(Warning) Vegas is setting a trap tonight

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  • KingKolzig
    SBR Hall of Famer
    • 02-02-10
    • 5550

    #1
    (Warning) Vegas is setting a trap tonight
    Clemson/UAB will sail over. Many of my guys have this game set at 133.5 with a 77% chance of 10+ late free throws as both coaches are accustomed to fouling late even when game is out of reach. At 121.5 it is a gift to the public (an ez win) so that they will take a majority of overs this tournament. This is not a theory it happens every year, so take the ez win tonight but stay clear of any overs the rest of the tournamnent unless you get a great early line.
  • jjgold
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 07-20-05
    • 388179

    #2
    Kolzag no clue but I hope you win

    Love Chick in your avatar
    Comment
    • JMobile
      SBR Posting Legend
      • 08-21-10
      • 19074

      #3
      Lets see what happens....
      Comment
      • Joe Sharp
        SBR MVP
        • 06-01-09
        • 3011

        #4
        Love it
        Comment
        • Sunde91
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 11-26-09
          • 8325

          #5
          Kolzag on to something.

          123 now, but should definitely be in 130s.

          UAB 69 ppg, Clemson 68 ppg.

          Lowest total of year for UAB, 3rd lowest for Clemson (@ UVA 121, Mich 121.5). Fouls late likely.

          Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11, 07:55 PM.
          Comment
          • BGboothA
            SBR MVP
            • 08-07-08
            • 4202

            #6
            well not sure on the logic, but I was already on it...here hoping to hitting this quick and dirty
            Comment
            • INVEGA MAN
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 01-30-08
              • 6800

              #7
              i am all over this like stink on shit
              Comment
              • stefank
                Restricted User
                • 11-23-10
                • 77

                #8
                Interesting line, will watch it close. Thanks for the insight Kolzig.
                Comment
                • milwaukee mike
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 08-22-07
                  • 26914

                  #9
                  up to 124 now and still too low imho, good chance of fouls late or overtime to bail us out if it's low scoring.
                  good luck all
                  Comment
                  • milwaukee mike
                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                    • 08-22-07
                    • 26914

                    #10
                    Originally posted by stefank
                    Interesting line, will watch it close. Thanks for the insight Kolzig.
                    how closely are you going to watch it when the game starts in 1/2 hour or so? don't watch the line bet the fukking thing
                    Comment
                    • Smoke
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 10-09-09
                      • 48111

                      #11
                      Vegas doesn't set traps, no such thing, your fukked unless u get lucky
                      Comment
                      • KingKolzig
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-02-10
                        • 5550

                        #12
                        Originally posted by Smoke
                        Vegas doesn't set traps, no such thing, your fukked unless u get lucky
                        yes they do. psych warfare, you have to know when they are giving u something
                        Comment
                        • Sunde91
                          SBR Hall of Famer
                          • 11-26-09
                          • 8325

                          #13
                          UAB cannot even catch a pass or dribble the ball without turning it over. 8 minutes without a FG. Get this fuking team out of here, just like everyone has said.

                          Clemson wins by 30 and over has no shot
                          Comment
                          • Powderguy
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 09-18-09
                            • 6939

                            #14
                            Started off great, not so much any more, unless Clemson scores 90
                            Comment
                            • VegasInsider
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 12-12-10
                              • 14593

                              #15
                              No free throws deciding this one.

                              I was on the over before you posted this thread...but Vegas doesn't set traps.
                              Comment
                              • KingKolzig
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 02-02-10
                                • 5550

                                #16
                                Originally posted by Sunde91
                                UAB cannot even catch a pass or dribble the ball without turning it over. 8 minutes without a FG. Get this fuking team out of here, just like everyone has said.

                                Clemson wins by 30 and over has no shot
                                couldnt disagree more. refs are calling every single bump a foul. UAB will be at the line soon, i bet they end up scoring 25+ pts this half
                                Comment
                                • RubberKettle
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 12-28-09
                                  • 6421

                                  #17
                                  UAB is terrible. Their offensive sets are not working. Will they even get to 40 points?
                                  Comment
                                  • KingKolzig
                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                    • 02-02-10
                                    • 5550

                                    #18
                                    only 5dimes live casino, everytime i log on the lady dealer says "oh hello kolzie, going to smash us with ur martingale system tonight?"
                                    Comment
                                    • jjgold
                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                      • 07-20-05
                                      • 388179

                                      #19
                                      Right now its right on the number

                                      Common Kolizifer
                                      Comment
                                      • Extra Innings
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 02-26-10
                                        • 15058

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by jjgold
                                        Right now its right on the number

                                        Common Kolizifer
                                        No it's not....at these pace theyll end with 148
                                        Comment
                                        • RubberKettle
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 12-28-09
                                          • 6421

                                          #21
                                          UAB has overcome the butterflies. They are actually playing basketball now.
                                          Comment
                                          • Sunde91
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 11-26-09
                                            • 8325

                                            #22
                                            10 points over 123 pace + factor in higher scoring 2half with fouls.

                                            8 point game.

                                            UAB playing with confidence now.

                                            We have this if UAB keeps playing.
                                            Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11, 09:39 PM.
                                            Comment
                                            • KingKolzig
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 02-02-10
                                              • 5550

                                              #23
                                              first half o/u was 55.5, so anyone who wants out of this bet can hedge at halftime. might even get a real large middle ground
                                              Comment
                                              • kylehen_son
                                                SBR Sharp
                                                • 09-08-06
                                                • 354

                                                #24
                                                looks solid so far... GL
                                                Comment
                                                • IAMWINNER
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-28-11
                                                  • 1012

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by KingKolzig
                                                  first half o/u was 55.5, so anyone who wants out of this bet can hedge at halftime. might even get a real large middle ground
                                                  whats the 2nd half play?
                                                  Comment
                                                  • KingKolzig
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 02-02-10
                                                    • 5550

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by IAMWINNER
                                                    whats the 2nd half play?
                                                    hold steady at o123, only need 56 more pts. UAB could go cold but the pace shouldnt change, clemson likes it up tempo and vegas knew it with this low-trap
                                                    Comment
                                                    • timmyboy34243
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 04-06-10
                                                      • 1379

                                                      #27
                                                      not for sure they keep the same tempo 2H, i'm on uab @ pk 2H......gl on the over.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • IAMWINNER
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-28-11
                                                        • 1012

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by KingKolzig
                                                        hold steady at o123, only need 56 more pts. UAB could go cold but the pace shouldnt change, clemson likes it up tempo and vegas knew it with this low-trap
                                                        what about Over 68 2nd half?
                                                        Comment
                                                        • KingKolzig
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 02-02-10
                                                          • 5550

                                                          #29
                                                          Originally posted by IAMWINNER
                                                          what about Over 68 2nd half?
                                                          personally im just sitting on the o123. if u are looking for a pick on the o68 dont look 2 me im full of sh1t
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Maverick11
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-21-10
                                                            • 1109

                                                            #30
                                                            UAB sucks and shouldn't be in the tourney just like everyone thought and your over pick is history.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Sunde91
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 11-26-09
                                                              • 8325

                                                              #31
                                                              And...that's why you get a good line. Opener 121.5 = cash, 123+ = crash, burn.

                                                              Gotta love no fouls down 13 two minutes left after sinking 2 threes. And walking up the court the entire 2nd half. Way to go failed former Indiana coach for motivating team; they played with fire

                                                              That 1 point loss brings me to 0-8-1 last 9 plays
                                                              Last edited by Sunde91; 03-15-11, 11:00 PM.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • mr. leisure
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 01-29-08
                                                                • 17507

                                                                #32
                                                                landed on 122
                                                                Comment
                                                                • RubberKettle
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 12-28-09
                                                                  • 6421

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Wow what a cock tease. All those 3's to end 1 point short of a push. UAB was a joke and the NCAA Commitee should apologize.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Extra Innings
                                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                                    • 02-26-10
                                                                    • 15058

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by KingKolzig
                                                                    personally im just sitting on the o123. if u are looking for a pick on the o68 dont look 2 me im full of sh1t


                                                                    Fat guy laughing over here. Karma Bitch

                                                                    Apologies to anybody that followed this dope but we have a long standing battle.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Johnnythunder
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-25-10
                                                                      • 2161

                                                                      #35
                                                                      Man that really sucked....really getting killed on NCAA totals here
                                                                      Comment
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