Romney leads in Florida

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  • SBR_John
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 07-12-05
    • 16471

    #1
    Romney leads in Florida
    A very cool electoral tracker is on USAToday. http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/electoral-tracker

    If you run through the scenarios you see just how hard its going to be for him to be elected. The left coast puts Obama 1/4 of the way to winning. Add in his home state and NY and he is nearly half way there. It takes 270 to be elected.

    For Romney to overcome this he MUST carry nearly all the swing states. Give Romney Florida, NC, NH and Iowa the electoral college would be 245-196 for Romney. Give Obama Nevada, New Mexico and Michigan and you are sitting at 245-223 for Romney.

    That leaves Penn, Colo, Wisc, Va and Ohio to decide who will be President. I'd give Romney Colo and I'd give the rest to Obama leaving a final score of 284-254 for Obama. Course, I've been known to be wrong.
  • d2bets
    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
    • 08-10-05
    • 39995

    #2
    Romney has to thread the needle to win.
    Comment
    • King Mayan
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 09-22-10
      • 21326

      #3
      Comment
      • Bcatswin
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 12-21-10
        • 13931

        #4
        Who gives a fuk.
        Comment
        • Sam Odom
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 10-30-05
          • 58063

          #5
          Obama is having a Southern problem... However , for Mitt to win he must flip a couple of mid-west states
          Comment
          • Cuse0323
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 12-09-09
            • 30169

            #6
            Obama has it in the bag unfortunately. He just needs to work the young kids like he's been doing, going to colleges and giving them false hopes for their vote.
            Comment
            • Sam Odom
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 10-30-05
              • 58063

              #7
              This is sorta laughable ---> Washington Post is questioning if democrat voters are racist why ?

              because of the backlash to Obama in dem southern primaries


              Kentucky, Arkansas primaries: It is racism?

              That President Obama lost roughly 40 percent of the vote in Democratic primaries in Arkansas, Kentucky and West Virginia over the last two weeks has drawn massive national headlines.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                It will take a miracle for Obama to lose

                You can thank dumb America
                Comment
                • Sam Odom
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 10-30-05
                  • 58063

                  #9
                  Originally posted by jjgold

                  It will take a miracle for Obama to lose

                  You can thank dumb America

                  you may be right on both counts

                  however

                  i believe it is better than 50/50 Mitt will flip Fl , NCar... he must flip 2-3 Rustbelt states to win tho
                  Comment
                  • SBR_John
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 07-12-05
                    • 16471

                    #10
                    He's leading in FL, see yahoo.com's lead story. But I totally agree its up to the rust belt states. He should probably take an Ohioan to be VP. IF he could carry Ohio he would just need to flip a small state like maybe Nevada or Wisc.
                    Comment
                    • King Mayan
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 09-22-10
                      • 21326

                      #11
                      Originally posted by jjgold

                      You can thank dumb America
                      I think youre right.. This guy is voting for obama(hush hush):
                      Comment
                      • MC PICKS
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 01-10-10
                        • 6644

                        #12
                        Originally posted by jjgold
                        It will take a miracle for Obama to lose

                        You can thank dumb America
                        I cant believe people were stupid enough to vote for him the 1st time.
                        Comment
                        • nosniboR11
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 09-02-08
                          • 10042

                          #13
                          obama loses Wisconsin and Ohio
                          Comment
                          • Bcatswin
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 12-21-10
                            • 13931

                            #14
                            No way Obama loses.
                            Comment
                            • Sam Odom
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 10-30-05
                              • 58063

                              #15
                              Originally posted by nosniboR11

                              obama loses Wisconsin and Ohio

                              The recall elections this summer will be an harbinger of things to come in Nov
                              Comment
                              • Sam Odom
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 10-30-05
                                • 58063

                                #16
                                May 23, 2012

                                Wisconsin Democrats Face Hurdles Ahead Of Recall


                                The latest polling from Marquette Law School showed Walker with a six point lead among likely voters over Barrett- 50 percent to 44 percent- outside of the polls margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.


                                Get breaking national and world news, broadcast video coverage, and exclusive interviews. Find the top news online at ABC news.
                                Comment
                                • beermankirk
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-17-09
                                  • 1512

                                  #17
                                  sigh.... O welll
                                  Comment
                                  • MUHerd37
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 10-23-09
                                    • 12816

                                    #18
                                    In KY yesterday Obama got 58% while 42% voted uncommitted. Not good for Obama
                                    Comment
                                    • Boscoe
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-08-10
                                      • 2811

                                      #19
                                      i think iowa, co, nm, and nv stays blue. gop retakes ind, nc, nh, and fla. romney must take va and oh (assuming nebraska doesn't give a single vote to obama like in 08). that's the only chance for romney to win in my opinon.
                                      Comment
                                      • MoneyLineDawg
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 01-01-09
                                        • 13253

                                        #20
                                        If Ron Paul runs as well do you think it will hurt Romney a lot?
                                        Comment
                                        • Shaudius
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 09-21-10
                                          • 1112

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                          May 23, 2012

                                          Wisconsin Democrats Face Hurdles Ahead Of Recall


                                          The latest polling from Marquette Law School showed Walker with a six point lead among likely voters over Barrett- 50 percent to 44 percent- outside of the polls margin of error of +/- 3.8 percent.


                                          http://abcnews.go.com/blogs/politics...ead-of-recall/
                                          ABC News doesn't even know what margin of error is.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sam Odom
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 10-30-05
                                            • 58063

                                            #22
                                            Shaudius , you think Wisconsin will be an harbinger of things to come in Nov ?

                                            Dems nationwide have focused on this for months with time , manpower & $$$
                                            Comment
                                            • EmpireMaker
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 06-18-09
                                              • 15578

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by SBR_John
                                              He's leading in FL, see yahoo.com's lead story. But I totally agree its up to the rust belt states. He should probably take an Ohioan to be VP. IF he could carry Ohio he would just need to flip a small state like maybe Nevada or Wisc.
                                              What do you think will improve if Romney were to be elected ? Why ?
                                              Comment
                                              • Shaudius
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 09-21-10
                                                • 1112

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                Shaudius , you think Wisconsin will be an harbinger of things to come in Nov ?

                                                Dems nationwide have focused on this for months with time , manpower & $$$
                                                Having lived in Wisconsin recently, I can tell you that Scott Walker is certainly not well liked overall. That being said there's a lot of people who don't believe in recall elections who will either stay home or vote for him because of this fact, I think the race would be more competitive if it wasn't a recall effort.
                                                Comment
                                                • Sam Odom
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 10-30-05
                                                  • 58063

                                                  #25
                                                  Because of the effort dems nationwide have put into recalling Walker , IMO , if he wins it will be a blackeye for dems and they cannot be happy looking forward to Nov

                                                  IF Walker wins again that is...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Shaudius
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 09-21-10
                                                    • 1112

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                    Because of the effort dems nationwide have put into recalling Walker , IMO , if he wins it will be a blackeye for dems and they cannot be happy looking forward to Nov

                                                    IF Walker wins again that is...
                                                    Did you read the article? The national Democratic party has put in very little effort in recalling Walker up to this point, the state party is pissed off about it. Nationwide Republicans have actually spent more money defending the recall then nationwide democrats have.

                                                    "
                                                    The announcement came after
                                                    reports emerged
                                                    that the state Democratic Party was upset with the national committee’s lack of involvement, and a petition had been launched calling on the DNC to provide financial support to Democrats in Wisconsin."
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Sam Odom
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-30-05
                                                      • 58063

                                                      #27
                                                      DNC are reading the polls... they are putting distance between them NOW
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Sam Odom
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 10-30-05
                                                        • 58063

                                                        #28
                                                        February 17, 2011

                                                        DNC playing role in Wisconsin protests


                                                        The Democratic National Committee's Organizing for America arm -- the remnant of the 2008 Obama campaign -- is playing an active role in organizing protests against Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker's attempt to strip most public employees of collective bargaining rights.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • MC PICKS
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 01-10-10
                                                          • 6644

                                                          #29
                                                          Protestrs are mostly paid union emplyees, most of the occupy wall street people all over the nation fall under this category, including the people who tried ot blow up a bridge in cleveland and the rioters in chicago this week. These people are all in obamas pocket and he supports all this chaos but he doesnt want to admit it now since they are out of control, he stated he supported the occupy movement back when they were all peaceful in the beginning but where is he now on this subject publicly.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Shaudius
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-21-10
                                                            • 1112

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by ** PICKS
                                                            Protestrs are mostly paid union emplyees, most of the occupy wall street people all over the nation fall under this category, including the people who tried ot blow up a bridge in cleveland and the rioters in chicago this week. These people are all in obamas pocket and he supports all this chaos but he doesnt want to admit it now since they are out of control, he stated he supported the occupy movement back when they were all peaceful in the beginning but where is he now on this subject publicly.
                                                            I actually don't think its possible for you to be more wrong. Occupy is not a union front. Most occupiers are anarchists and green libertarians, a large part of the protest in Chicago was anti-Rahm Emmanuel because they thought he wasted money bringing the NATO conference there. That should have instead gone to helping the city.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Shaudius
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-21-10
                                                              • 1112

                                                              #31
                                                              Originally posted by Sam Odom
                                                              February 17, 2011

                                                              DNC playing role in Wisconsin protests


                                                              The Democratic National Committee's Organizing for America arm -- the remnant of the 2008 Obama campaign -- is playing an active role in organizing protests against Wisconsin Governor Scott Walker's attempt to strip most public employees of collective bargaining rights.
                                                              Ummm, there is a huge difference between supporting protests against the governor and actively participating in a recall effort that appears to be by and large state party run.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • MC PICKS
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 01-10-10
                                                                • 6644

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Shaudius
                                                                I actually don't think its possible for you to be more wrong. Occupy is not a union front. Most occupiers are anarchists and green libertarians, a large part of the protest in Chicago was anti-Rahm Emmanuel because they thought he wasted money bringing the NATO conference there.
                                                                God you're clueless, you really need some help man.

                                                                Comment
                                                                • MC PICKS
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 01-10-10
                                                                  • 6644

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Originally posted by Shaudius
                                                                  Ummm, there is a huge difference between supporting protests against the governor and actively participating in a recall effort that appears to be by and large state party run.
                                                                  I suppose those idiots in madison werent union employees either right?
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Shaudius
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-21-10
                                                                    • 1112

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by ** PICKS
                                                                    God you're clueless, you really need some help man.

                                                                    Cuz what about what I said is wrong? Oh that's right all you have is the fact that some unions gave some money to Occupy over a year ago. But I mean believe whatever you want, you obviously do anyway. You know Obama isn't even the most popular presidential candidate in the occupy movement right?

                                                                    In case you were wondering, http://www.reuters.com/article/2012/...84I09X20120519
                                                                    Last edited by Shaudius; 05-24-12, 12:58 AM.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Shaudius
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 09-21-10
                                                                      • 1112

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Originally posted by ** PICKS
                                                                      I suppose those idiots in madison werent union employees either right?
                                                                      Considering they were protesting Governor Walker taking away their collective bargaining rights, I am absolutely sure that a large portion of them were union members. But again, how does that show that the Democratic national party was involved in a large way with the recall effort in Wisconsin. Answer, it doesn't. Try to keep up with the discussion.
                                                                      Comment
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