Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**Da Manster!** · 06-25-16, 03:05 PM

Originally posted by JMon

Manny I took it at 12!

good luck, Jesse!...we should have this, bro!...money in the bank!...

....damn thing opened up at 11.5 but I was out running errands...I knew I should have pounded it at that number when I had the chance!...

....but still I'm confident this game goes over 12.5!...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 03:34 PM

Rosenthal gives up 3 runs in 9th without recording a out ..........

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 03:47 PM

**KVB** · 06-25-16, 03:52 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

gotta check out those streaks, find teams which are due and blindly take them like KVB said

We (the market) will eat you alive. You must cap those games. Each game can be both independent from other games yet still fit the larger picture of the markets (this is difficult to swallow but something that separates bettors) . Most importantly, track your results. Keep track of each bet you make and why you make it. It won't take long to realize the benefits.

But exactly what are we tracking? Thinking of shedding some light on this one. There are many ways to cap, so what's relevant to track? Another question for you guys to go along with what you see as signs of a potential upset is what forces drive you to bet? It's the "why you made them" part of my often repeated phrase about tracking. Think about it, more discussion later.

A light day for me today, following the money flow and maybe a reaction play for the late CFL game. I have some catching up to do as the smaller markets like WNBA and CFL begin to mature. I want real life examples to play out in real time but that may require a separate thread.

Good Luck fellas.

**KVB** · 06-25-16, 03:59 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

good luck, Jesse!...we should have this, bro!...money in the bank!...

....damn thing opened up at 11.5 but I was out running errands...I knew I should have pounded it at that number when I had the chance!...

....but still I'm confident this game goes over 12.5!...

I missed this too. Sitting live at 11.5 after 2 innings though. It's tempting me but I may see if it drops...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 05:15 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 05:15 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 05:18 PM

working another 3-11 shift, but trying to make the best of it
of course I got my greenery with me , and guests are getting their BBQ on
and already offered me some when its done .
Ill take those small victories

**PerfectGrape** · 06-25-16, 06:03 PM

Originally posted by KVB

precisely Grapes, no need to handicap

track situational results? how often team x does in spot y when the market moves z?

still thinking about those hidden upsets, where after the game you ask "why didn't the market suggest this with line movement?" i think i see what you mean by the books adjusting for streaks, kind of notice this in the past I think. Spend a lot of time watching lines by eye.

**PerfectGrape** · 06-25-16, 06:07 PM

was all set to get indian food, then i realized i had already bought a sub sandwich an hour earlier that was sitting on the counter

woah

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 06:51 PM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

was all set to get indian food, then i realized i had already bought a sub sandwich an hour earlier that was sitting on the counter

woah

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 06:52 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 06:53 PM

**PerfectGrape** · 06-25-16, 07:08 PM

Wreckshop Records released Big Moe's debut album, City of Syrup in (2000); the title a nod to Houston's reputation for drinking codeine-laced syrup, which Moe pours from a Styrofoam cup on the album's cover. "City of Syrup" album featured the single, "Mann!", which Moe intended to be The South Side's answer to Black Rob's East Coast hit "Whoa!".

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 07:40 PM

these 8 hours are flying by

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 07:44 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 06-25-16, 07:46 PM

**Da Manster!** · 06-25-16, 08:02 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

good luck, Jesse!...we should have this, bro!...money in the bank!...

....damn thing opened up at 11.5 but I was out running errands...I knew I should have pounded it at that number when I had the chance!...

....but still I'm confident this game goes over 12.5!...

another easy hit!...easy winner!....we did it, Jesse!...you listen to Uncle Manny and you'll come out ahead, son!...

**Da Manster!** · 06-25-16, 08:03 PM

I posted this on the PT forum...after cashing out last week, I just turned $50 into $648 within a 72 span!...

======================================== ================

06/20/2016 to 06/26/2016

Day starting Balance:	Day Win/Loss	Day Cash In/Out:	Day Ending Balance:
$0.00	$41.96	$50.35	$92.31

06/23/2016
06:06 PM

[ Receipt ]

CASH IN

$50.35

ONLINE
06/23/2016
06:08 PM

STRAIGHT BET ( Risking: 50.35 - To Win: 41.96 )

WIN

06/23/2016 @ 08:50 PM

MLB

[959] TOTAL o11-120 (ARI DBACKS vrs COL ROCKIES)( Z GREINKE -R / E BUTLER -R ) Score: ARI DBACKS(7) - COL ROCKIES(6)

WIN

$41.96

$92.31

======================================== =====================================

06/20/2016 to 06/26/2016

Day starting Balance:	Day Win/Loss	Day Cash In/Out:	Day Ending Balance:
$92.31	$246.16	$0.00	$338.47

ONLINE
06/24/2016
10:08 AM

PARLAY (2 TEAMS) ( Risking: 92.31 - To Win: 246.16 )

WIN

06/24/2016 @ 08:50 PM	MLB	[911] TOTAL o11-120 (ARI DBACKS vrs COL ROCKIES)( A BRADLEY -R / T ANDERSON -L ) Score: ARI DBACKS(10) - COL ROCKIES(9)	WIN
06/24/2016 @ 08:25 PM	MLB	[925] TOTAL o8.5 EV (HOU ASTROS vrs KC ROYALS)( D KEUCHEL -L / E VOLQUEZ -R )Score: HOU ASTROS(13) - KC ROYALS(4)	WIN

$246.16

$338.47

======================================== ===================================
06/20/2016 to 06/26/2016

Day starting Balance:	Day Win/Loss	Day Cash In/Out:	Day Ending Balance:
$338.47	$310.52	$0.00	$648.99

ONLINE
06/25/2016
03:03 PM

STRAIGHT BET ( Risking: 338.47 - To Win: 310.52 )

WIN

06/25/2016 @ 04:20 PM

MLB

[955] TOTAL o12.5 -109 (ARI DBACKS vrs COL ROCKIES)( S MILLER -R / J DE LA ROSA -L ) Score: ARI DBACKS(6) - COL ROCKIES(11)

WIN

$310.52

$648.99

**JMon** · 06-25-16, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by Da Manster!

another easy hit!...easy winner!....we did it, Jesse!...you listen to Uncle Manny and you'll come out ahead, son!...

I actually played that 12 early this afternoon, but a winner is a winner!

**Da Manster!** · 06-25-16, 08:18 PM

Like taking candy from a baby, bro!...

...but seriously, no need to get cute when handicapping...just like I said on my PT thread regarding this game...both bullpens suck and both have been overused and they both have been lit up by the respective teams...and with two shit starters on the mound, chances are both teams would be going to the bullpens by the middle innings!...

**Auto Donk** · 06-25-16, 08:19 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

this is.....

no, not disgusting or exploitation of women..... no, fuk that....

this is.....

the primary reason I love coming to this thread....

that is a perfect ass I would bury -- first -- my face into....

and -- second -- my f'n kahk.....

800k plus views.... we need to start planning a celebratory party in vegas for the 1,000,000th view!

damn I love that ass!!!!

**smokenjoke** · 06-25-16, 08:46 PM

Try to make ends meet
You're a slave to money then you die
I'll take you down the only road I've ever been down
You know the one that takes you to the places
Where all the veins meet yeah,
No change, I can't change
I can't change, I can't change
But I'm here in my mold
I am here in my mold
But I'm a million different people
From one day to the next
I can't change my mold
No, no, no, no, no
Well I never pray
But tonight I'm on my knees yeah
I need to hear some sounds that recognize the pain in me, yeah
I let the melody shine, let it cleanse my mind, I feel free now
But the airways are clean and there's nobody singing to me now

**KVB** · 06-25-16, 09:18 PM

I picked up BC Lions +125 over Calgary tonight but I may have read the moneyflow wrong. The first game went to OT, leaving the result ambiguous for the kickoff of the second game.

Not surpising, yet I may have been fooled. If BC scores first I may be doomed.

**smokenjoke** · 06-25-16, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by KVB

I picked up BC Lions +125 over Calgary tonight but I may have read the moneyflow wrong. The first game went to OT, leaving the result ambiguous for the kickoff of the second game.

Not surpising, yet I may have been fooled. If BC scores first I may be doomed.

You're lovin' this town
Even if that doesn't ring true
You've been all over
And it's been all over you

**KVB** · 06-25-16, 10:44 PM

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 01:46 AM

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 01:48 AM

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 01:53 AM

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 01:56 AM

**JMon** · 06-26-16, 07:58 AM

Originally posted by JMon

Orioles are 10-0 in double header =2 since 4 - 20 - 13

**PerfectGrape** · 06-26-16, 09:49 AM

under 12.5/13? corbin on the mound today, bullpens aren't that bad, dbacks bats not that good. wind blowing in a lil. value fading the over streak riders? or am i the sucker who is known as a streak breaker?

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 10:42 AM

Originally posted by PerfectGrape

under 12.5/13? corbin on the mound today, bullpens aren't that bad, dbacks bats not that good. wind blowing in a lil. value fading the over streak riders? or am i the sucker who is known as a streak breaker?

the bullpens have sucked in this series, Grapes...they been getting hammered like I would hammer MMAChicka!...

...I've had great success going over in this series and the number is high again...not sure if I'm going to press my luck today but will let you guys know what my play is (If any)...

**PerfectGrape** · 06-26-16, 11:03 AM

Thanks Manster, nice run you got going

Ziegler and Chafin gonna see the mound today?
BULLPEN USAGE last 3 games (IP)

Jake Barrett (R) 0 7 0
Silvino Bracho (R) 19 0 0
Andrew Chafin (L) 0 10 5
Tyler Clippard (R) 0 10 15
Josh Collmenter (R) 33 4 0
Randall Delgado (R) 0 35 0
Daniel Hudson (R) 0 13 15
Brad Ziegler (R) 0 12 24

Carlos Estevez (R) 0 25 25
Yohan Flande (L) 0 0 0
Gonzalez Germen (R) 25 0 16
Boone Logan (L) 0 10 0
Jordan Lyles (R) 0 12 0
Justin Miller (R) 17 0 28
Jason Motte (R) 0 12 0
Chad Qualls (R) 29 5 0

**Da Manster!** · 06-26-16, 11:32 AM

alright fellas...over 12.5 d-backs/rockies again is the play for me!...ride the hot streak and catch the wave!...

...this pretty much sealed the deal for me...look at these numbers (batters vs pitchers) ...both teams hit the respective pitchers very well!...some serious titty rippin' going on!...feast today, not famine!...

Chad Bettis Batter vs Pitching Stats

ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS CAREER STATISTICS VS. CHAD BETTIS
BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nick Ahmed	7	3	1	0	0	2	1	1	.429	.500	.571	1.071
Michael Bourn	1	0	0	0	0	0	1	0	.000	.500	.000	.500
Socrates Brito	6	2	1	0	0	0	0	1	.333	.333	.500	.833
Welington Castillo	6	2	0	0	0	0	0	0	.333	.333	.333	.667
Brandon Drury	6	2	0	0	1	1	0	1	.333	.333	.833	1.167
Paul Goldschmidt	15	5	3	0	1	3	1	6	.333	.375	.733	1.108
Phil Gosselin	11	3	0	1	0	1	0	0	.273	.250	.455	.705
Chris Herrmann	6	3	1	0	0	3	0	1	.500	.500	.667	1.167
Jake Lamb	12	1	1	0	0	0	1	5	.083	.154	.167	.321
Chris Owings	13	3	1	0	0	0	1	4	.231	.286	.308	.593
David Peralta	11	6	1	0	0	1	1	1	.545	.583	.636	1.220
A.J. Pollock	6	2	0	0	1	2	0	2	.333	.333	.833	1.167
Jean Segura	8	3	1	0	1	1	0	1	.375	.444	.875	1.319
Yasmany Tomas	8	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	.625	.667	.750	1.417
Rickie Weeks	2	2	1	0	0	0	0	0	1.000	1.000	1.500	2.500
Totals	118	42	12	1	4	15	7	23	.356	.394	.576	.970

Patrick Corbin Batter vs Pitching Stats

COLORADO ROCKIES CAREER STATISTICS VS. PATRICK CORBIN
BATTER	AB	H	2B	3B	HR	RBI	BB	SO	AVG	OBP	SLG	OPS
Nolan Arenado	22	3	1	0	0	0	0	1	.136	.136	.182	.318
Brandon Barnes	10	4	0	0	0	0	0	4	.400	.400	.400	.800
Charlie Blackmon	15	5	1	0	0	1	0	1	.333	.333	.400	.733
Carlos Gonzalez	13	3	0	0	0	1	0	8	.231	.231	.231	.462
Nick Hundley	14	3	0	1	0	0	0	3	.214	.214	.357	.571
DJ LeMahieu	25	10	0	2	2	4	0	2	.400	.400	.800	1.200
Tom Murphy	3	0	0	0	0	0	0	1	.000	.000	.000	.000
Ryan Raburn	3	2	0	0	1	1	0	0	.667	.667	1.667	2.333
Mark Reynolds	5	1	0	0	1	1	0	1	.200	.200	.800	1.000
Trevor Story	3	1	0	0	1	2	0	2	.333	.333	1.333	1.667
Rafael Ynoa	3	2	2	0	0	2	0	0	.667	.667	1.333	2.000
Totals	116	34	4	3	5	12	0	23	.293	.293	.509	.802