Someone sharp: Please help my square ass out here...

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  • linedrivr
    SBR MVP
    • 01-04-10
    • 2223

    #36
    Originally posted by opie1988
    I have a question about the Mavs/Heat series. Right now, you can get Mavs Series price at +155.

    But you can get the Exact Series Outcome at the following:

    25521 MAVERICKS WIN 4 - 0 +1650
    25522 MAVERICKS WIN 4 - 1 +800
    25523 MAVERICKS WIN 4 - 2 +650
    25524 MAVERICKS WIN 4 - 3 +650

    What am I missing here? Why wouldn't you break your wagers out a little on each possible outcome? As opposed to taking the +155 Series price? Regardless of how the series finishes, if you're taking the Mavs....you're odds are much better in this situation.

    If you put $100 on each of the 4 Series outcome bets vs. $400 on Mavs +155.....worst case scenario you win $30 more by having the Exact Outcome wager.

    I realize I'm a total square.....but is this correct? Thanks in advance, fellas.

    Happy Memorial Day, SBR
    you are doing it the proper way to maximize possible profit. Good job!

    sorry. I had been awake 10 minutes and not had coffee before posting this and was still half asleep.
    Comment
    • pavyracer
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 04-12-07
      • 82839

      #37
      Originally posted by paco
      Mavs in 6 sounds good.

      This finals 2-3-2 format actually favors the Mavs.
      So you are saying the Mavs will win the championship by winning game 6 in Miami?
      Comment
      • LordVodka
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 08-17-09
        • 5206

        #38
        I really wonder but I think Mavs will win either tonight or tomorrow.
        Comment
        • shakinakin
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-18-10
          • 124

          #39
          dutching it (equalling profit for each outcome) =+130 so worse
          Comment
          • paco
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 05-07-09
            • 62873

            #40
            Originally posted by pavyracer
            So you are saying the Mavs will win the championship by winning game 6 in Miami?
            Yes, that is what I'm saying.
            Comment
            • milwaukee mike
              BARRELED IN @ SBR!
              • 08-22-07
              • 26914

              #41
              good luck opie.
              i am on the other side (miami future at 3-1) but if dallas wins tonight or takes the lead in the series at any point, my scared ass is hedging the whole 4k.
              Comment
              • I/O
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 05-26-11
                • 7922

                #42
                Originally posted by EasyHustlin
                Take Dirk MVP +180
                gl bro

                +6000 Finals MVP - Jason Kidd*
                Comment
                • milwaukee mike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-22-07
                  • 26914

                  #43
                  Originally posted by I/O
                  gl bro

                  +6000 Finals MVP - Jason Kidd*
                  wow that's going out on a limb

                  i think the dirk +180 is better than dallas +155 if you're playing the mavs

                  low limits on those props though, but if dallas wins it has to be at least 90% that dirk wins the mvp
                  Comment
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