Final Four Games With Analysis

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  • Cougar Bait
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-04-07
    • 18282

    #1
    Final Four Games With Analysis
    VCU +2.5

    Simply put, I see this as a back and forth low scoring affair where the points may come in handy at the end. All of Butler's games have been very close so they don't mind playing these types of games. Both coaches will be prepared, and though I think Mack is the best player on the floor I don't know if he's seen a perimeter with as much depth from as defensive standpoint as VCU has right now in Rodriguez, Burgess, and Rozzell.

    I expect Butler to go down low and pound it with Howard and Smith which should slow the tempo down a bit, but remember VCU held Kansas to 61 and Georgetown to 56 so playing these games under might benefit the VCU side. Like I said before I think Vegas can tip their hand on sides by where the total is set. If Rodriguez can get Smith in foul trouble this may turn into a shooting match and I like the Rams in that scenario as they just have more options.

    VCU has absolutely nothing to lose at this point. Everyone expects Butler to win, and maybe they will. But I am taking the points here, since winning and covering are two different things.

    Kentucky -2.5

    I think it's easy to make a case for either side on this one but in the end it all comes down to matchups. Everyone will be talking about Walker, and rightfully so, the best player on the court today. But UConn is NOT a great offensive rebounding team, while Kentucky IS a good defensive rebounding team. That could be key. Neither team is going to create a huge amount of turnovers, but remembering how the Aztecs forced UConn into mistakes still stays with me. The Wildcats should do the same thing here. I think the Wildcats simply have more ways to win than UConn. They beat a bigger team in North Carolina, they can shoot the 3 better, and their FG defense is one of the best in the nation.

    At the end of the day I think Calipari still has a lot to prove. His players, though young, are extremely talented, and have a more well-rounded game than I believe UConn has.




    2-1 yesterday
    18-9 last month
    All posted in Player's Talk
  • Cougar Bait
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-04-07
    • 18282

    #2
    I am also adding a good sized wager on White Sox -128. Edwin Jackson has nasty stuff, his problem has always been walks. Those are down over the course of the spring and I believe more time under Don Cooper has benefited him.

    Good luck today
    Comment
    • DeeWizzle
      SBR MVP
      • 03-08-09
      • 3316

      #3
      I'm on the Chi Sox as weII Cougar. Good Iuck today.
      Comment
      • bradnowell
        SBR Sharp
        • 07-31-10
        • 493

        #4
        Kentucky and angels ftw
        Comment
        • Cougar Bait
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-04-07
          • 18282

          #5
          Originally posted by DeeWizzle
          I'm on the Chi Sox as weII Cougar. Good Iuck today.
          Good to have you on the same side today Wizzle

          Can't wait for the next rap, that shit was awesome
          Comment
          • Michael Ferro
            Restricted User
            • 11-05-10
            • 202

            #6
            Thanks for the final four write up. good luck today
            Comment
            • KingKolzig
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 02-02-10
              • 5550

              #7
              i like VCU as well. but everything points to the under in this game. hate to take unders and watch the game but might do it. u15 3's is maybe even better than the under but its -130 right now
              Comment
              • OnlyMayo
                SBR High Roller
                • 09-05-10
                • 205

                #8
                Good write up. Im on VCU also.
                Comment
                • 0hndycp
                  SBR Sharp
                  • 07-28-09
                  • 369

                  #9
                  I hate Calipari, and don't think he is half the coach as Calhoun! That being said I think they win today despite him, due to the athleticism of his kids.
                  Comment
                  • jjgold
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 07-20-05
                    • 388179

                    #10
                    I get nervous when on other side of Cougar

                    I like UConn and bet other side to get out of bet

                    Best of luck
                    Comment
                    • CanuckG
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 12-23-10
                      • 21978

                      #11
                      Everyone loves VCU and Kentucky...hesitant on VCU.
                      Comment
                      • newjerseydevils
                        SBR MVP
                        • 03-11-08
                        • 3110

                        #12
                        nice. hope you win the two plays. im on the same ones as well
                        Comment
                        • Bostongambler
                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                          • 02-01-08
                          • 35581

                          #13
                          gl tonight,, I hope they are good games.
                          Comment
                          • Vin_vermillion
                            Restricted User
                            • 01-24-11
                            • 1537

                            #14
                            Like your write ups cougar. I agree on vcu. Kentucky and UCONN really is a toss up. I was on KY early in the week but honestly moved off of them only because it seems like everyone is there too. Taking UCONN and the points. Good luck.
                            Comment
                            • nli07
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 07-03-06
                              • 604

                              #15
                              This Final Four is so hard to cap, I see either Butler or VCU taking it same with UCONN and Kentucky. Prob will take Butler and UCONN myself though.
                              Comment
                              • geebert74
                                SBR MVP
                                • 09-03-09
                                • 2445

                                #16
                                Originally posted by nli07
                                This Final Four is so hard to cap, I see either Butler or VCU taking it same with UCONN and Kentucky. Prob will take Butler and UCONN myself though.
                                I agree with this... Should be some good games tho. Thanks for the write up Cougar!
                                Comment
                                • suicideking08
                                  SBR Sharp
                                  • 09-29-09
                                  • 337

                                  #17
                                  I'm on the WSox too, -125 is unbelievable value for this game. I'm on the opposite side of VCU though, Butler will keep them in check this game.
                                  Comment
                                  • Terrapin Station
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-05-10
                                    • 2583

                                    #18
                                    Good write up, like the plays.
                                    Comment
                                    • brock
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 01-07-08
                                      • 8236

                                      #19
                                      I'm with you. Good luck Cougar Bait. Bet them Monday.
                                      Comment
                                      • LT Profits
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 10-27-06
                                        • 90963

                                        #20
                                        I totally agree with Kentucky, and although I don't necessarily disagree with the VCU play, I am on Under 134 there.
                                        Comment
                                        • Cougar Bait
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-04-07
                                          • 18282

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by LT Profits
                                          I totally agree with Kentucky, and although I don't necessarily disagree with the VCU play, I am on Under 134 there.
                                          I like the under as well, not posting as a play but I lean that way.
                                          Comment
                                          • DeeWizzle
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 03-08-09
                                            • 3316

                                            #22
                                            [quote=Cougar Bait;9464259]

                                            Good to have you on the same side today Wizzle

                                            Thanks again Coug. I'm workin on a few things right now...

                                            Good Iuck on the pIays tonight. Not sure if I'II be on a side.

                                            I'm back and forth so instead of fIipping a coin I asked my son. He said ButIer and Uconn and has Uconn cutting down the nets...

                                            That's some soIid handicapping right there.
                                            Comment
                                            • dfberger23
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 11-08-10
                                              • 5069

                                              #23
                                              With you on Kentucky but I love Butler today Cougar. VCU may cover though, I am taking Butler ML.

                                              Good luck.
                                              Comment
                                              • bobbyfk
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 01-19-09
                                                • 15218

                                                #24
                                                Originally posted by Cougar Bait
                                                VCU +2.5

                                                Simply put, I see this as a back and forth low scoring affair where the points may come in handy at the end. All of Butler's games have been very close so they don't mind playing these types of games. Both coaches will be prepared, and though I think Mack is the best player on the floor I don't know if he's seen a perimeter with as much depth from as defensive standpoint as VCU has right now in Rodriguez, Burgess, and Rozzell.

                                                I expect Butler to go down low and pound it with Howard and Smith which should slow the tempo down a bit, but remember VCU held Kansas to 61 and Georgetown to 56 so playing these games under might benefit the VCU side. Like I said before I think Vegas can tip their hand on sides by where the total is set. If Rodriguez can get Smith in foul trouble this may turn into a shooting match and I like the Rams in that scenario as they just have more options.

                                                VCU has absolutely nothing to lose at this point. Everyone expects Butler to win, and maybe they will. But I am taking the points here, since winning and covering are two different things.

                                                Kentucky -2.5

                                                I think it's easy to make a case for either side on this one but in the end it all comes down to matchups. Everyone will be talking about Walker, and rightfully so, the best player on the court today. But UConn is NOT a great offensive rebounding team, while Kentucky IS a good defensive rebounding team. That could be key. Neither team is going to create a huge amount of turnovers, but remembering how the Aztecs forced UConn into mistakes still stays with me. The Wildcats should do the same thing here. I think the Wildcats simply have more ways to win than UConn. They beat a bigger team in North Carolina, they can shoot the 3 better, and their FG defense is one of the best in the nation.

                                                At the end of the day I think Calipari still has a lot to prove. His players, though young, are extremely talented, and have a more well-rounded game than I believe UConn has.




                                                2-1 yesterday
                                                18-9 last month
                                                All posted in Player's Talk
                                                great write-up
                                                Comment
                                                • Cougar Bait
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-04-07
                                                  • 18282

                                                  #25
                                                  Thanks Bobby

                                                  White Sox looking good. Would be nice to start 1-0 on the day
                                                  Comment
                                                  • No coincidences
                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                    • 01-18-10
                                                    • 76300

                                                    #26
                                                    GL CB.

                                                    You got a bad # with VCU. 3.5 almost everywhere now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • mangina11
                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                      • 02-01-10
                                                      • 397

                                                      #27
                                                      Bol tonight, got the same picks
                                                      Comment
                                                      • D3 Mighty Ducks
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 12-17-09
                                                        • 11939

                                                        #28
                                                        Anyone have a link for these games?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Cougar Bait
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-04-07
                                                          • 18282

                                                          #29
                                                          Number didn't matter No Coin.

                                                          I could call BS on lots of those late calls but VCU missed a TON of easy baskets and had some turnovers late that cost them the game.

                                                          1-1 so far, need Kentucky for the profitable day.
                                                          Comment
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