EP36's DGAF Selections

[EaglesPhan36]

Wanted to keep better track of these to give myself an idea of where the profit or lack thereof was with my picks. So going to keep the record here. As always, Don't Give a Fukk ... and the wins will come.

10.1.13: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PLAY #1
Zenit St.Petersburg Team Total Goals Over 2.5 [+120]

[FreddieGibbs]

Ignore me, I'm dumb

BOL

[EaglesPhan36]

This goalie from Austria Wien needs to stop giving a fukk already. Wow.

[Tiki-taka]

Red card curse.

[EaglesPhan36]

Red Card Magician: 1/1

Seriously going to track this because whatever it is, I have the gift. Pretty lame call though.

[ingga]

unlucky bro...
but still can win it ..keep calm :

[EaglesPhan36]

I never fret about red cards. I know the belief is the team who goes down a man is screwed, but I have seen many funky things after red cards where the team short a man actually scores more than the other team - so who knows.

Have to laugh though because I seriously think at least a third of the matches I bet draw a red card. That is why I want to track that too. To me, it is unreal to have even a couple bets a week draw red ... I get a couple in a day quite a bit.

[EaglesPhan36]

10.1.13: Champions League Play #2
Basel-Schalke Over 2.5 [-126]

[EaglesPhan36]

Doing some experimental tweaking with a new Draw Project. This one will utilize Round Robin Parlays. Again, this is a new experiment, so do what you will with this information. Likely will only try these Round Robin Draw Projects on days with heavy activity as I'll be looking for four draws to utilize. These will be 0.25 units per bet, a total of six being made in a four selection Round Robin. That is a total of 1.5 units risked for the entire project. We'll see how this goes.

10.1.13: ROUND ROBIN DRAW PROJECT #1 w/2s
England: Middlesbrough-Huddersfield +230
CL: Ajax-AC Milan +225
CL: Arsenal-Napoli +255
CL: Porto-Atletico Madrid +205

[EaglesPhan36]

10.1.13: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PLAY #3
2nd Half: Porto-Atletico Madrid Over 1 [-118]

[EaglesPhan36]

Should have posted this earlier for anyone who gives a flip. Since the SBR Book has no England Championship lines, went with four CL draws for the Round Robin DP - plugging in Basel-Schalke in place of the Championship match. Likely that today is an epic burial all-around.

Ticket#:2218567 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26007] ARSENAL DRAW +270 [26019] BASEL DRAW +235	20.00 / 227.90
Ticket#:2218568 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26007] ARSENAL DRAW +270 [26023] AJAX DRAW +220	20.00 / 216.80
Ticket#:2218569 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26007] ARSENAL DRAW +270 [26027] FC PORTO DRAW +215	20.00 / 213.10
Ticket#:2218570 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26019] BASEL DRAW +235 [26023] AJAX DRAW +220	20.00 / 194.40
Ticket#:2218571 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26019] BASEL DRAW +235 [26027] FC PORTO DRAW +215	20.00 / 191.05
Ticket#:2218572 Oct 01 02:45 PM Oct 01 02:45 PM	Oct 01 02:17 PM	SOC SOC	PARLAY (2 TEAMS) RR (6P-2T) [26023] AJAX DRAW +220 [26027] FC PORTO DRAW +215	20.00 / 181.60

[O]

I was on the Schalke over too..... thought I was the only one..... no wonder. Geez. I was on Zenit over 2 as well. Sorry for cursing you.

[EaglesPhan36]

Doing some experimental tweaking with a new Draw Project. This one will utilize Round Robin Parlays. Again, this is a new experiment, so do what you will with this information. Likely will only try these Round Robin Draw Projects on days with heavy activity as I'll be looking for four draws to utilize. These will be 0.25 units per bet, a total of six being made in a four selection Round Robin. That is a total of 1.5 units risked for the entire project. We'll see how this goes.

10.1.13: ROUND ROBIN DRAW PROJECT #1 w/2s
England: Middlesbrough-Huddersfield +230
CL: Ajax-AC Milan +225
CL: Arsenal-Napoli +255
CL: Porto-Atletico Madrid +205

Hot damn thanks to that soft penalty on Balotelli, this worked out quite well. So invested 1.5 units, -1.25 on the losers, then returning 0.25 on the winning parlay +9.72 units on the actual payout from the winning parlay. Total profit on this Round Robin project = +8.47 units

Obviously intrigued by this because you don't have to win but once every 4-5 times you try to clean up a really nice profit. Don't think this necessarily will replace by old Draw Project format where I picked a couple, looked to split them and profit - but given the glut of matches on Champions League/Europa League days and then the weekends ... this can be used probably twice a week to see how it goes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 1-2 -1.26
Draw Project:+8.47

Will keep the Draw Projects separate from the Overall Record which will only include single match picks/team totals/parlays, etc.

[EaglesPhan36]

10.1.13: BRAZIL SERIE B PLAY #1
Ceara-Icasa Over 2.5 [-137]

[EaglesPhan36]

Killed by Brazil again.

[EaglesPhan36]

Had to wait out the line split. Really thought this would be the solid finisher to the night, now hopefully it's at least a W to finish.

10.1.13: Liga MX
America-Tijuana Over 2/2.5 [-113]

[EaglesPhan36]

Record: 1-4 -3.19
Draw Project:+8.47

Just cannot find that magic on these full matches of late. America scores two in the first and then there's nothing for the rest of the match. Back to work tomorrow. At least the DP saved something today. Disappointed as hell with the others though.

[EaglesPhan36]

10.2.13: Netherlands Eredivisie
Den Haag-Vitesse Over 3 [-115]

[babicz]

I've been a quiet stalker for a long time eagles, and i've learned a lot just from tailing you. Wanted to thank you for all the $$$ and the indirect lessons i've caught onto.

Lets cash

[horja1]

Killed by Brazil again.

Had to wait out the line split. Really thought this would be the solid finisher to the night, now hopefully it's at least a W to finish.

10.1.13: Liga MX
America-Tijuana Over 2/2.5 [-113]

I've watched a few of these southamerican legues and it seems the quality dropped a lot in the past few years ... all good players must be playing in european leagues

[EaglesPhan36]

I think you're right on about the quality aspect. Liga MX was never outstanding, but they have definitely lost some talent in the past few years. Still a couple clubs that are fun to watch, but as a whole the league is missing great goal scorers.

[EaglesPhan36]

Derf. Cannot buy a goal to get off a push. Where's that late Ninja bullshit richochet goal?

[EaglesPhan36]

10.2.13: Champions League Play #1
1st Half: CSKA Moscow-Viktoria Plzen Under 1 [-108]

[Skrillz3412]

10.2.13: Champions League Play #1
1st Half: CSKA Moscow-Viktoria Plzen Under 1 [-108]

4 minutes in.... wow

[EaglesPhan36]

I pretty much flipped a coin on the Under vs. Plzen PK/+0.5 for the 1st half. Did not think CSKA would score as they are in a major drought, but was afraid they might at home and thought a 1-0 lead was possible. Shitty run continues unless they dry up from here, but with my luck of late in soccer - another goal should come shortly.

[EaglesPhan36]

That was a no duh bet that the 2nd one would come. Might just stick to 2nd halves for a bit, those seem to be about the only thing I have a decent feel for other than trying the draws.

[EaglesPhan36]

10.2.13: Champions League Play #2
2nd Half: CSKA Moscow-Viktoria Plzen Over 1/1.5 [-120]
#givingafukkisnotanoption

[EaglesPhan36]

Thinking the shot off the post early in the half is going to be the bane of my existence for this bet.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well at least you can follow the Fade Parade here and make some coin.

[EaglesPhan36]

Own Goal.

[EaglesPhan36]

One time on some late goal magic you Ninja Assholes, bring the noise, bring a goal.

[EaglesPhan36]

[EaglesPhan36]

10.2.13: Champions League Play #3
Manchester City Team Total Over 1 [-140]
#nofukksfoundhere

[EaglesPhan36]

10.2.13: CHAMPIONS LEAGUE PLAy #4
2nd Half: Anderlecht-Olympiakos Over 1.5 [-105]