SBR fade the lock thread

DiggityDaggityDo · 03-07-11, 09:37 PM

Good concept here. Only problem is that this thread is going to encourage more lock threads. Hell, I almost wanted to do a lock thread on Houston tonight after seeing this thread.

And I have never done a lock thread before.

cant call it · 03-08-11, 08:00 AM

1-2-1 is the official fade the lock record

Henryhill, depsite the negative backlashing comparable to the germans invading pearl harbor, continues to win his locks. Like an upstoppable rebel force, henryhill manages to win another "lock", putting his sbr rebirthed record up to 9-0, and raising his betjam account level to $65.77.

On the other hand, biggamerife21, the muscly arm gay porn avatar guy, finds his okc+2 lock in the pooper, kind of like his co-stars left hand this past saturday.

We pushed fading Romanov's lock. He won his play odu-4.5 , we faded vcu+5 for a push.

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 08:32 AM

keep up the good work on finding these "locks"

we will have a winning record in this thread, eventually!

cant call it · 03-08-11, 09:10 AM

Originally posted by DiggityDaggityDo

Good concept here. Only problem is that this thread is going to encourage more lock threads. Hell, I almost wanted to do a lock thread on Houston tonight after seeing this thread.

And I have never done a lock thread before.

I thought about that too DDD. But then I said fk it , will be fun anyways.

Originally posted by pstaff1989

keep up the good work on finding these "locks" we will have a winning record in this thread, eventually!

Pstaff you bet your sweet ass we are gonna have a winning record when this is all said and done with.

Romanov · 03-08-11, 09:21 AM

Hey!

I had ODU -4.5, not 5. I hit

cant call it · 03-08-11, 09:25 AM

Originally posted by Romanov

Hey! I had ODU -4.5, not 5. I hit

sorry I will change that. you won your play, but the fade at +5 pushed. Sorry will fix it.

cant call it · 03-08-11, 10:01 AM

To recap we are
0-2 fading HH locks
1-0 fading BGI21's lock
0-0-1 fading romanov lock

It may look unfavorable to continue at this point to some people, but I firmly believe this number will climb rapidly in our favor.

HenryHill · 03-08-11, 11:01 AM

Originally posted by cant call it

To recap we are 0-2 fading HH locks 1-0 fading BGI21's lock 0-0-1 fading romanov lock It may look unfavorable to continue at this point to some people, but I firmly believe this number will climb rapidly in our favor.

Loser!!!

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 11:29 AM

Henry- I believe you make all of your plays locks? that is fine, but let me state something:

since you had a 8-0 lead before the thread started, odds are in our favor that you will finish below .500% from this point forward.

for example, since you were 8-0, you could go 5-8 on your next picks (you're already 1-0) and still end up 13-8 which would be far above average for sports bettors, but at the same time we would be 8-5 fading you're locks

unfortunatley for you, the odds are now in our favor. this is not meant to be an insult, but rather a statement of mathematical truths. since you already built up 8 wins in a row before any of this started, it will be harder for you to also have a successful record in this thread

you can argue my point with comments as much as you want, I am not trying to start a fight. just stating that we now have the mathematical advantage over you. best of luck with your continued success

HenryHill · 03-08-11, 11:40 AM

Originally posted by pstaff1989

Henry- I believe you make all of your plays locks? that is fine, but let me state something: since you had a 8-0 lead before the thread started, odds are in our favor that you will finish below .500% from this point forward. for example, since you were 8-0, you could go 5-8 on your next picks (you're already 1-0) and still end up 13-8 which would be far above average for sports bettors, but at the same time we would be 8-5 fading you're locks unfortunatley for you, the odds are now in our favor. this is not meant to be an insult, but rather a statement of mathematical truths. since you already built up 8 wins in a row before any of this started, it will be harder for you to also have a successful record in this thread you can argue my point with comments as much as you want, I am not trying to start a fight. just stating that we now have the mathematical advantage over you. best of luck with your continued success

No argument with anything you said, pstaff. Everything you said is, indeed, factual.

The thing is, I'm not picking these games. I'm being told from a source on the INSIDE what conference commisioners want, which teams the refs have $ on, and how the refs will call a certain game. Everything you said would be true if I was just a guy picking games. But that is not the case.

About a week ago, I was introduced to a new source. This coincided with my ban from SBR mods being lifted and I was reborn on SBR, loaded with a new inside source. 9-0.

Good post pstaff. Seriously. You seem like a good guy, the type of guy I'm happy to help win money, you should tail me on LOCK #10. You'll thank me later.

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 11:48 AM

Originally posted by HenryHill

No argument with anything you said, pstaff. Everything you said is, indeed, factual.

The thing is, I'm not picking these games. I'm being told from a source on the INSIDE what conference commisioners want, which teams the refs have $ on, and how the refs will call a certain game. Everything you said would be true if I was just a guy picking games. But that is not the case.

About a week ago, I was introduced to a new source. This coincided with my ban from SBR mods being lifted and I was reborn on SBR, loaded with a new inside source. 9-0.

Good post pstaff. Seriously. You seem like a good guy, the type of guy I'm happy to help win money, you should tail me on LOCK #10. You'll thank me later.

cant call it · 03-08-11, 02:04 PM

Sorry guys, did not see henryhill's lock while I was at work
http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...t-tourney.html

uconn-14 is the official fade lock play

cant call it · 03-08-11, 02:20 PM

thanks henry

YTD 2-2-1
LET THE CASH BEGIN TO FLOW BABY!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Dad · 03-08-11, 02:46 PM

Extra Innings had a lock: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...-115-lock.html

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 02:48 PM

Thanks Dad

Current Record is 3-2-1

cant call it · 03-08-11, 02:54 PM

Originally posted by Dad

Extra Innings had a lock: http://forum.sbrforum.com/players-ta...-115-lock.html

This was the same game henry was on so I chose to fade henry instead, since I have 0 respect for the guy.
We cant fade our fades daddy!

Smoke · 03-08-11, 02:57 PM

Keep fades comin

cant call it · 03-08-11, 03:01 PM

Originally posted by Smoke

Keep fades comin

smokey we sure will. Did you cash that uconn?

I know henry's book did!

cant call it · 03-08-11, 03:03 PM

Inside sources.

BWAAAHAHAHAHAHA he went down on a guy who knows a guy who knows the commisioners drug dealer so he tailed them!

henry = buried in two weeks

Dad · 03-08-11, 04:07 PM

Originally posted by cant call it

This was the same game henry was on so I chose to fade henry instead, since I have 0 respect for the guy.
We cant fade our fades daddy!

I get it now.

Congruency · 03-08-11, 04:22 PM

Great idea for a thread. I urge you to continue this throughout the year.

cant call it · 03-08-11, 04:36 PM

Originally posted by Congruency

Great idea for a thread. I urge you to continue this throughout the year.

yes sir, with a little help from everyone we can make this thread go forever!

cant call it · 03-08-11, 07:29 PM

kidk

SBR Forum - Sports Betting Talk - Sportsbook Review Forum

http://forum.sbrforum.com/nba-basketball-handicapping/976635-2-ml-locks-tonight.html

Sports betting and handicapping forum: discuss picks, odds, and predictions for upcoming games and results on latest bets.

nba
PORLTLAND +9 IS THE OFFICIAL LOCK FADE
the guy also had los angeles as a lock but didnt post it until near the end of 1st quarter so we are no play on it.

make money make money

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 07:57 PM

His locks actually appear to be Miami ML and Lakers ML

cant call it · 03-08-11, 08:07 PM

Originally posted by pstaff1989

His locks actually appear to be Miami ML and Lakers ML

Yes he is on the Miami ML which is a heavily chalked favorite (-550)
We dont want to take a 9 point dog here on the ML.
The money play is portland + points
Can ya dig it?

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 08:08 PM

I dig it

cant call it · 03-08-11, 08:09 PM

Originally posted by pstaff1989

I dig it

cant call it · 03-08-11, 10:00 PM

HAHAHA PORTLAND BANKS!!!
105-96 YOU WERE RIGHT PSTAFF THE ML WOULD HAVE CASHED +450 HERE
I just thought too risky not to take points.

Who cashed that??

pstaff1989 · 03-08-11, 10:03 PM

I had heat moneyline

I am also -133 units since jan 1

I think this thread should just be me posting all my plays and you guys getting richer then billy walters

cant call it · 03-08-11, 10:03 PM

3-2-1 we are on the right track guys. Lets keep fading see where this goes.

fading henryhill 1-2
fading biggaymer 1-0
fading romanov 0-0-1
fading kidk 1-0