azsports picks

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 11:49 AM

A goal in 2nd minute, then nothing until Tunisia ties it late first half. Argentina should get at least one in second half.

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 12:44 PM

Thank you Argentina!

Next pick....off the beaten path....Germany Regional Southwest....Koblenz/Ulm over 2-1/2 (-125) $75 to win $60.

Always a little dangerous playing the team at the bottom of the table, but just believe there will be at least 3 goals scored in this game. I think 2-1 is highly probable, but Koblenz capable of scoring more.

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 03:22 PM

Final play of day: Barcelona -1.5 (-115) Celta Vigo $60 to win $52.17

Stats that I'm going on: Celta Vigo has conceded at least one goal in 80% of their home matches. They have failed to score in 60% of their home matches. 67% of their points have been earned away. They have not won in their last 5 home matches and have not scored in their last 3 home matches.

FC Barcelona have won 80% of their away matches. Are undefeated in their last 10 matches. Have not concede any goal in 80% of their away matches. Undefeated in their last 5 away matches. Have not conceded any goals in their last 3 away matches.

I think that Ossuana game is sticking in some people's heads, but I don't think there will be a repeat of that type of performance today. If memory serves me correctly, Messi was either not available for that game, or not 100% physically. Barcelona just defeated RM and I think that will serve as a momentum builder. Because Celta is tough at home, I can't pull the trigger on the over 3.5 total as I think score is going to be 0-2 or 0-3.

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 03:50 PM

Koblenz 2-1 76'....YES!!!!!

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 05:55 PM

Awesome day in soccer, 3-3!! Going to play the WALLCO99 NHL bet tonight and that will be it for today.....and just a note....if you bet NHL or want to bet NHL, this guys system is pretty solid. I started playing on Oct 24, and system bets are 7 of 8. You sometimes have to lay a lot of juice on the + puckline, but a win is a win!

Cheers all!

edabramov · 10-29-13, 06:00 PM

Originally posted by azsportswin

Awesome day in soccer, 3-3!!

Cheers all!

Good start. I'm assuming you mean 3 out of 3 when you typed that?

3-0 record win/loss

azsportswin · 10-29-13, 06:36 PM

YUP...that's what I meant....thanks for pointing that out....will get that right going forward!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 09:58 AM

In play....Shinnik/Spartak Moscow over 2 (-125)....small bet $32 to win $25.60. I can see this a 2-1 game, but it is Russia, so 0-0 is just as possible. Tyumen is 2-0 over Zenit at HT, but I have to believe Zenit playing subs....Premier League and CL have to be their top priority.

HoodieAllen · 10-30-13, 10:13 AM

I'm on Spartak to win, they are demolishing the home team atm. Hoping for goals to drop (on the right side of course). BOL!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 10:15 AM

Noon ET: Czech Cup - V Jihlava/Olomouc over 2.5 (-120) $60 to win $50. Cup is only chance for glory for these two teams, so believe both will score and game will end over 2.5 goals.

75% of Jihlava 's matches have been over 2.5 goals this season. They have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their home matches and have scored at least one goal in 100% of their home matches. 91% of Jihlava 's points have been earned at home.

75% of Sigma Olomouc's matches have been over 2.5 goals scored this season. They have scored at least one goal in 83% of their away matches and they have scored at least one goal in each of their last 5 away matches.

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 10:20 AM

Originally posted by HoodieAllen

I'm on Spartak to win, they are demolishing the home team atm. Hoping for goals to drop (on the right side of course). BOL!

0-0 HT...figures....it's friggin Russia! I'm all for Spartak getting 3 in second half!!

HoodieAllen · 10-30-13, 10:26 AM

Will go for over 2 on the Jihlava pick, I like it

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 11:56 AM

Well, had such a good day yesterday, today could get ugly. Jihlava beat Olomouc 4-0 away beginning of the month, so it only figures that they are 0-0 HT today. And I need to stay disciplined....I said yesterday I gave up betting Russia games, but then put on that small be on Spartak O2 because it just looked like a good bet....that game is about to end 0-1.

Gotta keep trying, so next pick is Poland Eks match Korona Kliece/Ruch Chorzow over 2.5 (+110). $50 to win $55

Korona averages 2 goals scored and almost 2 goals conceded for home games with 67% of home games over 2.5. Ruch averages scoring 1 goal while conceding 1.67 goals in road games. Like the +110.

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 12:23 PM

6 team M/L parlay for fun $25 to win $159.27: Juventus/Real Madrid/Tottenham/Man City/Verona/Valencia.

HoodieAllen · 10-30-13, 12:27 PM

Originally posted by azsportswin

Well, had such a good day yesterday, today could get ugly. Jihlava beat Olomouc 4-0 away beginning of the month, so it only figures that they are 0-0 HT today. And I need to stay disciplined....I said yesterday I gave up betting Russia games, but then put on that small be on Spartak O2 because it just looked like a good bet....that game is about to end 0-1.

Gotta keep trying, so next pick is Poland Eks match Korona Kliece/Ruch Chorzow over 2.5 (+110). $50 to win $55

Korona averages 2 goals scored and almost 2 goals conceded for home games with 67% of home games over 2.5. Ruch averages scoring 1 goal while conceding 1.67 goals in road games. Like the +110.

Don't beat yourself up man, bet cool, calm and collected, take what you know and use it, just because you had a good day yesterday doesn't mean you will have a bad one today, stay away from superstitious thinking.

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 12:29 PM

Amazing, Korona and Ruch each score a goal on their first shots. And, oh yeah, that Czech game, still 0-0 in 70'.

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 12:56 PM

Romania Cup Steaua Bucuresti/ACS Poli over 2.5 (-120) $60 for $50.

100% of Steaua's home games over 2.5 so far this season. This is a cup game, not sure that will make a difference, if Steaua plays, see them winning 3-0 or 3-1.

And going off the beaten path again with another Germany Regional game.....SC Wiedenbruck/Bayer Leverkusen II over 2.5 (-135). $75 to win $55.56. Average total # of goals for Wiedinbruck home games is 4, expect both teams to score in this game.

Czech game finished 0-0

, but Poland game is already over at HT

, so hopefully building momentum for rest of day!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 03:00 PM

In play Valencia/Almeria over 2.5 (-115) $60 to win $52.17

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 03:43 PM

In play...Man City M/L (+130) $50 to win $65....GO CITY

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 03:57 PM

Real Madrid seems to be a consistent slow starter. In away games, Seville scores 50% of their goals in 1st half and concede only 22%. In home games, RM have conceded 3 goals in the 1st 15 min. I'm going to try a small bet.......Seville 1st Half +1 (-140) $35 to win $25.

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 04:48 PM

Well, City not be able to score a goal and the REAL Real Madrid showed up in top form until Seville scores 2 quick goals and I push 1H bet....wow 5 goals in 1st half!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 04:57 PM

Maybe this keeps going in 2nd half...what the heck...RM/Seville over 7.5 (+130) $50 to win $65.....it will be fun to see what happens!!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 05:23 PM

5-3 and it's only the 63'....bovada can't keep up posting the "who will score _th goal" bets!! This is silly soccer, just glad I could make a little money on it. Here we go, team to score 9th goal Seville (+250) $40 to win $100!!!!

azsportswin · 10-30-13, 05:28 PM

Rats....RM got the 9th.....time to move on.

JWags85 · 10-30-13, 05:30 PM

And a missed penalty that would have made it 10, this is wild. 18 min left, I don't see the scoring being over...

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 12:05 PM

Not a lot of conviction with most of today's games. Going to try 2 small plays on games starting in about 30 min:

Greek Super League: Atromitos Athens -1 (EVEN) Panetolikos $30 to win $30. Atromitos solid at home, Panetolikos struggles to score goals on the road. Hoping for a 2-0 outcome.

Romania Liga 1: Petrolul/ACS over 2.5 (-115) $35 to win $30.43. Can see Petrolul getting 3 goals on there own, think the over is a lock if ACS scores 1.

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 02:04 PM

Petrolul and Atromitos both appear to be dominating play but can't put the ball in the net.....it's Monday in soccer!!

Next plays:

Poland Ekstra league: Pod Bielsko pick (+165) $30 to win $49.50. This is a 'desperate bottom of league table home team' play. Considered playing Universitatea Cluj for same reason in earlier Romania game, but couldn't pull the trigger.

Germany 2: Koln/Union Berlin draw (+260) $30 to win $78 and under 2-1/2 (-125) $30 to win $24. Seems to be best plays for these 2 low scoring teams, but then again, it's Monday, so we'll see.

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 02:32 PM

Final stats: Petrolul 25 total shots, 12 on goal/Poli Timisoara 2 total shots, 0 on goal. Final score 0-0

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 02:44 PM

Bologna/Chievo over 2.5 (+135) $30 to win $40.50. Bologna may be without 2 defenders due to injury and they usually concede goals at home anyway, but outscore opponents. 80% of home games go over 2.5 goals.

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 03:33 PM

Clearly fade whatever I do today

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 04:39 PM

Bologna/chievo over .5 (+300) $25 to win $75 at the 84' mark.....can I have just a little luck today??????

azsportswin · 11-04-13, 04:46 PM

Originally posted by azsportswin

Bologna/chievo over .5 (+300) $25 to win $75 at the 84' mark.....can I have just a little luck today??????

Apparently not...UGH!

azsportswin · 11-05-13, 10:24 AM

Need to shake off yesterday's results and get right back into the game. Won both hockey games last night, so need to build off that momentum.

Slovacia Cup: Zlate/Senica over 2.5 (-110) $55 to win $50. Senica won last cup meeting between these two 3-0 at their place. It's Zlate's turn, believe both teams will score and we'll see 2-1 FT.

FIFA U17 WC: Sweden/Nigeria over 2.5 (-125) $60 to win $48. Nigeria a scoring machine. Last time these two teams played was 3-3 draw and game was in Sweden. Again, think both teams will score and should see at least 3 goals total.

azsportswin · 11-05-13, 12:00 PM

Czech Cup Sparta Prague -1.5 (-140) Znojmo $70 to win $50 - Sparta just too tough at home.

Poland Ekstra Ruch Chorzow/Zaw Bydg over 2.5 (-105) $55 to win $52.38. Because over's have been working in these league (11 out of last 14 games).....keep doing it till it doesn't work any more.