Fri Nov 14th ECQ Pick

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  • DiamondJack
    SBR MVP
    • 11-13-14
    • 4044

    #1
    Fri Nov 14th ECQ Pick
    Its always nice to start fresh. I will stick to one play for Friday;

    1. Poland ML @ 1.91/-110 (ECQ) 1 Unit


    I do not usually play away sides in the ECQ however when I heard Georgia's coach Ketsbaia proclaimed that "Georgian football is dead" I took notice. The manager will quit after the game versus Poland regardless of the result. The media are lambasting him for his selections, it is not going to look pretty. Numbers wise, past 6 home games for Georgia only 3 goals scored (2 of which came versus Liechtenstein). Poland are undefeated in the past 5 including a win and draw versus the World Champs Germany. The last 5 for Georgia 2 W & 3L (2 wins coming versus Saudi Arabia & Gibraltar). On paper Poland has the talent and these are the teams it needs to win to have a chance to be going to the Euros in France. My numbers had this at 1.80/-125

    BOL
  • Rudeboy
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 07-15-14
    • 5725

    #2
    BOL with this pick I like it.

    Just a heads up people round here rarely make new threads each day...I know "across the street" this is normal practice but everyone here makes all there plays in one thread.

    It's no biggy though.
    Comment
    • DiamondJack
      SBR MVP
      • 11-13-14
      • 4044

      #3
      Thanks for the heads up Rudeboy
      Comment
      • Rudeboy
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 07-15-14
        • 5725

        #4
        Originally posted by DiamondJack
        Thanks for the heads up Rudeboy
        Your welcome
        Comment
        • PackAttack98
          SBR Hustler
          • 12-22-11
          • 77

          #5
          Good luck DJ
          Comment
          • DiamondJack
            SBR MVP
            • 11-13-14
            • 4044

            #6
            Thanks Pack----

            Learning the new features here in the SBR
            Comment
            • DiamondJack
              SBR MVP
              • 11-13-14
              • 4044

              #7
              LEANING on;

              China ML (INT F)
              Comment
              • franz555
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-13-14
                • 10755

                #8
                Originally posted by DiamondJack
                LEANING on;

                China ML (INT F)
                On it. China have played a active schedule this year, compared to a very inactive New Zealand. Better team, at home, decent price. Love the play. Tailed you on Poland.
                Comment
                • DiamondJack
                  SBR MVP
                  • 11-13-14
                  • 4044

                  #9
                  It's just a matter of time before China have a decent team
                  Comment
                  • Kaepernicking
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 06-20-14
                    • 209

                    #10
                    hey mate sorry asked Franz the same ???.. are you going to place every day your plays within this forum or start a new one up every day? want to follow thats all mate
                    Comment
                    • CoFred
                      SBR Rookie
                      • 11-13-14
                      • 20

                      #11
                      Cheers to a nice fresh start. Can't wait to see your stack of units soon enough
                      Comment
                      • LeaninBack916
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-27-13
                        • 378

                        #12
                        On both as well for a 1.5 units
                        Comment
                        • sneakerhead
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 07-14-10
                          • 7727

                          #13
                          is germany under 9 a sucker bet?
                          Comment
                          • addictedto
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-08
                            • 1935

                            #14
                            Originally posted by sneakerhead
                            is germany under 9 a sucker bet?
                            This play is a lottery!
                            Comment
                            • Pelegbar
                              SBR High Roller
                              • 09-03-13
                              • 102

                              #15
                              Hey DJ, glad to see you here, GL with the pick. on it
                              Comment
                              • DiamondJack
                                SBR MVP
                                • 11-13-14
                                • 4044

                                #16
                                Pelegbar---
                                addict/sneaker---- The Total there is correct 10-0 or more is the likely outcome Germany needs a morale booster and a big whoopin should do that...having said that I have no play on it
                                Leanin---
                                CoFred---
                                Kaepernick--- Yep will be here for the time being
                                Comment
                                • cogiditopapa
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-03-10
                                  • 3489

                                  #17
                                  I am throwing 1.5 units on Germany -9 let's see....I couldn't resist =)!
                                  Comment
                                  • DiamondJack
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-13-14
                                    • 4044

                                    #18
                                    cogiditopapa---- poor Gibraltar its a game you can records for sure
                                    Comment
                                    • disbarred
                                      SBR Hustler
                                      • 11-14-14
                                      • 70

                                      #19
                                      Morning DJ - best of luck to you today! Win big - hit the bad guys where it hurts!
                                      Comment
                                      • DiamondJack
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 11-13-14
                                        • 4044

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by disbarred
                                        Morning DJ - best of luck to you today! Win big - hit the bad guys where it hurts!
                                        Thanks Disbarred....until they finally clean "that" forum I will make this place my home
                                        Comment
                                        • hotelis
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 05-31-12
                                          • 1995

                                          #21
                                          germany -8.5
                                          Comment
                                          • DiamondJack
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-13-14
                                            • 4044

                                            #22
                                            I think they can cover -9.5

                                            Good Luck
                                            Comment
                                            • LeaninBack916
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 09-27-13
                                              • 378

                                              #23
                                              Woke up to see China tie with New Zealand. Didn't expect that. Hopefully Poland shows up to get me back to near even and push through the day.

                                              I still got a fatty parlay hinging on BTTS in USA/Columbia.
                                              Comment
                                              • DiamondJack
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-13-14
                                                • 4044

                                                #24
                                                LeaninBack--- BOL on the BTTS later today...this international break a tad hard too cap.
                                                Looking forward to next weekends league action
                                                Comment
                                                • LeaninBack916
                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                  • 09-27-13
                                                  • 378

                                                  #25
                                                  YEP! Im glad you have arrived here. They weren't kidding about this forum being extremely slow. I have leans but I look here for a bit of opinion on what I'm thinking.

                                                  Glad to have some fresh leans to help persuade (along with info).
                                                  Comment
                                                  • LeaninBack916
                                                    SBR Sharp
                                                    • 09-27-13
                                                    • 378

                                                    #26
                                                    Click image for larger version

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                                                    I got my USA and Colombia foam fingers ready to go!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • DiamondJack
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 11-13-14
                                                      • 4044

                                                      #27
                                                      Looks like a nice pay Day
                                                      Comment
                                                      • JKosack7
                                                        SBR Sharp
                                                        • 10-02-12
                                                        • 307

                                                        #28
                                                        Took Poland ML. If you had to guess would you say O/U 2?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • DiamondJack
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 11-13-14
                                                          • 4044

                                                          #29
                                                          Georgia are going to try to park the Bus.... Under 2.5 would be my lean
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JKosack7
                                                            SBR Sharp
                                                            • 10-02-12
                                                            • 307

                                                            #30
                                                            Straight Bet
                                                            47548530
                                                            11/14/2014 10:59 AM
                                                            - 105 [26238] Over 2 - 105 POLAND @ GEORGIA , Euro Cup 11/14/2014 12:00 PM 50 48
                                                            Straight Bet
                                                            47547707
                                                            11/14/2014 9:32 AM
                                                            - 115 [26237] POLAND - ½ - 115 POLAND @ GEORGIA , Euro Cup 11/14/2014 12:00 PM 58 50
                                                            Well Crap.....
                                                            Comment
                                                            • LeaninBack916
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-27-13
                                                              • 378

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by DiamondJack
                                                              Georgia are going to try to park the Bus.... Under 2.5 would be my lean
                                                              I agree with Diamond. I actually like a 2-0 Poland finish. The Poland TT over 1.5 for + money is actually quite tempting to me.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • LeaninBack916
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 09-27-13
                                                                • 378

                                                                #32
                                                                Kosack? What book do you use?

                                                                I was going to say... often times the ML option pays a bit more than the -.5 option on books.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • DiamondJack
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 11-13-14
                                                                  • 4044

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Kosack---Anything can happen & atleast you have the Over 2 not over 2.5
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • DiamondJack
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 11-13-14
                                                                    • 4044

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Always check ML versus -0.5 AH as they are the same bet but prized differently at many books

                                                                    Pennies make you money in the end
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • JKosack7
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 10-02-12
                                                                      • 307

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Buddies Website. ML was -110 didnt even realize that.
                                                                      Comment
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