TH 05/26 - 5:10 AM ET - Big WTA Play

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  • iceminers26
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-13-08
    • 15600

    #1
    TH 05/26 - 5:10 AM ET - Big WTA Play
    SANIA MIRZA +6 +102



    Sania Mirza vs. AgnieszkaRadwanska

    5:10 AM ET - 05/26


    Big WTA play for me tomorrow morning in the French Open, posting now so others can get on board as well if they want.

    The money-line might be worth a small investment @ +425 but I'm just playing the handicap @ +6 games because I have a rather large amount on it (well large for me but probably small to you SBR Big-Timers ). If you do play the ML as well, I would recommend a 4/1 ratio or along those lines to handicap to ML so you at least get a profit if she doesn't pull off the straight up win.

    Good Luck to others that ride this one with me, I'm confident its a winner.
  • No coincidences
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 01-18-10
    • 76300

    #2
    Good luck ICE.
    Comment
    • iceminers26
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 10-13-08
      • 15600

      #3
      Thanks NC, good luck to you as well.

      Bumping, seems Cubs -1.5 +175 on Tues and Thunder 1Q over 50.5 (105) on Wed got overlooked with all the posts of late on the industry's current condition, or maybe because of the return of Corky Landers. Anyways this one starts in about 5 hours so if you're playing it put it in before bed, GL.
      Comment
      • iceminers26
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-13-08
        • 15600

        #4
        Should note, price on line did move from +102 to (106), still a great price IMO for the +6 games.
        Comment
        • No coincidences
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 01-18-10
          • 76300

          #5
          Should I tail this Ice?

          Never played tennis before? I watch it from time to time, but I've never bet on it.
          Comment
          • iceminers26
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-13-08
            • 15600

            #6
            Originally posted by No coincidences
            Should I tail this Ice? Never played tennis before? I watch it from time to time, but I've never bet on it.
            I never convince anyone to tail, let them make that decision themselves, but I will say tennis, WTA specifically, has been my best sport the past couple years. I like this handicap quite a bit and see Mirza in this one from start to finish, heck wouldn't be shocked if she wins SU.
            Comment
            • No coincidences
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 01-18-10
              • 76300

              #7
              Originally posted by iceminers26
              I never convince anyone to tail, let them make that decision themselves, but I will say tennis, WTA specifically, has been my best sport the past couple years. I like this handicap quite a bit and see Mirza in this one from start to finish, heck wouldn't be shocked if she wins SU.
              Comment
              • AribaAriba
                SBR MVP
                • 04-03-09
                • 2922

                #8
                mind if i ask how you doing so far in tennis for the year?
                Comment
                • CanuckG
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-23-10
                  • 21978

                  #9
                  Yeah what the guy above said...I'm looking into now...want some action.
                  Comment
                  • Rod1010
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 09-01-10
                    • 6208

                    #10
                    public is on who
                    Comment
                    • No coincidences
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 01-18-10
                      • 76300

                      #11
                      Originally posted by Rod1010
                      public is on who
                      Ask Canuck.
                      Comment
                      • CanuckG
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 12-23-10
                        • 21978

                        #12
                        public on Agnieszka Radwanska
                        Comment
                        • No coincidences
                          SBR Aristocracy
                          • 01-18-10
                          • 76300

                          #13
                          Originally posted by CanuckG
                          public on Agnieszka Radwanska
                          Mirza +6 is -108 now at Pinny.

                          What kind of movement has there been in the ML?
                          Comment
                          • iceminers26
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-13-08
                            • 15600

                            #14
                            Originally posted by AribaAriba
                            mind if i ask how you doing so far in tennis for the year?
                            Up, on pretty much same pace I was past 2 years at halfway point of season, shown good profits in both ATP and WTA (far more in WTA, they make up most of my tennis wagers), 3 years straight and 4 of last 5 years. IMO tennis is a value game, so I rarely ever play favorites and don't recommend just tailing a play here or there, but post a tennis play that I am pretty confident in, like the play this morning. GL.
                            Comment
                            • iceminers26
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-13-08
                              • 15600

                              #15
                              Originally posted by No coincidences
                              Mirza +6 is -108 now at Pinny. What kind of movement has there been in the ML?
                              The cap opened at +106 and has shifted to (108), wouldn't be surprised if it moved a little more and closer to (115) by start of match. As for the ML, slight move from +425 to +433, not significant enough IMO to even consider.
                              Comment
                              • No coincidences
                                SBR Aristocracy
                                • 01-18-10
                                • 76300

                                #16
                                Originally posted by iceminers26
                                The cap opened at +106 and has shifted to (108), wouldn't be surprised if it moved a little more and closer to (115) by start of match. As for the ML, slight move from +425 to +433, not significant enough IMO to even consider.
                                Pinny just jumped to +461
                                Comment
                                • ghn999
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 01-24-09
                                  • 367

                                  #17
                                  Good luck with the pick! I don't think Mirza will get the job done.
                                  Comment
                                  • AribaAriba
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 04-03-09
                                    • 2922

                                    #18
                                    gl and hope we cash, i love this sleeping the stress type of game
                                    Comment
                                    • iceminers26
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 10-13-08
                                      • 15600

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by No coincidences
                                      Pinny just jumped to +461
                                      37 cent move from opener, not really focused on ML as I am playing the cap, but to comment on it since we are discussing it, I usually don't get that caught up in line moves in tennis, yes I always look at them after at the end before placing my wagers but that is usually to make sure I haven't missed anything with huge line moves (sickness, hidden injuries, etc.). With that said I expected a little movement in this one because this is a Major and Rad is a household name compared to our girl. I'm playing this because I like Mirza's game against Rad and she will not be intimidated on this stage, the +6 games is a steal IMO.
                                      Comment
                                      • No coincidences
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 01-18-10
                                        • 76300

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by iceminers26
                                        37 cent move from opener, not really focused on ML as I am playing the cap, but to comment on it since we are discussing it, I usually don't get that caught up in line moves in tennis, yes I always look at them after at the end before placing my wagers but that is usually to make sure I haven't missed anything with huge line moves (sickness, hidden injuries, etc.). With that said I expected a little movement in this one because this is a Major and Rad is a household name compared to our girl. I'm playing this because I like Mirza's game against Rad and she will not be intimidated on this stage, the +6 games is a steal IMO.
                                        Thanks for the explanation Ice. Again, BOL!
                                        Comment
                                        • iceminers26
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-13-08
                                          • 15600

                                          #21
                                          Heading to bed for a few, going to try and catch some of the match before I take off in morning. GL to anyone that jumps on board, I like our girl's chances here.
                                          Comment
                                          • iceminers26
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-13-08
                                            • 15600

                                            #22


                                            This +6 games @ 5:10 AM ET

                                            Good Night All
                                            Comment
                                            • Bigglefairy
                                              SBR Sharp
                                              • 11-16-10
                                              • 483

                                              #23
                                              Best of luck
                                              Comment
                                              • No coincidences
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 01-18-10
                                                • 76300

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by iceminers26


                                                This +6 games @ 5:10 AM ET

                                                Good Night All
                                                Wow.

                                                Comment
                                                • iceminers26
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-13-08
                                                  • 15600

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by No coincidences
                                                  Wow.
                                                  yes NC she is a looker but don't let that fool you, she is tough/fighter and mentally tough (the latter something I feel is crucial in the ladies' games).
                                                  Comment
                                                  • makman
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 10-31-10
                                                    • 1019

                                                    #26
                                                    nice pick, BOL
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Shifty107
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 01-05-10
                                                      • 1582

                                                      #27
                                                      Gl Ice. Like the play mate. Also think Zheng +7 is worth a look as well.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Allure
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 08-18-10
                                                        • 7606

                                                        #28
                                                        She has no serve.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • iceminers26
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-13-08
                                                          • 15600

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by Allure
                                                          She has no serve.
                                                          That is the worst I have ever seen her play, especially with her service. 9 doubles in only 9 service games and 42 unforced errors, expected a better showing from her.

                                                          End result: PUSH
                                                          Comment
                                                          • jjgold
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 07-20-05
                                                            • 388179

                                                            #30
                                                            Tennis is tough in early rounds

                                                            Do not bet them
                                                            Comment
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