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What do you guys think about this bed comforter?
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Nice Chucks
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yankees over 8.5Comment -
i can follow your version of the story. it would be better if i followed the sport, watched the lines, watched the stats, the results. then i can try to disprove your points more with my own opinions.
sounds like a fun week dude, you have the nicest time. checkpoints in the mountains up north too?Comment -
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Don't waste your time, it's an impossible task, I know the truth.
Read the thread, points are already proven, over and over again, every season. I'm giving readers the key to Fort Knox and the secret to all the markets. That is, if they can pick up what I'm putting down. If I start making plays and not just market analysis, lines move.
It happened in 2015 and now we have to temper it. We will be working with two different market beating lines this year.
It's knowledge for the esoteric.
Instead of trying to disprove, let's try to find a grand unifying theory that links all markets. Like Einstein's biggest blunder, I have spent decades searching for the theory, and I have come very close. Long ago I treated the issues like they treated celestial objets...observe the behavior, then develop analytics to predict that behavior. You can do this because those behaviors repeat because people are predictable. When I say all markets it's best to focus on Western sports, or it gets real hairy.
Think about golf around SuperBowl time, you've seen it posted. It's real and it is only when you can accept what they bring that you can truly appreciate how the bring it.
Thanks for the tip about checkpoints, I should be cool though...no drinking and family in the car if I get pulled. Vaping 1:1 CBD:THC should be a piece of cake.
Taking the kids the world famous Mystery Spot in Santa Cruz.
A gimmick but should be fun.
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The surprised girl is hot.
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We all knew Sommer Ray would get it.
What we did not know is that here Mom would get it too.
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More of Mom: Shannon Ray
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1. Spread cheeks
2. Dive in with your face
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I guess we all want to be that banana.
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Yes DDD, I wouldn't mind being that banana, but I'd rather be the stool she's sitting on.
Dudes talkin’ loud, I don’t understand
Walkin’ around like they the true big baller, damn
How you think that? I’m about to spit facts
I walk in Reebok in 92, I came out with them Shaqs
I’ve been doin’ this a long time
When you was averaging’ 2 points, ridin’ the pine
You see my t-shirts, you see my feet work
Big Baller Brand, that was me first
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maybe "trying to disprove" is not the right phrase. i am skeptical of everything by nature. challenging and looking for faults or exceptions is part of the process of understanding and accepting something for me. it may lead to a deeper understanding than blindly accepting something. wrestling and thinking about it is the way i do it. if what you say is the real deal then it should be able to stand up to the tests of doubt.
Don't waste your time, it's an impossible task, I know the truth.
Read the thread, points are already proven, over and over again, every season. I'm giving readers the key to Fort Knox and the secret to all the markets. That is, if they can pick up what I'm putting down. If I start making plays and not just market analysis, lines move.
It happened in 2015 and now we have to temper it. We will be working with two different market beating lines this year.
It's knowledge for the esoteric.
Instead of trying to disprove, let's try to find a grand unifying theory that links all markets. Like Einstein's biggest blunder, I have spent decades searching for the theory, and I have come very close. Long ago I treated the issues like they treated celestial objets...observe the behavior, then develop analytics to predict that behavior. You can do this because those behaviors repeat because people are predictable. When I say all markets it's best to focus on Western sports, or it gets real hairy.
Think about golf around SuperBowl time, you've seen it posted. It's real and it is only when you can accept what they bring that you can truly appreciate how the bring it.
Thanks for the tip about checkpoints, I should be cool though...no drinking and family in the car if I get pulled. Vaping 1:1 CBD:THC should be a piece of cake.
Taking the kids the world famous Mystery Spot in Santa Cruz.
A gimmick but should be fun.
are you trying to beat the markets? i'm trying to make money. there are many ways to cook a monkey
Last edited by turtledoves; 07-01-18, 09:14 PM.Comment -
Leonard has made it clear he intends to sign with the Lakers, and the way things have unfolded has reduced their urgency to trade for him now. The Lakers would have had to acquire Leonard via trade to fit him in at the max had they signed two max free agents (that is, James and George) to multiyear contracts. Dealing for Leonard at this point also was imperative if it was necessary to land James. With those scenarios seemingly off the table, the Lakers can afford to be more patient.
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That's what I'm talking about Doves! We're going to find that theory, we're going to unify this shit, and just when we think we have it, Tiger Woods takes Rocco Mediate to Monday and wins with a broken knee, or Ray Allen sinks a 3 for OT...
Or This...
We are only in week 4 of the NFL but I think I’ll suggest a play tonight. For tonight’s game my early (not necessarily really sharp) metrics indicate Seattle winning this game with 31 points to Detroit’s 20. Seattle just plain has a better offense and defense. This line opened with Seattle -9.5 and none of us should be surprised that it is at 10, as it seems much of the public is on Seattle.
There has been much discussion on SBR about consensus numbers and bet totals often listed on the internet. Bettors often like to see who the “public” is on and think this information can help them. Sometimes it can.
I’ve posted a few times about how these numbers don’t have to be accurate and the sources often can be questioned. I’ve mentioned that nobody has any responsibility towards the accuracy of those numbers.
Let me clarify something. Many websites put up “consensus numbers” which is simply a tally of posts, contests, etc. of where the traffic on that website, or group of websites, would be betting, if they were placing money.
I shouldn’t have to explain too much about the difference between what one would play, if one were betting, and what one would actually play if money was at stake. Often times there is a difference between picking a team for fun or contest, and actually putting your money where your typing fingers are.
This difference makes many of these consensus numbers worthless. A more valuable piece of information would be what bettors are actually buying. SportsInsights offers a service that gives you the actual percentage of bets placed, not the dollar amount, for each game. When it says 65% of the bets are on Seattle, it means that 65% of the tickets at the participating books are on Seattle. I think ESPN may use them.
One way bettors use this information is when comparing it to line movements. In general, the betting marketplace comprises a large betting public betting a small percentage of the money. They write a lot of tickets, but the amounts are small when compared to the small percentage of bettors and syndicates plays that make up most of the actual money wagered.
So when, say, 75% of the tickets written are on the home team, but that line moves towards the road team, we have what they call Reverse Line Movement. Usually, but not always, this indicates larger money plays, which moved the line, are being made by bettors from that small percentage group.
The books understand this and often use line movements to not only protect themselves from risk, but also to confuse bettors trying to navigate the marketplace. Books work with oddsmakers to even use movement to draw money, or make it flow, a specific direction.
So what does this have to do with tonight’s game? This thread has been about analyzing the marketplace. You have seen me explain things about the market, as well as use unnamed metrics to guide the posts and plays. While I have Seattle winning by 10 points, I have metrics that indicate this moneyline will fail. Further, based on analysis that goes much further than this game alone, I believe the books have employed some of the techniques above over the weeks to basically sell plays to bettors, in what seems to be preparation for a big upset. One example would the attempt to sell certain groups the San Francisco 49ers, when they played Green Bay. Indeed, GB had a rougher time in Santa Clara than their other games and SF tightened up a bit from their earlier debacles. But in the end the favorite prevailed.
There are other examples, and other techniques used, but my point is that a larger picture indicates the markets are hiding an upset. When working with the NFL, sniffing out these upsets can require far more patience than the other markets. In general, the required patience for the NFL is much more than other leagues and, to make matters worse, the markets offer temptation after temptation to try a bettor’s patience.
My metrics indicate patience is running thin for certain results and a 10 point line is designed to force certain bettors to pass on the side and lay almost prohibitively on the obvious choice, Seattle to win. As far as public and sharp money are concerned, it stands to reason most all of them like the Seattle to win this game.
Sure, it’s fine do go with the sharps over the long haul, but we’ve seen, a few times now, my market analysis make the sharp line just a little sharper…something I addressed very earlier in this thread.
I have seen this process develop over nearly 4 full weeks and have gone ahead with my market metrics and look to settle the brewing situation with a result of Detroit Lions +10 and +450 over the Seattle Seahawks.
It’s not bold because it’s not the CFL, but some turnovers leading to points for Detroit and a potentially struggling Seattle offense could make this a close enough game. Shit, the NFL has many ways to bring us the unlikely 10 point upset, let’s see if they use on tonight.
Good Luck.
If you missed the play, Seahawks safety Kam Chancellor forced a Calvin Johnson at Seattle's one-yard line. After the ball left Johnson's hands, it rolled into the end zone, where it was batted out of bounds by Seahawks linebacker K.J. Wright.
The NFL's head of officiating, Dean Blandino, admitted after the game that the back judge should've called illegal batting. If the call had been made, the Lions would've have gotten the ball at Seattle's 1-yard line with under two minutes left and the Seahawks up 13-10.
The ref who made illegal batting famous by not flagging it at the end of the Seahawks-Lionsgame in Week 4 won't be suspended, but he will reassigned.
According to ProFootballTalk.com, back judge Greg Wilson will work the Dolphins-Titansgame this weekend instead of the Sunday night game between New England and Indianapolis.
The thinking behind the move is that the NFL didn't want Wilson working a primetime game just two weeks after his Monday night blunder.
Because it's not what they bring, it's how they bring it.
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Hold up, wait a minute, it's a party cup!
PEW!
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LeBronda and Kawhi, eh?
You do know Lebronda was in LA last year setting his son up for school, right.
The LA decision was never really a mystery, the media just played it to be one.
Hold up, wait a minute, it's DDD cooking breakfast.
POW!
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Hold up, wait a minute, it's a morning cup of joe...
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Pew Pew
How do you boys like your eggs?Comment -
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FIFA - WORLD CUP
Brazil to win @ 1,50
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When a bird is alive, it eats ants
When the bird is dead, ants eat the bird
Time and circumstances can change at anytimeComment -
Don’t devalue or hurt anyone in life
You May be powerful today , but remember , time is more powerful than you
One tree makes a million matchsticks....
only one matchstick is needed to burn a million trees.
So be good , and do goodComment -
I would risk it and buttfukk her though.
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Am I right??
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