I think the -139 rule is a bit silly and needs to be revisted.
The 15 Rules
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BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
#71Comment -
HedgeHogSBR Posting Legend
- 09-11-07
- 10128
#72I disagree with about 10 of of the rules, and even the ones I do like are not being followed by the author. For example, I can't argue with using sound money management, but it's not being followed. He's betting a huge 9% of bankroll per game w/o even knowing his edge--if indeed he has one. A claim of a 55% win percentage has been made, but it's worthless w/o knowing the average betting price and also taking into account the very small sample size.
That said, I give the guy a ton of credit for trying to show some discipline, and for posting his plays. But overall I think it's misguided. This is meant as constructive criticism.Comment -
HedgeHogSBR Posting Legend
- 09-11-07
- 10128
#74Comment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
#75yeah, this is a good first effort STA, but none of the rules you've set forth are going to help you becoming a winning gambler. There is a little more to it than setting up some arbitrary rules. All these rules will do is just make you lose your money more slowly.....Comment -
pokernut9999SBR Posting Legend
- 07-25-07
- 12757
#76
You think you have heard it all , and then read this forum.Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#77I'll look forward to seeing which of you are still critiquing my strategy in October. The next 2.5 months are going to be a joy.Comment -
duritoSBR Posting Legend
- 07-03-06
- 13173
#78
Your strategy is ridiculous, regardless of whether or not you hit 60% or 23% for the next 4 months.
The people telling you this know what they are talking about. Learn from them and move on.Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#79A claim of a 55% win percentage has been made, but it's worthless w/o knowing the average betting price and also taking into account the very small sample size.
That said, I give the guy a ton of credit for trying to show some discipline, and for posting his plays. But overall I think it's misguided. This is meant as constructive criticism.
Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.
And 13 days later I started back with a little more than $500, which is now $1,023.
This isn't alot of money, and I'm no genius, but I can use some common sense to pick some reasonably well-positioned winners. That's better than most idiots who everyday are picking 10-15 stabs in the dark and then wondering why they have no money and why "this is so hard"Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#80It's amazing that I have no idea who you are and you started posting in my thread just a day ago. You must be one of those "special posters" on the other forums that make YouTube videos and talk about how much money it would take for you to suck some guy off. Take your advice? No, thanksComment -
duritoSBR Posting Legend
- 07-03-06
- 13173
#81Fine by me. Thanks for your future contributions to my business.Comment -
HedgeHogSBR Posting Legend
- 09-11-07
- 10128
#83Every single play I've made is linked in this thread. Alot of them were 2-team parlays paying plus money, and the rest were all less than -139 juice except two. On June 13 I cashed-out a little more than $1200. Here's the link:*http://forum.sbrforum.com/819235-post456.html*And 13 days later I started back with a little more than $500, which is now $1,023. *This isn't alot of money, and I'm no genius, but I can use some common sense to pick some reasonably well-positioned winners. That's better than most idiots who everyday are picking 10-15 stabs in the dark and then wondering why they have no money and why "this is so hard"
I'm not ripping you, but many of your rules were meant to be broken. No total or run line bet is allowed, regardless of the line, is wrong. Betting a game based on the time it starts is the dumbest thing I've read on this forum, and you're somewhat intelligent. Your 15 rules are about 12 too long, seriously.Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#84Andy,
I'm not ripping you, but many of your rules were meant to be broken. No total or run line bet is allowed, regardless of the line, is wrong. Betting a game based on the time it starts is the dumbest thing I've read on this forum, and you're somewhat intelligent. Your 15 rules are about 12 too long, seriously.Comment -
The BaronSBR Sharp
- 10-13-07
- 397
#86Do you even post picks or do you just knock other peoples strategies and systems? I did a quick search and for a guy who claims to be such an amazing capper you have no plays.Comment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
#87Listen man, there is no need to be wholly ignorant. There are some sharp guys on this board and some not so sharp guys. By and large, the guys who agree with you and have told you these rules are good (or mainly good) are pretty stupid and should be ignored. Don't listen to them....these are not good rules at all any way you look at them. If you hit 70% it's not b/c these rules led you be a better gambler. However, if you hit 30%, it's safe to say it's because of these rules.
However, there are some things to take away like your desire to win and be a better gambler. Those are things to build on. The foundatin is there, but the strategy is poor. You have to rethink this entire thing over again. Everything from where you are placing your bets (The Greek is a no-no for bases) to the rules restricting when you bet and how often.
Good luck STAComment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
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topgame85SBR Posting Legend
- 03-30-08
- 12325
#89Hey let him use whatever strategy works for him even though most of us disagree this may fit his play style wellComment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
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donjuanSBR MVP
- 08-29-07
- 3993
#91I'd love to hear the logic behind never playing anything over -139 in anything but a parlay. Has the potential for comedic gold.Comment -
ertl09SBR MVP
- 12-10-07
- 1413
#92
GL today saintComment -
donjuanSBR MVP
- 08-29-07
- 3993
#93well said, leave him alone, he isn't asking people what they feel about his style so let him do his thing obviously he's better than more than of the people in hereComment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
#94It's a public forum, and therefore he should be prepared for public scrutiny. A lot of guys here are trying to help him, but he does not want any of it.Comment -
pokernut9999SBR Posting Legend
- 07-25-07
- 12757
#95Your parlay violates all your rules and theories.
Arizona has home edge and Angels are over -139 , so where do you get parlay of Angels/Cubs ?Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#96Pokernut, the Angels play does not violate the rules because it is parlayed with another play to make +159, not -200. Arizona has home advantage, however that angle is outweighed by the pitching and offense mismatch.Comment -
topgame85SBR Posting Legend
- 03-30-08
- 12325
#97You have become very antagonistic as of late is everything ok with you BB? seems like your taking out some frustrations on posters, like calling my Balt sunday trend the most meaningless thread ever.... well the fact is they did play like hell on sunday again and thus lost 15th in a row..... anyways hope evrythings alright with youComment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#98And it's a weekday, home field advantage means less.Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#99Man, WTF! Why is this thread in "Players Talk"?Comment -
donjuanSBR MVP
- 08-29-07
- 3993
#100View Post
Pokernut, the Angels play does not violate the rules because it is parlayed with another play to make +159, not -200. Arizona has home advantage, however that angle is outweighed by the pitching and offense mismatch.Comment -
BuddyBearSBR Hall of Famer
- 08-10-05
- 7233
#101You have become very antagonistic as of late is everything ok with you BB? seems like your taking out some frustrations on posters, like calling my Balt sunday trend the most meaningless thread ever.... well the fact is they did play like hell on sunday again and thus lost 15th in a row..... anyways hope evrythings alright with you
Good luck tonight. How about a 10-0 FLA victory?Comment -
rjt721SBR Hall of Famer
- 02-06-07
- 7929
#102Not trying to bash the guy. However, it's just ridiculous that he gets defensive when offered constructive criticism. Some people just don't want to learn. That's fine, but when you post something like this on a public forum, you open yourself up to all types of responses. If you can't handle that, don't start threads such as this.Comment -
St. AndrewSBR MVP
- 02-23-08
- 2265
#103Not trying to bash the guy. However, it's just ridiculous that he gets defensive when offered constructive criticism. Some people just don't want to learn. That's fine, but when you post something like this on a public forum, you open yourself up to all types of responses. If you can't handle that, don't start threads such as this.Comment -
ryanXL977SBR Posting Legend
- 02-24-08
- 20615
#104nobody seriously thinks playing on a certain day means anything do you guys
come onComment -
smitch124SBR Posting Legend
- 05-19-08
- 12566
#105I definitely believe that home field advantage can be greater on weedend days for some teams...Comment
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