Mlb betting

Collapse
X
 
  • Time
  • Show
Clear All
new posts
  • CHUBNUT
    SBR Sharp
    • 06-30-09
    • 321

    #1
    Mlb betting
    not long to opening day so a thread to chat I dont want to get into a quantum theory exercise but from my view the whole baseball betting world has gone far too indulgent in the stats of the game. when you look at the difference between the top 100 pitchers in any category its insignificant compared to the bookmakers margins on a game. Whats funny is bettors think baseball is a wonderful medium because of the vig whereas te truth is the randomness will kill all but the best.

    So post your thoughts but I will give you the best advantage betting MLB unknown to man. I fully expect the dopes on here with their mathematically obsessed retarded brains to cry foul and banter on about ERA WHIP and other stupidity that leads to losses. The answer is actually not far from some sort of truth to the point that the pitcher is the most significant difference in the game but not for the reasons most put store in.

    I hope my english is good enough for mexican immigrants like durito and donjuan. Its good that we can pass on info to 3rd world people who can better themselves on spread betting etc as opposed to who can piss higher up the wall.
  • wiffle
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 07-07-10
    • 610

    #2
    move plz
    Comment
    • bztips
      SBR Sharp
      • 06-03-10
      • 283

      #3
      Originally posted by CHUBNUT
      bettors think baseball is a wonderful medium because of the vig whereas te truth is the randomness will kill all but the best.
      Potential nominee for dumbest post of the year
      Comment
      • Brutusdigger
        SBR Rookie
        • 12-22-10
        • 48

        #4
        more info plze....thnks
        Comment
        • illfuuptn
          SBR MVP
          • 03-17-10
          • 1860

          #5
          When will people learn that variance DOES NOT change expected value...
          Comment
          • donjuan
            SBR MVP
            • 08-29-07
            • 3993

            #6
            I thought the mathematically obsessed using ERA was a nice touch.
            Comment
            • kpoutlaw
              SBR Hustler
              • 09-24-10
              • 53

              #7
              Originally posted by CHUBNUT
              I will give you the best advantage betting MLB unknown to man.
              That's quite a bold statement to make but who am I to judge? Good luck and I hope you will share this elusive secret that is "unknown to man." I've read several of your posts/theads and have enjoyed your friendly or not so friendly banter with others on this forum. LOL. I do have one question though, which I hope you will not find offensive. Are you really 79?
              Comment
              • jimbojpc
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 09-23-07
                • 627

                #8
                ok Lets get this going
                Comment
                • donjuan
                  SBR MVP
                  • 08-29-07
                  • 3993

                  #9
                  Originally posted by kpoutlaw
                  That's quite a bold statement to make but who am I to judge? Good luck and I hope you will share this elusive secret that is "unknown to man." I've read several of your posts/theads and have enjoyed your friendly or not so friendly banter with others on this forum. LOL. I do have one question though, which I hope you will not find offensive. Are you really 79?
                  The senility and rambling nonsense would lead most to think yes.
                  Comment
                  • Dark Horse
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 12-14-05
                    • 13764

                    #10
                    If this is about the greatest secret known to man, you can't tell, because then it wouldn't be a secret anymore.
                    Comment
                    • CHUBNUT
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 06-30-09
                      • 321

                      #11
                      I see the mexicans are getting riled again
                      Comment
                      • Maverick22
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 04-10-10
                        • 807

                        #12
                        no need for racist comments bro
                        Comment
                        • CHUBNUT
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 06-30-09
                          • 321

                          #13
                          Originally posted by Dark Horse
                          If this is about the greatest secret known to man, you can't tell, because then it wouldn't be a secret anymore.
                          who cares, I'm 79 and I'm dying. I'll leave you lot to waste your life rambling on about EV and kelly. I've made a living from betting over the last 20 years through a knowledge of 40 prior years of losing and understanding betting isnt something that can be conviently packaged by math formula and perceived edge, as most of you secretly know

                          I wont be posting much in the near future as Gamblers Anonymous has asked me to help with some of their more delusional inmates but I will post the strategy for successful baseball betting before the season starts. its important that you cleanse yourself of some of the theoretical nonsense you read on a daily basis on all sports forums and dont let egotistic posters belittle you with their bamboozling prattle.
                          Comment
                          • bztips
                            SBR Sharp
                            • 06-03-10
                            • 283

                            #14
                            So he's taken only 60 years to get to the high level of expertise he's displaying now
                            Comment
                            • CHUBNUT
                              SBR Sharp
                              • 06-30-09
                              • 321

                              #15
                              Originally posted by bztips
                              So he's taken only 60 years to get to the high level of expertise he's displaying now
                              your good at math bet you cant say the same for your betting people are so in denial when it comes to gambling. I've seen them lose their marriage and home and still be convinced they are winning . its hardly surprising everyone on an anonymous internet forum are all winning bettors

                              the minds a funny thing
                              Comment
                              • jetsjets1028
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-10-10
                                • 1234

                                #16
                                too hard bet on preseason mlb
                                Comment
                                • trixtrix
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 04-13-06
                                  • 1897

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by CHUBNUT

                                  So post your thoughts but I will give you the best advantage betting MLB unknown to man.
                                  what are you, a martian?
                                  Comment
                                  • Inspirited
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 06-26-10
                                    • 1788

                                    #18
                                    more like a troll, nothing here move on
                                    Comment
                                    • jds07v
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 10-19-09
                                      • 1335

                                      #19
                                      Originally posted by CHUBNUT
                                      \ Whats funny is bettors think baseball is a wonderful medium because of the vig whereas te truth is the randomness will kill all but the best.

                                      I think the exact opposite. The randomness always works itself out in baseball. The season is so long (larger sample size) that the variance / randomness does not have that big of an impact.

                                      David Wright had a BABIP of almost .400 during his hot streak last summer. When that # returned to normal, so did his BA and RBI output. Of any sport, baseball probably has the most DAILY randomness, but the least Season-long randomness
                                      Comment
                                      SBR Contests
                                      Collapse
                                      Top-Rated US Sportsbooks
                                      Collapse
                                      Working...