: 50 €, Res: 4:1, Prof: 18,50 €, NB: 169,57 €

[posey]

Open bets


19th March 15:
- 14:00: Birkirkara - Pieta Hotspurs (Malta Premier League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,22, Stake: 56 €

[posey]

Played bets


19th March 15:
- 14:00: Birkirkara - Pieta Hotspurs (Malta Premier League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,22, Stake: 56 €, Res: 2:1, Prof: 12,10 €, NB: 181,67 €

[posey]

Open bets

20th March 15:
- 19:00: BW Linz - ATSV Wolfsberg (Austria Regionalliga Central), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 60 €

[posey]

Played bets

20th March 15:
- 19:00: BW Linz - ATSV Wolfsberg (Austria Regionalliga Central), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,19, Stake: 60 €, Res: 2:0, Prof: 11,40 €, NB: 193,07 €


If I win my next bet I will take off 50 € again and continue with a bank of 150 €. Taking off 50 € for the 2nd time would mean that I won't lose any money, since my initial bank was 100 € and I would have accumulated this with another win.

[posey]

Open bets

21st March 15:
- 14:00: Rabotnicki - Bregalnica Stip (Macedonia First League), Bookie: Bet365, Odds: 1,16, Stake: 64 €