What are some of the biggest myths in gambling?

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  • Albert Pujols
    SBR MVP
    • 06-01-10
    • 1670

    #1
    What are some of the biggest myths in gambling?
    1. "The right side is the one that cashes. "

    The fact of the matter is that the right side loses often.
  • LT Profits
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 10-27-06
    • 90963

    #2
    2. Winners don't pay vig
    Comment
    • noober
      SBR MVP
      • 10-23-09
      • 2012

      #3
      3. A big dog won so the books must have made a killing.
      Comment
      • Thor4140
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 02-09-08
        • 22296

        #4
        the bookies want equal action on both sides
        Comment
        • soxwin
          SBR MVP
          • 01-05-10
          • 1885

          #5
          the right side does always cash. Looking at it the other way means a person is trying to justify a loser.
          If Butler shot 30% from the field last night, which is still way below a normal game for them, they would have covered. Does that mean the people on Butler were on the right side? Of course not, the right side was UCONN b/c that was the side that made your bankroll grow.

          Other myths: bad beats or lucky winners. There are no such things. either you are right & win or wrong & lost.
          Comment
          • Duff85
            SBR MVP
            • 06-15-10
            • 2920

            #6
            Originally posted by soxwin
            the right side does always cash. Looking at it the other way means a person is trying to justify a loser.
            This is not the case though - variance kicks you in the nuts in the short term.

            For instance I could log onto Bodog and bet on any favoruite on the board at half a point worse than I could get anywhere else and could win that day. Was I on the right side of that line? No I should have been on the other side of that number or have played it somewhere else - did I win - yes.

            I could do this and win for days at a time, but in the long term i'm not going to win taking half a point worse than the market consistently. The reverse is true for staying away from underdogs on the moneyline because they win less frequently. You should be looking to make profitable bets regardless of which side your feeling.

            All about implied probability if you want to win in the long term. Not I got a good feeling about my five teamer laying chalk on everything that includes the Heat, Lakers, Yankees, Red Sox, and Kansas (because everyone knows all of these teams win 100% of the time).
            Comment
            • Albert Pujols
              SBR MVP
              • 06-01-10
              • 1670

              #7
              Originally posted by soxwin
              the right side does always cash. Looking at it the other way means a person is trying to justify a loser.
              If Butler shot 30% from the field last night, which is still way below a normal game for them, they would have covered. Does that mean the people on Butler were on the right side? Of course not, the right side was UCONN b/c that was the side that made your bankroll grow.

              Other myths: bad beats or lucky winners. There are no such things. either you are right & win or wrong & lost.
              Bad beats happen but they are rare. Most gamblers think that if their team is up 2-0 in the top of the 4th, it's a bad beat if they lose. But if you lose an under by one in double OT, you can whine for a minute and it doesn't make you a douche.

              One result means nothing. It doesn't make a win the right side. But I think you have to look at every matchup and figure out what your opinion would be if they played 100 times. There would be a lot of different outcomes. A 17 point dog would blow out the favorite once in awhile. This is why you can never vary your bet size to extreme levels.
              Comment
              • jjgold
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 07-20-05
                • 388179

                #8
                That is is inmoral
                Comment
                • Karayilan9
                  Restricted User
                  • 01-10-09
                  • 3742

                  #9
                  Picking favorites is square picking dogs is sharp.
                  Comment
                  • wtf
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 08-22-08
                    • 12983

                    #10
                    jj is hung
                    Comment
                    • slacker00
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-06-05
                      • 12262

                      #11
                      One word: Martingale. (or any other of various & numerous implicit ignorances dealing with fundamental bankroll management)
                      Comment
                      • cobalt king
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-20-08
                        • 1584

                        #12
                        You can make a living betting sports!
                        Comment
                        • HotStreak
                          SBR MVP
                          • 05-12-09
                          • 3235

                          #13
                          "I'm due"
                          Comment
                          • Smoke
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 10-09-09
                            • 48111

                            #14
                            That betting on pujols and the cardinals is easy money
                            Comment
                            • Joe Sharp
                              SBR MVP
                              • 06-01-09
                              • 3011

                              #15
                              Dogs are +EV ; Favorites are -EV
                              Comment
                              • cant call it
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 08-29-10
                                • 8817

                                #16
                                Originally posted by jjgold
                                That is is inmoral
                                Comment
                                • grzftbl
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 01-17-10
                                  • 285

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by LT Profits
                                  2. Winners don't pay vig

                                  Sports Bar about a mile from my house:



                                  Comment
                                  • B1GER1C828
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 07-31-07
                                    • 10244

                                    #18
                                    Originally posted by soxwin
                                    the right side does always cash. Looking at it the other way means a person is trying to justify a loser. If Butler shot 30% from the field last night, which is still way below a normal game for them, they would have covered. Does that mean the people on Butler were on the right side? Of course not, the right side was UCONN b/c that was the side that made your bankroll grow. Other myths: bad beats or lucky winners. There are no such things. either you are right & win or wrong & lost.
                                    unreal post.

                                    That picking an underdog can't be considered square.

                                    "How can it be square if its an underdog", i love it.
                                    Comment
                                    • mrmarket
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-26-10
                                      • 4953

                                      #19
                                      Negative EV gamblers fretting constantly over bankroll management and its importance.
                                      Comment
                                      • MartinBlank
                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                        • 07-20-08
                                        • 8382

                                        #20
                                        Yeah, I don't buy the right side/lost one either.

                                        This isn't horseshoes. The right side is the one that cashes.

                                        You can justify any losing selection by data snooping for trends. That doesn't make it the right pick.
                                        Comment
                                        • gryfyn1
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 03-30-10
                                          • 3285

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by MartinBlank
                                          Yeah, I don't buy the right side/lost one either.

                                          This isn't horseshoes. The right side is the one that cashes.

                                          You can justify any losing selection by data snooping for trends. That doesn't make it the right pick.
                                          I guess it goes by what you define as 'right side'; and i kind of agree that the right side is the winning one; but that also dosen't mean that the right side is the smart one.

                                          If Someone were to say to you before the game last night Ill give you over 100 pts total for even money - would the smart side been the under?

                                          Granted the under in that case would have been right; but if they play that game 100 times isg goes over over 100 what 90+ time ...

                                          Then again, they only play the game once and thats the rub.
                                          Comment
                                          • flipside2469
                                            SBR Wise Guy
                                            • 02-09-11
                                            • 736

                                            #22
                                            "Vegas needs 'Team A', everyone is on 'Team B' and if 'Team B' wins, Vegas will be hurting. Bet 'Team A'. Vegas was built on the underdog."

                                            Since when do we worry about what Vegas needs in order to place our bets? Shouldn't we look at the numbers of both teams, then make our decision? Going against the public isn't necessarily the right call.
                                            Comment
                                            • gryfyn1
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-30-10
                                              • 3285

                                              #23
                                              Originally posted by LT Profits
                                              2. Winners don't pay vig
                                              ha, yep, winners are the only ones that pay the vig -- losers are the ones that dont pay the vig.
                                              Comment
                                              • Bill Dozer
                                                www.twitter.com/BillDozer
                                                • 07-12-05
                                                • 10894

                                                #24
                                                Parlays are only for suckers.
                                                Comment
                                                • Nicky Santoro
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 04-08-08
                                                  • 16103

                                                  #25
                                                  if you're a good handicapper, you'll make money gambling.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • dfberger23
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 11-08-10
                                                    • 5069

                                                    #26
                                                    All of the crap about who the public is on is all BS, total myth, doesn't mean shit.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • LT Profits
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 10-27-06
                                                      • 90963

                                                      #27
                                                      Originally posted by gryfyn1
                                                      ha, yep, winners are the only ones that pay the vig -- losers are the ones that dont pay the vig.
                                                      WRONG, Everybody pays vig.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • underthe total
                                                        Restricted User
                                                        • 05-29-10
                                                        • 1487

                                                        #28
                                                        sharps make picks
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Igetp2s
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 05-21-07
                                                          • 1046

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                                          WRONG, Everybody pays vig.
                                                          Nonsense. Either winners pay vig, or losers pay. Can't be both. It depends on what you consider the vig. If you bet $11 to win $10, you can either consider the vig as being the 11th dollar you're not getting if you win, or the original extra dollar you need to pay if you lose. The distinction is meaningless and is an exercise in parsing semantics.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • bradthebloke
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 07-26-09
                                                            • 3175

                                                            #30
                                                            you can win
                                                            Comment
                                                            • tony_come
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 03-31-10
                                                              • 21695

                                                              #31
                                                              biggest myth: gamblers are gay
                                                              Comment
                                                              • muldoon
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-04-10
                                                                • 4397

                                                                #32
                                                                That fading the public always wins.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • warriorfan707
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 03-29-08
                                                                  • 13698

                                                                  #33
                                                                  you cant win
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Robust
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 09-13-08
                                                                    • 3254

                                                                    #34
                                                                    that you *might* win in the long run..

                                                                    Robust
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • GTS925
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 11-06-10
                                                                      • 1158

                                                                      #35
                                                                      "Karma".
                                                                      Comment
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