Apoel Nicosia / FC Barcelona o3.5

[flabrah5]

The juice is at -160 for o3.5, but FC Barcelona -3 is at -160 as well. That said, I see Barca throwing up 4+ goals similar to the Real Madrid match yesterday.

Thoughts? If Apoel throws up a goal then its a definite.

[AceChampion]

I'd love to bet this as I enjoy betting overs for entertainment but something about this match brings me caution. I would really like to hear from vaughany on this play...the guy seems to know something about every club/team in every part of every country in the world, lol. I know nothing of this team barca is playing. They may be all defense, no?

[flabrah5]

I'd love to bet this as I enjoy betting overs for entertainment but something about this match brings me caution. I would really like to hear from vaughany on this play...the guy seems to know something about every club/team in every part of every country in the world, lol. I know nothing of this team barca is playing. They may be all defense, no?

Agreed, would love to hear his insight.

My reasons are that Barca had a full squad practice Monday and they are at Camp Nou - love running up the score for the home crowd.

Oddly enough, I saw that the opponent hasn't lost a Champ League match in the last 6 games but includes qualifiers. This makes me think they post a goal or two to help the over.

Barca wins but I don't think by 3.. Seeing 3-1, 3-2, etc.

Look for Neymar and Messi to light it up.

[AceChampion]

I dont/cant trust any protected lineup...have to see it first. Also I believe the odds here may be telling a story as most shops have Apoel Nicosia at +$ to score. More worried about this landing 3-0 or 2-0 than I was yesterday with Real. Gl if you play but I think I will wait and have a go live in play....also I'm really looking hard at which match is the most likely for btts...am kind of leaning Ajax/Psg right now in that regard..thoughts?

[flabrah5]

I get what youre saying - would be crushed with a 3-0 or 2-0 Barca win. Im gonna go with the gut and take the hit on the juice.

I wish my book offered BTTS - I like the Ajax/Psg alot, but Ajax might get shutout.

If youre looking for stats, then the Roma and CSKA Moscow game points to BTTS:

- CSKA Moscow have conceded at least 2 goals in their last 7 matches in the Champions League (including qualifiers).
- Roma have conceded at least 2 goals in 5 of their last 6 matches in the Champions League (including qualifiers).

For some reason I think the game will be under 2.5, so 1-1 is my prediction.

Let me know what you go with and GL - Id always stick with the gut if youre feeling Ajax/Psg, though. Would hate to mislead you because of the above reasons

[AceChampion]

Will do, bud..still waiting on lineups as of now.

[flabrah5]

Another fun fact:

Last 8 Barcelona coaches won first CL game, with Barcelona scoring 3+ goals

[AceChampion]

Alright sir, I've decided on over 1 first half between psg/ajax as my only play right now. I'm just going to hit something else live I think. Gl, goals early and often for us both!!

[flabrah5]

Yes, yes - GL and lets all make some money!

[TwoWays]

Apoel is playing everyone on defense. This could be hard to watch

[AceChampion]

Live bet your way out if u can

[TwoWays]

Live bet your way out if u can

I didn't play. Just an observation for op

[flabrah5]

Yeah - 4-4-2 - unreal. Playing no one up front. Lets just hope Barca squeezes one in then they have to play some offense.

[flabrah5]

Live bet your way out if u can

Book doesnt allow live bets - pretty much going for a miracle here. At least AS Roma is showing up for me.

[flabrah5]

Speaking of that, 3-0 Roma now - I knew that over 2.5 was a better play.

[TwoWays]

I think the best way for barca is to give Apoel the feeling they can score, then counter for better chance to score themselves

[flabrah5]

If Barca scores they need to do something, no? Cant just sit back and play D down 1-0

[TwoWays]

Usually. But I don't think in this case. I think they'd take a 1 or 2 goal loss to give themselves the slightest of chance at home

[flabrah5]

And thats why they are Barca - huge goal. Still in it now.

[TwoWays]

Yeah, only way to score for barca with them parking bus on goal is free kicks and counter

[flabrah5]

Messi shouldve made that goal- damn