CanuckG and No Coincidences plays thread

[innn]

It's not a magical power NC, you aren't just the most unlucky guys alive. You suck. Plain and simple. You are flat out awful at this. You a 36 years old, get off the Internet and stop watching 5 cent line movement and go be a dad.

[Landscaper]

NoCoin is 36 with a wife and kids?

Yet this haamburger spends all day and night on this site...Looks like he sucks at life 2
What a minute just spotted a 2 cent line move.. could be a play but just a lean for now

[ttrace35]

Maybe a good time to crash and burn this thread. Posters starting to get disrespectful.

[hydrosmak]

Why do people have to bag on NoCoin? It is petty and just as lame as you claim he is. Why drive away great fade material....

[ApricotSinner32]

It's not a magical power NC, you aren't just the most unlucky guys alive. You suck. Plain and simple. You are flat out awful at this. You a 36 years old, get off the Internet and stop watching 5 cent line movement and go be a dad.

This is not far from the truth. Guy is trying to beat -110's/-115's I don't see it happening. Also changing his stakes on bets based on hunches and not edges. Flinging turds they call it.

[thetrinity]

hes exactly 112-112. his big plays lost thats why hes down so much. sounds like great fade material to me.

doesnt seem like its worth putting as much time into it as he does when hes making such small bets when hes already mid 30s with a wife and kids. if he was 20 or 21 with little bills or responsibility and nothing better to do, that would be a different story.

[Ralphie1412]

To be 112-112 and be down 40 units says it all. You can't use all this gambling vocab and try and sound so smart and be down 40 units with a .500 record

[thetrinity]

To be 112-112 and be down 40 units says it all. You can't use all this gambling vocab and try and sound so smart and be down 40 units with a .500 record

i said that a long time ago that money management was more his problem then making picks was. granted hed have to hit 47 outta the next 76 if he was flat betting a unit on every game to be up money, but hes in a massive hole due to his big plays getting beat. id much rather fade someone whos 95-129 betting -110 over a 224 game sample then him.

[Romanov]

Find a local with soft lines. Play only games in which you have a 2% edge over the pinny lines. Profit

[rfr3sh]

Stay away from college hoops. Nba only I bet youll do better

[ApricotSinner32]

hes exactly 112-112. his big plays lost thats why hes down so much. sounds like great fade material to me.

doesnt seem like its worth putting as much time into it as he does when hes making such small bets when hes already mid 30s with a wife and kids. if he was 20 or 21 with little bills or responsibility and nothing better to do, that would be a different story.

Just because someone isn't a profitable capper with the strategies they are using does not equate to being a good fade. If you can't figure out why this is you have no business gambling. Might also need to sharpen up your math skills.

[No coincidences]

4-3, -3.3U Tuesday
112-112, -43.2U thread

[CanuckG]

George Washington +6 (-115) (1U)

[thetrinity]

Just because someone isn't a profitable capper with the strategies they are using does not equate to being a good fade. If you can't figure out why this is you have no business gambling. Might also need to sharpen up your math skills.

obviously he isnt a good fade which is why im scratching my head since most people think he is in here.

way to detect sarcasm big guy.

[thetrinity]

Find a local with soft lines. Play only games in which you have a 2% edge over the pinny lines. Profit

this is the basis of what hes doing.

[Romanov]

this is the basis of what hes doing.

haha no it isn't. he wouldn't be posting the lines he gets if that was the case.

[No coincidences]

Toledo +13 (2U)
Toledo ML (.5U to win 3.5U)
Connecticut +3 (2U)
Duquesne +4.5 (1U)
St. Bonaventure +10.5 (1U)
Texas A&M +7.5 (1U)
UNC Charlotte +10 (1U)

[bleek88]

hope you hit

[ApricotSinner32]

this is the basis of what hes doing.

That's if you're under the assumption that because you beat the market by 1/2 point to 1 point laying -110 you will be profitable blindly on public fades in these sports. I am not a believer in that theory. Will be hard to overcome the -110's/-115's to be profitable.

[BrigadierPudding]

That's if you're under the assumption that because you beat the market by 1/2 point to 1 point laying -110 you will be profitable blindly on public fades in these sports. I am not a believer in that theory. Will be hard to overcome the -110's/-115's to be profitable.

At -110, you're going to need to beat Pinnacle (no-vig line) by a FULL point in basketball to make +EV wagers.

[No coincidences]

Love how everyone's an armchair QB in this thread now.

Most of my biggest losses in this thread were far from "public fades." Just like my failed college hoops thread -- every time I side with the public, I bury myself. Just like every time I fade line movement (i.e., the Clemson under last night) ... same result.

[bleek88]

Stop with this fading crap, it has to stop, pick the team that u think can win on this single night. fading is lame

[No coincidences]

Toledo +13 (2U)
Toledo ML (.5U to win 3.5U)
Connecticut +3 (2U)
Duquesne +4.5 (1U)
St. Bonaventure +10.5 (1U)
Texas A&M +7.5 (1U)
UNC Charlotte +10 (1U)

Adding a unit to Duquesne.

[No coincidences]

Magic -10 (1U)
Mavs -110 (1U)
T'Wolves -3 (1U)
Bucks +7 (1U)

[No coincidences]

UNC-Wilmington +5 (1U)

[BigDofBA]

Does anyone have an opinion on Rhode Island?

I really want to take them but they screw me every time I bet them. They had a double digit second half lead last time I bet them, the game went to overtime, they ended up lose by 6 points and I had them +5.5.

I love when the other team goes 4-4 from the free throw line in the final 9 seconds to beat you by half a point in overtime.

[BigDofBA]

The Thunder just went to +1 at my book.

So they are -1 at the Greek?

[No coincidences]

Does anyone have an opinion on Rhode Island?

I really want to take them but they screw me every time I bet them. They had a double digit second half lead last time I bet them, the game went to overtime, they ended up lose by 6 points and I had them +5.5.

I love when the other team goes 4-4 from the free throw line in the final 9 seconds to beat you by half a point in overtime.

URI is really bad.

Line movement typically irrelevant.

UMass hasn't done much away from home, but I wouldn't bite on that.

[thetrinity]

Love how everyone's an armchair QB in this thread now. Most of my biggest losses in this thread were far from "public fades." Just like my failed college hoops thread -- every time I side with the public, I bury myself. Just like every time I fade line movement (i.e., the Clemson under last night) ... same result.

coin does have a point here. he did go very large on iowa st against rutgers in that shit bowl game. he is against the public a lot though, nothing wrong with that imo, especially in the right spots.

[CanuckG]

george washington +6 (-115) (1u)

1-0 +$100

26-24 +$506

[CanuckG]

Montreal Canadiens +119 (1U)
Winnipeg Jets +120 (1U)

[ApricotSinner32]

At -110, you're going to need to beat Pinnacle (no-vig line) by a FULL point in basketball to make +EV wagers.

This is a theory not a fact.

[No coincidences]

Knicks +4 (3U)
Grizzlies +4.5 (1U)

Virginia Tech +5.5 (4U)

Will probably take the Kings -- hoping to get a 4.5. Batum is out and I want to make sure Thornton is playing.

[I am Happy]

Va tech??

[No coincidences]

Va tech??

Yessir.

Still considering U of Detroit, Oregon State and BYU for college hoops.