PuckIt Soccer Plays

[PuckIt]

where's that?

bovada

[PuckIt]

BOOOOOOOM!!!! Over cashes in the 1H

[Vaughany]

nice hit bud...hopefully Getafe can add one more in second half and make up my loss from the under!

[mushmoney]

yeah baby overr boommm)

[mushmoney]

i hope my parlay hiit too)
over its add game

[PuckIt]

The Getafe (-1) and the O/U 4 is too juicy for me to make any more plays on it. I could see this game ending 3-1 or just as it stands at 2-1.

Vaughany I thought you had Getafe PK? In which case you don't need any more goals, right?

[PuckIt]

We are 12-3 on our last 15 plays. Solid bounce-back after those disaster two-days!

[bolek]

I am on the ml and correct score 3-1

Portugal Game trying Beira Mar ml and correct score 1-0

Gl..you've been doing amazing....keep it up....
Cheers

[PuckIt]

Monaco up 1-0!

[PuckIt]

1.35u to win 1u - Beira-Mar PK @ -135

Thanks to pattymayo for the insight on this one

[PuckIt]

LIVE BET - 0.725u to win 0.5u - AS Monaco ML @ -145

[PuckIt]

wow...ouch getafe backers

[NavsPicks]

penetrating unreal lmfao.. good thing i took pk instead of ML.. Thank fkn god

[PuckIt]

Wow Monaco's fukking me hardcore right now.

[PuckIt]

Looks like we may be ending this day on a bad note.

[SlowNsteady]

Monaco did not look good today! Very impressive run Puck

[pattymayo]

Too many plays Puck , you're bound to just break even / be down units when you make 10+ plays a day and so many random live bets

[PuckIt]

Yep, they had SO MANY CHANCES it's absurd. They should have won by at least two goals.

[PuckIt]

Too many plays Puck , you're bound to just break even / be down units when you make 10+ plays a day and so many random live bets

yeah, i'm gonna be toning it down a little and only playing the games I like best. This weekend was an example of why it's not a good betting strategy to have so many plays.

[PuckIt]

yeah, i'm gonna be toning it down a little and only playing the games I like best. This weekend was an example of why it's not a good betting strategy to have so many plays.

Please note that this will likely be in regard to POSTED plays...if I spot opportunities in live games with great value, i'm going after it! I typically do well in live games that I am watching closely.

[Vaughany]

The Getafe (-1) and the O/U 4 is too juicy for me to make any more plays on it. I could see this game ending 3-1 or just as it stands at 2-1.

Vaughany I thought you had Getafe PK? In which case you don't need any more goals, right?

I'd of lost half stake had it stayed at 2-1 as I played Under 2.75. So would of been better for me if Getafe scored and the Under lost completely, and PK play hit.

[Vaughany]

Please note that this will likely be in regard to POSTED plays...if I spot opportunities in live games with great value, i'm going after it! I typically do well in live games that I am watching closely.

yeah live-betting was great for me at weekend, and hot and cold today, lost £200 on the Ivory Coast/Egypt game live-betting but then made some of it back from live-betting on the Monaco and Getafe games (and the parlay I had pending combined with those live plays put me up in the end thankfully). I've made some absolutely terrible decisions in past tho with live-betting...betting way too much on pretty much coinflips!

[PuckIt]

yep, time to smarten up! Live plays (IMO) are most beneficial when you can sense a blow-out coming. Well matched teams are not very valuable when betting live...at least in my experience.

[pellumb341]

crazy how many games in Greece end up with 2 goals or less. Not one game on Saturday or Sunday had over 2 goals and now this one as well. I might just start an experiment and blindly play the under 2 in every game (unless Olympiakos are playin)!

Check Greece league 2 and Ghana premier league and you will see that 80% - 90% go under

[Vaughany]

yep, time to smarten up! Live plays (IMO) are most beneficial when you can sense a blow-out coming. Well matched teams are not very valuable when betting live...at least in my experience.

yeah unless it's teams that aren't evenly matched on paper but then is looking even during the game...like the 2nd Napoli vs Bologna game recently...I had Napoli -1 and in second half Bologna were having so much success on the counter and had 2 or 3 great chances yet the line for them to win was like +800 or something and the PK was +350 even though they'd had more chances and were actually looking more dangerous than Napoli. I was so close to pullin the trigger on Bologna but of course didnt and they went on to score a winner in last minute of game! Point is sometimes it doesnt seem like the alter the lines too much from what they started at even if the underdog isnt gettin as dominated as expected before the match started so some great value bets can be got

[Vaughany]

Check Greece league 2 and Ghana premier league and you will see that 80% - 90% go under

ha yeah, and South African league too

[PuckIt]

Looking forward - Here are a bunch of leans, I will eliminate some of these throughout the course of the week:

EDIT: I am adding the approximate % chance of cashing that I am getting for each play below, as well as a 1-4 star rating for how my picks on them in the past have been.

EPL
- Chelsea / Southampton O3 --> 56% ****
- West Ham / QPR U2.5 --> 55% ****
- Swansea ML @ Stoke --> 53% ****
- West Brom / Villa O2.5 --> 57% ****
- Fulham PK @ Man City --> 30% **

Liga
- Barca / Real Sociedad O3.25 --> 62% ****
- Malaga / Celta Vigo U2.5 --> 64% **
- Malaga PK @ Celta Vigo --> 87% *** (win 60% / draw 27%)
- Grenada / Rayo O2.5 --> 57% *

Bundesliga
- Bayer Leverkusen ML @ Eintracht Frankfurt --> 66% ***
- Nurnberg PK @ Hamburg --> 81% *** (win 48% / draw 33%)
- Fortuna Dusseldorf ML @ Augsburg --> 48% ***

Serie A
- Lazio ML or PK --> ML: 52% ****
- Lazio O2.5 --> 50% ****
- Fiorentina / Napoli O2.5 --> 62% ****
- Catania U2.5 --> 54% ****
- Napoli ML or +0.5 --> ML: 44% ***


Note: These percentages are strictly based on computational value and do not consider any insight outside of stats. For instance, even though the Malaga PK is at 84%, I am not NEARLY that certain in the play because the last few games I watched I was NOT impressed with their offense what so ever.

[PuckIt]

England FA Cup:

1.18u to win 1u - Wigan PK / Bournemouth @ -118 <-- pretty excited about this one

[PuckIt]

England FA Cup:

1.38u to win 1u - Stoke City / Crystal Palace U2.5 @ -138

[16johnnymac]

Are watching all these games ?

Any ones you really like bro hey I will have a NHL thread on pregame not sure about here Iam really not happy everyone bashes your plays when u loose but NHL Iam pretty solid!!

Looking forward - Here are a bunch of leans, I will eliminate some of these throughout the course of the week:

EDIT: I am adding the approximate % chance of cashing that I am getting for each play below, as well as a 1-4 star rating for how my picks on them in the past have been.

EPL
- Chelsea / Southampton O3 --> 56% ****
- West Ham / QPR U2.5 --> 55% ****
- Swansea ML @ Stoke --> 53% ****
- West Brom / Villa O2.5 --> 57% ****
- Fulham PK @ Man City --> 30% **

Liga
- Barca / Real Sociedad O3.25 --> 62% ****
- Malaga / Celta Vigo U2.5 --> 64% **
- Malaga PK @ Celta Vigo --> 87% *** (win 60% / draw 27%)
- Grenada / Rayo O2.5 --> 57% *

Bundesliga
- Bayer Leverkusen ML @ Eintracht Frankfurt --> 66% ***
- Nurnberg PK @ Hamburg --> 81% *** (win 48% / draw 33%)
- Fortuna Dusseldorf ML @ Augsburg --> 48% ***

Serie A
- Lazio ML or PK --> ML: 52% ****
- Lazio O2.5 --> 50% ****
- Fiorentina / Napoli O2.5 --> 62% ****
- Catania U2.5 --> 54% ****
- Napoli ML or +0.5 --> ML: 44% ***


Note: These percentages are strictly based on computational value and do not consider any insight outside of stats. For instance, even though the Malaga PK is at 84%, I am not NEARLY that certain in the play because the last few games I watched I was NOT impressed with their offense what so ever.

[PuckIt]

Adding more on the Stoke game.

2.6u to win 2u - Stoke / Crystal Palace U2.5 @ -130

[pattymayo]

What book are you using? 5d has Palace under at -117

[atofsu32111]

Why do you think that line has plumeted to -136 to -118?

[PuckIt]

1.15u to win 1u - RM / Valencia U3.5 @ -115

[PuckIt]

What book are you using? 5d has Palace under at -117

Bovada - need to move more of my BR over to 5d.