It's not racism it's realism: NFL and NCAAF betting strategy

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  • maggiethebestdog
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 12-21-13
    • 6700

    #36
    Originally posted by The Giant
    Why is a thread involving handicapping in the saloon?

    Social justice warrior mod
    Comment
    • turbobets
      SBR Wise Guy
      • 01-13-06
      • 995

      #37
      Arizona Wildcats 0-2 ats.
      Comment
      • Sanity Check
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 03-30-13
        • 10962

        #38
        Originally posted by dlowilly
        Save the howls of racism, we're here to win. I usually bet all the black underdogs vs. non black opponents in UFC btw
        This guy would contend: "its not racism, its raceology".


        Comment
        • danwinkler
          SBR Sharp
          • 05-22-18
          • 461

          #39
          Originally posted by dlowilly
          I assume ur talking about that guy (I forget his name) who went public with his record that was already up in google forums. You could subscribe to his upcoming picks packages for the low low price of hundreds and thousands of dollars. Problem is you can edit google forum entries indefinitely without a trace.

          As soon as he went public with picks he was losing after supposedly hitting 70% for months. For an example I created my own google forum account and had a perfect record with huge ML underdogs because I could edit after the fact. Some guys even subscribed waiting for more picks because they didn't know it was just an example. Of course I didn't make more picks.

          He also had shills and/or ghost accounts on here hyping and defending him. Were you one of them? Ur pretty new here.

          All that happened before your join date, so I'm going to safely assume you are him or a shill of his and therefore @ the rest of your salty nonsense.
          You probably have inferiority complex. Read up on it and get some help https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferiority_complex You don't really need to get help, just self evaluate and fix your behavior.
          Comment
          • dlowilly
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 11-09-16
            • 13862

            #40
            Originally posted by danwinkler
            You probably have inferiority complex. Read up on it and get some help https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Inferiority_complex You don't really need to get help, just self evaluate and fix your behavior.
            Hmmm, no mention of the scammer you were exposed as being or defending. You guys were set to scam for lots of money and I exposed it and screwed it up for you. I understand your dislike of me
            Comment
            • MMXVII
              SBR High Roller
              • 03-23-17
              • 114

              #41
              Originally posted by danwinkler
              This guy doesn't act in the best interest of forum users. I remember before i was a member here, there was thread with picks from some DFS guy where the poster posted some nice winners. This guy did a lot of clowning and chased the poster away. I don't understand why many forum users get itchy when someone posts winners. I have seen it in multiple forums. Whenever someone posts winners, guys like this guy will start clowning/trolling until the posted is chased away. The purpose of forums is is to discuss picks and win as a group. I recommend all you veil negative energy guys to watch this lecture series by jordan peterson. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=hdrL...0I3lUrrFTzkpat Its 17 part lecture, each 2 hours long but if you sit through it and watch it over a month or so, your life will change.
              Comment
              • DISTROYA
                SBR MVP
                • 04-26-12
                • 2911

                #42
                Originally posted by maggiethebestdog
                I have a similar system
                I always bet on the all white NBA team to cover the spread in all their games
                Doesn't even matter what race the coach is
                when did you do this in the 50s? good luck finding one now. (especially in the NBA)
                Comment
                • Thrilla
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 03-10-15
                  • 13809

                  #43
                  Dlow iq fukkboy hill billy piece of shit bitchass racist at it again.
                  Comment
                  • packerd_00
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 05-22-13
                    • 17780

                    #44
                    Originally posted by NardVa
                    The fact that you think the color of skin has something to do with a team losing shows how f#cking stupid you are. The majority of college and NFL teams that lose on Saturday and Sunday have white QBs and white head coaches. Some the worse team performances from Sunday involved white head coaches and white QBs (Buffalo, San Fran, Arizona).
                    Sam Bradford is part Native,just so you know.
                    Last edited by packerd_00; 09-12-18, 07:11 PM.
                    Comment
                    • thechaoz
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-23-09
                      • 12155

                      #45
                      Originally posted by MMXVII
                      Is Memehomes black?
                      No. Just saw his interview. Sounds like a bro at USC
                      Comment
                      • thechaoz
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 10-23-09
                        • 12155

                        #46
                        Notice the NFL is on to the black running QB.

                        I can only thing of 3 starting QBs now that are black.

                        One might lose his job to Fitz
                        Comment
                        • bigtymer56
                          SBR MVP
                          • 07-31-12
                          • 4742

                          #47
                          Originally posted by MMXVII
                          Is Memehomes black?
                          Mixed.

                          Just found out his dad was a pitcher on the late 90's Mets teams.
                          Comment
                          • Foxx
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 05-25-11
                            • 5825

                            #48
                            Angle 3-1 Saturday with ASU game pending?
                            Comment
                            • thetrinity
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 01-25-11
                              • 22430

                              #49
                              need more of a sample size
                              Comment
                              • JAKEPEAVY21
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 03-11-11
                                • 29224

                                #50
                                Originally posted by bigtymer56
                                Mixed.

                                Just found out his dad was a pitcher on the late 90's Mets teams.
                                his Dad pitched in the majors for like 20 years.
                                Comment
                                • dlowilly
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-09-16
                                  • 13862

                                  #51
                                  2 - 2.5 - 1 for this past week

                                  For lines I go by the majority spread on my sbrodds first page
                                  Comment
                                  • dlowilly
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-09-16
                                    • 13862

                                    #52
                                    Ok so I back tested for the 2017, 2016, 2015 seasons.

                                    Including this past weekend through the 2015 season, black HCs with black QBs went 98.5-72-8 or the system went 72-98.5-8

                                    Looks like if anything betting on them might be the strategy. Willie Taggert at USF with Quinton Flowers at QB was money ATS for those years.
                                    Comment
                                    • Shute
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 03-20-17
                                      • 11835

                                      #53
                                      Delow
                                      Have you tested the dreadlock theory?
                                      Comment
                                      • Shute
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 03-20-17
                                        • 11835

                                        #54
                                        Delow
                                        Ever been with a sister?
                                        You know what I’m asking.
                                        Comment
                                        • Foxx
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 05-25-11
                                          • 5825

                                          #55
                                          Dlo, what do you call your system? Triple K? I vote double K.
                                          Comment
                                          • dlowilly
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 11-09-16
                                            • 13862

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by dlowilly
                                            Ok so I back tested for the 2017, 2016, 2015 seasons.

                                            Including this past weekend through the 2015 season, black HCs with black QBs went 98.5-72-8 or the system went 72-98.5-8

                                            Looks like if anything betting on them might be the strategy. Willie Taggert at USF with Quinton Flowers at QB was money ATS for those years.
                                            Oops, I have to redo 2016, I think the win/loss record was reversed

                                            Still may be a viable strategy, stay tuned
                                            Comment
                                            • dlowilly
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 11-09-16
                                              • 13862

                                              #57
                                              Kind of difficult to gather data on this, not exactly something already compiled you can google

                                              After going over it again since 2015 until now the black HC/QB duo is 62-74.5-7 ATS, so the system is 74.5-62-7

                                              Would love for someone to double check the numbers if they want to
                                              Comment
                                              • dlowilly
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 11-09-16
                                                • 13862

                                                #58
                                                Originally posted by jtoler
                                                maybe its that most of the black coaches are coaching horrible teams that have had a revolving door before they got there.
                                                This isn't really the case at least this year:

                                                Hue Jackson-3rd year as Browns HC

                                                Lovie Smith-3rd year as Illini HC

                                                Frank WIlson-3rd year as UTSA head coach

                                                Everett Withers-3rd year as Texas St. head coach

                                                Willie Taggart-1st year as FSU head coach but pre season rankings had them in the top 20 which are based on the talent on the team. They have NOT been playing like a top 20 team. Jimbo Fisher had been there for 8 years prior so hardly a revolving door.
                                                Comment
                                                • mikejamm
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 08-24-09
                                                  • 11038

                                                  #59
                                                  Originally posted by Shute
                                                  Delow
                                                  Have you tested the dreadlock theory?
                                                  No, but give him time. I'm sure the Aryan nation dik suk'in bleach boy is compiling a data base of all black athletes. He's really go'in at it too fellas, trying to debunk the theory that black athletes have bigger coks than white athletes. Poor dblow shit for brains, still bitter over a black guy steal'in his girlfriend and fuk'in her right!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • paco
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 05-07-09
                                                    • 62873

                                                    #60
                                                    Analytics stats back it up. 90% win rate
                                                    Comment
                                                    • thechaoz
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 10-23-09
                                                      • 12155

                                                      #61
                                                      Worked last night, works against Dak, works against Jameis, it's easily a 75% system
                                                      Comment
                                                      • StackinGreen
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-09-10
                                                        • 12140

                                                        #62
                                                        I've noticed that like most other terms used in SJW or marxists bilked societies, people don't even know the definition of words anymore. Secure people (speaking of insecurities) and particularly gamblers, should not be the least bit worried about a testable characteristic of teams to bet for or against, ATS.

                                                        I would love for people who claim this is "racist" to define the term and then tell me how such an endeavor is racist.

                                                        It's like using a fact such as Kenyan heritage in handicapping a marathon race. That shouldn't be the least bit controversial. That it positively involves a person with black skin should make one think even more how little any of these butthurt people employ logic or reason in their statements or arguments, and they don't make any real examples of the latter.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • thechaoz
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-23-09
                                                          • 12155

                                                          #63
                                                          Originally posted by StackinGreen
                                                          I've noticed that like most other terms used in SJW or marxists bilked societies, people don't even know the definition of words anymore. Secure people (speaking of insecurities) and particularly gamblers, should not be the least bit worried about a testable characteristic of teams to bet for or against, ATS.

                                                          I would love for people who claim this is "racist" to define the term and then tell me how such an endeavor is racist.

                                                          It's like using a fact such as Kenyan heritage in handicapping a marathon race. That shouldn't be the least bit controversial. That it positively involves a person with black skin should make one think even more how little any of these butthurt people employ logic or reason in their statements or arguments, and they don't make any real examples of the latter.
                                                          Exactly.

                                                          Unfortunately the league has about caught up so there isn't really black QBs left. Slowly being phased out
                                                          Comment
                                                          • wikkidinsane
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 05-30-10
                                                            • 13799

                                                            #64
                                                            Hey start bettng it and post your units here. I am intrested
                                                            Comment
                                                            • wikkidinsane
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 05-30-10
                                                              • 13799

                                                              #65
                                                              Put your money up or shut up/
                                                              Comment
                                                              • wikkidinsane
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 05-30-10
                                                                • 13799

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by Thrilla
                                                                Dlow iq fukkboy hill billy piece of shit bitchass racist at it again.
                                                                lol
                                                                Comment
                                                                • wikkidinsane
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 05-30-10
                                                                  • 13799

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by dlowilly
                                                                  Kind of difficult to gather data on this, not exactly something already compiled you can google

                                                                  After going over it again since 2015 until now the black HC/QB duo is 62-74.5-7 ATS, so the system is 74.5-62-7

                                                                  Would love for someone to double check the numbers if they want to
                                                                  how much mony do you think you would win if you were betting this lmfao. juice would make it almost break even
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • thechaoz
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 10-23-09
                                                                    • 12155

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                                                                    how much mony do you think you would win if you were betting this lmfao. juice would make it almost break even
                                                                    True they juice in extra for purple drank, crab legs and dog killers

                                                                    This is very sharp
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • StackinGreen
                                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                                      • 10-09-10
                                                                      • 12140

                                                                      #69
                                                                      You have to have real, definable terms and yes, any system is hard to beat a 10% vig, wikkid, you are correct.

                                                                      "Black" QBs:
                                                                      Cam Newton
                                                                      DeShaun Watson
                                                                      Jameis Winston
                                                                      Russell Wilson

                                                                      Mahomes and Prescott do not qualify
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Lenny Zefflin
                                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                                        • 08-17-17
                                                                        • 130

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by wikkidinsane
                                                                        how much mony do you think you would win if you were betting this lmfao. juice would make it almost break even
                                                                        About 3.9% ROI
                                                                        Comment
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