Fly Me #3 "The Resurrection" Sports Talk,Good Tunes,Great Times, Anything Goes

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 05:32 PM

Should I bet baseball tonight
Should I bet baseball tonight
Should I bet baseball tonight
Smokenjoke is a midget bitch
Should I bet baseball tonight

these are the thoughts running through my head

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 05:46 PM

Braves @ Nats Under 8.5. (-108)

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 05:51 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 05:57 PM

Originally posted by smokenjoke

Fixed

**smokenjoke** · 09-13-17, 06:35 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Should I bet baseball tonight
Should I bet baseball tonight
Should I bet baseball tonight
Smokenjoke is a midget bitch
Should I bet baseball tonight

these are the thoughts running through my head

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:12 PM

Speaking of kick fails, is this a fail or success?

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:13 PM

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:15 PM

Pretty sure this was a fail...

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:16 PM

Then there's this...

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 07:24 PM

KVB thats bullshit dude

shit for points for doing that good

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 07:34 PM

317 points , the only way to make any kind of worthwhile coin now is hoping somehow
theprikk goes +3 units and you do above 3 units which is playing with fire to begin with
Beat the prikk is amazing but the non pros are truly fukkin it up
I understand the idea around it , but not many of them even do good enough
to propel them to want to go pro . Idk , decent idea but overall flawed design but I digress

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:35 PM

Agreed CashFlow, did you end up having to push that TB/MIA game or did everyone get the pick back?

Oh, and I like mine with sprinkles...

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:37 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

317 points , the only way to make any kind of worthwhile coin now is hoping somehow
theprikk goes +3 units and you do above 3 units which is playing with fire to begin with
Beat the prikk is amazing but the non pros are truly fukkin it up
I understand the idea around it , but not many of them even do good enough
to propel them to want to go pro . Idk , decent idea but overall flawed design but I digress

Last year I had a good week and the Prick did too, but I bet him. We all got like 4k in points.

That was the best week I've seen.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 07:38 PM

sprinkles

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-13-17, 07:38 PM

stop KVB you are giving me a hard on .....

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:44 PM

**KVB** · 09-13-17, 07:45 PM

**dlowilly** · 09-14-17, 01:37 AM

RIP Frank V

**omedo** · 09-14-17, 04:07 AM

Originally posted by KVB

But we don’t bet every game and a subset of games is usually looked at, not every game. I am tough on myself when tracking at SBR, in the CFL thread the sharp forecast is also put up against a half point discrepancy. You can test the line error at any interval or margin predicted, not just a half point difference. This is where I mentioned in the past that a larger margin doesn’t always equal a better win rate. There’s a cap and it represents a danger to teams whose ratings are pushing highs for the season.

A little tricky with some teams having such a huge discrepancy over other, and some teams just having a "good run" . I assume that's the reason some do good, and others dont.

So for today in Europa League we have:

Hoffenheim vs Braga --> Hoffenheim to win @ 1,37
Villareal vs Astana --> Villareal to win @ 1,24

**omedo** · 09-14-17, 04:14 AM

Wierd, i cant find the Hoff vs Braga game on SBR odds, or it doesnt have!

Strange

**KVB** · 09-14-17, 12:05 PM

Originally posted by omedo

MLS - Atlanta United - New England Revolution

Atlanta to win @ 1,61

didnt encounter any of the United team, lets borrow some of Falcons !!!...

Another winner!

**omedo** · 09-14-17, 12:38 PM

ohhh, that was a slaughter, i did expect a easy win, but not a blowout as you call it !

I dont think the Liverpool game was a bad call, even thou the result. Lets see the games today, so far so good!

**KVB** · 09-14-17, 01:42 PM

Originally posted by KVB

...Sharp forecast says Cinci wins 21 -13.

Stacking percentages forecast says Cinci wins 27-13.

The non predictive public gauge says Cinci wins 17-13.

That's a lot of agreement on Cinci and a lot of popular angles about having a shut out and and overreactions in play here. Those non-predictive trends with high past percentages or really at work.

There's a lot of pressure on Cincinnati tonight, can they handle it?...

A brief analysis of tonight’s game. For the sharp forecast, a play on Cincinnati was triggered up to -5.5. At -6 a play is no longer triggered. For the Total, the sharp forecast predicts 34 points. An Under bet would be triggered at 38.5 points but there is no bet at the current 38 point offering.

It’s only week 2, and we do need 4 weeks of data, but I thought I’d throw it out there because of the tightness with key numbers that we are seeing.

Like I said, Cincinnati is under a lot of pressure here and at this point in the season, I wouldn’t be surprised to see the underdog or even an upset tonight.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 03:05 PM

SBR trivia

**KVB** · 09-14-17, 03:06 PM

I manged to get a little bit of Houston +6 before it dropped to 5.5. I put points on it as well as the Brock contest. I'm holding off for the Fly Me contest and passing on the bag for this game. The Prick picked Cinci.

At -5.5, a play is triggered for the sharp forecast. This really could go either way tonight and the books are getting action on both sides, just like they want it.

**KVB** · 09-14-17, 03:07 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

SBR trivia

I cashed out after round two. The questions were so easy I figured the third question would be a doozy. So I cashed out to beef up the BTP payout.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 03:18 PM

Ok I came

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 03:19 PM

Daggles, KVB is putting the pressure on you in the boner causing department

**DiggityDaggityDo** · 09-14-17, 06:30 PM

Originally posted by Fidel_CashFlow

Daggles, KVB is putting the pressure on you in the boner causing department

KVB has stepped up his game recently.

The man is on a mission.

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 06:43 PM

hes showing off for his boy omedo

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 06:45 PM

Wish the queer faced coach for Boise St. would let someone know if Brett Rypien wil lbe starting tonight
looked everywhere, even multiple twitters and hes hush hush like a fat skinny little big f\*g heterosexual bitch

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 07:10 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 07:15 PM

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 07:18 PM

Originally posted by KVB

**Fidel_CashFlow** · 09-14-17, 07:23 PM

ok not putting teasers on spreadsheet due to if one of the games pushes having to edit card
but going to keep win /loss record as did in previous seasons. All these will either be -110 or -115

2 Team 6.5 Point Teaser

Texans /Bengals =UNDER 44.5

Browns/Ravens = RAVENS -1.5