Sat Nov 15th Picks

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 4041

    #1
    Sat Nov 15th Picks
    A good start to my stay in the SBR on Saturday, looking to keep it going into the weekend. Four plays on tap for Saturday
    1. Monterrey ML @ 1.91/-110 (MEX) 3 Units

    This is a rescheduled match from back in September, postponed due to weather. The visitors Guadalajara are 2nd last in the table in Mexico winless in 10 straight. The hosts Monterrey are in 6th spot in the league. Form wise for the home side 4 W 2L 2D at home. Guadalajara 1W 5L 2 D away in their past 8 away. There has been plenty of Draws in Mexico lately hoping the home side here gets it done.

    2. Carlisle OVER 2.5 @ 1.90/-111 (ENG L2) 2 Units

    A battle of the leagues 2 worst defences with Carlisle allowing a league high 30 GA and right behind them are Accrington Stanley with 27 GA. The past 5 games for the home side 4 have gone over 2.5. The past 5 for the visitors 3 have ended over 2.5. Games involving Accrington average a league high 3.19 goals per game, second highest is Carlisle with their games averaging 3.13 gpg. Carlisle scores 9 goals in the past 5 home games & Accrington nets 8 in the past 5 away. Expecting goals, was expecting 1.80/-125 max for the over.

    3. Perth Glory ML @ 2.25/+125 (AUS) 1 Unit


    It is still early in the season but Perth have been playing good footy lately winning 10 of their past 11 games in all competitions. Anytime you have a bottom of the table ZERO points in 3 games side going away to top of the table 12 points in 5 games you expect to pay the juice to back the home side. Plus money here is good value as Western Sydney have been in Champions league action and will find it tough to adjust to league play away from home across the country.

    4. Slovakia ML @ 1.95/-105 (ECQ) 1 Unit

    I have to back the Slovaks even on the road as they have started their qualification on a tear beating Spain at home Ukraine away and Belarus away. Macedonia lost to Spain and ukraine and hve only 1 close win over Luxemburg to start off their campaign. The past 6 meetings between these 2 Slovakia has never lost with 4 wins and 2 draws. Form here is key as Slovakia away from home have beat Poland, Israe,l Belgium, Ukraine and only lost 1 to Russia. Macedonia simply do not have the talent to compete their recent wins coming versus fellow minnows Luxemburg, Latvia and Wales. Hoping trends continue.

    BOL

    Posted Record

    1-0 +1.00 Units
  • swordsandtequila
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-23-12
    • 9757

    #2
    Got a little on plays #2 and #3, good luck
    Comment
    • disbarred
      SBR Hustler
      • 11-14-14
      • 70

      #3
      mONterray hurray!!!! BOL on that one!
      Comment
      • motorcycle
        SBR Hustler
        • 11-15-14
        • 77

        #4
        I followed your Poland tip yesterday and won, so hopefully you will have the same results today! I agree on Carlisle/Accrington, the other leagues I don't know enough about.
        Comment
        • DiamondJack
          SBR MVP
          • 11-13-14
          • 4041

          #5
          swords---
          disbarred---
          motorcycle---
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 4041

            #6
            Last nights results (7-3)...Good start for 'Big Stacks"

            ALL PLAYS 1 Unit (NCAAbb)

            1. Duke -34
            2. Florida -18.5
            3. Xavier -15.5
            4. Massachusets -5.5

            5. BYU -12
            6. UNC -16.5

            7. Charleston -4
            8. Kansas St -26
            9. San Diego St -16.5

            10. UNLV -5.5
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 4041

              #7
              "Big Stacks" Saturday Plays

              ALL PLAYS 1 Unit (NCAAbb)

              1. Florida st -10
              2. Colorado st -16.5
              Comment
              • TheOneTime
                SBR Rookie
                • 11-15-14
                • 14

                #8
                Thanks for the contact DJ... BOL today!. On Slovakia as well!
                Comment
                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 4041

                  #9
                  The one time-- You're Welcome
                  Comment
                  • DiamondJack
                    SBR MVP
                    • 11-13-14
                    • 4041

                    #10
                    "Big Stacks" Saturday Plays
                    (NCAAF)

                    1. Duke -4
                    2. Arkansas st -14.5

                    3. TCU -28
                    4. Notre Dame -17.5
                    5. Georgia southern +3
                    6. Oklahoma -13
                    7. Memphis -9.5
                    8. Middle Tennessee -5
                    9. Utah st -20
                    10. Utah +8.5
                    11. UL Lafayette -6.5
                    12. LSU +1
                    13. Boise St -14
                    14. Arizona st -7
                    Comment
                    • DiamondJack
                      SBR MVP
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 4041

                      #11
                      First one in to the Good side;

                      3. Perth Glory ML @ 2.25/+125 (AUS) 1 Unit
                      Comment
                      • Risinger
                        SBR Hustler
                        • 10-21-14
                        • 71

                        #12
                        I like the Slovakia's pick
                        Comment
                        • DiamondJack
                          SBR MVP
                          • 11-13-14
                          • 4041

                          #13
                          Risinger---
                          Comment
                          • franz555
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-13-14
                            • 10746

                            #14
                            DJ.......Slovakia as well.......Sweeeeeep that card today
                            Comment
                            • DiamondJack
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-13-14
                              • 4041

                              #15
                              Franz-- Danke
                              Comment
                              • disbarred
                                SBR Hustler
                                • 11-14-14
                                • 70

                                #16
                                Hope you have what I like to call a "el salvadoran" day . . . .clean house!!!!

                                Gonna look in greater detail at this afternoon's card after a trip to the dog park!!
                                Comment
                                • DiamondJack
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-14
                                  • 4041

                                  #17
                                  Good Luck in the new 'hood

                                  stay safe LOL
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 4041

                                    #18
                                    Let's go Carlisle/Accrington

                                    2 More
                                    Comment
                                    • DiamondJack
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-14
                                      • 4041

                                      #19
                                      WAKE UP ENGLAND
                                      Comment
                                      • odog11
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-14-11
                                        • 3874

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                        WAKE UP ENGLAND
                                        Unreal, 15 of 19 in League 1 & 2 stay under 2.5. I have seen days close to this before, almost never on the overs. That's why I like unders along with the fact that not many else seem to. Hope the trend continues for England in their Euro game, on the under. May look into a live play on England if it stays scoreless for a while and the # gets decent.
                                        Comment
                                        • DiamondJack
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 11-13-14
                                          • 4041

                                          #21
                                          odog--- Yeah England nationals can't score
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 4041

                                            #22
                                            Soon as I say ENG can't score they score a trio
                                            Comment
                                            • odog11
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-14-11
                                              • 3874

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                              Soon as I say ENG can't score they score a trio
                                              I know, I was sitting pretty thinking I was all set with the under and no value on England at all. When they tied it up 1-1 seemed like they had some mojo so I hedged out a little with England ML -111, took a little loss still.
                                              Comment
                                              • Rudeboy
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 07-15-14
                                                • 5725

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by odog11
                                                Unreal, 15 of 19 in League 1 & 2 stay under 2.5. I have seen days close to this before, almost never on the overs. That's why I like unders along with the fact that not many else seem to. Hope the trend continues for England in their Euro game, on the under. May look into a live play on England if it stays scoreless for a while and the # gets decent.
                                                Yeah what was all that about? Yesterday in euros unders were the play tooo
                                                Comment
                                                • motorcycle
                                                  SBR Hustler
                                                  • 11-15-14
                                                  • 77

                                                  #25
                                                  in some League 1 & 2 games the best players for those teams were on international duty. The league only permits the game to be cancelled if 3 or more are on international duty. Only having 1 or 2 away means the game still goes ahead, but those teams are without their best player.

                                                  That doesn't account for the majority of unders, but a lot of the pitches are in a bad way at the moment with the weather. I haven't followed gambling for so long, but maybe there are less goals at the turn of Autumn into Winter as players get used to the different conditions? Something to keep in mind for lower league games next weekend.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                    • 4041

                                                    #26
                                                    That might be the case in an odd team or so... most L2 & L1 teams are 95% domestic and the foreigners just are not good enough to make a national team...weather on the other hand does matter
                                                    Comment
                                                    • franz555
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 10746

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by motorcycle
                                                      in some League 1 & 2 games the best players for those teams were on international duty. The league only permits the game to be cancelled if 3 or more are on international duty. Only having 1 or 2 away means the game still goes ahead, but those teams are without their best player.

                                                      That doesn't account for the majority of unders, but a lot of the pitches are in a bad way at the moment with the weather. I haven't followed gambling for so long, but maybe there are less goals at the turn of Autumn into Winter as players get used to the different conditions? Something to keep in mind for lower league games next weekend.
                                                      Interesting info. Definitely worth looking into.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • motorcycle
                                                        SBR Hustler
                                                        • 11-15-14
                                                        • 77

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                        That might be the case in an odd team or so... most L2 & L1 teams are 95% domestic and the foreigners just are not good enough to make a national team...weather on the other hand does matter
                                                        Maybe there is something in it for League 1. 10 English league 1 sides had a player or players on international duty. Only 3 of those teams won today!

                                                        Here are the number of players on current international duty for each English league 1 team.

                                                        Coventry = 1. Benin.
                                                        Notts County = 3. Northern Ireland, Sierra Leone, Canada. (game wasn't postponed as 1 of Notts County's international players is on loan from another club)
                                                        Crewe = 1. Canada.
                                                        Doncaster = 1. South Africa.
                                                        Leyton Orient = 1. South Africa.
                                                        Oldham = 1. Angola.
                                                        Preston = 1. Gibraltar.
                                                        Swindon = 2. Australia, Iraq.
                                                        Fleetwood = 1. Northern Ireland.
                                                        Milton Keynes = 3. their game was postponed because of this.

                                                        I don't have the league 2 data. But you're probably correct that they're aren't (m)any league 2 clubs with international players called up.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Risinger
                                                          SBR Hustler
                                                          • 10-21-14
                                                          • 71

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Risinger
                                                          I like the Slovakia's pick
                                                          Cashed
                                                          Comment
                                                          • franz555
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 11-13-14
                                                            • 10746

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by motorcycle
                                                            Maybe there is something in it for League 1. 10 English league 1 sides had a player or players on international duty. Only 3 of those teams won today!

                                                            Here are the number of players on current international duty for each English league 1 team.

                                                            Coventry = 1. Benin.
                                                            Notts County = 3. Northern Ireland, Sierra Leone, Canada. (game wasn't postponed as 1 of Notts County's international players is on loan from another club)
                                                            Crewe = 1. Canada.
                                                            Doncaster = 1. South Africa.
                                                            Leyton Orient = 1. South Africa.
                                                            Oldham = 1. Angola.
                                                            Preston = 1. Gibraltar.
                                                            Swindon = 2. Australia, Iraq.
                                                            Fleetwood = 1. Northern Ireland.
                                                            Milton Keynes = 3. their game was postponed because of this.

                                                            I don't have the league 2 data. But you're probably correct that they're aren't (m)any league 2 clubs with international players called up.

                                                            You make a very good case. It's not so much the 1 or 2 players that are missing, but rather the significance of their presence, that changes the whole dynamic of their team. 3 out of 10 winning.....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • DiamondJack
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 11-13-14
                                                              • 4041

                                                              #31
                                                              Risinger---
                                                              motorcycle--- That would be an interesting angle when checking MLS players as that league plays on the Fifa INT dates
                                                              Comment
                                                              • DiamondJack
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 11-13-14
                                                                • 4041

                                                                #32
                                                                Well it all comes down to Mexico to see if I made a few in soccer .......

                                                                I will be out for the night & post SUNDAYS PLAYS IN about 5 hours or so...

                                                                1. Monterrey ML @ 1.91/-110 (MEX) 3 Units


                                                                2. Carlisle OVER 2.5 @ 1.90/-111 (ENG L2) 2 Units

                                                                3. Perth Glory ML @ 2.25/+125 (AUS) 1 Unit


                                                                4. Slovakia ML @ 1.95/-105 (ECQ) 1 Unit
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Rudeboy
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 07-15-14
                                                                  • 5725

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Well done Mexico comes through, nice start to the forum...thats the DiamondJack we all know & love
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • franz555
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 10746

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by Rudeboy
                                                                    Well done Mexico comes through, nice start to the forum...thats the DiamondJack we all know & love

                                                                    Yes sir, He just keeps grinding out winning days.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                                      • 4041

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Rudeboy---
                                                                      Franz---
                                                                      Comment
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