Strategy Tests

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  • cloro
    SBR High Roller
    • 07-15-10
    • 162

    #1
    Strategy Tests
    Hello
    Strategies will be tested here.
    I looked at some forums. Any of my invention, but there will be a bookie buster out of here as well.
    Unfortunately, my english is not very good, but I will list everything clearly.
  • Vegas_bond
    SBR Wise Guy
    • 12-09-09
    • 624

    #2
    Yep, the Holy Grial of betting must be hiding somewhere ... well find it.
    Comment
    • Fieldysnuts44
      SBR MVP
      • 10-02-08
      • 1592

      #3
      This strategy cant fail. Bet $110 on your best bet if it loses then bet $220 on a late game if it loses bet $44o on early morning soccer game,eventually you will win.I always tail Spartan Greens picks during the days.I hate soccer but I hate it even more when there are no games on.
      Comment
      • cloro
        SBR High Roller
        • 07-15-10
        • 162

        #4
        System #5 (bookie buster)
        "This is a betting system that constantly have shown a steady profit for me.
        The goal of the system is to win just one parlay in an ten bet series. This is only a 10% winning rate. So, if you can pick a winner within 10 picks (or more if you have a bigger bankroll or you use underdogs), you make a profit.
        First of all, stay away from parlay of more than 2 games. The more games you have in your parlay, the lower will be the payout proportionally to your bet. This is normal and this is how the sportsbooks are making their money.

        So, keep it simple and safe: ALWAYS USE A 2 TEAM PARLAY.
        Who are you going to bet on ? Well, 2 strong underdogs whose payout is big or 2 money line favorite with reasonable odds.
        Bankroll:
        I can’t tell you exactly what bankroll you need because the odds are changing everyday. But I think that a bankroll of 100 units would be reasonable
        The bet will be calculated with the odds offer by the bookmakers.
        The formula is: B = (TL+P) / ((GAME 1 X GAME 2) - 1)
        B = Your bet
        TL= Total lost
        P= Profit you want to make
        GAME 1= Odds for game 1 (International odds)
        GAME 2= Odds for game 2 (International odds)

        Step 1
        Decide the amount you want to win.
        Let’s say you want to make $25 on day 1 and the odds for the 2 games are –120 (1.83) and +110 (2.10)
        B= (0 + 25) / ((1.83 X 2.10) – 1) = $8.79
        Your first bet is $8.79 for the parlay.
        If you win, you make $25 profit. $8.79 X 1.83 X 2.1 - $8.79 = $25
        You go to step 1
        If you lose, you go to step 2

        Step 2
        Let’s say the odds for the 2 games are –140 (1.71) and +105 (2.05)
        B = ($8.79 + $25 ) / ((1.71 X 2.05) – 1) = $13.46
        Your next bet is $13.46
        If you win, you make $25 profit. $13.46 x 1.71 X 2.05 – ($13.46 + $8.79) = $25
        You go to step 1
        If you lose, you go to step 3

        Step 3
        Let’s say the odds for day 3 are +120 (2.20) and –105 (1.95)
        B = ($8.79 + $13.46 + $25 ) / ((2.20 X 1.95 ) – 1) = $14.36
        Your next bet is $14.36
        If you win, you make $25 profit. $14.36 X 2.20 X 1.95 – ($14.36+$13.46+$8.79) = $25
        You go to step 1
        If you lose, you go to step 4

        Step 4
        Continue the progression using the betting formula until you hit a parlay. When you’ll hit a parlay, you’ll make a profit.

        Remember the rules to follow:
        1- Using the betting formula, make a 2 team parlay.
        2- If you lose your first parlay, make another 2 team parlay using the betting formula. Continue to make 2 team parlay until you win one 2 team parlay.
        3- If you win the first parlay, start another series at step 1
        4- When you hit a parlay anywhere in the series, you’ll make a profit.
        5- If you lose, continue the series up to 10 bets and even more if you can afford.
        Comment
        • cloro
          SBR High Roller
          • 07-15-10
          • 162

          #5
          Here’s an example
          For the purpose of this example, we will assume that we’re betting a 2 team parlay against the spread in basketball or football. The odds will always be 3.86 (2 X 1.93 (-107)).
          Day Wager W/L NET PROFIT
          1 8.75 L -8.75
          2 11.80 L -20.55
          3 15.93 L -36.48
          4 21.50 L -57.98
          5 29.01 L -86.99

          6 39.15 L -126.14
          7 52.85 L -178.99
          8 71.33 L -250.32
          9 96.27 L -346.59
          10 129.93 W +25
          You finish your 10 days of betting with only one win out of 10. A winning ratio of only 10% and you make a profit of $25. Remember, it was with odds of 1.93. Now imagine with odds of 2.50 for each team during the baseball season.
          With a bankroll of 100 units, you can resist a losing streak of at least 25 games in a row. Not to bad!

          IMPORTANT
          1) Keep on betting as long as your bankroll allow it to. If you experience a long losing streak without hitting your win to close the series and you have lost near 50% of your bankroll, maybe you should accept the lose and start a new series from the beginning.
          2) In order to have the best success, use your 2 best picks of the day for your parlay.
          3) If you have a big bankroll, you can run more series at the same time.

          Conclusion
          This powerful betting system allow you to make a good profit even if you have winning rate as low as 4% during the baseball season if you use underdogs. You have to do your homework but you will make a good profit.
          This system can be used with any sports and with any kind of bets. You just have to calculate the odds with the provided formula.
          Again there are the rules to follow:

          1- Using the betting formula, make a 2 team parlay.
          2- If you lose your first parlay, make another 2 team parlay using the betting formula. Continue to make 2 team parlay until you win one 2 team parlay.
          3- If you win the first parlay, start another series at step 1
          4- When you hit a parlay anywhere in the series, you’ll make a profit.
          If you lose, continue the series up to 10 bets and even more if you can afford.
          Comment
          • cloro
            SBR High Roller
            • 07-15-10
            • 162

            #6
            The test unit will begin in 1000.
            Always 3% of the bank will be to achieve the desired profit.

            BB#5.1.1

            813 ORL Magic -1.0 1.95 (NBA)
            840 Canisius -6.5 1.40 (CBB)

            30/((1.95*1.40)-1)= 17.34

            unit: 17.34
            bank: 982.66
            Comment
            • thadchr
              SBR MVP
              • 11-18-08
              • 1335

              #7
              I like this, at least in principle. I will definitely be following at the very least. Also, some advice... (and I know plenty of guys think parlays are sucker bets, so they can go ahead and ignore all this if they want): some books offer slightly better odds or special promotions for parlays that 1)make this system more effective/cheaper (for two-team parlays) and/or 2)allow for positive expected value with bigger parlays, IF the payouts are proportionally better at each "level", in contrast to the your scenario. For example, if you're typically picking at, say, a 54% win rate (as a pure example, since I don't want to do detailed, exact odds for each win rate... though to get complicated, a very high win rate such as 60% would definitely make bigger parlays more worthwhile...), a 13/5 two-team parlay offers better proportional odds than a three-team 10/1 parlay. BUT, if the book offers bonus parlay odds (for example, I get 13/1 for a 3-teamer at 5Dimes as part of a promo), then this is actually a better bet if you're picking at a solid rate. Of course, this will likely require many more wagers before "completing" a "series", so to speak, but the patience still pays off. Just a thought...

              Either way, I'll be keeping up with this thread to see how you do. Might even join in and post my own plays with a similar system.
              Comment
              • frizzelli
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 08-06-10
                • 8916

                #8
                Comment
                • cloro
                  SBR High Roller
                  • 07-15-10
                  • 162

                  #9
                  Originally posted by cloro
                  The test unit will begin in 1000.
                  Always 3% of the bank will be to achieve the desired profit.

                  BB#5.1.1

                  813 ORL Magic -1.0 1.95 (NBA)
                  840 Canisius -6.5 1.40 (CBB)

                  30/((1.95*1.40)-1)= 17.34

                  unit: 17.34
                  bank: 982.66


                  Well, today starts the second step ...
                  Comment
                  • cloro
                    SBR High Roller
                    • 07-15-10
                    • 162

                    #10
                    thanks for the comment thadcr.
                    I agree with you. The odds will be higher if only one match will be on the ticket. If more lower, but safer bet then I am taking up a four-five team parlay will be taken.
                    Comment
                    • cloro
                      SBR High Roller
                      • 07-15-10
                      • 162

                      #11
                      BB#5.1.2

                      Caja Laboral Baskonia - Unicaja Málaga (Including Overtime) 1.2 Spain: ACB – Asociación de Clubes de Baloncesto
                      Cholet - Gravelines-Dunkerque (Including Overtime) 1.4 France: LNB - Ligue Nationale de Basketball
                      Nancy SLUC - Orléans Loiret Basket (Including Overtime) 1.2 France: LNB - Ligue Nationale de Basketball

                      (30+17.34)/((1.2*1.4*1.2)-1)= 46.59

                      unit: 46.59
                      bank: 936.07
                      Last edited by cloro; 01-29-11, 03:52 PM.
                      Comment
                      • cloro
                        SBR High Roller
                        • 07-15-10
                        • 162

                        #12
                        bank: 1030
                        Comment
                        • cloro
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 07-15-10
                          • 162

                          #13
                          BB#5.2.1

                          510 MIL Bucks -6.5 1.90 (NBA)
                          646 Rutgers +10 1.90 (CBB)

                          30/((1.9*1.9)-1)= 11.5

                          unit: 11.5
                          bank: 1018.5
                          Comment
                          • cloro
                            SBR High Roller
                            • 07-15-10
                            • 162

                            #14
                            BB#5.3.1

                            Florent Serra - Edouard Roger-Vasselin 1.72 (tennis- challenger Reunion)
                            Andy Murray - Novak Djokovic 1.7 (tennis- Australian open final)

                            30/(2.4-1)= 21.4

                            unit: 21.4
                            bank: 997.1
                            Comment
                            • thadchr
                              SBR MVP
                              • 11-18-08
                              • 1335

                              #15
                              Keep it up man!
                              Comment
                              • MadTiger
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-19-09
                                • 2724

                                #16
                                Originally posted by cloro
                                Hello Strategies will be tested here. I looked at some forums. Any of my invention, but there will be a bookie buster out of here as well. Unfortunately, my english is not very good, but I will list everything clearly.
                                Your English is better than most native speakers here. And as far as foreign language skills, you are in the top 0.1%. hhaaha!
                                Welcome.
                                Comment
                                • Augie
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 09-26-09
                                  • 53

                                  #17
                                  Sounds like a great system.
                                  Best of luck with it I will be watching and might try this myself
                                  Comment
                                  • thadchr
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 11-18-08
                                    • 1335

                                    #18
                                    Two things though: First, can you explain exactly what you mean below? Your writing style confuses me a bit...at least I think... Maybe I'm reading it wrong?

                                    Originally posted by cloro
                                    thanks for the comment thadcr.
                                    I agree with you. The odds will be higher if only one match will be on the ticket. If more lower, but safer bet then I am taking up a four-five team parlay will be taken.

                                    Second, just to be a good guy and to make this thread easier to follow, do you think you could post the American odds along with the international odds? I know you need to use the international odds for the formula, but those of us less familiar with them have to think a bit to convert them.

                                    Oh, and finally, just semantics... but why is this called system 5? Thanks!
                                    Comment
                                    • cloro
                                      SBR High Roller
                                      • 07-15-10
                                      • 162

                                      #19
                                      Thanks for the comments.
                                      It is essential that all tickets odds of greater than 2 (+100).
                                      This is the fifth system of the Bookie Buster (changed a bit), so BB#5 is the name.
                                      The second number refers to the series. The third is a series within the series.
                                      Comment
                                      • cloro
                                        SBR High Roller
                                        • 07-15-10
                                        • 162

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by cloro
                                        BB#5.2.1

                                        510 MIL Bucks -6.5 1.90 (NBA)
                                        646 Rutgers +10 1.90 (CBB)

                                        30/((1.9*1.9)-1)= 11.5

                                        unit: 11.5
                                        bank: 1018.5


                                        bank: 1038.6
                                        Comment
                                        • cloro
                                          SBR High Roller
                                          • 07-15-10
                                          • 162

                                          #21
                                          Originally posted by cloro
                                          BB#5.3.1

                                          Florent Serra - Edouard Roger-Vasselin 1.72 (tennis- challenger Reunion) DRAW canceled bet
                                          Andy Murray - Novak Djokovic 1.7 (tennis- Australian open final)

                                          30/(2.4-1)= 21.4

                                          unit: 21.4

                                          bank: 997.1
                                          21.4*1.7(-142.86)= 36.4

                                          bank: 1075
                                          Comment
                                          • frizzelli
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 08-06-10
                                            • 8916

                                            #22
                                            Comment
                                            • thadchr
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-18-08
                                              • 1335

                                              #23
                                              Still not entirely understanding this system. I thought I 100% understood the initial example you provided (...still do think I understand it...), but as you continue posting I get more confused. How come after you won your first win, you still placed your next bet 'to win' another 30, but you say 3% of you current bankroll? I also don't understand the numbers as they relate to the series and number within the series. You went from 5.1.1, to 5.1.2, to 5.2.1, to 5.3.1. Maybe I'd be best to just keep watching and figure things out as they go.
                                              Comment
                                              • cloro
                                                SBR High Roller
                                                • 07-15-10
                                                • 162

                                                #24
                                                Thadchr ,this is a legitimate question.
                                                Originally, the current 3% of the bank was determined by the desired profit, but later I realized if there are several series at the same time, this would lead to chaos. So I decided to lift the desired level stakes profit rate.

                                                The levels:

                                                bank: 0-750 ----> desired profit: 10
                                                bank: 750-900 ----> desired profit: 20
                                                bank: 900-1000 ----> desired profit: 25
                                                bank: 1000-1100 ----> desired profit: 30
                                                bank: 1100-1200 ----> desired profit: 35
                                                bank: 1200-1300 ----> desired profit: 40
                                                bank: 1300-1500 ----> desired profit: 45
                                                bank: 1500-2000 ----> desired profit: 50
                                                bank: 2000-2500 ----> desired profit: 75
                                                bank: 2500-5000 ----> desired profit: 100
                                                bank: 5000-**** ----> desired profit: 150
                                                Comment
                                                • cloro
                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                  • 07-15-10
                                                  • 162

                                                  #25
                                                  Originally posted by thadchr
                                                  I also don't understand the numbers as they relate to the series and number within the series. You went from 5.1.1, to 5.1.2, to 5.2.1, to 5.3.1. Maybe I'd be best to just keep watching and figure things out as they go.
                                                  The numbers formats:

                                                  for example:
                                                  BB#5.2.2 -----> The first number represents the number of the strategy, in this case the 5 ,because I will test this strategy. The second number is the "successful" series (the series which ended with the achievement of desired profit). Finally, the third number shows the number of tickets in the series.

                                                  For example:
                                                  I started BB#5.1.1 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.1.2 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.1.3 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.1.4 (win)
                                                  I'm starting a new series, because I reached the profit.
                                                  BB#5.2.1 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.2.2 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.2.3 (win)
                                                  BB#5.3.1 (win)
                                                  BB#5.4.1 (loss)
                                                  BB#5.4.2 (loss)

                                                  I hope I wrote clearly. If you have other questions, feel free to ask!
                                                  My English is still pretty lame, but I try to answer the more meaningful.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • frizzelli
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 08-06-10
                                                    • 8916

                                                    #26
                                                    Comment
                                                    • cloro
                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                      • 07-15-10
                                                      • 162

                                                      #27
                                                      BB#5.4.1

                                                      714 LA Clippers -3.5 1.90 (US odds -111.11)
                                                      718 Texas A&M +0.0 2.05 (US odds +105)

                                                      30/(3.9-1)= 10.4
                                                      US odds
                                                      +289.5

                                                      unit: 10.4

                                                      bank: 1064.6
                                                      Last edited by cloro; 02-01-11, 03:21 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • cloro
                                                        SBR High Roller
                                                        • 07-15-10
                                                        • 162

                                                        #28
                                                        BB#5.4.2

                                                        1 Aris @ 1.22
                                                        2 Galatasaray @ 1.18
                                                        3 Unics Kazan @ 1.45
                                                        4 Cras Taranto - Women @ 1.40
                                                        odds: 2.92
                                                        US odds: +192



                                                        Cras Basket Taranto (W) - ZVVZ USK Prague (W) (Including Overtime) 1.40 (US -250) Euroleague Women
                                                        Aris - BG Göttingen (Including Overtime) 1.22 (US -454.55) Euro cup

                                                        Galatasaray Cafe Crown - ČEZ Basket Nymburk (Including Overtime) 1.18 (US -555.56) Euro cup
                                                        Hemofarm - Unics Kazan (Including Overtime) 1.45 (US -222.22) Euro cup


                                                        40.4/(2.92-1)= 21.1

                                                        unit: 21.1
                                                        bank: 1043.5
                                                        Last edited by cloro; 02-01-11, 06:35 PM.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • frizzelli
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 08-06-10
                                                          • 8916

                                                          #29
                                                          Comment
                                                          • opie1988
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 09-12-10
                                                            • 23429

                                                            #30
                                                            Originally posted by frizzelli
                                                            Doesn't get much gayer than this.

                                                            Jesus.......
                                                            Comment
                                                            • frizzelli
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 08-06-10
                                                              • 8916

                                                              #31
                                                              I see bytch boy is still crying because I made a post over a month ago about his 2 page post bashing someone god damn goof you would think you get over it by now but little bytchs are sensitve and can't let simple things go.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • opie1988
                                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                                • 09-12-10
                                                                • 23429

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by frizzelli
                                                                I see bytch boy is still crying because I made a post over a month ago about his 2 page post bashing someone god damn goof you would think you get over it by now but little bytchs are sensitve and can't let simple things go.


                                                                I'm just messing with you, bro. I'm not mad about that post. It just cracks me up when you start going off. No hard feelings here.

                                                                Good luck!
                                                                Comment
                                                                • cloro
                                                                  SBR High Roller
                                                                  • 07-15-10
                                                                  • 162

                                                                  #33
                                                                  January Summary:

                                                                  All tickets: 5
                                                                  winning ticket: 3
                                                                  Tips one by one: 11 / 8W-2L-1D
                                                                  starting bank: 1000
                                                                  bank at the end of the month: 1064.6
                                                                  ROI: +6.4%
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • frizzelli
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 08-06-10
                                                                    • 8916

                                                                    #34
                                                                    Originally posted by opie1988
                                                                    I'm just messing with you, bro. I'm not mad about that post. It just cracks me up when you start going off. No hard feelings here. Good luck!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • cloro
                                                                      SBR High Roller
                                                                      • 07-15-10
                                                                      • 162

                                                                      #35
                                                                      BB#5.4.3

                                                                      58 TOR M Leafs (Incl. OT) 1.74 (US odds -135.14)
                                                                      505 SA Spurs -5.0 1.90 (US odds -111.11)
                                                                      US odds: +230

                                                                      61.5/(3.3-1)= 26.8

                                                                      unit: 26.8
                                                                      bank:1016.7
                                                                      Last edited by cloro; 02-02-11, 12:29 AM.
                                                                      Comment
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