Addictedto againts the bookies thread!

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  • vladtvl
    SBR Rookie
    • 12-09-13
    • 6

    #36
    Over 2.5 Lyubimets 2007 v Slavia Sofia
    (Total Goals)
    11/12/2013 None 1.65
    WIN

    good work!!!
    Comment
    • addictedto
      SBR MVP
      • 07-03-08
      • 1935

      #37
      Boom Boom Boom

      2 from 2.

      Let's score a hat-trick and get a bigger bank for Champions league.
      Comment
      • vladtvl
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-09-13
        • 6

        #38
        yeah!!! 0-1 meppen

        any thoughts for tonight matches?
        Comment
        • vladtvl
          SBR Rookie
          • 12-09-13
          • 6

          #39
          napoli arsenal both team to score 1.53
          milan to score over 1.5 goals 1.66
          Comment
          • addictedto
            SBR MVP
            • 07-03-08
            • 1935

            #40
            Originally posted by addictedto
            12 December - some games that will be maybe missed having in mind there is CL action. However they look like high scoring events:

            Over 2.5 Werder Bremen II v Meppen
            (Alternative Goal Line)
            11/12/2013 None 1.73
            Over 2.5 Benfica B v Sporting B
            (Goal Line)
            11/12/2013 None 1.75
            Over 2.5 Lyubimets 2007 v Slavia Sofia
            (Total Goals)
            11/12/2013 None 1.65

            Later might add some CL games but gotta see how odds are moving right before their start.
            Good luck.

            3 Wins from 3 that's 100% the way I like it. Had to wait for starting 11s to add some plays:


            da Silva Diego Costa Atletico Madrid v FC Porto
            (To Score at Any Time)
            11/12/2013 None 2.10
            This guy is a beast, will score 1 or 2 for sure. The odds are crazy for such a scorer.

            Over 2.5 Napoli v Arsenal
            (Alternative Goal Line)
            11/12/2013 None 1.75
            No Reina for Napoli, 2nd keeper might get some goals.


            Over 2.5 Atletico Madrid v FC Porto
            (Goal Line)
            11/12/2013 None 2.05
            No Courtois for Madrid, 2nd keeper again, while the scoring machine Diego Costa is starting.


            Good luck, let's get these funds ...
            Comment
            • addictedto
              SBR MVP
              • 07-03-08
              • 1935

              #41
              Over 2.5 Werder Bremen II v Meppen
              (Alternative Goal Line)
              11/12/2013 None 1.73 Won
              Over 2.5 Benfica B v Sporting B
              (Goal Line)
              11/12/2013 None 1.75 Won

              Over 2.5 Lyubimets 2007 v Slavia Sofia
              (Total Goals)
              11/12/2013 None 1.65 Won
              da Silva Diego Costa Atletico Madrid v FC Porto
              (To Score at Any Time)
              11/12/2013 None 2.10 Won
              Over 2.5 Napoli v Arsenal
              (Alternative Goal Line)
              11/12/2013 None 1.75 Lost

              Over 2.5 Atletico Madrid v FC Porto
              (Goal Line)
              11/12/2013 None 2.05 Lost
              Today: 4-2
              Total: 12-11-3 (finally going positive).
              Comment
              • vladtvl
                SBR Rookie
                • 12-09-13
                • 6

                #42
                good picks!! Let see for tonight..

                Salzburg Esjberg -Salzburg 1.33 , Salzburg over 1,5 g-1.50
                Maccabi -bordeaux-> maccabi 1.60
                Pandurii - Ferreira-> 1x 1.45

                what do you think?
                Comment
                • addictedto
                  SBR MVP
                  • 07-03-08
                  • 1935

                  #43
                  Originally posted by vladtvl
                  good picks!! Let see for tonight..

                  Salzburg Esjberg -Salzburg 1.33 , Salzburg over 1,5 g-1.50
                  Maccabi -bordeaux-> maccabi 1.60
                  Pandurii - Ferreira-> 1x 1.45

                  what do you think?
                  Actually I don't like picking sides, on Tuesday I was 100% sure of Bayern - the best team in the world if see what happened. Europe League is also unpredictable. I would rather wait to see teams and how the bookies react through the day. Your picks look good, will look at them later.
                  Comment
                  • addictedto
                    SBR MVP
                    • 07-03-08
                    • 1935

                    #44
                    Originally posted by vladtvl
                    good picks!! Let see for tonight..

                    Salzburg Esjberg -Salzburg 1.33 , Salzburg over 1,5 g-1.50
                    Maccabi -bordeaux-> maccabi 1.60
                    Pandurii - Ferreira-> 1x 1.45

                    what do you think?
                    Salzburg over 1,5 sounds better since they are an aggressive team at home and are playing for the 1st spot.
                    Maccabi is same story, the price is fair, they are also fighting for qualifying and the atmosphere will be severe for the guests.
                    I would skip Pandurii since I Romanian teams have bugged me several times.

                    Good luck anyway.
                    Comment
                    • addictedto
                      SBR MVP
                      • 07-03-08
                      • 1935

                      #45
                      12 December - some early picks from the Bulgarian league:

                      Over 3.0 Levski Sofia v Chernomorets Burgas
                      (Goal Line)
                      12/12/2013 None 1.80
                      The host's morale is high after an away win against the European miracle Ludogorets. They are more than strong at home where they prefer to crash the weak opponents. Chernomorets is one of these weak team that will be probably relegated despite them having an excellent coach. They are entering this game with huge missings in their squad. If Levski plays serious I expect a comfortable win 3-1 4-1 because the guests can score at least once. Odds for the home team are too low, while the Asian handicap is risky too, the Over is best option where you get your money back if Levski wins only 3-0.


                      Over 2.5 Botev Plovdiv v Beroe
                      (Goal Line)
                      12/12/2013 None 1.875
                      This one is a local clash, where both teams will try to win. Botev is the stronger team, while whoever underestimates Beroe usually regrets later. More than 10k crowd is expected on the game, it will be an attacking football with both teams trying to score and please their fans. Botev is the best scoring home team in the league with average of 4.00 goals.
                      Beroe is a low scoring team but funny enough they are scoring more on the road - 2.10 goals average.


                      Good luck and stay tuned for the Europe League games.
                      Comment
                      • vladtvl
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 12-09-13
                        • 6

                        #46
                        ok

                        how you said, let s see the teams and how the bookies react
                        Comment
                        • rankslash
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-29-13
                          • 1562

                          #47
                          Hi man! Nice choice! I can see e a 4-0 5-0 game in Sofia. Levski needs the win since Cherno more won yesterday. Chernomorec Bourgas are simply awful this season...
                          Quick question: Which site you use to place your bets? I can't get the Over 3 option at 1.80.. I can only use Over 2.5 at 1.60 which is not enough for me...
                          Comment
                          • addictedto
                            SBR MVP
                            • 07-03-08
                            • 1935

                            #48
                            Originally posted by rankslash
                            Hi man! Nice choice! I can see e a 4-0 5-0 game in Sofia. Levski needs the win since Cherno more won yesterday. Chernomorec Bourgas are simply awful this season...
                            Quick question: Which site you use to place your bets? I can't get the Over 3 option at 1.80.. I can only use Over 2.5 at 1.60 which is not enough for me...

                            Bet365 has all kind of asian goals, also sbobet, 188bet, 10bet, 12bet and so on.
                            Comment
                            • addictedto
                              SBR MVP
                              • 07-03-08
                              • 1935

                              #49
                              These 2 Overs were a disaster, especially Levski missing so many chances, unbelievable.

                              Adding Europe League plays, hope they score some goals to save the day:


                              Over 2.5 FC Salzburg v Esbjerg
                              (Total Goals)
                              12/12/2013 None 1.50
                              Over 2.5 Dinamo Zagreb v Ludogorets Razgrad
                              (Total Goals)
                              12/12/2013 None 1.85
                              Over 2.5 FC Thun v Genk
                              (Total Goals)
                              12/12/2013 None 1.85
                              Over 2.5 Lazio v Trabzonspor
                              (Total Goals)
                              12/12/2013 None 1.85
                              Over 2.5 PAOK Salonika v AZ
                              (Total Goals)
                              12/12/2013 None 1.80
                              Good luck.
                              Comment
                              • addictedto
                                SBR MVP
                                • 07-03-08
                                • 1935

                                #50
                                Over 3.0 Levski Sofia v Chernomorets Burgas
                                (Goal Line)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.80 Lost
                                Over 2.5 Botev Plovdiv v Beroe
                                (Goal Line)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.875 Lost
                                Over 2.5 FC Salzburg v Esbjerg
                                (Total Goals)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.50 Won
                                Over 2.5 Dinamo Zagreb v Ludogorets Razgrad
                                (Total Goals)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.85 Won
                                Over 2.5 FC Thun v Genk
                                (Total Goals)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.85 Lost
                                Over 2.5 Lazio v Trabzonspor
                                (Total Goals)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.85 Lost
                                Over 2.5 PAOK Salonika v AZ
                                (Total Goals)
                                12/12/2013 None 1.80 Won
                                Today: 3-4
                                Total: 15-15-3
                                Comment
                                • addictedto
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 07-03-08
                                  • 1935

                                  #51
                                  Thursday and Europe League were terrible. I'll skip today since Mondays and Fridays are always unpredictable. Hope there will be some action in the weekend.
                                  Comment
                                  • addictedto
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 07-03-08
                                    • 1935

                                    #52
                                    Ok I am back and from now on will try to be more selective, rather play 1 game per day which I feel most confident, to see how it will go. Went through all Cup games, looking for the highest probability of goals, so the pick today is ...

                                    Holland / Roda - Vitesse / Over 3.5 @ 2.10.

                                    Line is dropping dropping. If you are more adventurous, you can try a higher line like Over 4 or Over 4.5 for greater odds of course.

                                    Good luck.
                                    Comment
                                    • addictedto
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 07-03-08
                                      • 1935

                                      #53
                                      Here we go guys, back on the winning path. Cup games, you better pick the goals line instead of side because you saw what happened with the so called fav Vitesse. You don't know who is interested in the Cup. I guess Vitesse are eyeing the title this year so just decided to make their calendar a bit easier. Today we have some nice games, will be looking for the Overs again.

                                      Total: 16-15-3
                                      Comment
                                      • yatescutler
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 11-13-13
                                        • 100

                                        #54
                                        well isn't predicting the amount of goals way harder than picking the right side?
                                        if two equal teams play each other and you predict a very close match, a 1-1 draw makes you lose money
                                        @ an `over 2.5 goals- bet`, while a 2-2 draw let you win.
                                        please enlighten me...
                                        Comment
                                        • addictedto
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 07-03-08
                                          • 1935

                                          #55
                                          There are attack-minded teams, attack-minded coaches, not to speak about league where they think that the only way winning is to score more than your opponent. Weather conditions, clash history of the teams also has influence on each game. Good goalscorers who have high goal records, or midfielders who are good in assisting, etc. I am not going in deatails but what I am trying to say is that the Over/Under market can be predicted easier based on numbers, stats, pure logic, etc.
                                          Comment
                                          • Vaughany
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 03-07-10
                                            • 45563

                                            #56
                                            Roda sacked their coach Ruud Brood a couple days ago, I just think it was Vitesse under-estimating Roda and not having Havenaar up front so didnt have a natural striker/forward, combined with the new manager effect at Roda...often a managerial coaching change sparks a reaction from a team (clearly didnt work with Spurs last night tho!)
                                            Comment
                                            • addictedto
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 07-03-08
                                              • 1935

                                              #57
                                              Yeah V, you never know when the new manager effect will work or not. No matter what, there is a huge gap between these 2 teams skills and the result was a big surprise.
                                              Comment
                                              • addictedto
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 07-03-08
                                                • 1935

                                                #58
                                                Ok games for today:

                                                Over 2.5 / Bilbao - Celta @1.75
                                                Over 2.5 / Universitatea Cluj - Otelul Galati @2.10


                                                Good luck to everyone.
                                                Comment
                                                • addictedto
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 07-03-08
                                                  • 1935

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by addictedto
                                                  Ok games for today:

                                                  Over 2.5 / Bilbao - Celta @1.75
                                                  Over 2.5 / Universitatea Cluj - Otelul Galati @2.10


                                                  Good luck to everyone.


                                                  1-1 yesterday. Bilbao were very solid, I like this team.

                                                  Plays for today:

                                                  Over 3 / Eindhoven - Telstar @1.80
                                                  Over 3 / Oss - Jong PSV @1.95
                                                  Over 3 / Waalwijk - Twente @2
                                                  Iver 2.5 / Tranmere - Gillingham @1.90


                                                  Good luck.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • addictedto
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 07-03-08
                                                    • 1935

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by addictedto

                                                    Over 3 / Eindhoven - Telstar @1.80
                                                    Over 3 / Oss - Jong PSV @1.95
                                                    Over 3 / Waalwijk - Twente @2
                                                    Over 2.5 / Tranmere - Gillingham @1.90
                                                    2 Wins - 1 Lost - 1 push

                                                    Total: 19-17-4
                                                    Comment
                                                    • addictedto
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 07-03-08
                                                      • 1935

                                                      #61
                                                      Early plays before the odds disappear:

                                                      Parlay Suarez to score anytime + Diego Costa to score anytime @2.10
                                                      Liverpool - Norwich First Half Over 1.5 @2.20

                                                      Comment
                                                      • addictedto
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 07-03-08
                                                        • 1935

                                                        #62
                                                        Originally posted by addictedto
                                                        Early plays before the odds disappear:

                                                        Parlay Suarez to score anytime + Diego Costa to score anytime @2.10
                                                        Liverpool - Norwich First Half Over 1.5 @2.20



                                                        That's what I am talking about ....2 beasts against shitty defenses - free money. Suarez will score a hattrick today.
                                                        Diego Costa tonight will rip them off too.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • addictedto
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 07-03-08
                                                          • 1935

                                                          #63
                                                          Till now a good day, I had absolutely no time to post more winners. Diego Costa is still pending and adding 2 games where goals should be going in the net:

                                                          Over 3 / Atl. Madrid - Levante @1.81
                                                          Over 2.5 / Cagliari / Napoli @2.05
                                                          Over 2 First half / Bayern Munchen - Raja @2.00


                                                          Good luck as always.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • addictedto
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-03-08
                                                            • 1935

                                                            #64
                                                            Originally posted by addictedto

                                                            Over Parlay Suarez to score anytime + Diego Costa to score anytime @2.10 Win
                                                            Liverpool - Norwich First Half Over 1.5 @2.20 Win
                                                            Over 3 / Atl. Madrid - Levante @1.81 Win
                                                            Over 2.5 / Cagliari / Napoli @2.05 Lost
                                                            Over 2 First half / Bayern Munchen - Raja @2.00 Push

                                                            Nice day ...
                                                            Today: 3-1-1
                                                            Total: 22-18-5

                                                            Only lost was Cagliari - Napoli who scored 2 goals for 20mins and then nothing, really unlucky. Hope you guys hedged this one.

                                                            Cheers.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Vaughany
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 03-07-10
                                                              • 45563

                                                              #65
                                                              Yeee unlucky with napoli. Over 1 first half on tht game was pretty much only winner i had today!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • addictedto
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 07-03-08
                                                                • 1935

                                                                #66
                                                                That's what you can expect from one of the two most overrated coaches like Rafa Benitez. If you wonder who is the other one - Claudio Ranieri
                                                                Comment
                                                                • addictedto
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 07-03-08
                                                                  • 1935

                                                                  #67
                                                                  22 December plays:

                                                                  Over 3 / Valencia - Real Madrid @1.65
                                                                  Christiano Ronaldo to score anytime @1.53
                                                                  Over 2.5 / Athletic Bilbao - Rayo @1.75
                                                                  Over 3 / Roda - Ajax @1.77
                                                                  Over 2.5 / Sassuolo - Fiorentina @1.90
                                                                  Over 2.5 / Inter - Milan @1.85

                                                                  Real Madrid should bounce back and play for the win and score some goals. I cannot see how shaky Valencia defense will stop Ronaldo, who is hungry for goals since hasn't scored after coming back from injury.
                                                                  Bilbao is the most inform team in Primera together with Atletico Madrid of course, Bilbao should cover the -1 handicap and if Rayo manages to score once, game is definitely going over.
                                                                  I expect a high scoring game in the early match in Holland. Where Roda is participating, it means goals goals goals.
                                                                  Fiorentina in Italy is one of the most attacking teams, I expect Sas to score at least once (they do it almost every game at home) and Fiore twice if they want to win the game.
                                                                  Milano clash - no words needed, it will either be 0-0 goalless or goal galore. I choose the 2nd scenario.


                                                                  I am not playing it but there could be a shocking surprise today for Barca, who are playing against in-form Getafe. Barca without Messi, Neymar, Xavi. DNB is @6.50 - great value, Getafe +0.5 is @3.00. Barca may still win, but prices are tempting to give it a shot.

                                                                  Good luck to us.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • addictedto
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 07-03-08
                                                                    • 1935

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Livebet ... Ronaldo to score 1 more for Real Madrid @1.90 - available at Bet365.

                                                                    Go go, now he remembers how are goals tasting.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • addictedto
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 07-03-08
                                                                      • 1935

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by addictedto
                                                                      22 December plays:

                                                                      Over 3 / Valencia - Real Madrid @1.65 Win
                                                                      Christiano Ronaldo to score anytime @1.53 Win
                                                                      Over 2.5 / Athletic Bilbao - Rayo @1.75 Win
                                                                      Over 3 / Roda - Ajax @1.77 Push
                                                                      Over 2.5 / Sassuolo - Fiorentina @1.90 Lost
                                                                      Over 2.5 / Inter - Milan @1.85 Lost
                                                                      Livebet Ronaldo to score 1 more for Real Madrid @1.90 Lost

                                                                      I officially hate Italian teams - how come most scoring teams don't do chit. It seems stats are irrelevant for the Italian league. Conclusion - I am not playing them anymore, they just entered my blacklist. Same applies to Ajax, who were lucky to score 2 at the end. They are weak especially on the road and deserved to lose the game.

                                                                      For the day: 3-3-1
                                                                      Total: 25-21-6




                                                                      Today we have a tiny calendar ...so only 2 games:

                                                                      Arsenal DNB @1.76
                                                                      Over 2.5 / Akhisar - Sivasspor @1.90


                                                                      Arsenal need to bounce back after being humiliated by Man city. This is the right time to do it against Chelsea who were eliminated for the Cup due to their lazy approach to that game, although being the better team. I expect a close battle where the home team should prevail.
                                                                      Sivasspor coached by Roberto Carlos is an aggressive and attacking team, their games usually end with a lot of goals due to this attacking approach applied by the ex-Real Madrid player. Both teams need the win and both are supposed to score goals today.

                                                                      GL.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • addictedto
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 07-03-08
                                                                        • 1935

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by addictedto

                                                                        Arsenal DNB @1.76 Push
                                                                        Over 2.5 / Akhisar - Sivasspor @1.90 Win

                                                                        What to say - fukk Mourinho with his defensive approach, 11 Chelsea men behind the ball. Coaches like him kill the modern soccer and disappoint the fans. Personally I regret that I watched this game.



                                                                        For the day: 1-0-1
                                                                        Total: 26-21-7
                                                                        Comment
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