Bowl Opening Lines System

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  • pavyracer
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 04-12-07
    • 82618

    #1
    Bowl Opening Lines System
    As some of you know I have been tracking the college games for the last 5 weeks based on where the opening line opens in relation to the numbers 3, 7, 10, 14. Based on this limited sample it appears tracking the numbers 3 and 7 gave the best results.

    The system is so simple even a caveman can do it. I basically bet against the -2.5 & -6.5 opening lines and in favor of the -3.5 & -7.5 lines.

    So for the Bowl games here are the plays (lines posted are opening lines and are not current or closing lines so you may never get that number when betting). Also for those who tracked the system before when I posted plays I’m giving the actual plays here since you already know how the system works by now:

    So here are the 10 games that fit into this system. Some of the games didn’t have the hook as opening line in all major books or the juice was high on the +3 for example.

    Fresno St +2.5
    Louisville -3.5
    Georgia Tech +2.5
    NC State +2.5
    Maryland -7.5
    SMU -8
    Syracuse +2.5
    Tennessee +2.5
    Wisconsin +2.5
    Kentucky +2.5

    Again do your own diligence and figure what plays will work best for you. This system does not track team’s past performance in Bowls, suspended players, weather conditions, etc. It’s purely based on the location of the hook in the opening lines on the numbers 3 and 7.

    Good luck with your Bowl selections this year.
  • konck
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-17-06
    • 12554

    #2
    Dogs win a lot of bowl games ...
    Comment
    • Doc JS
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 09-15-06
      • 6885

      #3
      Interesting, Paver...

      Doc
      Comment
      • dodger33
        SBR MVP
        • 08-14-09
        • 3962

        #4
        How has it performed in the past?
        Comment
        • pavyracer
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 04-12-07
          • 82618

          #5
          Originally posted by dodger33
          How has it performed in the past?
          I only tracked it for the last 5 weeks:

          5-1
          5-1
          5-0
          7-3 (some say it was 8-1-1 or 9-1 depending on the line you got for CF/SMU and Oklahoma/Nebraska games)
          1-0
          Comment
          • BIGDAY
            SBR Aristocracy
            • 02-17-10
            • 48245

            #6
            Thanks for the tip. BOL!
            Comment
            • cadillac pete
              SBR MVP
              • 01-15-06
              • 1675

              #7
              Looking forwared to see how it works out.
              Comment
              • jonesda
                SBR High Roller
                • 01-09-10
                • 108

                #8
                thanks pavy good luck.
                Comment
                • kfranz31
                  SBR MVP
                  • 02-09-10
                  • 1186

                  #9
                  thanks for the info will definitely watch how this progresses
                  Comment
                  • thebestthereis
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-01-09
                    • 11459

                    #10
                    geico
                    Comment
                    • TheGambler
                      SBR Wise Guy
                      • 07-16-06
                      • 972

                      #11
                      Any system developed by Paver has to be worth looking into. I will blindly put $100 on each of these!!
                      Comment
                      • Richkas
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 02-03-08
                        • 19396

                        #12
                        Good Luck Pavy
                        Comment
                        • Heandog
                          SBR MVP
                          • 12-30-09
                          • 1634

                          #13
                          good luck intrestering gonna keep a eye open on this
                          Comment
                          • zam77
                            SBR MVP
                            • 11-03-10
                            • 3586

                            #14
                            Originally posted by pavyracer
                            I only tracked it for the last 5 weeks:

                            5-1
                            5-1
                            5-0
                            7-3 (some say it was 8-1-1 or 9-1 depending on the line you got for CF/SMU and Oklahoma/Nebraska games)
                            1-0

                            wow... that's to good to be true. thanks pavy
                            Comment
                            • pavyracer
                              SBR Aristocracy
                              • 04-12-07
                              • 82618

                              #15
                              Originally posted by zam77
                              wow... that's to good to be true. thanks pavy
                              Hey zam there are a couple old threads where I posted these plays. Some guys made good money playing these.
                              Comment
                              • BiffTFinancial
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 01-29-09
                                • 22670

                                #16
                                i've been watching this study of yours the last couple of weeks, pavy. nice work. i think you're onto something.
                                Comment
                                • wunwun
                                  SBR Hustler
                                  • 12-05-10
                                  • 77

                                  #17
                                  Originally posted by pavyracer
                                  Hey zam there are a couple old threads where I posted these plays. Some guys made good money playing these.
                                  Thank you!
                                  BOL
                                  Comment
                                  • iloseagain
                                    Restricted User
                                    • 06-29-10
                                    • 10681

                                    #18
                                    fresno st shit the bed haha
                                    Comment
                                    • Pete0
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 04-09-10
                                      • 3849

                                      #19
                                      Pavy, do u think this affects the selections ?

                                      For example, today on the louisville/So Miss game. the hook is shifted to the other team. the line is 2.5
                                      Comment
                                      • pavyracer
                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                        • 04-12-07
                                        • 82618

                                        #20
                                        Originally posted by Pete0
                                        Pavy, do u think this affects the selections ?

                                        For example, today on the louisville/So Miss game. the hook is shifted to the other team. the line is 2.5
                                        No I will stick to the opening lines. The closing lines are not factored into this system.
                                        Comment
                                        • VegasInsider
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 12-12-10
                                          • 14593

                                          #21
                                          Thanks for the tip, sounds reasonable.
                                          Comment
                                          • DroppinDimes
                                            SBR High Roller
                                            • 08-19-10
                                            • 157

                                            #22
                                            Louisville -2 last night = WINNER!!!
                                            Comment
                                            • kydchi
                                              SBR Rookie
                                              • 11-11-10
                                              • 22

                                              #23
                                              thank you for the due diligence and best of luck.
                                              Comment
                                              • zam77
                                                SBR MVP
                                                • 11-03-10
                                                • 3586

                                                #24
                                                got this in too early at -3, but i'll take the push... seems like there's bound to be one of those according to the system anyhow
                                                Comment
                                                • harlee71
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 12-02-09
                                                  • 7202

                                                  #25
                                                  Nicky Santoro says its important to beat the closing line.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Punter4Life
                                                    SBR High Roller
                                                    • 11-20-10
                                                    • 175

                                                    #26
                                                    Originally posted by pavyracer
                                                    As some of you know I have been tracking the college games for the last 5 weeks based on where the opening line opens in relation to the numbers 3, 7, 10, 14. Based on this limited sample it appears tracking the numbers 3 and 7 gave the best results.

                                                    The system is so simple even a caveman can do it. I basically bet against the -2.5 & -6.5 opening lines and in favor of the -3.5 & -7.5 lines.

                                                    So for the Bowl games here are the plays (lines posted are opening lines and are not current or closing lines so you may never get that number when betting). Also for those who tracked the system before when I posted plays I’m giving the actual plays here since you already know how the system works by now:

                                                    So here are the 10 games that fit into this system. Some of the games didn’t have the hook as opening line in all major books or the juice was high on the +3 for example.

                                                    Fresno St +2.5
                                                    Louisville -3.5
                                                    Georgia Tech +2.5
                                                    NC State +2.5
                                                    Maryland -7.5
                                                    SMU -8
                                                    Syracuse +2.5
                                                    Tennessee +2.5
                                                    Wisconsin +2.5
                                                    Kentucky +2.5

                                                    Again do your own diligence and figure what plays will work best for you. This system does not track team’s past performance in Bowls, suspended players, weather conditions, etc. It’s purely based on the location of the hook in the opening lines on the numbers 3 and 7.

                                                    Good luck with your Bowl selections this year.
                                                    How's this working out?
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Joe Sharp
                                                      SBR MVP
                                                      • 06-01-09
                                                      • 3011

                                                      #27
                                                      Comment
                                                      • pavyracer
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 04-12-07
                                                        • 82618

                                                        #28
                                                        Originally posted by Punter4Life
                                                        How's this working out?
                                                        It's 1-1 or 0-1-1 depending on when you bet Louisville.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Todd2122
                                                          SBR Sharp
                                                          • 12-23-08
                                                          • 403

                                                          #29
                                                          Compared to other teams, how do you like GA Tech tomorrow? Lost 4 of last 5 games.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • illfuuptn
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 03-17-10
                                                            • 1860

                                                            #30
                                                            running hot. not a real system
                                                            Comment
                                                            • RunEmHard
                                                              SBR Hustler
                                                              • 09-15-10
                                                              • 51

                                                              #31
                                                              GT missing quite a bit of players due to disciplinary reasons , you still think they going to cover?
                                                              I dont think so.
                                                              Liking Airforce -3.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • pavyracer
                                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                                • 04-12-07
                                                                • 82618

                                                                #32
                                                                Originally posted by Todd2122
                                                                Compared to other teams, how do you like GA Tech tomorrow? Lost 4 of last 5 games.
                                                                Originally posted by illfuuptn
                                                                running hot. not a real system
                                                                Originally posted by RunEmHard
                                                                GT missing quite a bit of players due to disciplinary reasons , you still think they going to cover? I dont think so. Liking Airforce -3.
                                                                System is not based on players missing. So if you think missing players will have an effect on game don't play it. This system is not based on team's current form, missing players, etc.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • pavyracer
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 04-12-07
                                                                  • 82618

                                                                  #33
                                                                  Big Day today boys with 3 games on the line. 3-2 so far.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shaggy3000
                                                                    Restricted User
                                                                    • 12-29-09
                                                                    • 5801

                                                                    #34
                                                                    need a turn around in this SMU game to start it off right. and a BIG finish from Tennesse!!!!!!!!!!!!!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • bigdaddyjames
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 11-17-09
                                                                      • 3178

                                                                      #35
                                                                      very good picking there >>> wish you would post somethingbefore the games start so i can see what you are on .....
                                                                      Comment
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