A very cool electoral tracker is on USAToday. http://www.usatoday.com/news/politics/electoral-tracker
If you run through the scenarios you see just how hard its going to be for him to be elected. The left coast puts Obama 1/4 of the way to winning. Add in his home state and NY and he is nearly half way there. It takes 270 to be elected.
For Romney to overcome this he MUST carry nearly all the swing states. Give Romney Florida, NC, NH and Iowa the electoral college would be 245-196 for Romney. Give Obama Nevada, New Mexico and Michigan and you are sitting at 245-223 for Romney.
That leaves Penn, Colo, Wisc, Va and Ohio to decide who will be President. I'd give Romney Colo and I'd give the rest to Obama leaving a final score of 284-254 for Obama. Course, I've been known to be wrong.
If you run through the scenarios you see just how hard its going to be for him to be elected. The left coast puts Obama 1/4 of the way to winning. Add in his home state and NY and he is nearly half way there. It takes 270 to be elected.
For Romney to overcome this he MUST carry nearly all the swing states. Give Romney Florida, NC, NH and Iowa the electoral college would be 245-196 for Romney. Give Obama Nevada, New Mexico and Michigan and you are sitting at 245-223 for Romney.
That leaves Penn, Colo, Wisc, Va and Ohio to decide who will be President. I'd give Romney Colo and I'd give the rest to Obama leaving a final score of 284-254 for Obama. Course, I've been known to be wrong.
