Newcastle (+260) will win today against Fulham, here's why.

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  • i_pick_winners1
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 01-26-08
    • 624

    #1
    Newcastle (+260) will win today against Fulham, here's why.
    First and foremost, Fulham are in horrible form. Two losses and one tie in their last three matches, the side looks uninspired and downright apathetic. The team lacks depth and Craven Cottage, holding only 20k+ supporters, is not one of the best places in the Premier League to get a "home field advantage" -- which is why I think this +260 line is WAY out of whack and a great value for a team like Newcastle.

    Newcastle are not only the better side and above Fulham in the table, but they're welcoming back Demba Ba, who has ten goals this season and cannot stop scoring lately. Demba Ba has found something special of late, scoring a majority of Newcastle's goals. He will definitely be the difference maker today, as Newcastle also looks to welcome back Ben Arfa, a massive workhorse for the side. Newcastle has the momentum going in and are going to handily win this match.

    Massive play on Newcastle +260.
  • Vaughany
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 03-07-10
    • 45563

    #2
    Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw
    Comment
    • i_pick_winners1
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-26-08
      • 624

      #3
      Originally posted by Vaughany
      Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw
      Ben Arfa reminds me of Benayoun -- like you say, he's a creative player, but he does usually cover a lot of ground.
      Comment
      • 16johnnymac
        SBR MVP
        • 10-27-10
        • 3499

        #4
        Everyone is saying New Castle
        Will win but you are stating a Draw can you tell why a draw?

        Thank you

        Johnny


        Originally posted by Vaughany
        Ben Arfa isnt really a workhorse - he's a creative flair player that drifts in and out of games but is crucial to their creative threat. Part of the reason Fulham have been poor recently was due to Hangeland being out suspended...think it will be a draw
        Comment
        • Vaughany
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 03-07-10
          • 45563

          #5
          Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play
          Comment
          • 16johnnymac
            SBR MVP
            • 10-27-10
            • 3499

            #6
            Oh OK it seemed like other threads are all on N.C. but are say it would be good to do 1 play on NC to win and one on a draw?

            Thank you

            Johnny


            UOTE=Vaughany;17073896]Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play[/QUOTE]
            Comment
            • PuckIt
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-11-12
              • 9416

              #7
              Over!
              Comment
              • PuckIt
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-11-12
                • 9416

                #8
                Originally posted by 16johnnymac
                Oh OK it seemed like other threads are all on N.C. but are say it would be good to do 1 play on NC to win and one on a draw?

                Thank you

                Johnny


                UOTE=Vaughany;17073896]Who is everyone?! If everyone was saying Newcastle win then the odds wouldnt be like they are. I certainly wouldnt bet on Fulham to win but I just wouldnt be confident in NEwcastle straight up either. Would be draw or Newcastle DNB if I did play
                [/QUOTE]

                Newcastle +0.5 could be a good play at -120 if you want.
                Comment
                • i_pick_winners1
                  SBR Wise Guy
                  • 01-26-08
                  • 624

                  #9
                  Agreed
                  Comment
                  • 16johnnymac
                    SBR MVP
                    • 10-27-10
                    • 3499

                    #10
                    Hay bro so u like the over ??$$$$$
                    My o/u is 2 1/2 thoughts over?


                    OTE=PuckIt;17074092]Over![/QUOTE]
                    Comment
                    • Bluedragon
                      SBR MVP
                      • 08-30-10
                      • 3484

                      #11
                      Not sure who I'm rolling with here but Newcastle form ain't all that much to lay stake in...

                      L5 League Play:

                      W New-Wig 3-0
                      L Stoke-New 2-1
                      L South-New 2-0
                      L New-Swan 1-2
                      L New-West Ham 0-1


                      Those aren't exactly the powerhouse teams of the league.

                      GL, still looking into this.
                      Comment
                      • i_pick_winners1
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 01-26-08
                        • 624

                        #12
                        I agree, but Ba and Ben Arfa coming back should get them riled up and inject enough talent into the side today, IMO.
                        Comment
                        • PuckIt
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-11-12
                          • 9416

                          #13
                          I like both the O2.5 and the Newcastle +0.5. I expect Newcastle +0.5 to hit approx 58% (Win 32% / Draw 26%) of the time with the O2.5 at approx 63% of the time.
                          Comment
                          • Leo818
                            SBR Hustler
                            • 02-05-12
                            • 64

                            #14
                            1u on Newcastle PK +220. BOL.
                            Comment
                            • chino_09
                              SBR Hustler
                              • 01-17-11
                              • 61

                              #15
                              I like Newcastle today too. Safer bet probably would be Newcastle +1/2 but I really get a feeling that they'll pick up their first road victory today. Cisse and Ba are rested as well which should make for a fast paced match.

                              2u on Newcastle ML and Over
                              1u on Draw
                              Comment
                              • i_pick_winners1
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 01-26-08
                                • 624

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Leo818
                                1u on Newcastle PK +220. BOL.
                                Where did you get them +220 as a PK. That's a great line, I would pound the living shit out of that.
                                Comment
                                • PuckIt
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 01-11-12
                                  • 9416

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by i_pick_winners1
                                  Where did you get them +220 as a PK. That's a great line, I would pound the living shit out of that.
                                  I see it as +175
                                  Comment
                                  • tcarn01
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 10-27-09
                                    • 1993

                                    #18
                                    that is what i have it at puckit
                                    Comment
                                    • thetrinity
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 01-25-11
                                      • 22430

                                      #19
                                      neither team really in that good of form, newcastle is awful on the road only have 4 points in 7 games (all draws), tough game to call.
                                      Comment
                                      • hugh613
                                        SBR Sharp
                                        • 11-25-12
                                        • 299

                                        #20
                                        Hopefully Demba Ba goes off, otherwise you can pretty much forget about Newcastle or the over - unless Cisse manages to show up for a change, but that's just crazy talk.
                                        Comment
                                        • i_pick_winners1
                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                          • 01-26-08
                                          • 624

                                          #21
                                          Man, I forgot how big of a dump Craven Cottage is.
                                          Comment
                                          • chino_09
                                            SBR Hustler
                                            • 01-17-11
                                            • 61

                                            #22
                                            Fulham up 1-0 now. Helps my Over I suppose. Newcastle better start controlling the ball better.
                                            Comment
                                            • hugh613
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-25-12
                                              • 299

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by i_pick_winners1
                                              Man, I forgot how big of a dump Craven Cottage is.
                                              They've got a statue of Michael Jackson though...

                                              Comment
                                              • hotelis
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 05-31-12
                                                • 1995

                                                #24
                                                first and foremost they are up 1-0 at the half
                                                Comment
                                                • i_pick_winners1
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-26-08
                                                  • 624

                                                  #25
                                                  Hmmmm....I remember SOMEONE saying Ben Arfa would be a difference maker in this match.

                                                  1-1

                                                  Let's go Geordies!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • chino_09
                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                    • 01-17-11
                                                    • 61

                                                    #26
                                                    Ben Arfa with the equalizer! Nice strike!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • chino_09
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 01-17-11
                                                      • 61

                                                      #27
                                                      Newcastle isn't typically a 2H team either. Let's see how shitty Fulham is.....not one win in their last 7 EPL matches......let's go for 8!!!
                                                      Comment
                                                      • jules11
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-24-12
                                                        • 717

                                                        #28
                                                        sooo... is the OP from the the mma forum? real football ain't easy.
                                                        Comment
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