Here is a strategy i think is good.
We back in-play (after 80th minute) the home team to win rest of the match ( or -0.25 ) if we meet some conditions :
1) home team is better than away team
2) away team is playing with one man less for at least 15 minutes
3) home team is leading by one goal at the moment we place the bet ( after 80th minute)
so, what's the logic ?
AWAY TEAM : They are weaker team ; playing away ; being with one man down which means they are tired ; they are losing by one goal and they will attack at the final minutes (after 80') so they will leave too much spaces behind
HOME TEAM : They are stronger ; playing at home ; they have one more player ; they want to score the second goal ( i mean to lead by 2 goals) because it's always risky being only 1 goal up.
Since know ,this strategy has been successful to me , with 4 picks - 4 wins :
1) Numancia - Sabadell. Numancia was fav to win the match , Sabadell got a red card at 72' , Numancia were leading 2-1 at 85' , so i backed Numancia -0.25 @ 2.88.Numancia scored a goal at 94'
2) Godoy - Tigre on Friday.Godoy was fav to win the match since Tigres were bottom of the table , Tigres got 2 red cards (66' and 72') , Godoy were leading 1-0 at 85' ,so i backed Godoy -0.5 @ 4.40 . Godoy scored at 92'
3)Groningen - Walwijk. Groning was fav to win the match , Walwijk got a red card at 37' , Groningen were leading 2-1 at 85' , so i backed Groningen -0.5 @ 3.22 . Groningen scored 2 more goals at 92' and 95'
4) Groningen to win @ 1.67 against Walwijk at HT ( not exactly this strategy since it was at HT ,but result was 0-0 and was logical Groningen would win unless they would take a red card too)
We back in-play (after 80th minute) the home team to win rest of the match ( or -0.25 ) if we meet some conditions :
1) home team is better than away team
2) away team is playing with one man less for at least 15 minutes
3) home team is leading by one goal at the moment we place the bet ( after 80th minute)
so, what's the logic ?
AWAY TEAM : They are weaker team ; playing away ; being with one man down which means they are tired ; they are losing by one goal and they will attack at the final minutes (after 80') so they will leave too much spaces behind
HOME TEAM : They are stronger ; playing at home ; they have one more player ; they want to score the second goal ( i mean to lead by 2 goals) because it's always risky being only 1 goal up.
Since know ,this strategy has been successful to me , with 4 picks - 4 wins :
1) Numancia - Sabadell. Numancia was fav to win the match , Sabadell got a red card at 72' , Numancia were leading 2-1 at 85' , so i backed Numancia -0.25 @ 2.88.Numancia scored a goal at 94'
2) Godoy - Tigre on Friday.Godoy was fav to win the match since Tigres were bottom of the table , Tigres got 2 red cards (66' and 72') , Godoy were leading 1-0 at 85' ,so i backed Godoy -0.5 @ 4.40 . Godoy scored at 92'
3)Groningen - Walwijk. Groning was fav to win the match , Walwijk got a red card at 37' , Groningen were leading 2-1 at 85' , so i backed Groningen -0.5 @ 3.22 . Groningen scored 2 more goals at 92' and 95'
4) Groningen to win @ 1.67 against Walwijk at HT ( not exactly this strategy since it was at HT ,but result was 0-0 and was logical Groningen would win unless they would take a red card too)