Tennessee @ UCLA Thoughts?

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  • JRS21386
    Restricted User
    • 04-13-08
    • 2213

    #1
    Tennessee @ UCLA Thoughts?
    I like Tennessee -7... Don't feel comfortable taking the OU 46.. Any thought?
  • VegasDave
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 01-03-07
    • 8056

    #2
    UCLA not only has this Craft kid who is brand new and is being forced into Norm Chow's complicated system, they also have a very suspect O-line. Tennessee's D-Line is pretty solid and they should be able to put a lot of pressure on the kid which will turn into fumbles and interceptions.

    UCLA should still have a solid defense against an inexperienced QB at Tennessee but Tenn is well rounded enough and should do fine on the ground and have good field position all game.

    I'd give the Tennessee -7 and UNDER 46 a really good look... but there are lots of intangibles in this game that only playing the game tomorrow will clear up.

    (Reposted from another thread)
    Comment
    • topgame85
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 03-30-08
      • 12325

      #3
      Tennesee and over for me tennesee routes them if you can get an adjusted line anywhere I'd take it got them -10.5 +135 at bookmaker
      Comment
      • JRS21386
        Restricted User
        • 04-13-08
        • 2213

        #4
        Originally posted by usckingsfan31
        UCLA not only has this Craft kid who is brand new and is being forced into Norm Chow's complicated system, they also have a very suspect O-line. Tennessee's D-Line is pretty solid and they should be able to put a lot of pressure on the kid which will turn into fumbles and interceptions.

        UCLA should still have a solid defense against an inexperienced QB at Tennessee but Tenn is well rounded enough and should do fine on the ground and have good field position all game.

        I'd give the Tennessee -7 and UNDER 46 a really good look... but there are lots of intangibles in this game that only playing the game tomorrow will clear up.

        (Reposted from another thread)
        Good analysis, summed up in short... this is a decent SEC team playing an up and coming Pac10 team...
        Comment
        • JRS21386
          Restricted User
          • 04-13-08
          • 2213

          #5
          Originally posted by topgame85
          Tennesee and over for me tennesee routes them if you can get an adjusted line anywhere I'd take it got them -10.5 +135 at bookmaker
          Not a bad line though... i still think you'll be ok on that
          Comment
          • ico2525
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 07-30-08
            • 598

            #6
            Also, this fact is important to understand in the world of NCAA sports. The high school graduating class of 2008 is the biggest America has seen in years. I don't know for how long, but probably the largest in an entire generation. There are so many freshman running around on college campuses, and there are many on Division I teams. UCLA admitted 12,600 freshman this year, and nearly 4,900 are attending. According to the LA Times, UCLA could START as many as a dozen freshman this season. There's no doubt these freshman have potential or that UCLA will be good, but they should expect a rocky start.

            Tennessee wins by two scores.
            Comment
            • JRS21386
              Restricted User
              • 04-13-08
              • 2213

              #7
              Originally posted by ico2525
              Also, this fact is important to understand in the world of NCAA sports. The high school graduating class of 2008 is the biggest America has seen in years. I don't know for how long, but probably the largest in an entire generation. There are so many freshman running around on college campuses, and there are many on Division I teams. UCLA admitted 12,600 freshman this year, and nearly 4,900 are attending. According to the LA Times, UCLA could START as many as a dozen freshman this season. There's no doubt these freshman have potential or that UCLA will be good, but they should expect a rocky start.

              Tennessee wins by two scores.
              Good Analysis, We saw it just the other night with Alabama's freshman... Immediate impact players...
              Comment
              • VegasDave
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 01-03-07
                • 8056

                #8
                If this game were being played week 8, I'd give UCLA a look, as they will have some experience with the system and a chance to gel. Asking them to keep it close against Tennessee in week 1 really isn't fair in my opinion.
                Comment
                • purecarnagge
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-05-07
                  • 4843

                  #9
                  USC is way off base on this... and inexperience Junior is starting at QB this year for Tenn... he's had 3 years in the system..how are you inexperienced?

                  Line average 4 sacks last year for Tenn... 4 sacks... Best returning O line in college football possibly. They have two playmakers with NFL potential. UCLA is learning a new system inexperience and is mediocre at best.

                  Tenn rolls in this one. I can't believe the line is at -7 to be honest.
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #10
                    Yeah I think the Vols post a double digit win. UCLA has too many injuries & new bodies for an opener against a good team.
                    Comment
                    • VegasDave
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 01-03-07
                      • 8056

                      #11
                      Yes he's been in the system, but I didn't realize that throwing 78 passes over the last 2 years (and only 12 last year) = Experience?

                      I think he will do just fine but I don't believe I'm way off base saying a guy with 2 starts under his belt is inexperienced.
                      Comment
                      • donjuan
                        SBR MVP
                        • 08-29-07
                        • 3993

                        #12
                        Zomg Sec!!!
                        Comment
                        • VegasDave
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 01-03-07
                          • 8056

                          #13
                          Originally posted by donjuan
                          Zomg Sec!!!
                          You are on UCLA?
                          Comment
                          • JRS21386
                            Restricted User
                            • 04-13-08
                            • 2213

                            #14
                            UCLA wont be able to handle UT
                            Comment
                            • donjuan
                              SBR MVP
                              • 08-29-07
                              • 3993

                              #15
                              Si. +7.5 -105 at everyone's favorite life experience book.
                              Comment
                              • durito
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 07-03-06
                                • 13173

                                #16
                                +8 +105 at sia
                                Comment
                                • donjuan
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 08-29-07
                                  • 3993

                                  #17
                                  +8 +105 at sia
                                  Comment
                                  • VegasDave
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 01-03-07
                                    • 8056

                                    #18
                                    Dimes had them +7, +100.
                                    Comment
                                    • smitch124
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 05-19-08
                                      • 12566

                                      #19
                                      What is the SEC's recent record (I know there are only a few examples) travelling out of conference in the regular season especially on the west coast. I don't remember it being too good. Now more than a touchdown favorite?? They are gonna have to be MUCH the better team...
                                      Comment
                                      • donjuan
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 08-29-07
                                        • 3993

                                        #20
                                        Dimes had them +7, +100.
                                        +7.5 -105 is better than +7 +100.
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasDave
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 01-03-07
                                          • 8056

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by donjuan
                                          +7.5 -105 is better than +7 +100.
                                          Yes, it is, was just pointing out another line.
                                          Comment
                                          • donjuan
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 08-29-07
                                            • 3993

                                            #22
                                            Yes, it is, was just pointing out another line.
                                            Cheers. Sadly, I can't get the SIA lines anymore. Need to find a friend to sell me an account. +8 +110 is absurd.
                                            Comment
                                            • rm18
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 09-20-05
                                              • 22291

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by JRS21386
                                              Not a bad line though... i still think you'll be ok on that
                                              you still got to win over 40% to break even there, regular line is better
                                              Comment
                                              • JRS21386
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 04-13-08
                                                • 2213

                                                #24
                                                I gotta find a new book... Was BoDog and know they've been through hell recently but ready to get back into it
                                                Comment
                                                • JRS21386
                                                  Restricted User
                                                  • 04-13-08
                                                  • 2213

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by rm18
                                                  you still got to win over 40% to break even there, regular line is better
                                                  Agreed
                                                  Comment
                                                  • durito
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 07-03-06
                                                    • 13173

                                                    #26
                                                    bodog shows +8 -110 and +265 on SBR Odds

                                                    my account certainly shows no such thing

                                                    i actually played this at +7.5 -110 earlier this week (last week i suppose)
                                                    Comment
                                                    • JRS21386
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 04-13-08
                                                      • 2213

                                                      #27
                                                      bodog has payout probs though dont they?
                                                      Comment
                                                      • donjuan
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 08-29-07
                                                        • 3993

                                                        #28
                                                        Durito,

                                                        They've been at 7.5 all day for me. I used IE (use Firefox when logged in) to check the square line they were offering and it was 8 -110 but is now back to 7.5 -105 so SBR Odds must be on a delay.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • rm18
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 09-20-05
                                                          • 22291

                                                          #29
                                                          i got +7.5 -105 on my bodog account dual lines there
                                                          Comment
                                                          • donjuan
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 08-29-07
                                                            • 3993

                                                            #30
                                                            bodog has payout probs though dont they?
                                                            Yeah, if you live in the US and haven't deposited via Western Union, you can watch Cal football self-destruct before you'll see a check at this point.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JRS21386
                                                              Restricted User
                                                              • 04-13-08
                                                              • 2213

                                                              #31
                                                              thanks...i need to find a local or something
                                                              Comment
                                                              • purecarnagge
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 10-05-07
                                                                • 4843

                                                                #32
                                                                will someone please tell me how a Junior that is now taking over as starting QB after red-shirting a year and playing another 2 as a backup is inexperience... There is cause for concern if its a redshirt freshmen or something and he's looked terrible in spring/practice and scrimmages... but thats not the case here.

                                                                get in at -7 while you still can.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • thezbar
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 08-29-06
                                                                  • 6422

                                                                  #33
                                                                  I'm looking to bet tenn but looking for a good deal. Attention K-Mart shoppers
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • VegasDave
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 01-03-07
                                                                    • 8056

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by purecarnagge
                                                                    will someone please tell me how a Junior that is now taking over as starting QB after red-shirting a year and playing another 2 as a backup is inexperience... There is cause for concern if its a redshirt freshmen or something and he's looked terrible in spring/practice and scrimmages... but thats not the case here.

                                                                    get in at -7 while you still can.
                                                                    What is your definition of experience??

                                                                    He will definitely know the system.

                                                                    But if you measure experience in GAMES STARTED and in PASSES THROWN, 2 games started and 78 passes attempted over a career isn't very experienced.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • frostno98
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 09-11-07
                                                                      • 9769

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Two new Qbs, both has a shutdown D. Seeing both coaches playing conservative. Taking the under at 45.5
                                                                      Comment
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