Liverpool vs West Brom 2012-02-11

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  • jontebond
    SBR MVP
    • 11-19-12
    • 2714

    #1
    Liverpool vs West Brom 2012-02-11
    Here is a summary of the game: Please comment if you agree or disagree with my prediction.

    Prediction:
    West brom is playing horrible right now, and I do predict that Liverpool will win. However the value is only 1.36 so I believe they might win with more then 1 goal so going with the AH -1,-1.5.

    At home Liverpool has played great football, Only 1 game in last 5 at home and then they dominated Norwich with 5 - 0. I do predict that the score will be 3 - 1 to Liverpool in this. Suarez will score 2 goals.

    Liverpool vs West Brom


    Previous Meetings & Form:
    West Bromwich Albion 1 - Liverpool 2 Over 2.5
    West Bromwich Albion 3 - Liverpool 0 Over 2.5
    Liverpool 0 - West Bromwich Albion 1 Under 2.5
    West Bromwich Albion 0 - Liverpool 2 Under 2.5
    West Bromwich Albion 2 - Liverpool 1 Over 2.5

    Last 5 games:
    Liverpool D D L W L
    West Bromwich Albion L L D L L



    Lineup:

    Liverpool
    Reina
    Johnson, Carragher, Agger, Enrique
    Gerrard, Lucas, Henderson
    Downing, Sturridge, Suarez

    West Brom
    Foster
    Reid, McAuley, Olsson, Ridgewell
    Yacob, Mulumbu
    Dorrans, Morrison, Brunt
    Long


    Injuries

    Liverpool
    Martin Kelly (Inj), Philippe Coutinho (Inj)

    West Brom
    Goran Popov (Susp), Zoltan Gera (Inj), George Thorne (Inj)
  • onemoregoal
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-04-13
    • 8149

    #2
    I would say Liverpool are a little under priced here. They are the same price to Chelsea when they played Wigan. And I would favour the Chelsea game every time over this one

    West Brom are ok and Liverpool shouldnt be commanding those odds BUT they are playing very well..
    Something like 2-1 3-1, but no real value for me. But your bet should win - I just dont think the odds are worth it.
    I might have a go in play, if Liverpool have it their way in the early stages its the sort of game that could have a lot more goals..

    Over 1.5 goals first half would be my call if I had to bet, best of luck.
    Comment
    • vortex
      SBR Hustler
      • 02-09-13
      • 63

      #3
      I agree Liverpool is in advantage in this game, as it seems they got the momentum, but (he, there's always BUT), they were playing soooo unpredictable over this season.
      Again, unfair odds from the bookies on this one.
      My call: Pass
      Comment
      • Shredder
        SBR Wise Guy
        • 03-22-12
        • 578

        #4
        However the value is only 1.36 so I believe they might win with more then 1 goal so going with the AH -1,-1.5.
        Above looks like you want to go ML, but because odds are not good you go for handicap. That's not the best reasoning imo. If that's what you meant by it that is.

        For the game, I think I'm passing because I don't see much value.
        Comment
        • jontebond
          SBR MVP
          • 11-19-12
          • 2714

          #5
          Originally posted by Shredder
          Above looks like you want to go ML, but because odds are not good you go for handicap. That's not the best reasoning imo. If that's what you meant by it that is.

          For the game, I think I'm passing because I don't see much value.
          Yes that is my reason for it actually. Thanks for the tips. Maybe its better to go with both teams to score 1.83 as I see them both can put one in.....
          Comment
          • Paul Kemp
            SBR Sharp
            • 09-05-12
            • 278

            #6
            Been away for some time - and although I agree this should be a pass - I have the hardest time not putting a very, very small lean on +650.

            Bad habits are so hard to break!
            Comment
            • jontebond
              SBR MVP
              • 11-19-12
              • 2714

              #7
              My Al Jaish vs Al-Gharafa U2.5 cashed so will make a play for Liverpool. Still trying to decide the best angle to bet on this game.... So far I believe the BTTS is the bet to go...
              Comment
              • wjwskill
                SBR Rookie
                • 02-11-13
                • 19

                #8
                Like the look of Liverpool -1.5
                Comment
                • pavyracer
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 04-12-07
                  • 82839

                  #9
                  Sturridge is not playing.
                  Comment
                  • Paul Kemp
                    SBR Sharp
                    • 09-05-12
                    • 278

                    #10
                    Does anyone even see the smallest chance West Brom pulls off a regulation win? Have you seen stranger things happen in similar matches?

                    Something doesn't seem right about this one - I know LP is a better team and is hot, I know WB is not. I know the lineups...

                    My gut/greed, for whatever reason, is telling me WB upsets.

                    Problem: I've got a very small lean on +650 for WB - I just need someone to talk me out burning more money...
                    Comment
                    • bolek
                      SBR MVP
                      • 09-27-12
                      • 1419

                      #11
                      See how the game goes and live bet instead ....
                      Comment
                      • Paul Kemp
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 09-05-12
                        • 278

                        #12
                        Originally posted by bolek
                        See how the game goes and live bet instead ....
                        Would love to - not available on Bookmaker....
                        Comment
                        • spargament
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-22-09
                          • 1739

                          #13
                          Logic says Liverpool has a relative breakthrough this match looking to gain traction and make a move to the top 7 of the table. Offensively they're in form, West Brom hasn't played well in some time...but it's not unfathomable to imagine a Liverpool choke.
                          Comment
                          • FindTheLock
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 02-27-10
                            • 7194

                            #14
                            im waiting for HT to bet on this one
                            Comment
                            • onemoregoal
                              SBR Hall of Famer
                              • 02-04-13
                              • 8149

                              #15
                              hmm.. 0-0. Gone small on over 14 asian corners 1.80 (b365) - seems fair enough with 8 so far and Liverpool will be huffing and puffing..
                              Not really seeing much else to tempt me on this one, perhaps Suarez 1st scorer @ 4.33 bet refunded if no goal (willhill)?
                              Comment
                              • Fayt13
                                SBR Sharp
                                • 09-09-10
                                • 321

                                #16
                                Wow. I'm a sucker for taking the o3
                                Comment
                                • FindTheLock
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-27-10
                                  • 7194

                                  #17
                                  I went with West Brom +.5 +136 for the 2H
                                  Comment
                                  • xetsr
                                    SBR Sharp
                                    • 10-29-12
                                    • 483

                                    #18
                                    Got O 1, 1½ -143 live.
                                    Comment
                                    • PuckIt
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-11-12
                                      • 9416

                                      #19
                                      West Brom has ZERO chances. Liverpool has 10...but nothing.
                                      Comment
                                      • FindTheLock
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 02-27-10
                                        • 7194

                                        #20
                                        I almost bet on correct score 0-0 at the beginning but I chickened out.
                                        Comment
                                        • pavyracer
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 04-12-07
                                          • 82839

                                          #21
                                          Sturridge not playing was huge.
                                          Comment
                                          • FindTheLock
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 02-27-10
                                            • 7194

                                            #22
                                            liverpool has wasted a lot of good chances.
                                            Comment
                                            • Vaughany
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 03-07-10
                                              • 45563

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by pavyracer
                                              Sturridge not playing was huge.
                                              yep, lost without most in-form player
                                              Comment
                                              • odog11
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 02-14-11
                                                • 3874

                                                #24
                                                Last save was sick, Rodgers was already celebrating.
                                                Comment
                                                • FindTheLock
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 02-27-10
                                                  • 7194

                                                  #25
                                                  that was a totallly BS call
                                                  Comment
                                                  • odog11
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-14-11
                                                    • 3874

                                                    #26
                                                    No way he scores
                                                    Comment
                                                    • FindTheLock
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-27-10
                                                      • 7194

                                                      #27
                                                      suarez dives and liverpool will win the game bc of it. Suerez should be red carded for that BS
                                                      Comment
                                                      • FindTheLock
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 02-27-10
                                                        • 7194

                                                        #28
                                                        they didn't deserve that goal anyway
                                                        Comment
                                                        • xetsr
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 10-29-12
                                                          • 483

                                                          #29
                                                          Wow
                                                          Comment
                                                          • FindTheLock
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 02-27-10
                                                            • 7194

                                                            #30
                                                            Goal!! WBA baby! That is hilarious no shots on goal then score on the only one.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Paul Kemp
                                                              SBR Sharp
                                                              • 09-05-12
                                                              • 278

                                                              #31
                                                              Please let me have this one!!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • onemoregoal
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 02-04-13
                                                                • 8149

                                                                #32
                                                                corners paid out...
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Paul Kemp
                                                                  SBR Sharp
                                                                  • 09-05-12
                                                                  • 278

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by onemoregoal
                                                                  corners paid out...
                                                                  Sure did - that is what a GOAL looks like!

                                                                  If WB can hold this, they REALLY paid out at +650!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Sawyer
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 06-01-09
                                                                    • 7761

                                                                    #34
                                                                    I love mondays. Always surprises
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Sawyer
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                                      • 7761

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by Paul Kemp
                                                                      Sure did - that is what a GOAL looks like!

                                                                      If WB can hold this, they REALLY paid out at +650!
                                                                      I got WBA at +895
                                                                      Comment
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