People around here need to learn how to cap games

[FourLengthsClear]

So what is it you are trying to say?

Theres no point in capping?

I am saying that it is a very tough way to try to make money.

The best win rates are achieved by those (and that includes Billy Walters) who use mathematical modeling and whose reputation with the books allows them to 'manipulate' opening/early lines.

Markets in major US sports are very efficient and finding an edge using the same approach as the vast majority of players is hard, very hard. Less efficient/popular markets (e.g. WNBA or minor league soccer matches) are easier but you will have to dig deeper for information, stats etc.

[warriorfan707]

Cant believe one successful capper on sbr has nothing to say about this.

Maybe thats the problem right there.

[warriorfan707]

I am saying that it is a very tough way to try to make money.

The best win rates are achieved by those (and that includes Billy Walters) who use mathematical modeling and whose reputation with the books allows them to 'manipulate' opening/early lines.

Markets in major US sports are very efficient and finding an edge using the same approach as the vast majority of players is hard, very hard. Less efficient/popular markets (e.g. WNBA or minor league soccer matches) are easier but you will have to dig deeper for information, stats etc.

Hard, yes.

Impossible?

Far From.

I can do it.

[Emily_Haines]

I don't need any help.

ok, hermit

[FourLengthsClear]

Hard, yes.

Impossible?

Far From.

I can do it.

I didn't say impossible. In my first post, I said that 90% (at least) could not beat -110 by handicapping.

[warriorfan707]

I didn't say impossible. In my first post, I said that 90% (at least) could not beat -110 by handicapping.

Im definitely in that 10% (If that figure is accurate)

[chilidog]

33% with a 800 profit, sure 800 bucks is a nice profit for people that wager 100 bucks a game.

But you wager 4K + a day, I don't think I'd be considering that a big profit in terms of how much you wager.

$800 profit on $4k worth of wagers is a 20% ROI. I'll take a 20% return any day of the week.

[warriorfan707]

This thread says it all.





I tried folks. This is like herding cattle here.

[BroDog73]

Does anyone else think that warriorfan starts threads because he is dying for friends and considers you all his best buds? I picture him on his couch propped up with a bk soda, pondering his next entertaining post to try and impress his guests.

You truly astonish me warrior!

[ngates815]

33% with a 800 profit, sure 800 bucks is a nice profit for people that wager 100 bucks a game. But you wager 4K + a day, I don't think I'd be considering that a big profit in terms of how much you wager.

$800 profit on $4k worth of wagers is a 20% ROI. I'll take a 20% return any day of the week.

Who wouldn't take 20% ROI.

But I said he wagers 4K+ a day, and is up 800. That's not saying he's wagering 4K and is up 800 per day, that's saying he wagers 4K a day and is up 800.

48K risked 800 won. Right around 1.5% ROI

[chilidog]

Who wouldn't take 20% ROI.

But I said he wagers 4K+ a day, and is up 800. That's not saying he's wagering 4K and is up 800 per day, that's saying he wagers 4K a day and is up 800.

48K risked 800 won. Right around 1.5% ROI

Ahh okay. I thought you were saying $4k in one day to return $800. I didn't realize that he risked 48k to win 800.

[rfr3sh]

Any reason I don't think Ive ever seen you post a play?

This has to be quote of the thread... how have you not seen roxxy post a play is the real question

[BernardMadoff]

Calm down Pal...

You make like 43 wagers a day...

You really think the books are wrong that often???

You're paying 10% off the top...

Just slow down and think for second...

What do you mean by, is Vegas wrong that often.

[Big Bear]

True. There are not very many good cappers at SBR. Pretty much anytime someone on here claims they are making a huge play or if they say its a lock or easy money the play almost always is a loser.

[TheMoneyShot]

Best way to cap... just take one game and hit it hard... Technically your best game should come at a 63% winning percentage clip... its because we have poor money management and wager extra games... we tend to jam ourselves... also takes away our momentum... thus taking away our confidence... then we feel like sh#$ and start forcing more plays. Happens to everyone.