EP36's Draw Project

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #1
    EP36's Draw Project
    Decided to make one thread for this one since these are the only plays I will be making soccer-wise. See if I can't find the discipline here. For anyone just looking, here is what I am looking for with these:

    *Picking two or three draws at a time. Flat bet each (same risk size). Looking to hit 1/3 or 1/2 and secure a profit.

    I don't have any sort of fancy system for these. I simply research matches for the day when I do this project and look for good trends for draws. Trend could be a team playing a lot of draws. Trend could be two top tier teams playing each other where a draw is beneficial to both, etc. It's all personal choice. Likely to play between 2-3 days per week on these when there are the right matches to try. Fade, follow, ridicule, whatever.


  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #2
    11.30.12
    [Spain] Osasuna-Rayo Vallecano +266
    [France L1] Ajaccio-St.Etienne +221
    [Holland Eerste] Helmond Sport-MVV +279
    Comment
    • Raymondo
      SBR High Roller
      • 11-20-12
      • 229

      #3
      Goodluck, my draw betting system is monitoring line movement and various other things but hope you profit.
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #4
        Do u post those plays? Always interested to see how others work.
        Comment
        • laca07
          SBR Hustler
          • 11-20-12
          • 61

          #5
          BOL. Glad you'll be putting these into a single thread. I'll be following along.
          Comment
          • Ajax1489
            SBR Hustler
            • 11-28-12
            • 60

            #6
            Always thought about doing this as well. I believe statistically draws happen about a third of the time, but if you bet in more draw heavy games, you should make a profit. I'll be following your journey.
            Comment
            • Raymondo
              SBR High Roller
              • 11-20-12
              • 229

              #7
              Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
              Do u post those plays? Always interested to see how others work.
              Yes, I have my own thread. Things aren't going too well though.
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #8
                Solid day today. Going to keep the percentage included in the record. Aiming for 33% or better to keep the profits up.

                Record: 2-1 (67%) [+4.00]
                Comment
                • laca07
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 11-20-12
                  • 61

                  #9
                  Tailed, thanks for the picks!
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    12.1.12
                    [England] QPR-Aston Villa +254
                    [England-Champ] Huddersfield Town-Leeds United +251
                    [Holland] Ajax-PSV +243
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #11
                      QPR-Villa in the bag, so we're guaranteed some profit regardless of the last outcome - hopefully though we can nail two again today.
                      Comment
                      • BigBurk
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-25-11
                        • 3785

                        #12
                        Ajax PSV has a high chance of ending in a draw imo. Ajax can not risk to lose this one and get behind any further, while PSV doesn't want to see Ajax closing the gap to them.

                        I am on PSV pk +104 myself, but will gladly settle for the draw here.
                        Comment
                        • EaglesPhan36
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 12-06-06
                          • 71662

                          #13
                          Yeah it is definitely one of the situations I look for when looking at draws, two good teams near the top of the table and especially like when the higher ranked club is on the road where getting a draw is usually an adequate result for them.
                          Comment
                          • p19101
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-17-11
                            • 1419

                            #14
                            What speaks against the Ajax game is that PSV doesn't draw a whole lot. This season 0 times in 16 games, last year 6 times in 34 games.
                            Comment
                            • AceKingHigh
                              SBR MVP
                              • 10-23-09
                              • 3888

                              #15
                              Just letting you know, if you even find just a single game that you like in any given day, you can post it , the reason is, you don't have to show profit each day, but if you can pick draws more then 33% you would like to have as many games overall
                              Comment
                              • BigBurk
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-25-11
                                • 3785

                                #16
                                Well. The first half is over (1-1) and I don't know if you guys are watching this game but Ajax should have been leading by at least 3 goals. They are completely controlling this game and creating chance after chance after chance (hit the post, cleared of the line twice).

                                But PSV weren't PSV if they would sneak one in. Great goal none the less from the position Lens was in. Shouldn't have gotten the space to shoot though.

                                Anyway, if Ajax can play another half like the first half, PSV will have no chance.
                                Comment
                                • bolek
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 09-27-12
                                  • 1419

                                  #17
                                  Its ending 1-1 live bet.....at +187
                                  Gl
                                  Comment
                                  • BigBurk
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-25-11
                                    • 3785

                                    #18
                                    If you were even watching this game you wouldn't bet 1-1 live.
                                    Comment
                                    • BigBurk
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-25-11
                                      • 3785

                                      #19
                                      Told you.
                                      Comment
                                      • bolek
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 09-27-12
                                        • 1419

                                        #20
                                        Yup
                                        Comment
                                        • bolek
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-27-12
                                          • 1419

                                          #21
                                          Ajax wins. Onto the mls game
                                          Gl
                                          Comment
                                          • fitguy67
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 03-13-11
                                            • 5082

                                            #22
                                            Originally posted by AceKingHigh
                                            Just letting you know, if you even find just a single game that you like in any given day, you can post it , the reason is, you don't have to show profit each day, but if you can pick draws more then 33% you would like to have as many games overall
                                            Comment
                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                              • 12-06-06
                                              • 71662

                                              #23
                                              Record: 3-3 (50%) [+4.54]
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #24
                                                12.2.12
                                                [England] Norwich City-Sunderland +237
                                                [England-Champ] Burnley-Blackburn +250
                                                [Italy] Udinese-Cagliari +230

                                                Comment
                                                • odog11
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-14-11
                                                  • 3874

                                                  #25
                                                  Was eyeing Burnley-Blackburn. Going to put a little on it, get some sleep then wake up to research the "later" games a little more.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Raymondo
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-20-12
                                                    • 229

                                                    #26
                                                    Bro! Think Sunderland will win, goodluck though, the blackburn draw is a lock
                                                    Comment
                                                    • dacs
                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                      • 12-17-11
                                                      • 50

                                                      #27
                                                      1 down 2 to go
                                                      Comment
                                                      • beefcake
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 11-26-09
                                                        • 14029

                                                        #28
                                                        Figures, I sleep late and miss Blackburn and then bet the Italy game and get Ass raped..Such is gambling..
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #29
                                                          No late equalizer in the EPL, but did the trick again 1/3.

                                                          Record: 4-5 (44%) [+5.04]
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Raymondo
                                                            SBR High Roller
                                                            • 11-20-12
                                                            • 229

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by Raymondo
                                                            the blackburn draw is a lock
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #31
                                                              Giving it another whirl today.

                                                              12.3.12
                                                              [Turkey] Glencerbirligi-Trabzonspor +230
                                                              [Denmark] AAB Aalborg-AGF +243
                                                              [Holland] Dordrecht-AGOVV +394
                                                              Comment
                                                              • laca07
                                                                SBR Hustler
                                                                • 11-20-12
                                                                • 61

                                                                #32
                                                                What's your thinking with the Dordrecht match? Bad weather?
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #33
                                                                  AGOVV has been a road draw machine and it's not just been against poor teams. They have draws with three teams in the Top 5 on the road. Dordrecht has the great home roecord, but they have a couple draws at home. Just think for the price, it's worth a roll today for me. Might be a total blowout, but anything is possible.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • laca07
                                                                    SBR Hustler
                                                                    • 11-20-12
                                                                    • 61

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Right on, appreciate the response.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Ushpa
                                                                      SBR Hustler
                                                                      • 11-02-11
                                                                      • 51

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Another good candidate for today would be Pas Giannina @ AFK Athens...GL.
                                                                      Comment
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